• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지구관측자료

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Assessment of Statistical Property of Drought in Korea using SPI and PDSI (SPI와 PDSI로 본 한반도 가뭄의 통계학적 특성분석)

  • Seo, Ji-Won;Kim, Chang-Joo;Lee, Joo-Heon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.28-28
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    • 2011
  • 치수는 고대국가로부터 현재의 국가에 이르기까지 중차대한 국가사업이다. 근대를 지나면서 산업화가 가속화되었고 수자원의 사용과 관리는 더욱 세분화 되었다. 또한 수자원의 사용과 관리에 앞서 기후와 밀접한 관계가 있는 수자원의 물리적 특성을 분석하는 연구가 활발히 이루어지고 있다. 최근 우리나라도 급격한 산업화로 인한 환경파괴와 지구온난화로 인한 강수의 편중이 더욱 심해지고 있다. 즉, 한반도도 전 세계가 직면한 기후변화로 인한 자연재해로 부터 안전하지 않다는 것을 의미한다. 특히 수자원을 관리함에 있어 가뭄의 경우에는 장기적으로 진행되는 경우가 많고 피해 규모와 복구 등도 가뭄의 진행 기간과 밀접한 관계를 가지므로 적극적인 대비가 필요하다. 따라서 가뭄을 연구함에 앞서 과거 한반도의 가뭄의 경향성 및 주기성 같은 특성을 분석할 수 있는 연구가 수반되어야 할 것으로 사료된다. 이에 따라 본 논문에서는 과거 한반도 가뭄 사상의 특성분석을 위해 대표 가뭄지수로 SPI(Standardized Precipitation Index)와 PDSI(Palmer Drought Severity Index)를 선정하여 우리나라 전역에 위치한 총 59개 기상관측소의 1980년~2009년까지의 기상자료를 수집하여 유역별 월평균 가뭄지수를 산정하였다. 또한 이를 이용하여 가뭄발생의 경향성 및 주기성을 중심으로 과거한반도 가뭄의 통계학적 특성분석을 실시하였다. 각 지수의 경향성을 분석한 결과, SPI3와 SPI6는 봄과 겨울에는 가뭄이 심화되는 경향을 보였고 여름철에는 가뭄이 완화되는 경향을 보였다. 반면 SPI12의 경우는 섬진강과 영산강은 유의하지는 않으나 전 기간에 걸쳐 가뭄이 심화되는 경향을 보였고 한강, 낙동강, 금강유역은 가뭄이 완화되는 것으로 나타났다. PDSI의 경우에는 SPI와는 반대로 섬진강과 영산강은 전 기간에 걸쳐 가뭄이 완화되는 경향을 보였고 한강, 낙동강, 금강유역은 유의한 수준에서 가뭄이 심화되는 경향을 보임으로써, SPI와 PDSI에 의한 가뭄평가 경향성이 유역별로 다소 다르게 나타나는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 한편, 각 유역의 주기성을 분석한 결과로는 모든 유역에서 1년~3년 또는 6년 이하의 주기성을 나타냈으며, SPI의 경우 지속기간이 길어질수록 6년 이상의 저빈도 주기성을 나타냈고, SPI3는 짧게는 1년 미만의 고빈도 주기를 보이는 경우도 있었으며, SPI6와 SPI12는 4년~6년 주기를 나타냈다. 또한 PDSI도 마찬가지로 6년 내외의 장주기를 보였다. 특히 유역별로 분석할 경우 남부지역의 가뭄발생 주기가 중부지역보다 길게 나타나는 성향을 보였다. 그리고 SPI와 PDSI, 두 가뭄지수의 공통주기를 분석한 결과에서는 상관관계가 적은 것으로 확인 되었다.

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AUTOMATED STREAK DETECTION FOR HIGH VELOCITY OBJECTS: TEST WITH YSTAR-NEOPAT IMAGES (고속이동천체 검출을 위한 궤적탐지 알고리즘 및 YSTAR-NEOPAT 영상 분석 결과)

  • Kim, Dae-Won;Byun, Yong-Ik;Kim, Su-Yong;Kang, Yong-Woo;Han, Won-Yong;Moon, Hong-Kyu;Yim, Hong-Suh
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.385-392
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    • 2005
  • We developed an algorithm to efficiently detect streaks in survey images and made a performance test with YSTAR-NEOPAT images obtained by the 0.5m telescope stationed in South Africa. Fast moving objects whose apparent speeds exceed 10 arcsec/min are the main target of our algorithm; these include artificial satellites, space debris, and very fast Near-Earth Objects. Our algorithm, based on the outline shape of elongated sources employs a step of image subtraction in order to reduce the confusion caused by dense distribution of faint stars. It takes less than a second to find and characterize streaks present in normal astronomical images of 2K format. Comparison with visual inspection proves the efficiency and completeness of our automated detection algorithm. When applied to about 7,000 time-series images from YSTAR telescope, nearly 700 incidents of streaks are detected. Fast moving objects are identified by the presence of matching streaks in adjoining frames. Nearly all of confirmed fast moving objects turn out to be artificial satellites or space debris. Majority of streaks are however meteors and cosmic ray hits, whose identity is often difficult to classify.

A Study on Return Flow Ratio of Irrigation for a Paddy Field in Pumping Station by Water Balance Method (물수지분석 기법에 의한 양수장 몽리구역내 농업용수 회귀율 연구)

  • Choo, Tai-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.249-255
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    • 2004
  • To investigate the return flow ratio of irrigation water, lots of observations were made during the irrigation periods in 2003 crop year. This Area is a portion of Dae-Am pumping station basin which is located in Changryung-gun, Gyeongnam province. A water balance analysis was performed for a paddy field in Dae-Am pumping station in the Nakdong river basin, which is constructed for irrigation water supply. Daily rainfall data in the this area were collected and irrigation water flow rate, drainage water flow rate, infiltration and evaportranspiration were measured in field area. Irrigation water flow rate and drainage water flow rate were continuously observed by water level logger(GTDL-L10) during the growing season. The infiltration and evaportranspiration were measured by cylindrical 300mm depletion meter and cylindrical 200mm infiltrometer, respectively. Total irrigation and drainage flows were 654.7mm and 281.2mm in 2003. Total infiltration and evaportranspiration were 36.0mm and 160.0mm respectively. The mean of the daily evaportranspiration rate was 4.3mmm/d. The prompt return flow and retard return flow ratio were 43.0% and 5.5%, respectively. Total return flow ratio was 48.5%. Therefore, it can be concluded that the amount of irrigation water was much higher than design standard or reference in this study. It means that this was caused by the inadequate water management practice in the area where water was oversupplied on farmers' request rather than following sound water management principles, and design standard should be changed in the future.

A Study on the Application of Generalized Extreme Value Distribution to the Variation of Annual Maximum Surge Heights (연간 최대해일고 변동의 일반화 극치분포 적용 연구)

  • Kwon, Seok-Jae;Park, Jeong-Soo;Lee, Eun-Il
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.241-253
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    • 2009
  • This study performs the investigation of a long-term variation of annual maximum surge heights(AMSH) and main characteristics of high surge events, and the statistical evaluation of the AMSH using sea level data at Yeosu and Tongyeong tidal stations over more than 30 years. It is found that the long-term uptrends based on the linear regression in the AMSH are 34.5 cm/34 yr at Yeosu and 33.6 cm/31 yr at Tongyeong, which are relatively much higher than those at Sokcho and Mukho in the Eastern Coast. 71% and 68% of the AMSH occur during typhoon's event in Yeosu and Tongyeong tidal stations, respectively, and the highest surge records are mostly produced by the typhoon. The generalized extreme value distribution taking into account of the time variable is applied to detect time trend in annual maximum surge heights. In addition, Gumbel distribution is checked to find which one is best fitted to the data using likelihood ratio test. The return level and its 90% confidence interval are obtained for the statistical prediction of the future trend. The prevention of the growing storm surge damage by the intensified typhoon requires the steady analysis and prediction of the surge events associated with the climate change.

Developing a system of reservoir operation for drought adaptation (가뭄대응 저수지 운영 시스템 개발)

  • Noh, Jaekyoung;Oh, Soohun;Lee, Jaenam
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.32-32
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    • 2018
  • 최근 여러 가지 요인으로 가뭄이 빈발하고 있으며, 가뭄을 대비한 과학적 저수지 운영이 절실하다. 유입량, 관개용수량, 저수량, 하천유지유량 등 저수지 물수지를 반영하여 실제 가뭄 상황에 적용할 수 있는 시스템으로 개발하였다. 여기서, 하류 하천의 수량을 양수하여 저수량을 확보하는 양수저류를 고려하였고, 시기별 관개용수량을 간단관개, 절수관개 등의 실제 상황을 반영하도록 하였다. 또한 저수량의 장기간 변화를 관찰하여 저수지 운영의 가이드라인을 설정할 수 있도록 하였고, 하류 하천의 유량 변화도 평가할 수 있도록 하였다. 최근 수차례 가뭄을 겪은 충남 홍성에 위치한 대사저수지에 개발된 시스템을 적용하였다. 대사 저수지는 유역면적 $2.9km^2$, 유효저수량 137만$m^3$, 수혜면적 163ha에 이르며, 유역면적 $72.2km^2$인 하류하천의 와룡천으로부터 $0.057m^3/s$씩 양수하여 저수량을 확보하고 있다. 일별 저수율 자료가 있는 1991년부터 2016년까지 분석한 결과는 다음과 같다. 양수는 1월 15일부터 5월 31일까지 실시하는 것으로 하고 결과를 정리하였다. 첫째, 일 저수위를 모의하여 검증한 결과 일평균하여 관측 저수위는 EL.84.58m, 모의 저수위는 EL.85.87m이었다. 이 때 강우량은 연평균 1,275.2mm, 유입량은 718.0mm, 유출률 56.3%, 수면증발량 11.5만$m^3$, 관개용수 공급량 117.5만$m^3$, 월류량 148.9만$m^3$이었다. 둘째, 양수로 인한 유입량의 변화는 양수 전에는 연평균 209만$m^3$(유출률 56.3%)에서 양수 후 276만$m^3$(74.7%)로 증가하였고, 양수량은 67.5만$m^3$(연유입량의 32.3%)이었다. 셋째, 하류 와룡천의 유량은 양수 전에는 연평균 연유출량 5,200만$m^3$(유출률 56.5%)에서 양수 후 5,120만$m^3$(55.6%)으로 나타났다. 넷째, 양수 전에는 일평균 저수량이 47만$m^3$에서 양수 후 76만㎥으로 증가하였고, 양수저류로 인해 이수안전도는 15.4%에서 92.3%로 개선되었다. 또한 양수로 인해 저수지 유입량은 연평균 32.3% 증가하였고, 하류하천의 유량은 1.55% 감소하였다. 이상의 분석 결과로 양수저류는 가뭄대응에 상당한 효과가 있다고 평가할 수 있다. 또한 다양한 여건을 고려한 저수지 운영 가이드라인의 합리적 설정으로 보다 적극적인 가뭄대응이 필요하다고 본다. 물관리 현황은 지구별, 저수지별로 다양하다. 향후 현장 상황에 적합한 물관리 방법을 적극 모색해야 하며, 자연과 인간의 평등한 물 이용 환경조성에, 여기 개발한 도구가 일정 부분 유용할 것이라 판단한다.

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Determination of Hydraulic Conductivities in the Sandy Soil Layer through Cross Correlation Analysis between Rainfall and Groundwater Level (강우-지하수위 상관성 분석을 통한 사질토층의 수리전도도 산정)

  • Park, Seunghyuk;Son, Doo Gie;Jeong, Gyo-Cheol
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.303-314
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    • 2019
  • Surface permeability and shallow geological structures play significant roles in shaping the groundwater recharge of shallow aquifers. Surface permeability can be characterized by two concepts, intrinsic permeability and hydraulic conductivity, with the latter obtained from previous near-surface geological investigations. Here we propose a hydraulic equation via the cross-correlation analysis of the rainfall-groundwater levels using a regression equation that is based on the cross-correlation between the grain size distribution curve for unconsolidated sediments and the rainfall-groundwater levels measured in the Gyeongju area, Korea, and discuss its application by comparing these results to field-based aquifer test results. The maximum cross-correlation equation between the hydraulic conductivity derived from Zunker's observation equation in a sandy alluvial aquifer and the rainfall-groundwater levels increases as a natural logarithmic function with high correlation coefficients (0.95). A 2.83% difference between the field-based aquifer test and root mean square error is observed when this regression equation is applied to the other observation wells. Therefore, rainfall-groundwater level monitoring data as well as aquifer test are very useful in estimating hydraulic conductivity.

Vulnerability Analyses of Wave Overtopping Inundation by Synthesized Typhoons with Sea-Level Rise (해수면 상승과 빈도 합성태풍이 고려된 월파범람 위험성 분석)

  • Kim, HyeonJeong;Suh, SeungWon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.253-264
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    • 2019
  • Storm surges caused by a typhoon occur during the summer season, when the sea-level is higher than the annual average due to steric effect. In this study, we analyzed the sea-level pressure and tidal data collected in 1 h intervals at Incheon, Kunsan, Mokpo, Seogwipo stations on the Yellow Sea coast to analyze the summer season storm surge and wave overtopping. According to our analyses, the summer mean sea-level rise on the west and south coasts is approximately 20 cm and 15 to 20 cm higher than the annual mean sea-level rise. Changes in sea-level rise are closely related to changes in seasonal sea-level pressure, within the range of 1.58 to 1.73 cm/hPa. These correlated mechanisms generates a phase difference of one month or more. The 18.6 year long period tidal constituents indicate that in 2090, the amplitude of the $M_2$ basin peaks on the southwest coast. Therefore, there is a need to analyze the target year for global warming and sea-level rise in 2090. Wave overtopping was simulated considering annual mean sea-level rise, summer sea level rise, the combined effect of nodal factor variation, and 100-year frequency storm surge. As a result, flooding by wave overtopping occurs in the area of Suyong Bay, Busan. In 2090, overtopping discharges are more than doubled than those in Marine City by the recent typhoon Chaba. Adequate coastal design is needed to prepare for flood vulnerability.

Field Observation of Morphological Response to Storm Waves and Sensitivity Analysis of XBeach Model at Beach and Crescentic Bar (폭풍파랑에 따른 해빈과 호형 사주 지형변화 현장 관측 및 XBeach 모델 민감도 분석)

  • Jin, Hyeok;Do, Kideok;Chang, Sungyeol;Kim, In Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.446-457
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    • 2020
  • Crescentic sand bar in the coastal zone of eastern Korea is a common morphological feature and the rhythmic patterns exist constantly except for high wave energy events. However, four consecutive typhoons that directly and indirectly affected the East Sea of Korea from September to October in 2019 impacted the formation of longshore uniform sand bar and overall shoreline retreats (approx. 2 m) although repetitive erosion and accretion patterns exist near the shoreline. Widely used XBeach to predict storm erosions in the beach is utilized to investigate the morphological response to a series of storms and each storm impact (NE-E wave incidence). Several calibration processes for improved XBeach modeling are conducted by recently reported calibration methods and the optimal calibration set obtained is applied to the numerical simulation. Using observed wave, tide, and pre & post-storm bathymetries data with optimal calibration set for XBeach input, XBeach successfully reproduces erosion and accretion patterns near MSL (BSS = 0.77 (Erosion profile), 0.87 (Accretion profile)) and observed the formation of the longshore uniform sandbar. As a result of analysis of simulated total sediment transport vectors and bed level changes at each storm peak Hs, the incident wave direction contributes considerable impact to the behavior of crescentic sandbar. Moreover, not only the wave height but also storm duration affects the magnitude of the sediment transport. However, model results suggest that additional calibration processes are needed to predict the exact crest position of bar and bed level changes across the inner surfzone.

Evaluation of Extreme Rainfall based on Typhoon using Nonparametric Monte Carlo Simulation and Locally Weighted Polynomial Regression (비매개변수적 모의발생기법과 지역가중다항식을 이용한 태풍의 극치강우량 평가)

  • Oh, Tae-Suk;Moon, Young-Il;Chun, Si-Young;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.2B
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    • pp.193-205
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    • 2009
  • Typhoons occurred in the tropical Pacific region, these might be affected the Korea moving toward north. The strong winds and the heavy rains by the typhoons caused a natural disaster in Korea. In the research, the heavy rainfall events based on typhoons were evaluated quantitative through various statistical techniques. First, probability precipitation and typhoon probability precipitation were compared using frequency analysis. Second, EST probability precipitation was calculated by Empirical Simulation Techniques (EST). Third, NL probability precipitation was estimated by coupled Nonparametric monte carlo simulation and Locally weighted polynomial regression. At the analysis results, the typhoons can be effected Gangneung and Mokpo stations more than other stations. Conversely, the typhoons can be effected Seoul and Inchen stations less than other stations. Also, EST and NL probability precipitation were estimated by the long-term simulation using observed data. Consequently, major hydrologic structures and regions where received the big typhoons impact should be review necessary. Also, EST and NL techniques can be used for climate change by the global warming. Because, these techniques used the relationship between the heavy rainfall events and the typhoons characteristics.

Development of Seasonal Habitat Suitability Indices for the Todarodes Pacificus around South Korea Based on GOCI Data (GOCI 자료를 활용한 한국 연근해 살오징어의 계절별 서식적합지수 모델 개발)

  • Seonju Lee;Jong-Kuk Choi;Myung-Sook Park;Sang Woo Kim
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.39 no.6_2
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    • pp.1635-1650
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    • 2023
  • Under global warming, the steadily increasing sea surface temperature (SST) severely impacts marine ecosystems,such as the productivity decrease and change in marine species distribution. Recently, the catch of Todarodes Pacificus, one of South Korea's primary marine resources, has dramatically decreased. In this study, we analyze the marine environment that affects the formation of fishing grounds of Todarodes Pacificus and develop seasonal habitat suitability index (HSI) models based on various satellite data including Geostationary Ocean Color Imager (GOCI) data to continuously manage fisheries resources over Korean exclusive economic zone. About 83% of catches are found within the range of SST of 14.11-26.16℃,sea level height of 0.56-0.82 m, chlorophyll-a concentration of 0.31-1.52 mg m-3, and primary production of 580.96-1574.13 mg C m-2 day-1. The seasonal HSI models are developed using the Arithmetic Mean Model, which showed the best performance. Comparing the developed HSI value with the 2019 catch data, it is confirmed that the HSI model is valid because the fishing grounds are formed in different sea regions by season (East Sea in winter and Yellow Sea in summer) and the high HSI (> 0.6) concurrences to areas with the high catch. In addition, we identified the significant increasing trend in SST over study regions, which is highly related to the formation of fishing grounds of Todarodes Pacificus. We can expect the fishing grounds will be changed by accelerating ocean warming in the future. Continuous HSI monitoring is necessary to manage fisheries' spatial and temporal distribution.