• Title/Summary/Keyword: 정량적 모델

Search Result 2,047, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Feasibility Study on the Risk Quantification Methodology of Railway Level Crossings (철도건널목 위험도 정량평가 방법론 적용성 연구)

  • Kang, Hyun-Gook;Kim, Man-Cheol;Park, Joo-Nam;Wang, Jong-Bae
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
    • /
    • 2007.05a
    • /
    • pp.605-613
    • /
    • 2007
  • In order to overcome the difficulties of quantitative risk analysis such as complexity of model, we propose a systematic methodology for risk quantification of railway system which consists of 6 steps: The identification of risk factors, the determination of major scenarios for each risk factor by using event tree, the development of supplementary fault trees for evaluating branch probabilities, the evaluation of event probabilities, the quantification of risk, and the analysis in consideration of accident situation. In this study, in order to address the feasibility of the propose methodology, this framework is applied to the prototype risk model of nation-wide railway level crossings. And the quantification result based on the data of 2005 in Korea will also be presented.

  • PDF

Performance Analysis of Explainers for Sentiment Classifiers of Movie Reviews (영화평 감성 분석기를 대상으로 한 설명자의 성능 분석)

  • Park, Cheon-Young;Lee, Kong Joo
    • Annual Conference on Human and Language Technology
    • /
    • 2020.10a
    • /
    • pp.563-568
    • /
    • 2020
  • 본 연구에서는 블랙박스로 알려진 딥러닝 모델에 설명 근거를 제공할 수 있는 설명자 모델을 적용해 보았다. 영화평 감성 분석을 위해 MLP, CNN으로 구성된 딥러닝 모델과 결정트리의 앙상블인 Gradient Boosting 모델을 이용하여 감성 분류기를 구축하였다. 설명자 모델로는 기울기(gradient)을 기반으로 하는 IG와 레이어 사이의 가중치(weight)을 기반으로 하는 CAM, 그리고 설명가능한 대리 모델을 이용하는 LIME과 입력 속성에 대한 선형모델을 추정하는 SHAP을 사용하였다. 설명자 모델의 특성을 보기 위하여 히트맵과 관련성 높은 N개의 속성을 추출해 보았다. 설명자가 제공하는 기여도에 따라 입력 속성을 제거해 가며 분류기 성능 변화를 측정하는 정량적 평가도 수행하였다. 또한, 사람의 판단 근거와의 일치도를 살펴볼 수 있는 '설명 근거 정확도'라는 새로운 평가 방법을 제안하여 적용해 보았다.

  • PDF

Feasibility Study on Soil Moisture Retrieval using GNSS Reflected Signal (GNSS 반사신호를 이용한 토양수분 산출 가능성 연구)

  • Sin, Dae-Yun;Dinesh, Manandhar;Ryosuke, Shibasaki
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2016.05a
    • /
    • pp.80-80
    • /
    • 2016
  • GPS로 대표되는 위성항법시스템(GNSS : Global Navigation Satellite System)은 지구 주위를 돌면서 연속적으로 항법신호를 보내고 있다. 그 중 지구표면으로부터 반사되는 항법신호를 수신하고 해석함으로써 지구표면에 관한 정보를 취득할 수가 있다. GPS로 대표되는 항법신호는 L밴드를 사용하기 때문에 토양수분의 변화 등에 대한 반사강도의 감도가 비교적 높다고 알려져 있으며, 토양수분 측정 등에 사용할 수 있다. 뿐만 아니라 경량화, 소형화하기 쉬운 점, 능동적 마이크로웨이브 리모트센싱시스템(Active Microwave Remote Sensing System)과 달리 스스로 신호를 발사하지 않기 때문에 관측의 스텔스성(Stealth)dl 뛰어난 점 등의 장점을 가지고 있다. 또한 향후 10년 이내에 준천정위성(QZSS), Galileo, COMPAS, IRNSS 등 많은 위성항법시스템이 본격 운용되어 GPS와 함께 120기 정도의 항법위성이 항법신호를 송신할 예정이므로 이용 가능성은 크게 늘어날 것으로 기대된다.한편, 항법위성을 이용한 바이스테이틱 리모트센싱은 반사파의 강도가 상당히 미약하기 때문에 정량적 계측모델의 구축은 미미한 상태이다. 즉, 지상 타워에서의 관측, 항공기에서의 관측, 소형 위성에서의 관측 등이 수행되고 있으나, 타워관측과 같이 지상의 거의 동일한 장소를 계속적으로 관측하는 경우를 제외한 기존의 연구에서는 토지의 피복상황이나 토양수분 등의 상관관계를 제시하는 수준으로써 정량적인 계측방법은 아직 확립되어 있지 않다. 이러한 관점에서 본 연구에서는 GPS위성으로부터의 항법신호를 이용하여 지구표면에 관한 정보를 얻는 바이스테이틱 리모트센싱(Bi-static Remote Sensing) 기술을 바탕으로 육지면과 해면의 판별에 신호특성이 어떻게 유효한가를 실험적으로 밝혔다. 이러한 기술은 토양수분 측정 등 수자 원인자를 추출하는데 유용할 뿐만 아니라 수면의 고도 측정, 해상풍 산출 등에도 응용 가능하다.

  • PDF

Characterization of Thickness and Thermoelastic Properties of Interphase in Polymer Nanocomposites using Multiscale Analysis (멀티스케일 해석을 통한 고분자 나노복합재의 계면 상 두께와 열탄성 물성 도출)

  • Choi, Joonmyung;Cho, Maenghyo
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
    • /
    • v.29 no.6
    • /
    • pp.577-582
    • /
    • 2016
  • In this study, a multiscale method for solving a thermoelasticity problem for interphase in the polymeric nanocomposites is developed. Molecular dynamics simulation and finite element analysis were numerically combined to describe the geometrical boundaries and the local mechanical response of the interfacial region where the polymer networks were highly interacted with the nanoparticle surface. Also, the micrmechanical thermoelasticity equations were applied to the obtained equivalent continuum unit to compute the growth of interphase thickness according to the size of nanoparticles, as well as the thermal phase transition behavior at a wide range of temperatures. Accordingly, the equivalent continuum model obtained from the multiscale analysis provides a meaningful description of the thermoelastic behavior of interphase as well as its nanoparticle size effect on thermoelasticity at both below and above the glass transition temperature.

A Basic Study on the Qualitative Risk Assessment Model for Building Construction Sites Based on Claim Payouts (건설공사 위험 정량화 모델 개발을 위한 기초 연구)

  • Yu, Yeong-Jin;Son, Kiyoung;Kim, Ji-Myong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
    • /
    • v.16 no.6
    • /
    • pp.487-495
    • /
    • 2016
  • The losses of accidents in the construction industry was significantly increased during the past decades. Therefore, the study of risk management measures in the domestic construction has become very important, and the inherent risk factors need to derive and analyze them based on the quantified method. However, most studies on the construction risk are conducted finding on the qualitative way. This study analysis the accident records from actual construction sites as a quantities study. A correlation analysis and regression analysis are adopted to identify the risk factors and develop a model. The results of this study are expected to be evolve through the accumulated effect and verification of data in the future through continuous feedback.

Quantitative Evaluation of the Collision-Avoidance Capability of Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships Using FMSS (FMSS를 이용한 자율운항선박 충돌회피능력 정량화 평가 기법에 관한 연구)

  • Bae, Seok-Han;Jung, Min;Jang, Eun-Kyu
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.44 no.6
    • /
    • pp.460-468
    • /
    • 2020
  • Research related to the technology developed for the Maritime Autonomous Surface Ship (MASS) is currently underway. Although one of those core technologies is collision-avoidance technology for ship operators at sea, no research has been done to objectively quantify its effectiveness. Therefore, this study was conducted to develop an evaluation model to examine the collision-avoidance ability of MASS. Ship-control experts performed a ship-handling simulation for each ship encounter type using the Full Mission Ship-handling Simulator (FMSS). We used the resulting data and technical statistics, to develop an evaluation model that utilized FMSS to quantify the operational capability of the collision-avoidance technology. This evaluation model also can be used at sea to assess deck officers' ability to use the technology and to improve and develop other MASS technologies.

Silicon Substrate Coupling Modeling and Analysis including RF Package Inductance (RF 패키지 인덕턴스가 실리콘 기판 커플링에 미치는 영향 모델링 및 해석)

  • Jin, U-Jin;Eo, Yeong-Seon;Sim, Jong-Jin
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
    • /
    • v.39 no.1
    • /
    • pp.49-57
    • /
    • 2002
  • Including RF Package inductance, substrate coupling through conductive silicon(Si)-substrate is modeled and quantitatively characterized. 2-port substrate coupling model is extended for the characterization of multi-port substrate coupling between digital circuit block and analog/RF circuit block. Furthermore, scalable parameter extraction model is developed. Multi-port substrate coupling can be investigated by linearly superposing a frequency-dependent 2-port substrate coupling model using scalable parameters. In addition, Substrate coupling including RF package inductance effect is quantitatively investigated. It is shown that package effect increases substrate coupling and shifts a characteristic frequencies(i.e., poles) to the higher frequency range. The proposed methodology can be efficiently used to the mixed-signal circuit performance verification.

Generating Firm's Performance Indicators by Applying PCA (PCA를 활용한 기업실적 예측변수 생성)

  • Lee, Joonhyuck;Kim, Gabjo;Park, Sangsung;Jang, Dongsik
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
    • /
    • v.25 no.2
    • /
    • pp.191-196
    • /
    • 2015
  • There have been many studies on statistical forecasting on firm's performance and stock price by applying various financial indicators such as debt ratio and sales growth rate. Selecting predictors for constructing a prediction model among the various financial indicators is very important for precise prediction. Most of the previous studies applied variable selection algorithms for selecting predictors. However, the variable selection algorithm is considered to be at risk of eliminating certain amount of information from the indicators that were excluded from model construction. Therefore, we propose a firm's performance prediction model which principal component analysis is applied instead of the variable selection algorithm, in order to reduce dimensionality of input variables of the prediction model. In this study, we constructed the proposed prediction model by using financial data of American IT companies to empirically analyze prediction performance of the model.

Nonlinear Analysis of RC Beams Damaged by Corrosion of Tension Main Rebar (인장 주근이 부식된 RC보의 비선형 해석)

  • Shin, Sung-Woo;Lee, Han-Seung;Yoo, Suk-Hyeong
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
    • /
    • v.9 no.2
    • /
    • pp.191-198
    • /
    • 2005
  • This study was carried out to investigate quantitatively the relationship between the degree of rebar corrosion and the strength of reinforced concrete beams. After producing equations for the relationship between both the tensile properties of rebars and bond properties and the corrosion percentage of rebars, finite element analysis and bending tests were conducted for RC beams damaged by corrosion of tension main rebar. As a result, it was made that the strength of RC beams damaged by corrosion could be practically simulated by FEM analysis using experimentally determined material properties representing the bond and the mechanical characteristics of corroded rebars.