• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지상기상자료

검색결과 334건 처리시간 0.033초

Verification of the Global Numerical Weather Prediction Using SYNOP Surface Observation Data (SYNOP 지상관측자료를 활용한 수치모델 전구 예측성 검증)

  • Lee, Eun-Hee;Choi, In-Jin;Kim, Ki-Byung;Kang, Jeon-Ho;Lee, Juwon;Lee, Eunjeong;Seol, Kyung-Hee
    • Atmosphere
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.235-249
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    • 2017
  • This paper describes methodology verifying near-surface predictability of numerical weather prediction models against the surface synoptic weather station network (SYNOP) observation. As verification variables, temperature, wind, humidity-related variables, total cloud cover, and surface pressure are included in this tool. Quality controlled SYNOP observation through the pre-processing for data assimilation is used. To consider the difference of topographic height between observation and model grid points, vertical inter/extrapolation is applied for temperature, humidity, and surface pressure verification. This verification algorithm is applied for verifying medium-range forecasts by a global forecasting model developed by Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems to measure the near-surface predictability of the model and to evaluate the capability of the developed verification tool. It is found that the verification of near-surface prediction against SYNOP observation shows consistency with verification of upper atmosphere against global radiosonde observation, suggesting reliability of those data and demonstrating importance of verification against in-situ measurement as well. Although verifying modeled total cloud cover with observation might have limitation due to the different definition between the model and observation, it is also capable to diagnose the relative bias of model predictability such as a regional reliability and diurnal evolution of the bias.

Modified Standardized Precipitation Index using Effects of Dry Period and Antecedent Precipitation (무강수와 선행강수효과를 고려한 개선된 표준강수지수 제시)

  • Lee, Jun-Won;Kim, Gwang-Seob;Choi, Kyu-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 한국수자원학회 2012년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.701-701
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    • 2012
  • 장시간의 강수부족으로부터 야기되는 가뭄은 다른 자연재해에 비하여 하나의 물리적인 특성으로 표현하기에는 한계가 있다. 이러한 가뭄의 특성을 파악하기 위하여 다양한 지수들이 사용되고 있으며, 각각의 지수는 기후적 혹은 물리적 특성 등을 반영하여 가뭄을 평가하고 있다. 다양한 가뭄지수중 SPI(Standardized Precipitation Index)는 가뭄 발생에 있어 가장 중요한 요소를 차지하는 강수를 이용하여 가뭄을 평가하고 있으며, 비교적 간단한 방법으로 계산되어지며 다양한 기관에서 사용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 무강수일수와 선행강수조건에 따른 영향을 고려한 개선된 SPI 지수를 제시하고 가뭄감지능력을 기존의 가뭄지수와 비교 분석 하였다. 무강수일수의 고려를 위하여 월 최대 무강수일수의 확률분포를 구하고 이를 다시 누적확률분포로 나타냄으로서 기존에 가뭄지수에 무강수일수의 영향을 추가할 수 있는 가중치를 생성하였다. 또한 추가적으로 월 최대 무강수일의 시점을 전기, 중기, 후기로 구분하여 각각의 기간에 따라 가중치를 변환하여 수행하였다. 이전의 강수효과를 고려하기 위하여 15일 이전의 강수를 성수기와 비성수기로 구분하고 각각의 기간에 강수량에 따른 가중치를 세분하여 기존의 가뭄지수에 추가하였다. 기존의 가뭄지수와 새롭게 제시된 가뭄지수의 평가를 위하여 ROC분석을 사용하였으며, ROC분석은 실제 발생했던 사실과 산정된 값을 평가하는 방법으로 본 연구에서는 과거 실제 방생한 가뭄기록과 산정된 지수의 수치를 4가지의 범주로 나누어 분석하였다. 평가 기간은 1973년부터 2009년까지이며, 사용된 자료는 우리나라 기상청의 76개 지상관측지점 중 섬 지역 7개를 제외한 69개 지점의 정보를 이용하였다. 분석결과 기존의 SPI3에 비하여 전반적으로 향상된 가뭄감지능력을 보여주었다. 무강수일수와 선행강수효과를 이용한 가뭄지수의 가중치 생성은 SPI3 뿐만 아니라 다양한 지수에 적용되어 사용성이 높아 뛰어난 가뭄감지능력을 가지는 가뭄지수 개발에 효과적으로 활용될 것으로 기대된다.

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Long-Term Trend of Surface Wind Speed in Korea: Physical and Statistical Homogenizations (한반도 지상 풍속의 장기 추세 추정: 관측 자료의 물리적 및 통계적 보정)

  • Choi, Yeong-Ju;Park, Chang-Hyun;Son, Seok-Woo;Kim, Hye-Jin
    • Atmosphere
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    • 제31권5호
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    • pp.553-562
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    • 2021
  • The long-term trend of surface wind speed in Korea is estimated by correcting wind measurements at 29 KMA weather stations from 1985 to 2019 with physical and statistical homogenization. The anemometer height changes at each station are first adjusted by applying physical homogenization using the power-law wind profile. The statistical homogenization is then applied to the adjusted data. A standard normal homogeneity test (SNHT) is particularly utilized. Approximately 40% of inhomogeneities detected by the SNHT match with the sea-level-height change of each station, indicating that an SNHT is an effective technique for reconciling data inhomogeneity. The long-term trends are compared with homogenized data. Statistically significant negative trends are observed along the coast, while insignificant trends are dominant inland. The mean trend, averaged over all stations, is -0.03 ± 0.07 m s-1 decade-1. This insignificant trend is due to a trend change across 2001. A decreasing trend of -0.10 m s-1 decade-1 reverses to an increasing trend of 0.03 m s-1 decade-1 from 2001. This trend change is consistent with mid-latitude wind change in the Northern hemisphere, indicating that the long-term trend of surface wind speed in Korea is partly determined by large-scale atmospheric circulation.

Characteristics of Vertical Ozone Distributions in the Pohang Area, Korea (포항지역 오존의 수직분포 특성)

  • Kim, Ji-Young;Youn, Yong-Hoon;Song, Ki-Bum;Kim, Ki-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • 제21권3호
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    • pp.287-301
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    • 2000
  • In order to investigate the factors and processes affecting the vertical distributions of ozone, we analyzed the ozone profile data measured using ozonesonde from 1995 to 1997 at Pohang city, Korea. In the course of our study, we analyzed temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of ozone at four different heights: surface (100m), troposphere (10km), lower stratosphere (20km), and middle stratosphere (30km). Despite its proximity to a local, but major, industrial complex known as Pohang Iron and Steel Co. (POSCO), the concentrations of surface ozone in the study area were comparable to those typically observed from rural and/or unpolluted area. In addition, the findings of relative enhancement of ozone at this height, especially between spring and summer may be accounted for by the prevalence of photochemical reactions during that period of year. The temporal distribution patterns for both 10 and 20km heights were quite compatible despite large differences in their altitudes with such consistency as spring maxima and summer minima. Explanations for these phenomena may be sought by the mixed effects of various processes including: ozone transport across two heights, photochemical reaction, the formation of inversion layer, and so on. However, the temporal distribution pattern for the middle stratosphere (30km) was rather comparable to that of the surface. We also evaluated total ozone concentration of the study area using Brewer spectrophotometer. The total ozone concentration data were compared with those derived by combining the data representing stratospheric layers via Umkehr method. The results of correlation analysis showed that total ozone is negatively correlated with cloud cover but not with such parameter as UV-B. Based on our study, we conclude that areal characteristics of Pohang which represents a typical coastal area may be quite important in explaining the distribution patterns of ozone not only from surface but also from upper atmosphere.

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Intercomparing the Aerosol Optical Depth Using the Geostationary Satellite Sensors (AHI, GOCI and MI) from Yonsei AErosol Retrieval (YAER) Algorithm (연세에어로졸 알고리즘을 이용하여 정지궤도위성 센서(AHI, GOCI, MI)로부터 산출된 에어로졸 광학두께 비교 연구)

  • Lim, Hyunkwang;Choi, Myungje;Kim, Mijin;Kim, Jhoon;Go, Sujung;Lee, Seoyoung
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.119-130
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    • 2018
  • Aerosol Optical Properties (AOPs) are retrieved using the geostationary satellite instruments such as Geostationary Ocean Color Imager (GOCI), Meteorological Imager (MI), and Advanced Himawari Imager (AHI) through Yonsei AErosol Retrieval algorithm (YAER). In this study, the retrieved aerosol optical depths (AOD)s from each instrument were intercompared and validated with the ground-based sunphotometer AErosol Robotic NETwork (AERONET) data. As a result, the four AOD products derived from different instruments showed consistent results over land and ocean. However, AODs from MI and GOCI tend to be overestimated due to cloud contamination. According to the comparison results with AERONET, the percentage within expected errors (EE) are 36.3, 48.4, 56.6, and 68.2% for MI, GOCI, AHI-minimum reflectivity method (MRM), and AHI-estimated surface reflectance from shortwave Infrared (ESR) product, respectively. Since MI AOD is retrieved from a single visible channel, and adopts only one aerosol type by season, EE is relatively lower than other products. On the other hand, the AHI ESR is more accurate than the minimum reflectance method as used by GOCI, MI, and AHI MRM method in May and June when the vegetation is relatively abundant. These results are explained by the RMSE and the EE for each AERONET site. The ESR method result show to be better than the other satellite product in terms of EE for 15 out of 22 sites used for validation, and they are better than the other product for 13 sites in terms of RMSE. In addition, the error in observation time in each product is found by using characteristics of geostationary satellites. The absolute median biases at 00 to 06 Universal Time Coordinated (UTC) are 0.05, 0.09, 0.18, 0.18, 0.14, 0.09, and 0.10. The absolute median bias by observation time has appeared in MI and the only 00 UTC appeared in GOCI.

Characteristics of the Land and Sea Breeze on Cheju island , Korea (제주도 지방의 해륙풍의 특성)

  • 김유근
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.41-55
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    • 1991
  • A study was done to investigate characteristics of the land and sea breeze over Cheju island on the basis of surface meteorological data collected from 1977 to 1986. The results are summarized as follows: The frequency of the land and sea breze was highest in August followed by September, October, May and November in descending order. This indicates that the frequency of the land and sea breeze is higher in fall than in spring, and lowest in winter. The sea breeze began much earlier than any other regions of Korea all the year round, and it began about 30 minutes earlier and ended one hour later in the northern coast than in the southern coast of Cheju island. Meanwhile, the land breeze began about one hour earlier in the southern coast than in the northern coast and ended almost at the same time in both coasts. The annual mean duration of the sea breeze was about one hour longer in the northern coast than in the southern coast, but the land breeze showed an opposite trend. The duration of the sea breeze was longer in summer than in winter and again the land breeze was opposite. Transition period from the sea to the land breeze was relatively long in summer and shout in winter, but transition period from the land to the sea breeze was not different between seasons. The time for a maximum velocity of the sea breeze came earlier in the southern coast than in the northern coast, but that of the land breeze came almost at the same time in both coasts with no seasonal variations. Monthly mean maximum velocity of the sea breeze was greater than that of the land breeze.

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Improvement of Rainfall Estimation according to the Calibration Bias of Dual-polarimetric Radar Variables (이중편파레이더 관측오차 보정에 따른 강수량 추정값 개선)

  • Kim, Hae-Lim;Park, Hye-Sook;Ko, Jeong-Seok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • 제47권12호
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    • pp.1227-1237
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    • 2014
  • Dual-polarization can distinguish precipitation type and dual-polarization is provide not only meteorological phenomena in the atmosphere but also non-precipitation echoes. Therefore dual-polarization radar can improve radar estimates of rainfall. However polarimetric measurements by transmitting vertically vibration waves and horizontally vibrating waves simultaneously is contain systematic bias of the radar itself. Thus the calibration bias is necessary to improve quantitative precipitation estimation. In this study, the calibration bias of reflectivity (Z) and differential reflectivity ($Z_{DR}$) from the Bislsan dual-polarization radar is calculated using the 2-Dimensional Video Disdrometer (2DVD) data. And an improvement in rainfall estimation is investigated by applying derived calibration bias. A total of 33 rainfall cases occurring in Daegu from 2011 to 2012 were selected. As a results, the calibration bias of Z is about -0.3 to 5.5 dB, and $Z_{DR}$ is about -0.1 dB to 0.6 dB. In most cases, the Bislsan radar generally observes Z and $Z_{DR}$ variables lower than the simulated variables. Before and after calibration bias, compared estimated rainfall from the dual-polarization radar with AWS rain gauge in Daegu found that the mean bias has fallen by 1.69 to 1.54 mm/hr, and the RMSE has decreased by 2.54 to 1.73 mm/hr. And estimated rainfall comparing to the surface rain gauge as ground truth, rainfall estimation is improved about 7-61%.

On characteristics of environmental correction factors in the South Indian Ocean by Topex/Poseidon satellite altimetric data (Topex/Poseidon 위성의 Altimeter자료를 이용한 남인도양의 환경보정인자 특성에 관한 연구)

  • 윤홍주;김영섭;이재철
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.117-128
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    • 1998
  • Topex/Poseidon satellite, launched in Auguest 1992, has provided more 5 years of very good quality data. Efficient improvements, either about instrumental accuracy or about sea level data correction, have been made so that Topex/Poseidon has become presently a wonderful tool for many researchers. The first mission data of 73 cycles, September 1992 - August 1994, was used to our study in order to know characteristics of environmental correction factors in the Amsterdam-Crozet-Kerguelen region of the South Indian Ocean. According to standard procedures as defined under user handbook for sea surface height data processes, then we have chosen cycles 43 as the cycle of reference because this cycle has provided the completed data for measurement points and has presented the exacted position of ground track compared to another cycles. It was computed variations of various factors for correction in ascending ground track 103(Amsterdam-Kerguelen continental plateau) and descending ground track170 (Crozet basin). Here the variations of ionosphere, dry troposphere, humid troposphere, electromagnetic bias, elastic tide and loading tide were generally very smaller as a few of cm, but the variations of oceanic tide(30-35cm) and inverted barometer(15-30cm) were higher than another factors. For the correction of ocean tide, our model(CEFMO: Code d' Elements Finis pour la Maree Oceanique) - This is hydrodynamic model that is very well applicated in all oceanic situations - was used because this model has especially good solution in the coastal and island area as the open sea area. Conclusionally, it should be understood that the variation of ocean free surface is mainly under the influence of tides(>80-90%) in the Amsterdam - Crozet- Kerguelen region of the South Indian Ocean.

Analysis of Empirical Multiple Linear Regression Models for the Production of PM2.5 Concentrations (PM2.5농도 산출을 위한 경험적 다중선형 모델 분석)

  • Choo, Gyo-Hwang;Lee, Kyu-Tae;Jeong, Myeong-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.283-292
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    • 2017
  • In this study, the empirical models were established to estimate the concentrations of surface-level $PM_{2.5}$ over Seoul, Korea from 1 January 2012 to 31 December 2013. We used six different multiple linear regression models with aerosol optical thickness (AOT), ${\AA}ngstr{\ddot{o}}m$ exponents (AE) data from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) aboard Terra and Aqua satellites, meteorological data, and planetary boundary layer depth (PBLD) data. The results showed that $M_6$ was the best empirical model and AOT, AE, relative humidity (RH), wind speed, wind direction, PBLD, and air temperature data were used as input data. Statistical analysis showed that the result between the observed $PM_{2.5}$ and the estimated $PM_{2.5}$ concentrations using $M_6$ model were correlations (R=0.62) and root square mean error ($RMSE=10.70{\mu}gm^{-3}$). In addition, our study show that the relation strongly depends on the seasons due to seasonal observation characteristics of AOT, with a relatively better correlation in spring (R=0.66) and autumntime (R=0.75) than summer and wintertime (R was about 0.38 and 0.56). These results were due to cloud contamination of summertime and the influence of snow/ice surface of wintertime, compared with those of other seasons. Therefore, the empirical multiple linear regression model used in this study showed that the AOT data retrieved from the satellite was important a dominant variable and we will need to use additional weather variables to improve the results of $PM_{2.5}$. Also, the result calculated for $PM_{2.5}$ using empirical multi linear regression model will be useful as a method to enable monitoring of atmospheric environment from satellite and ground meteorological data.

The KALION Automated Aerosol Type Classification and Mass Concentration Calculation Algorithm (한반도 에어로졸 라이다 네트워크(KALION)의 에어로졸 유형 구분 및 질량 농도 산출 알고리즘)

  • Yeo, Huidong;Kim, Sang-Woo;Lee, Chulkyu;Kim, Dukhyeon;Kim, Byung-Gon;Kim, Sewon;Nam, Hyoung-Gu;Noh, Young Min;Park, Soojin;Park, Chan Bong;Seo, Kwangsuk;Choi, Jin-Young;Lee, Myong-In;Lee, Eun hye
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.119-131
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    • 2016
  • Descriptions are provided of the automated aerosol-type classification and mass concentration calculation algorithm for real-time data processing and aerosol products in Korea Aerosol Lidar Observation Network (KALION, http://www.kalion.kr). The KALION algorithm provides aerosol-cloud classification and three aerosol types (clean continental, dust, and polluted continental/urban pollution aerosols). It also generates vertically resolved distributions of aerosol extinction coefficient and mass concentration. An extinction-to-backscatter ratio (lidar ratio) of 63.31 sr and aerosol mass extinction efficiency of $3.36m^2g^{-1}$ ($1.39m^2g^{-1}$ for dust), determined from co-located sky radiometer and $PM_{10}$ mass concentration measurements in Seoul from June 2006 to December 2015, are deployed in the algorithm. To assess the robustness of the algorithm, we investigate the pollution and dust events in Seoul on 28-30 March, 2015. The aerosol-type identification, especially for dust particles, is agreed with the official Asian dust report by Korean Meteorological Administration. The lidar-derived mass concentrations also well match with $PM_{10}$ mass concentrations. Mean bias difference between $PM_{10}$ and lidar-derived mass concentrations estimated from June 2006 to December 2015 in Seoul is about $3{\mu}g\;m^{-3}$. Lidar ratio and aerosol mass extinction efficiency for each aerosol types will be developed and implemented into the KALION algorithm. More products, such as ice and water-droplet cloud discrimination, cloud base height, and boundary layer height will be produced by the KALION algorithm.