• Title/Summary/Keyword: 주가 추세 예측

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Energy Scenarios and the Politics of Expertise in Korea (한국의 에너지 시나리오와 전문성의 정치)

  • Han, Jae-Kak;Lee, Young Hee
    • Journal of Science and Technology Studies
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.107-144
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    • 2012
  • Recently concerns on the energy future are rising in Korea after nuclear disaster of Fukushima in Japan last year. However, even after Fukushima disaster Korean government keeps on insisting nuclear oriented energy policy. Contrary to it, some of civil society's organizations(CSOs) including environment groups and progressive political parties are making strong voices for phase-out nuclear. As a way of phase-out nuclear activity researcher groups based on CSOs have presented several alternative energy scenarios against the official government scenario so that contest between the two senarios seems not to be avoided. This article aims to analyse the politics of expertise around energy scenarios in Korea by highlighting differences between two scenarios of government and CSOs in terms of epistemological and methodological base, value orientation, institutional foundation, and the socio-political contexts of scenarios. Our research shows that government's energy scenario is based on scientific-positivist epistemology, firm belief in value neutrality and forecasting method, and is built by neo-classical economists at government-sponsored research institutes in accordance with the 'Business As Usual' approach. In contrast, alternative scenarios of CSOs can be said to be based on epistemological constructivism, value oriented attitudes and backcasting method, and be built by collaboration of researchers and activists with different academic and social backgrounds after Fukushima nuclear disaster.

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The Current Methods of Landslide Monitoring Using Observation Sensors for Geologic Property (지질특성 관측용 센서를 이용한 산사태 모니터링 기법 현황)

  • Chae, Byung-Gon;Song, Young-Suk;Choi, Junghae;Kim, Kyeong-Su
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.291-298
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    • 2015
  • There are many landslides occurred by typhoons and intense rainfall during the summer seasons in Korea. To predict a landslide triggering it is important to understand mechanisms and potential areas of landslides by the geological approaches. However, recent climate changes make difficult to predict landslide based on only conventional prediction methods. Therefore, the importance of a real-time monitoring of landslide using various sensors is emphasized in recent. Many researchers have studied monitoring techniques of landslides and suggested several monitoring systems which can be applicable to the natural terrain. Most sensors of landslide monitoring measure slope displacement, hydrogeologic properties of soils and rocks, changes of stress in soil and rock fractures, and rainfall amount and intensity. The measured values of each sensor are transmitted to a monitoring server in real-time. The ultimate goal of landslide monitoring is to warn landslide occurrence in advance and to reduce damages induced by landslides. This study introduces the current situation of landslide monitoring techniques in each country.

Analysis of Investment in Domestic Disaster Prevention and Planning (국내 재해예방투자 현황 및 계획 분석)

  • Kim, Dae-Gon;Park, Jong-Ryul
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.815-815
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    • 2012
  • 우리나라의 경우 1조원 이상 피해를 입힌 자연재해가 '98년 이후 집중적으로 발생하는 등 최근 급격한 도시화 산업화 및 범지구적인 이상기후 현상으로 자연재해로 인한 피해가 점차 대형화 다양화되는 추세이다. 그에 따른 국내 재해관리 및 사전예방의 중요성은 그 동안 여러 차례 기획사업 및 재정계획을 통해 제시된 바 있으나, 대부분 추진계획 수립에 그치고 실질적인 예산 편성시에는 충분히 반연되지 못한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 우리나라의 재해예방투자사업의 규모와 구체적 계획에 대하여 살펴보고자 한다. 재해사전예방 분야의 기존 투자계획으로는 "제1차 국가안전관리 5개년 기본계획"과 "2005-2009 국가재정운용계획", "수해방지대책 백서" 등이 있었으며 그 중 "제1차 국가안전관리 5개년 기본계획"은 정부역사상 처음으로 시행하는 중 장기 국가재난관리정책으로, 풍수해대책, 설해대책 등의 자연재해를 비롯하여 총 17개의 재난유형별 재난관리대책을 포괄하고 있으며, 11개 부처 및 시도에 대해 27개 사업, 36조 8천억원을 투자하는 계획을 제시하였다. 가장 최근에는 2010년 8월에 국무총리실 주도 재난관리 개선 민관합동 TF팀을 구성하여 기후변화 및 기상이변에 선제적 대응 및 기존 방재체계에 대한 근본 패러다임 전환을 통한 선진적 방재시스템 구축을 추진하기 위하여 기후변화대응 재난관리 개선 종합대책을 마련하였다. 일선 경험이 많은 민간전문가 주도로 철저히 현장 중심의 문제점과 대안을 검토하고 대책을 준비함으로서 기존의 재난관리대책 구축방법과 차별성을 띄었다고 할 수 있다. 이번 재난관리 개선 종합대책에서는 5개 시 도의 현장조사와 기존대책을 분석하고, 전문가 의견 등을 검토하여 도시유역종합치수계획, 소하천 및 사방댐 정비, 소규모 시설 정비 등 26건을 포함한 '99년부터 3회에 걸쳐 추진한 재해관련 범정부 종합대책을 검토하여 필요성이 있으나 추진이 미흡했던 과제는 포함시켰다. 또한 기후변화 대응에 필요한 신규과제 및 재해취약요인이 드러난 도시방재를 위한 개선과제를 집중 검토하도록 하였다. 다수부처 관련 쟁점과제에 대해서는 주관부처를 정하거나 민간 전문가가 참여하는 조정회의 및 세미나, 공청회를 통해 보완 검토하였다. 그 결과로서 2011년 전년대비 재해예방 관련 사업에 대한 국고 투자규모는 도시침수방지 17%, 수자원 관리 25%, 항만 정비 17%, 산사태 예방 24%, 농업기반시설 정비 20%, 위험지 정비 19%, 재난 예측 및 대응시스템 개선 16% 증가하여 투자계획이 수립되었으며 전체적으로는 약 21% 증가된 투자계획이 수립되었다.

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Expressway Greenhouse Gas Reduction Effect Analysis According to the Electric Vehicle Supply (전기차 보급전망에 따른 고속도로 온실가스 저감효과 분석)

  • Lee, Jin Kak;Han, Dong Hee;Oh, Chang Kwon;Jung, Chul Ki;Oh, Kwan Kyo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.37-47
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    • 2013
  • This Study analyzed the electric car effect on the Korea Expressway System in terms of year 2020 $CO_2$ emission. The analysis was based on the green car dissemination goal by the government and year 2010 emission statistics. Major contents performed in the study area were as follows. First, the greenhouse gases emitted from the highways were found to be approximately 17.3 million tons of $CO_2$ as of 2010. Analysis showed the emission would be 17.4 million tons in 2015 and 16.2 million tons in 2020. The results in the pattern reflect the effect of O/D on the KTBD and the trend of traffic increase from 2015 to 2020 followed by decrease in 2020. Second, in the case of greenhouse gas emission with the anticipated supply of electric cars, the amount of emission in 2015 will be 17.1 million tons, which is about 2.0% reduction compared to the lack of introduction of electric cars. The analysis also showed that in 2020, the amount of emission will be 14.2 million tons, which indicates the effect of reduction is 12.8% compared to non implementation of the program.

Topic Modeling of Profit Adjustment Research Trend in Korean Accounting (텍스트 마이닝을 이용한 이익조정 연구동향 토픽모델링)

  • Kim, JiYeon;Na, HongSeok;Park, Kyung Hwan
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.125-139
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    • 2021
  • This study identifies the trend of Korean accounting researches on profit adjustment. We analyzed the abstract of accounting research articles published in Korean Citation Index (KCI) by using text mining technique. Among papers whose themes were profit adjustment, topics were divided into 4 parts: (i) Auditing and audit reports, (ii) corporate taxes and debt ratios, (iii) general management strategy of companies, and (iv) financial statements and accounting principles. Unlike the prediction that financial statements and accounting principles would be the main topic, auditing was analyzed as the most studied area. We analyzed topic trends based on the number of papers by topic, and could figure out the impact of K-IFRS introduction on profit adjustment research. By using Big Data method, this study enabled the division of research themes that have not been available in the past studies. This study enables the policy makers and business managers to learn about additional considerations in addition to accounting principles related to profit adjustment.

Development of Cloud-Based Medical Image Labeling System and It's Quantitative Analysis of Sarcopenia (클라우드기반 의료영상 라벨링 시스템 개발 및 근감소증 정량 분석)

  • Lee, Chung-Sub;Lim, Dong-Wook;Kim, Ji-Eon;Noh, Si-Hyeong;Yu, Yeong-Ju;Kim, Tae-Hoon;Yoon, Kwon-Ha;Jeong, Chang-Won
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.11 no.7
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    • pp.233-240
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    • 2022
  • Most of the recent AI researches has focused on developing AI models. However, recently, artificial intelligence research has gradually changed from model-centric to data-centric, and the importance of learning data is getting a lot of attention based on this trend. However, it takes a lot of time and effort because the preparation of learning data takes up a significant part of the entire process, and the generation of labeling data also differs depending on the purpose of development. Therefore, it is need to develop a tool with various labeling functions to solve the existing unmetneeds. In this paper, we describe a labeling system for creating precise and fast labeling data of medical images. To implement this, a semi-automatic method using Back Projection, Grabcut techniques and an automatic method predicted through a machine learning model were implemented. We not only showed the advantage of running time for the generation of labeling data of the proposed system, but also showed superiority through comparative evaluation of accuracy. In addition, by analyzing the image data set of about 1,000 patients, meaningful diagnostic indexes were presented for men and women in the diagnosis of sarcopenia.

Is Mr. AI more responsible? The effect of anthropomorphism in the moral judgement toward AI's decision making (AI의 의사결정에 대한 도덕판단에서 의인화가 미치는 영향 - 쌍 도덕 이론을 중심으로 -)

  • Yoon-Bin, Choi;Dayk, Jang
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.169-203
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    • 2022
  • As artificial intelligence (AI) technology advances, the number of cases in which AI becomes an object or subject of moral judgment is increasing, and this trend is expected to accelerate. Although the area of AI in human society expands, relatively few studies have been conducted on how people perceive and respond to AI. Three studies examined the effect of the anthropomorphism of AI on its responsibility. We predicted that anthropomorphism would increase the responsibility perception, and perceived agency and perceived patiency for AI would mediate this effect. Although the manipulation was not effective, multiple analyses confirmed the indirect effect of perceived patiency. In contrast, the effect of perceived agency of AI was somewhat mixed, which makes the hypothesis partially supported by the overall result. This result shows that for the moral status of artificial agents, perceived patiency is relatively more critical than perceived agency. These results support the organic perspective on the moral status that argues the importance of patiency, and show that patiency is more important than agency in the anthropomorphism related study of AI and robots.

Studying the Comparative Analysis of Highway Traffic Accident Severity Using the Random Forest Method. (Random Forest를 활용한 고속도로 교통사고 심각도 비교분석에 관한 연구)

  • Sun-min Lee;Byoung-Jo Yoon;WutYeeLwin
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.156-168
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: The trend of highway traffic accidents shows a repeating pattern of increase and decrease, with the fatality rate being highest on highways among all road types. Therefore, there is a need to establish improvement measures that reflect the situation within the country. Method: We conducted accident severity analysis using Random Forest on data from accidents occurring on 10 specific routes with high accident rates among national highways from 2019 to 2021. Factors influencing accident severity were identified. Result: The analysis, conducted using the SHAP package to determine the top 10 variable importance, revealed that among highway traffic accidents, the variables with a significant impact on accident severity are the age of the perpetrator being between 20 and less than 39 years, the time period being daytime (06:00-18:00), occurrence on weekends (Sat-Sun), seasons being summer and winter, violation of traffic regulations (failure to comply with safe driving), road type being a tunnel, geometric structure having a high number of lanes and a high speed limit. We identified a total of 10 independent variables that showed a positive correlation with highway traffic accident severity. Conclusion: As accidents on highways occur due to the complex interaction of various factors, predicting accidents poses significant challenges. However, utilizing the results obtained from this study, there is a need for in-depth analysis of the factors influencing the severity of highway traffic accidents. Efforts should be made to establish efficient and rational response measures based on the findings of this research.

Analysis of Expression Types of Character Animation TV Advertisements (캐릭터애니메이션 TV광고의 표현유형 분석 연구)

  • Lee, Yong-Woo
    • Archives of design research
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    • v.19 no.5 s.67
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    • pp.85-94
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    • 2006
  • In the 2000s, character animation technique is used at domestic TV character animation ads of diverse items displaying new character patterns and expression techniques of a high level. This study intends to identify the characteristics of TV character animation ads based ell character aesthetic theory and advertising rhetoric theory, and based on these findings, analyze trend and stream of expression in TV character animation ads by examining and classifying advertisements released in the past four years by items, character patterns and expression techniques. The results showed that TV character animation ads have been concentrated on confectionery, beverages and foods in the past, but the items have been diversified through the years. With reference to character patterns, personal and animal characters had made the main pattern, but recently product, virtual and composite characters are on the increase. In expression techniques, cell animation technique was found to be the most frequently used technique, which was followed by full-3D, cell and live action, cell and 3D and the clay animation technique. A trend like this suggests that TV character animation advertising items will continue to increase in line with the participation level of targets. In the meantime, personal and animal characters will continue to make the leading character pattern, while virtual and composite character patterns emerge in new forms. In expression techniques, live action combined with 30 technique and techniques using new expression materials will appear with cell animation technique as a central figure. As a whole, Korean character animation advertisement is expected to keep on growing to a new dimension in the aspect of items, character patterns and expression technique.

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The present situation and trend of China archives science (중국(中國) 당안학(檔案學)와 현황(現況) 및 발전추세(發展趨勢))

  • Feng, Fuj-Ling
    • Journal of Korean Society of Archives and Records Management
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.37-52
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    • 2001
  • 1. establishment and development of China archives science: With the centuries-old history of archives and archives management, early China archives science came into being in 1930s, and the research pushed forward by archives enterprise has made great achievements since then. 1.1 Expanding research fields: Foundation