• Title/Summary/Keyword: 정책 모델링

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A Study on Output Enhancement Method of PV Array Using Electrical Circuit Reconfiguration Algorithm (전기적 회로절체 알고리즘에 의한 태양광 어레이의 출력향상 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Byung-Mok;Lee, Hu-Dong;Tae, Dong-Hyun;Rho, Dae-Seok
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.8
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2020
  • Recently, RES (renewable energy source) projects have been spreading all over the world as an alternative to solve the shortage of energy and environmental problems caused by fossil fuel consumption. The Korean government also supported the policy and demonstration project to increase the proportion of renewable energy to 63.8[GW] until 2030, which is 20[%] of the total power generation. On the other hand, output loss of a PV array can occur when the surrounding high-rise buildings and trees shade a PV array. Therefore, this paper proposes an algorithm to improve the output loss of a PV array, which electrically changes a circuit configuration of PV modules by wiring and switching devices. Furthermore, this study modeled a PV system based on PSIM S/W, which was composed of a PV array, a circuit configuration device, and a grid-connected inverter. From the simulations results with the modeling and test device, the existing method showed no output when 50% of the shade occurs in PV modules. In contrast, the proposed method could produce the output because the voltage in the PV module could be restored to 246[V], and the operation efficiency of the PV system could be improved by the operation algorithm of the circuit configuration device.

A Performance Analysis by Adjusting Learning Methods in Stock Price Prediction Model Using LSTM (LSTM을 이용한 주가예측 모델의 학습방법에 따른 성능분석)

  • Jung, Jongjin;Kim, Jiyeon
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.11
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    • pp.259-266
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    • 2020
  • Many developments have been steadily carried out by researchers with applying knowledge-based expert system or machine learning algorithms to the financial field. In particular, it is now common to perform knowledge based system trading in using stock prices. Recently, deep learning technologies have been applied to real fields of stock trading marketplace as GPU performance and large scaled data have been supported enough. Especially, LSTM has been tried to apply to stock price prediction because of its compatibility for time series data. In this paper, we implement stock price prediction using LSTM. In modeling of LSTM, we propose a fitness combination of model parameters and activation functions for best performance. Specifically, we propose suitable selection methods of initializers of weights and bias, regularizers to avoid over-fitting, activation functions and optimization methods. We also compare model performances according to the different selections of the above important modeling considering factors on the real-world stock price data of global major companies. Finally, our experimental work brings a fitness method of applying LSTM model to stock price prediction.

Limitations of Applying Land-Change Models for REDD Reference Level Setting: A Case Study of Xishuangbanna, Yunnan, China (REDD 기준선 설정 시 토지이용변화 예측모형 적용의 한계: 중국 운남성 시솽반나 열대림 사례를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Oh Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.277-287
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    • 2015
  • This paper addresses limitations of land-change modeling application in the context of REDD (Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation). REDD is an international conservation policy that aims to protect forests via carbon credit generation and trading. In REDD, carbon credits are generated only if there is measurable quantied carbon sequestration activities that are additional to business-as-usual (BAU). A "reference level" is defined as simulated baseline carbon emissions for the future under a BAU scenario, and predictive land-change modeling plays an important role in constructing reference levels. It is tested in this research how predictive accuracies of two land-change models, namely Geographic Emission Benchmark (GEB) and GEOMOD, vary with respect to different spatial scales: Xishuangbanna prefecture and Yunnan province. The accuracies are measured by Figure of Merit. In this Chinese case study, it turns out that GEB's better performance is mainly due to quantity (e.g., how many hectares of forest will be converted to agricultural land?) rather than spatial allocation (e.g., where will the conversion happen?). As both quantity and allocation are crucial in REDD reference level setting it appears to be fundamental to systematically analyze accuracies of quantity and allocation independently in pursuit of accurate reference levels.

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Environmental Controversy and the Role of Science - The Case of Saemangeum Reclamation Project in Korea (새만금 논쟁과 과학기술의 역할)

  • Cho Hong-Sup
    • Journal of Science and Technology Studies
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    • v.4 no.1 s.7
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    • pp.1-30
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, I have attempted to show how the environmental controversy surrounding the Saemangeurn Reclamation Project in Korea has been framed as narrow scientific debates. First of all, science, or specifically the Expert Review Pane, has played dual roles in the controversy. On the one hand, it has contributed to illuminating the future environmental impacts of reclamation, by so doing, to providing a momentum to reconsider the project. This has significant meaning that environmental concerns successfully checked the symbolic national project of developmental era through adopting a joint-investigation scheme that guaranteed participation of environmental groups on an equal footing with the government. On the other hand, by limiting the scope and participants of discussion, it fundamentally blocked the possibilities of public debates and deliberative decision-making with full considerations of the political, social, and cultural aspects of the controversy. I have shown that this is due to the realist belief shared by both the developers and the environmentalists in Korea that 'proper' science would disclose the truth. Environmental groups, in particular, were naive in evaluating the role of scientific expertise in the controversy and neglected the political role of the Expert Review Pane as a ritual. In opposition to the realist argument, I have shown through the analysis of the water quality debates concerning the future fresh water lakes that scientific 'facts' were not discovered but constructed through complex negotiations, conflicts, and compromises among related actors. The framing of the controversy as an experts' debate has resulted in the exclusion of an important actor from the discussion. Little attention has been paid throughout the controversy to the very people who have lived in the Saemangeum area for generations and will lose their livelihood all together soon. About 20,000 fishermen are living on the Saemangeum tidal flats.

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Study on chemical mechanical polishing characteristics of CdTe thin film absorption-layer for heterojunction thin film solar cell (이종접합 박막태양전지 흡광층 CdTe 박막의 화학적기계적연마 특성 연구)

  • Park, Ju-Sun;Lim, Chae-Hyun;Ryu, Seung-Han;Kim, Nam-Hoon;Lee, Woo-Sun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 2009.04b
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    • pp.49-49
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    • 2009
  • 최근 범세계적인 그린에너지 정책에 관련해 화석연료를 대체할 수 있는 수소, 풍력, 태양광 등의 대체 에너지에 대한 관심이 고조되고 있다. 이러한 여러 대체에너지 중에서도 태양광을 전기에너지로 변환하는 태양전지에 관한 연구가 집중되고 있다. 태양전지는 구조적으로 단순하고 제조 공정도 비교적 간단하지만, 보다 널리 보급되기 위해서는 경제성 향상이라는 문제점을 해결해야 한다. 이를 위해서는 기존의 실리콘 태양전지를 대체할 수 있는 신물질에 대한 연구가 필요하며, 그 중에서도 반도체 기술을 이용한 박막형 태양전지는 기존의 실리콘 태양 전지가 가지고 있는 고비용이라는 문제점을 극복할 수 있을 것으로 기대를 모으고 있다. 박막형 태양전지의 박막 재료로는 CIGS, CdTe 등이 연구되어지고 있지만, 아직까지는 기존의 실리콘 태양전지에 비해 에너지변환효율이 낮은 이유로 인해 실용화가 많이 이루어지지 못하고 있는 것이 사실이다. 이러한 박막형 태양전지의 재료들 중에서도 CdTe는 이종접합 박막형 태양전지에 흡광층으로 사용되는 것으로 상온에서 1.45eV 정도의 밴드갭(band gap) 에너지를 갖는 II-VI족 화합물반도체로써 태양광 스펙트럼과 잘 맞는 이상적인 밴드랩 에너지와 높은 광흡수도 때문에 박막형 태양전지로 가장 주목을 받고 있다. CdTe 박막의 제조 방법으로는 진공증착법(vacuum evaporation), 전착법(electrodeposition), 스퍼터링법(sputtering) 등이 있지만 본 연구에서는 스퍼터링법을 이용하여 박막을 증착하였다. 이상과 같이 증착된 CdTe 박막을 화학적기계적연마(CMP, chemical mechanical polishing) 공정을 적용시킴으로써, 태양전지의 에너지변환효율에 직접적인 영향을 끼칠 수 있는 CdTe 박막의 물리적, 전기적 특성들의 변화를 연구하기 위한 선행 연구를 진행하였다. 특히 본 연구에서는 CdTe 박막의 화학적 기계적 연마 특성을 분석하여 정규화를 통한 모델링을 수행하였다. 또한 화학적기계적연마 공정 전과 후의 표면 특성을 관찰하기 위해 SEM(scanning electron microscopy)과 AFM(atomic forced microscope)를 이용하였으며, 구조적 특성 관찰을 XRD(X-ray diffraction)를 사용하여 실험을 수행하였다.

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Fintech Trends and Mobile Payment Service Anlaysis in Korea: Application of Text Mining Techniques (국내 핀테크 동향 및 모바일 결제 서비스 분석: 텍스트 마이닝 기법 활용)

  • An, JungKook;Lee, So-Hyun;An, Eun-Hee;Kim, Hee-Woong
    • Informatization Policy
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.26-42
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    • 2016
  • Recently, with the rapid growth of the O2O market, Fintech combining the finance and ICT technology is drawing attention as innovation to lead "O2O of finance", along with Fintech-based payment, authentication, security technology and related services. For new technology industries such as Fintech, technical sources, related systems and regulations are important but previous studies on Fintech lack in-depth research about systems and technological trends of the domestic Fintech industry. Therefore, this study aims to analyze domestic Fintech trends and find the insights for the direction of technology and systems of the future domestic Fintech industry by comparing Kakao Pay and Samsung Pay, the two domestic representative mobile payment services. By conducting a complete enumeration survey about the tweets mentioning Fintech until June 2016, this study visualized topics extraction, sensitivity analysis and keyword analyses. According to the analysis results, it was found that various topics have been created in the technologies and systems between 2014 and 2016 and different keywords and reactions were extracted between topics of Samsung Pay based on "devices" such as Galaxy and Kakao Pay based on "service" such as KakaoTalk. This study contributes to analyzing the unstructured data of social media by period by using social media mining and quantifying the expectations and reactions of consumers to services through the sentiment analysis. It is expected to be the foundation of Fintech industry development by presenting a strategic direction to Fintech related practitioners.

Optimum Delivery Frequency for Reducing Construction Logistics Cost under a Carbon Taxation (탄소세 부과시 건설 물류비용 최소화를 위한 운송빈도 최적화)

  • Park, Moon-Seo;Chun, Myung-Hee;Lee, Hyun-Soo;Hwang, Sung-Joo;Jang, Myung-Houn
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2011
  • The term 'green' has become an important way of survival for the construction industry in 21th century in accordance with the emergence of the environmental crisis due to the climatic change. Especially the policy of carbon taxation, planed to be introduced from 2012, is expected to be a considerable burden to the construction industry which has abundant carbon emission during the resource transportation due to the complexity of resources and local distribution of the construction sites. In this regard, this study shows an optimizing strategy for delivery frequency, which downsizes the net distribution costs based on the assumption that, despite of its other advantagements, the frequent small lot mode of JIT delivery would take negative effects due to the increase of costs of transportation and carbon emission once the carbon taxation policy carried out. To simulate the efficiency of the management strategies, the System Dynamics modeling has been used. The results show that the frequent small lot transportation strategy is now always efficient method to these changes, and that the frequency of transportation should be re-determinated according to the extent of the imposition of carbon tax. This study provides the conceptual frame for an efficient management of transportation system of the construction industry, showing necessity of change of the resource transportation systems through analysing JIT deliver system in accordance with the global changes in environmental economy.

Family Involvement and The Entry Mode into Entrepreneurship: The Contingent Role of National Culture (가족관여와 창업방식간의 관계에 대한 연구: 국가문화의 조절효과를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Sang-Youn;Sahaym, Arvin;Cullen, John;Juasrikul, Sakdipon
    • The Journal of Small Business Innovation
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.17-34
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    • 2017
  • This study examines the role of family involvement and national culture in entrepreneurs' choice of mode of entry into entrepreneurship. Mode of entry consists of two choices: starting a new venture or taking over an existing firm. Specifically, we investigate how cultural values moderate the relationship between family involvement and their choice of business takeover. Using a cross-national sample of 3,831 respondents from 33 countries in Flash Eurobarometer data, we develop key variables and test our hypotheses employing hierarchical linear modelling. Our results show that the relationship between family involvement of entrepreneurs and their choice of business takeover is moderated by individualism, short term orientation, and power distance. This research contributes to understanding comparative international entrepreneurship based on national culture. Implications for policy makers and educators are discussed.

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A Study on Generating a Coastal Flood Hazard Map (국내 적합한 연안침수지도제작에 관한 연구)

  • 원대희;김계현;박태옥;최현우;곽태식
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association of Geographic Inforamtion Studies Conference
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    • 2004.03a
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    • pp.435-440
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    • 2004
  • 연안침수지도는 태풍이나 해일에 의한 연안침수 발생 시 방조제의 월류 및 붕괴로 인한 예상 침수구역을 강우빈도(200년)별로 나타내고, 침수면적과 깊이를 표현한 지도로서 국외 선진국에서 방재형 국토관리 정책결정과 침수피해에 대한 대민 홍보의 수단으로 활용되고 있다. 국내에서도 연안침수에 의한 피해가 나날이 커지고 국토의 개발에 따른 자연 재해가 많아짐에 따라 보다 방재형 국토개발로 국민의 안전과 복리를 증진하고, 연안침수에 의한 피해를 최소화하기 위한 노력의 일환으로 연안침수지도의 제작 필요성이 증대되고 있다. 본 연구의 시범지역인 대부도 남부지역의 GIS 데이터베이스 구축은 문헌조사 및 기구축 데이터 확보, 지역의 특성에 맞는 신규 GIS 데이터베이스 구축 방법을 제시하였다. 침수구역을 예측하기 위한 모델링을 지원하기 위한 정확도와 경제성, 객관성, 현실성이 높은 지형공간자료의 효율적인 구축이 강조되었다. 구축한 데이터베이스의 세부 유형은 침수위험구역, 침수경계구역, 침수량 화살표이며, 기존에 구축된 데이터를 활용한 레이어는 해안선, 도로, 건물, 등고선, 등심선, 연안 표고점 측량데이터이다. 연안침수지도는 효율적인 재난관리를 위하여 다양하게 활용될 수 있을 것으로 사료되며 나아가 주민의 침수에 대한 경각심 고취와 사전 교육, 지방자치단체의 침수위험 관리업무의 활용이 가능할 것으로 사료된다. 본 연구에서 제작된 연안침수지도는 지자체 주민들을 위해 보기 쉽고 다양한 정보를 얻을 수 있도록 제작되었으며, 이를 위해 사진과 삽화를 추가하여 주민들에게 침수피해에 대한 경각심과 이해를 높이는데 중점을 두었다. 유지관리 후 활용체계 정비의 중요성’을 점검하고, ‘변동자료 발생원인의 분석’, ‘명확한 변동자료 입력 근거의 확보’, ‘갱신주체별 역할의 정의 및 유지관리 기준의 설정’, ‘분야별업무 특성을 고려한 관련 기준의 마련 및 타 시스템과 연계되는 항목을 고려한 절차 정의’ 등에 대한 다양한 접근을 시도하였다. 본 연구에서 제시하는 유지관리 모델을 기반으로 각 지자체별로 적절한 컨설팅이 진행되고 이에 따라 담당자의 실천이 이루어진다면 지자체 GIS의 투자대비 효과에 대한 기대는 이상이 아닌 현실로 다가오게 될 것이다.가오게 될 것이다. 동일하게 25%의 소유권을 가지고 있다. ?스굴 시추사업은 2008년까지 수행될 계획이며, 시추작업은 2005년까지 완료될 계획이다. 연구 진행과 관련하여, 공동연구의 명분을 높이고 분석의 효율성을 높이기 위해서 시료채취 및 기초자료 획득은 4개국의 연구원이 모여 공동으로 수행한 후의 결과물을 서로 공유하고, 자세한 전문분야 연구는 각 국의 대표기관이 독립적으로 수행하는 방식을 택하였다 ?스굴에 대한 제1차 시추작업은 2004년 3월 말에 실시하였다. 시추작업 결과, 약 80m의 시추 코아가 성공적으로 회수되어 현재 러시아 이르쿠츠크 지구화학연구소에 보관중이다. 이 시추코아는 2004년 8월 중순경에 4개국 연구팀원들에 의해 공동으로 기재된 후에 분할될 계획이다. 분할된 시료는 국내로 운반되어 다양한 전문분야별 연구에 이용될 것이다. 한편, 제2차 시추작업은 2004년 12월에서 2005년 2월 사이에 실시될 계획이다. 수백만년에 이르는 장기간에 걸쳐 지구환경변화 기록이 보존되어 있는

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Deposition Process Load Balancing Analysis through Improved Sequence Control using the Internet of Things (사물인터넷을 이용한 증착 공정의 개선된 순서제어의 부하 균등의 해석)

  • Jo, Sung-Euy;Kim, Jeong-Ho;Yang, Jung-Mo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.15 no.12
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    • pp.323-331
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, four types of deposition control processes such as temperature, pressure, input/output(I/O), and gas were replaced by the Internet of Things(IoT) to analyze the data load and sequence procedure before and after the application of it. Through this analysis, we designed the load balancing in the sensing area of the deposition process by creating the sequence diagram of the deposition process. In order to do this, we were modeling of the sensor I/O according to the arrival process and derived the result of measuring the load of CPU and memory. As a result, it was confirmed that the reliability on the deposition processes were improved through performing some functions of the equipment controllers by the IoT. As confirmed through this paper, by applying the IoT to the deposition process, it is expected that the stability of the equipment will be improved by minimizing the load on the equipment controller even when the equipment is expanded.