• Title/Summary/Keyword: 주가 예측 모델

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Chilling Requirement for Breaking of Internal Dormancy of Main Apple Cultivars in Korea (국내 사과 주요 품종들의 자발휴면 타파에 필요한 저온요구도)

  • Kweon, Hun-Joong;Sagong, Dong-Hoon;Song, Yang-Yik;Park, Moo-Yong;Kwon, Soon-Il;Kim, Mok-Jong
    • Horticultural Science & Technology
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.666-676
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    • 2013
  • The study was carried out to examine the initial point of dormancy, breaking time of internal dormancy, and to find out the accumulated hours of low temperature (under $7.2^{\circ}C$ from $0.0^{\circ}C$ to $7.2^{\circ}C$) for bud-breaking. Over-all, the chilling requirement for breaking of internal dormancy in the commercial apple cultivars ('Fuji' and 'Tsugaru') and apple cultivars bred in Korea ('Hongro', 'Sunhong', 'Honggeum', 'Hongan', 'Hongso', 'Gamhong', 'Summer dream') at the Gunwi region for 4 years (from 2009 to 2012) was investigated. Also, the breaking time of internal dormancy in the field at the Gunwi region and the breaking time of dormancy if air temperature of Gunwi region rises $4^{\circ}C$ higher than the current one were investigated using the same data. The initial point of dormancy was set at the time when the lateral bud breaking did not occurred (when heading back cutting was done in the middle of terminal shoots). The occurrence of the breaking of internal dormancy was decided if the breaking of the terminal bud of bourse shoot occurred within 15 days or not in growth chamber. About 100 bourse shoots were collected by cultivar classification in early December every year and were stored at $5.0^{\circ}C$, and they were placed in growth chamber at one week interval. The chilling requirement of cultivars was expressed in accumulated hours in the field and in the growth chamber under $7.2^{\circ}C$ and $0.0-7.2^{\circ}C$ from the initial point of dormancy to the breaking time of internal dormancy. The results showed that the initial point of dormancy in selected cultivars could occur at the end of September. The breaking time of internal dormancy could occur from the end of January to the early of February. The accumulated hours under $7.2^{\circ}C$ for breaking of internal dormancy were 1,600-2,000 hours, while those of $0.0-7.2^{\circ}C$ were 1,300-1,800 hours. In comparing the different apple cultivars, the chilling requirement of the early flowering cultivars seemed lower than that of the late-flowering cultivars. Based on these results, if the air temperature of Gunwi region rises about $4.0^{\circ}C$ higher than the current one, the breaking time of internal dormancy will be delayed by 2-4 weeks.

Evaluation of the Minimum Shear Reinforcement Ratio of Reinforced Concrete Members (철근콘크리트 부재의 최소전단보강근비의 평가)

  • Lee Jung-Yoon;Yoon Sung-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.16 no.1 s.79
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    • pp.43-53
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    • 2004
  • The current Korean Concrete Design Code(KCI Code) requires the minimum and maximum content of shear s in order to prevent brittle and noneconomic design. However, the required content of the steel reinforcement In KCI Code is quite different to those of the other design codes such as fib-code, Canadian Code, and Japanese Code. Furthermore, since the evaluation equations of the minimum and maximum shear reinforcement for the current KCI Code were based on the experimental results, the equations can not be used for the RC members beyond the experimental application limits. The concrete tensile strength, shear stress, crack inclination, strain perpendicular to the crack, and shear span ratio are strongly related to the lower and upper limits of shear reinforcement. In this research, an evaluation equation for the minimum content of shear reinforcement is theoretical proposed from the Wavier's three principals of the mechanics of materials.

Restoration for Evergreen Broad-leaved Forests by Successional Trends of Pasture-grassland in the Seonheulgot, Jeju-do (제주도 선흘곶 초지지역의 천이경향을 고려한 상록활엽수림 복원 연구)

  • Han Bong-Ho;Kim Jeong-Ho;Bae Jeong-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.369-381
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    • 2004
  • This study was achieved to present the way to restore the Seonheulgot pasture-grassland damaged by landuse and interference for a long time to evergreen broad-leaved forests as the native vegetation structure. As a result of analyzing ecological succession tendency of structure in survey area, we established the optimal restoration model. The total of survey sites were 26, and the classified plant community types were four types by M.I.P of dominant woody species. Finally we classified the four types based on diameter of dominant woody species in canopy layer. The six community types are as follows: Community I was runner-shrub forest, community II was evergreen broad-leaved shrub forest, and community III was evergreen broad-leaved forest of small diameter. Community IV and V were evergreen broad-leaved forest of middle diameter. Community Ⅵ was evergreen broad-leaved forest of large diameter. The number of constituent species was 24 in community I, 28 in community II as the shrub forest, 16 as the evergreen broad-leaved forest of small diameter, 29 in community III, 30 in community IV as the evergreen broad-leaved forest of middle diameter and 27 in community Ⅵ as the evergreen broad-leaved forest of large diameter. The range of Shannon's index of all communitys was from 0.8763 to 1.2630 and the Similarity index between the community composed of middle diameter woody species and large diameter woody species. The ecological succession of community I, II, and III were changed from pasture-grassland to broad-leaved forest and the structure of community IV, V, and Ⅵ was similar to evergreen broad-leaved forest in warm temperate region. We suggest the restoration planting model evergreen broad-leaved forest of in Seonheulgot pasture-grassland, as follows: The target restoration vegetation were Castanopsis cuspidata var. sievoldii community and Queycus glauca community. Castanopsis cuspidata var. sievoldii and Quercus glauca should be dominant woody species in canopy layer, the number of trees was 10 per 100$m^2$, and Castanopsis cuspidata var, sievoldii, Quercus glauca, Camellia japonica, and Eurya japonica should be dominant woody species in the understory layer, the number of trees was 14 per 100$m^2$.

Regionality and Variability of Net Primary Productivity and Rice Yield in Korea (우리 나라의 순1차생산력 및 벼 수량의 지역성과 변이성)

  • JUNG YEONG-SANG;BANG JUNG-HO;HAYASHI YOSEI
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 1999
  • Rice yield and primary productivity (NPP) are dependent upon the variability of climate and soil. The variability and regionality of the rice yield and net primary productivity were evaluated with the meteorological data collected from Korea Meteorology Administration and the actual rice yield data from the Ministration of Agriculture and Forestry, Korea. The estimated NPP using the three models, dependent upon temperature(NPP-T), precipitation(NPP-P) and net radiation(NPP-R), ranged from 10.87 to 17.52 Mg ha$^{-1}$ with average of 14.69 Mg ha$^{-1}$ in the South Korea and was ranged 6.47 to 15.58 Mg ha$^{-1}$ with average of 12.59 Mg ha$^{-1}$ in the North Korea. The primary limiting factor of NPP in Korea was net radiation, and the secondary limiting factor was temperature. Spectral analysis on the long term change in air temperature in July and August showed periodicity. The short periodicity was 3 to 7 years and the long periodicity was 15 to 43 years. The coefficient of variances, CV, of the rice yield from 1989 to 1998 ranged 3.23 percents to 12.37 percents which were lower than past decades. The CV's in Kangwon and Kyeongbuk were high while that in Chonbuk was the lowest. The prediction model based on th e yield index and yield response to temperature obtain ed from the field crop situation showed reasonable results and thus the spatial distributions of rice yield and predicted yield could be expressed in the maps. The predicted yields was well fitted with the actual yield except Kyungbuk. For better prediction, modification should be made considering radiation factor in further development.

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Seed and water absorption characteristics of red bean cultivars in Korea (국내산 팥의 품종별 종실 및 수분흡수 특성)

  • Oh, Seon-Min;Jo, Young-Je;Chun, Areum;Kwak, Jieun;Oh, You-Geun;Kim, Mi-Jung;Song, Suk-Bo;Choi, Induck
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.53 no.5
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    • pp.607-612
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    • 2021
  • This study investigated the seed and water absorption characteristics of red bean cultivars in Korea. The length and width of all seeds were 7.74-8.99 mm and 5.33-5.54 mm, respectively. The hilum lengths and widths were 3.21-4.01 mm and 0.58-0.73 mm, respectively. The weight of 100 seeds was 12.14-20.21 g, and the seed coat thickness of red beans ranged from 39.18-50.01 mm. During soaking for 30 h, red beans exhibited a lag phase in the initial soaking time, followed by a rapid absorption phase, and finally contained more than 130% moisture. When water absorption was applied to the sigmoid equation, the curve fitting exhibited a high R2, and the kinetics of water absorption were 0.202-0.715 h-1, which differed among varieties. Pearson's correlation of hilum width (r=0.7858*) and seed thickness (r= -0.9954***) exhibited strong correlations with water absorption, suggesting that these are important factors in red bean processing.

Enhanced Transport and Risk of a Highly Nonpolar Pollutant in the Presence of LNAPL in Soil-groundwater System: In Case of p-xylene and benz[a]anthracene (LNAPL에 의한 소수성 유기오염물질의 지하환경 내 이동성 변화가 위해성 증가에 미치는 영향: p-xylene과 benz[a]anthracene의 경우)

  • Ryu, Hye-Rim;Han, Joon-Kyoung;Kim, Young-Jin;Nam, Kyoung-Phile
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.25-31
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    • 2007
  • Characterizing the risk posed by a mixture of chemicals is a challenging task due to the chemical interactions of individual components that may affect their physical behavior and hence alter their exposure to receptors. In this study, cell tests that represent subsurface environment were carried out using benz[a]anthracene (BaA) and p-xylene focusing on phasetransforming interaction to verify increased mobility and risk of highly sorbed pollutants in the presence of less sorbed, mobile liquid pollutants. A transport model was also developed to interpret results and to simulate the same process on a field scale. The experimental results showed that BaA had far greater mobility in the presence of p-xylene than in the absence of that. The main transport mechanisms in the vadose zone were by dissolution to p-xylene or water. The transport model utilizing Defined Time Steps (DTS) was developed and tested with the experimental results. The predicted and observed values showed similar tendency, but the more work is needed in the future study for more precise modeling. The field-scale simulation results showed that transport of BaA to groundwater table was significantly faster in the presence of NAPL, and the oral carcinogenic risk of BaA calculated with the concentration in groundwater was 15${\sim}$87 times larger when mixed with NAPL than when solely contaminated. Since transport rate of PAHs is very slow in the subsurface without NAPL and no degradation of PAHs was considered in this simulation during the transport, the increase of risk in the presence of NAPL is expected to be greater for the actual contaminated site.

Validation of ENVI-met Model with In Situ Measurements Considering Spatial Characteristics of Land Use Types (토지이용 유형별 공간특성을 고려한 ENVI-met 모델의 현장측정자료 기반의 검증)

  • Song, Bong-Geun;Park, Kyung-Hun;Jung, Sung-Gwan
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.156-172
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    • 2014
  • This research measures and compares on-site net radiation energy, air temperature, wind speed, and surface temperature considering various spatial characteristics with a focus on land use types in urban areas in Changwon, Southern Gyeongsangnam-do, to analyze the accuracy of an ENVI-met model, which is an analysis program of microclimate. The on-site measurement was performed for three days in a mobile measurement: two days during the daytime and one day during the nighttime. The analysis using the ENVI-met model was also performed in the same time zone as the on-site measurement. The results indicated that the ENVI-met model showed higher net radiation than the on-site measurement by approximately $300Wm^{-2}$ during the daytime whereas the latter showed higher net radiation energy by approximately $200Wm^{-2}$ during the nighttime. The temperature was found to be much higher by approximately $2-6^{\circ}C$ in the on-site measurement during both the daytime and nighttime. The on-site measurement also showed higher surface temperature than the ENVI-met by approximately $7-13^{\circ}C$. In terms of the wind speed, there was a significant difference between the results of the ENVI-met model and on-site measurement. As for the correlation between the results of the ENVI-met model and on-site measurement, the temperature showed significantly high correlation whereas the correlations for the net radiation energy, surface temperature, and wind speed were very low. These results appear to be affected by excessive or under estimation of solar and terrestrial radiation and climatic conditions of the surrounding areas and characteristics of land cover. Hence, these factors should be considered when applying these findings in urban and environment planning for improving the microclimate in urban areas.

Effective Coastal Water Quality Management and Marine Environmental Impact Assessment (연안의 효율적 수질관리 방향과 해양환경영향평가)

  • Lee, Dae-In;Eom, Ki-Hyuk;Kim, Gui-Young;Hong, Sok-Jin;Lee, Won-Chan;Jang, Ju-Hyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.29-37
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    • 2008
  • This study examined principles and techniques of efficient water quality management as well as total coastal pollutant loads and the relevant examples in the advanced countries from the viewpoints of water quality improvement and pollution control in coastal areas. The problems and improvements in an estimation of the current total pollutant loads were also pointed out. In addition, discussion was made on the relationship between total pollutant loads and environmental capacity as well as particulars requiring extensive examination on access to and study on water quality model used as prediction tool for marine environment. Furthermore, this study proposed details of and improvement plans for water quality control to be reflected and absorbed into systems and policies related to coastal water quality. In coastal areas, which are subject to total coastal pollutant loads, it is necessary to calculate pollutant loads reduction and allocation, to propose them in detail in statement in relations to new pollution sources for the corresponding projects or plans in environmental impact assessment and prior environmental review system. Also, in relations to regional plans for coastal management, the local government concerned must focus more on environmental management plan to implement data on pollution sources and pollutant loads flown into sea areas under basic jurisdiction, therefore it is required to actively respond to expansion and introduction of total coastal pollutant loads system in the future. Total coastal pollutant loads system must be expanded and executed by considering characteristics of sea area and changes in the environment of land. For pollution sources in land, the competent authorities in charge of coastal environment will need to initiatively administer supervision, monitoring activities and achieve integration and operation of the related laws by preparing legal bases for management system or adjusting the related laws.

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The Study about Developing More Rational Valuation Model to the Early Stage Companies (초기기업에 대한 정량적 가치평가 모델 구축에 관한 탐색적 연구)

  • Kang, Sang-Wook;Yang, Young-Seok;Yang, Soo-Hee
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.15-24
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    • 2017
  • The major goal of this paper falls on developing new rational valuation model, to help companies and investors in the early stage of growth as to preparing and negotiating valuation of investment, by applying new reasonable discount indexes of calculating Discount Cash Flow in valuation of the start-up which has been recognized the critical fatal flaws of DCF with them. There are three specific studies done in this paper. First, this paper found the solid and viable bases of rational discount indexes as to applying DCF in valuing companies in the early growth stage with reviewing the previous studies including Berkus method, Scorecard Method, and Risk factor Summation method classified the most effective tools of valuing pre-revenue generating companies. Second, this paper quoted and analyzed the previous models and studies, so called, 'DCF-Prime' of applying DCF method as to value companies in the early growth stage by taking all risk factors innate to the companies in the early growth stage as the discount rate Beta coefficient. Third, this paper propose more viable and solid valuation models, so called, 'DCF-Plus'of combing all validated valuation factors in Berkus, Scorecard, and Risk Factor Summation methods into applying separate discount bracket after DCF Valuation over the companies in the early growth stage instead of taking them as the factors of discount rate, beta coefficient, like the previous model of DCF-Prime. DCF-Plus mainly developed in this paper will not only provide more rational valuation bases as to investment negotiation between companies and investors in the early growth stage, but also providing more accountable guidelines to companies in the early growth as to prepare investment raising and accelerating their company's value by themselves.

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Measurement of the Early-Age Coefficient of Thermal Expansion and Drying Shrinkage of Concrete Pavement (콘크리트포장의 초기 열팽창계수 및 건조수축 측정 연구)

  • Yoon, Young-Mi;Suh, Young-Chan;Kim, Hyung-Bae
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.117-122
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    • 2008
  • Quality control of the concrete pavement in the early stage of curing is very important because it has a conclusive effect on its life span. Therefore, examining and analyzing the initial behavior of concrete pavement must precede an alternative to control its initial behavior. There are largely two influential factors for the initial behavior of concrete pavement. One is the drying shrinkage, and the other is the heat generated by hydration and thermal change inside the pavement depending on the change in the atmospheric temperature. Thus, the coefficient of thermal expansion and drying shrinkage can be regarded as very important influential factors for the initial behavior of the concrete. It has been a general practice up until now to measure the coefficient of thermal expansion from completely cured concrete. This practice has an inherent limitation in that it does not give us the coefficient of thermal expansion at the initial stage of curing. Additionally, it has been difficult to obtain the measurement of drying shrinkage due to the time constraint. This research examined and analyzed the early drying shrinkage of the concrete and measurements of the thermal expansion coefficients to formulate a plan to control its initial behavior. Additionally, data values for the variables of influence were collected to develop a prediction model for the initial behavior of the concrete pavement and the verification of the proposed model. In this research, thermal expansion coefficients of the concrete in the initial stage of curing ranged between $8.9{\sim}10.8{\times}10^{-6}/^{\circ}C$ Furthermore, the effects of the size and depth of the concrete on the drying shrinkage were analyzed and confirmed.

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