• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.54 no.12
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• pp.1255-1263
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• 2021

While it could become an alternative water resource, fog could undermine traffic safety and operational performance of infrastructures. To reduce such adverse impacts, it is necessary to have spatially continuous fog risk information. In this work, tree-based machine-learning models were developed in order to quantify fog risks with routine meteorological observations alone. The Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), Light Gradient Boosting (LGB), and Random Forests (RF) were chosen for the regional fog models using operational weather and visibility observations within the Jeollabuk-do province. Results showed that RF seemed to show the most robust performance to categorize between fog and non-fog situations during the training and evaluation period of 2017-2019. While the LGB performed better than in predicting fog occurrences than the others, its false alarm ratio was the highest (0.695) among the three models. The predictability of the three models considerably declined when applying them for an independent period of 2020, potentially due to the distinctively enhanced air quality in the year under the global lockdown. Nonetheless, even in 2020, the three models were all able to produce fog risk information consistent with the spatial variation of observed fog occurrences. This work suggests that the tree-based machine learning models could be used as tools to find locations with relatively high fog risks.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.247-247
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• 2017

수문분석이 있어 정확한 강우량 추정 및 강우 자료의 품질은 매우 중요한 요소이다. 유출분석의 기본 입력 자료인 만큼 홍수유출 결과에도 큰 영향을 미치게 되는데, 현재 하나의 확정적인 값으로 제공되는 레이더 강우 자료는 추정과정에서 많은 오차 및 불확실성을 포함하고 있다. 강우 자료의 불확실성은 기상현상의 예측능력 한계로 인한 것으로 관측지점에서의 발생 가능한 다양한 강우시나리오의 범위를 나타낸다. 본 연구에서는 임의의 값을 추정하는데 있어 하나의 값이 아닌 가능한 값들의 범위를 정의하거나 확률분포를 표현할 수 있는 확률론적인 방법을 이용하여 레이더 강우 앙상블을 생성하고자 하였다. 2012년 남강댐 유역에 발생한 태풍 '산바', '볼라벤'을 대상으로 자료간 오차 공분산을 고려하여 강우 앙상블을 생성하였으며, 레이더 강우에 내포된 불확실성 정도를 정량적으로 제시하였다. 생성된 강우 앙상블은 레이더 강우의 전체적인 편의보정뿐만 아니라 지상강우의 패턴을 잘 모의하고 있는 것으로 나타났으며, 레이더에 의해 추정한 강우의 불확실성을 잘 표현하고 있는 것으로 확인되었다. 강우 앙상블 생성 방법은 발생 가능한 다양한 강우 시나리오를 제공할 수 있으며 홍수예경보와 같은 의사 결정에 유용한 정보를 제공할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

• Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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• v.36 no.3
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• pp.425-439
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• 2020

Through the operations of advanced geostationary meteorological satellite such as Himawari-8 and GK2A, higher resolution and frequency of AOD (Aerosol Optical Depth) data have become available. In this study, we analyzed the characteristics of Himawari-8/AHI (Advanced Himawari Imager) aerosol properties using the recent 4 years (2016~2019) of Sun photometer data observed at the five stations(Seoul National University, Yonsei University, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, Gwangju Institute of Science and Technology, Anmyon island) which is a part of the AERONET (Aerosol Robotic Network). In addition, we analyzed the causes for the AOD differences between Himawari AOD and Sun photometer AOD. The results showed that the two AOD data are very similar regardless of geographic location, in particular, for the clear condition (cloud amount < 3). However, the quality of Himawari AOD data is heavily degraded compared to that of the clear condition, in terms of bias (0.05 : 0.21), correlation (0.74 : 0.64) and RMSE (Root Mean Square Error; 0.21 : 0.51), when cloud amount is increased. In general, the large differences between two AOD data are mainly related to the cloud amount and relative humidity. The Himawari strongly overestimates the AOD at all five stations when cloud amount and relative humidity are large. However, the wind speed, precipitable water, height of cloud base and Angstrom Exponent have been shown to have no effect on the AOD differences irrespective of geographic location and cloud amount. The results suggest that caution is required when using Himawari AOD data in cloudy conditions.

• Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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• v.23 no.4
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• pp.373-384
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• 2006

The Bevis' mean temperature equation (MTE) is generally used in estimating Precipitable Water Vapor (PWV) based on GPS measurements. Because the equation was derived from Worth American meteorological data, however, it may induce errors in PWV if the equation is applied to Korea which has different climate conditions. In this study, we developed a new MTE using local meteorological data. We compared PWVs from the new equation with those from the Bevis and two other local equations. The PWV differences from the four equations increase as a function of surface temperatures at the observation site, reaching up to $1{\sim}3mm$.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2019.05a
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• pp.61-61
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• 2019

우리나라는 대부분이 산지(약 65%)로 구성되어 있어 강우 시 그 공간적 분포의 변동성이 매우 큰 편이며, 특히 전형적인 산지지형인 댐 유역의 경우 고도 변화 등에 기인한 지형특성 등에 따라 강우의 형태 및 패턴과 이에 따른 유출변화가 큰 복잡한 특성을 갖는다. 이로 인해 단순히 지점강우들을 공간보간(평균)한 면적강우를 홍수 유출모의 등에 활용할 경우 그 신뢰도가 매우 낮은 경우가 많아, 수문모의에 있어 레이더에 기반을 둔 공간 분포형 강우 등의 도입 검토가 요구된다. 한편, 최근 기상청에서는 보다 정확한 레이더 강수량 추정 값의 제공을 위해 "레이더-AWS 강우강도(Radar-AWS Rainrates, RAR)" 산출 기술을 지속적으로 개선하고 있으며, 이는 지상 우량계 대비 상당한 정확도를 보이고 있다. 본 연구에서는 국내 산지지형을 대표하며, 타 댐 유역에 비해 비교적 수문(수위/유량)관측소와 자료가 많은 용담시험유역에 기상레이더 강수량 추정 값(RAR)을 적용해 산지지형 댐 유역에서 강우의 시공간적 변동성과 이에 따른 홍수량의 정확한 분석을 통해 홍수 시 댐 유입량의 정확한 산정 등에 활용할 목적으로 홍수 유출모의를 수행하고자 한다. 모의에는 최근 5년(2014~2018년)동안 발생한 비교적 독립적인 1~2개(연도별)의 홍수사상을 적용하였으며, 모형은 분포형 강우를 적용할 수 있는 비교적 간단한 모형인 HEC-HMS를 활용하였다. HEC-HMS는 주로 집중형 수문모형(Lumped Hydrologic Model)으로 분류되어 레이더 강우와 같은 분포형 자료의 입력을 주로 적용치는 않고 있지만, HEC-GeoHMS와 ModClark 방법을 활용하면 격자단위의 분포형 강우를 적용할 수 있는 형태의 모델 구축이 가능하다. 모의 결과는 기존 유역평균 강우를 적용한 방법과 비교를 통해 그 개선점을 검토하고자 하며, 이를 통하여 산지지역 댐 유역의 홍수특성을 보다 더 정확하게 분석해보고자 한다. 한편, ModClark을 적용한 홍수 유출모의는 단순히 소유역별 도달시간의 격자별 비율을 고려한 홍수추적으로 그 해석상의 한계가 있어, 최근 개발된 하이브리드 수문모형(Hybrid Hydrologic Model, Distributed-Clark) 등도 동일유역에 대해 도입 적용할 계획에 있다.

• Horticultural Science & Technology
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• v.29 no.5
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• pp.420-432
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• 2011

Population dynamics of greenhouse whitefly, Trialeurodes vaporariorum (Westwood), were modeled and simulated to compare the temperature effects of air and tomato leaf inside greenhouse using DYMEX model simulator (pre-programed module based simulation program developed by CSIRO, Australia). The DYMEX model simulator consisted of temperature dependent development and oviposition modules. The normalized cumulative frequency distributions of the developmental period for immature and oviposition frequency rate and survival rate for adult of greenhouse whitefly were fitted to two-parameter Weibull function. Leaf temperature on reversed side of cherry tomato leafs (Lycopersicon esculentum cv. Koko) was monitored according to three tomato plant positions (top, > 1.6 m above the ground level; middle, 0.9 - 1.2 m; bottom, 0.3 - 0.5 m) using an infrared temperature gun. Air temperature was monitored at same three positions using a Hobo self-contained temperature logger. The leaf temperatures from three plant positions were described as a function of the air temperatures with 3-parameter exponential and sigmoidal models. Data sets of observed air temperature and predicted leaf temperatures were prepared, and incorporated into the DYMEX simulator to compare the effects of air and leaf temperature on population dynamics of greenhouse whitefly. The number of greenhouse whitefly immatures was counted by visual inspection in three tomato plant positions to verify the performance of DYMEX simulation in cherry tomato greenhouse where air and leaf temperatures were monitored. The egg stage of greenhouse whitefly was not counted due to its small size. A significant positive correlation between the observed and the predicted numbers of immature and adults were found when the leaf temperatures were incorporated into DYMEX simulation, but no significant correlation was observed with the air temperatures. This study demonstrated that the population dynamics of greenhouse whitefly was affected greatly by the leaf temperatures, rather than air temperatures, and thus the leaf surface temperature should be considered for management of greenhouse whitefly in cherry tomato grown in greenhouses.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.57 no.5
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• pp.333-346
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• 2024

High-resolution medium-range streamflow prediction is crucial for sustainable water quality and aquatic ecosystem management. For reliable medium-range streamflow predictions, it is necessary to understand the characteristics of forcings and to effectively utilize weather forecast data with low spatio-temporal resolutions. In this study, we presented a comparative analysis of medium-range streamflow predictions using the distributed hydrological model, WRF-Hydro, and the numerical weather forecast Global Data Assimilation and Prediction System (GDAPS) in the Geumho River basin, Korea. Multiple forcings, ground observations (AWS&ASOS), numerical weather forecast (GDAPS), and Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS), were ingested to investigate the performance of streamflow predictions with highresolution WRF-Hydro configuration. In terms of the mean areal accumulated rainfall, GDAPS was overestimated by 36% to 234%, and GLDAS reanalysis data were overestimated by 80% to 153% compared to AWS&ASOS. The performance of streamflow predictions using AWS&ASOS resulted in KGE and NSE values of 0.6 or higher at the Kangchang station. Meanwhile, GDAPS-based streamflow predictions showed high variability, with KGE values ranging from 0.871 to -0.131 depending on the rainfall events. Although the peak flow error of GDAPS was larger or similar to that of GLDAS, the peak flow timing error of GDAPS was smaller than that of GLDAS. The average timing errors of AWS&ASOS, GDAPS, and GLDAS were 3.7 hours, 8.4 hours, and 70.1 hours, respectively. Medium-range streamflow predictions using GDAPS and high-resolution WRF-Hydro may provide useful information for water resources management especially in terms of occurrence and timing of peak flow albeit high uncertainty in flood magnitude.

• Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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• v.29 no.1
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• pp.123-135
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• 2013

The reflectance observed in the visible channels of a geostationary meteorological satellite can be used to calculate the amount of cloud by comparing the reflectance with the observed solar radiation data at the ground. Using this, the solar radiation arriving at the surface can be estimated. This study used the Meteorological Imager (MI) reflectance observed at a wavelength of 675 nm and the Geostationary Ocean Color Imager (GOCI) reflectance observed at similar wavelengths of 660 and 680 nm. Cloudy days during a typhoon and sunny days with little cloud cover were compared using observation data from the geostationary satellite. Pixels that had more than 40% reflectance in the satellite images showed less than 0.3 of the cloud index and blocked more than 70% of the solar energy. Pixels that showed less than 15% reflectance showed more than 0.9 of the cloud index and let through more than 90% of the solar energy to the surface. The calculated daily accumulated solar radiation was compared with the observed daily accumulated solar radiation in 22 observatories of the Korean Meteorological Administration. The values calculated for the COMS and MTSAT MI sensors were smaller than the observation and showed low correlations of 0.94 and 0.93, respectively, which were smaller than the 0.96 correlation coefficient calculated for the GOCI sensor. The RMSEs of MTSAT, COMS MI and GOCI calculation results showed 2.21, 2.09, 2.02 MJ/$m^2$ in order. Comparison of the calculated daily accumulated results from the GOCI sensor with the observed data on the ground gave correlations and RMSEs for cloudy and sunny days of 0.96 and 0.86, and 1.82 MJ/$m^2$ and 2.27 MJ/$m^2$, respectively, indicating a slightly higher correlation for cloudy days. Compared to the meteorological imager, the geostationary ocean color imager in the COMS satellite has limited observation time and observation is not continuous. However, it has the advantage of providing high resolution so that it too can be useful for solar energy analysis.

• Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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• v.37 no.6_2
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• pp.1849-1858
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• 2021

We analyzed the monthly and annual trends of the meteorological factors(wind speeds and directions and air temperatures) measured at an automated synoptic observation system (ASOS) and fine particle (PM₁₀ and PM_2.5) concentrations measured at the air quality monitoring systems(AQMSs) in Suwon. In addition, we investigated how the fine particle concentrations were related to the meteorological factors as well as urban morphological parameters (fractions of building volume and road area). We calculated the total volume of buildings and the total area of the roads in the area of 2 km × 2 km centered at each AQMS using the geographic information system and environmental geographic information system. The analysis of the meteorological factors showed that the dominant wind directions at the ASOS were westerly and northwesterly and that the average wind speed was strong in Spring. The measured fine particle concentrations were low in Summer and early Autumn (July to September) and high in Spring and Winter. In 2020, the annual mean fine particle concentration was lowest at most AQMSs. The fine particle concentrations were negatively and weakly correlated with the measured wind speeds and air temperatures (the correlation between PM_2.5 concentrations and air temperatures was relatively strong). In Suwon city, at least for 6 AQMSs except for the RAQMS 131116 and AQMS 131118, the PM₁₀ concentrations were affected mainly by the transport from outside rather than primary emission from mobile sources or wind speed decrease caused by buildings and, in the case of PM_2.5, vise versa.

• Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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• v.23 no.4
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• pp.11-16
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• 2015

Spatial and temporal information on near-surface air temperature is important for understanding global warming and climate change. In this study, the estimation algorithm of near-surface air temperature in Korea was developed by using spatial homogeneous surface information obtained from satellite remote sensing observations. Based on LST(Land Surface Temperature), NDWI(Normalized Difference Water Index) and NDVI(Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) as independent variables, the multiple regression model was proposed for the estimation of near-surface air temperature. The different regression constants and coefficients for warm and cold seasons were calculated for considering regional climate change in Korea. The near-surface air temperature values estimated from the multiple regression algorithm showed reasonable performance for both warm and cold seasons with respect to observed values (approximately $3^{\circ}C$ root mean-square error and nearly zero mean bias). Thus;the proposed algorithm using remotely sensed surface observations and the approach based on the classified warm and cold seasons may be useful for assessment of regional climate temperature in Korea.