• Title/Summary/Keyword: 전파예측모델

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SARS-CoV-2 detection and infection scale prediction model in sewer system (하수도 체계에서의 SARS-CoV-2 검출 및 감염 확산 예측)

  • Kim, Min Kyoung;Cho, Yoon Geun;Shin, Jung gon;Jang, Ho Jin;Ryu, Jae Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.392-392
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    • 2022
  • 세계적 규모의 팬데믹 감염병의 출현은 전 세계적으로 경제적, 문화적, 사회적 파급효과가 매우 강력하며 전 인류를 위협하고 있다. 최근에 발병한 중증급성 호흡기질환 코로나바이러스 2(Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2, SARS-CoV-2)는 2019년 12월 중국 우한에서 첫 보고 되었고 2022년 현재까지 종식되지 않고 있으며 바이러스의 전파력과 치명률이 높고 무증상 감염상태일 때에도 전염이 가능하여 현재 역학조사의 사후적 대응에 대한 한계가 있어 선제적 대응을 위한 수단이 필수 불가결해지고 있는 실정이다. 하수기반역학(Waste Based Epidemiology, WBE)이란 하수처리장으로 유입되기 전의 하수를 분석하여 하수 집수구역 내 도시민의 생활상을 예측하는 것으로 하수로 배출된 감염자의 분비물 및 배설물 속 바이러스를 하수관로에서 신속하게 검출함으로써 특정지역의 감염성 질환 전파 정도와 유행하는 타입(변이)등을 분석하고 기존 역학조사의 문제점을 극복할 수 있으며 선제적인 대응이 가능하다. 현재 COVID-19의 대유행과 관련하여 WBE를 기반으로 한 다양한 연구가 진행되고 있으며 실제 환자의 발생과 상관관계가 있음이 확인되고 있고 백신 접종과 새롭게 발생한 변이바이러스의 관계 속에서 발생하는 변수를 고려한 모델이 없다는 점을 들어 새로운 감염병 확산 예측 모델에 대한 필요성 또한 커지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 병원에서부터 하수처리장까지의 하수관거와 하수처리장에서의 SARS-CoV-2 검출농도 및 거동을 파악하는 것을 목적으로 하고 있으며 COVID-19의 감염규모 확산에 관한 방법론에서 수학적모델 (Euler Method, RK4 Method, Gillespie Algorithm)과 딥러닝 기반의 Nowcasting model과 Fore casting model을 살펴보고자 한다.

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The Study of Patient Prediction Models on Flu, Pneumonia and HFMD Using Big Data (빅데이터를 이용한 독감, 폐렴 및 수족구 환자수 예측 모델 연구)

  • Yu, Jong-Pil;Lee, Byung-Uk;Lee, Cha-min;Lee, Ji-Eun;Kim, Min-sung;Hwang, Jae-won
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we have developed a model for predicting the number of patients (flu, pneumonia, and outbreak) using Big Data, which has been mainly performed overseas. Existing patient number system by government adopt procedures that collects the actual number and percentage of patients from several big hospital. However, prediction model in this study was developed combing a real-time collection of disease-related words and various other climate data provided in real time. Also, prediction number of patients were counted by machine learning algorithm method. The advantage of this model is that if the epidemic spreads rapidly, the propagation rate can be grasped in real time. Also, we used a variety types of data to complement the failures in Google Flu Trends.

Waterborne Noise Prediction of the Reinforced Cylinderical Shell Using the SEA Technique (SEA 기법을 이용한 보강 원통형 셀의 수중방사소음 해석)

  • 배수룡;전재진;이헌곤
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 1992.10a
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    • pp.107-112
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    • 1992
  • 선박 내부에 탑재된 추진 기계류에서 발생되는 진동은 마운트 Deck을 통하 여 선체에 전달되어 수중으로 전파된다. 기계류에 의해 발생되는 수중방사소 음을 감소시키기 위해서는 선체로 전달된 진동수준 및 수중방사소음 예측이 우선 중요하다. 수중방사소음 예측 방법으로 FEM과 BEM에 의한 저주파수 대역 예측, 전달함수에 의한 실험적 예측, SEA(Statistical Energy Analysis) 기법을 이용한 고주파수 대역 예측으로 나눌 수 있다. R.H.Lyon 등에 의해 발전된 SEA 기법은 항공기, 선박등 복잡한 구조물의 고주파수 대역 진동해 석에 널리 이용되고 있다. SEA 기법의 선박에 대한 적용은 소형선박의 기계 류에서 발생되는 진동에 의한 선체 진동수준 및 수중방사소음 해석 등에 적 용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 보강 원통형 셀 모델에 대한 수중방사소음을 SEA 기법을 이용하여 예측하고 실험을 통하여 검증하였다.

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Evaluation of Turbulent Flame Speed Model for Turbulent Premixed Combustion Flow around Bluff Body (보염기 주위의 난류 예혼합 연소에 관한 난류화염 속도 모델의 평가)

  • Park, Nam-Seob;Ko, Sang-Cheol
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.82-88
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to investigate the validity of the dynamic sub-grid G-equation model to a complex turbulent premixed combustion such as bluff body stabilized turbulent premixed flames for the considering of the realistic engineering application. In this study, a new turbulent flame speed model, introduced by the sub-grid turbulent diffusivity and the flame thickness, is also proposed and is compared with an usual model using sub-grid turbulent intensity and with the experimental data. The calculated results can predict the velocity and temperature of the combustion flow in good agreement with the experiment data.

Analysis of Comparisons of Estimations and Measurements of Loran Signal's Propagation Delay due to Irregular Terrain (Loran 신호의 지형에 의한 전파 지연 예측 및 실측 비교 분석)

  • Yu, Dong-Hui
    • Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.107-112
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    • 2011
  • Several developed countries have been developing their own satellite navigation systems, such as Europe's Galileo, China's BEIDOU, and Japan's QZSS, to cope with clock errors and signal vulnerabilities of GPS. In addition, modernization of Loran, eLoran, for GPS backup has been conducted. In Korea, a dependent navigation system has been required and for GPS backup, the need for utilization of time synchronization infrastructure through the modernization of Loran has been raised. Loran signal uses 100Khz groundwave. A significant factor limiting the ranging accuracy of the Loran signal is the ASF arising from the fact that the groundwave signal is likely to propagate over paths of varying conductivity and topography. Thus, an ASF compensation method is very important for Loran and eLoran navigation. This paper introduces the propagation delay model and then compares and analyzes the estimations from the propagation delay model and measured ASFs.

An Indoor Propagation Modeling that can Analyze a Fading Characteristic (페이딩 분석이 가능한 실내 전파 모델링)

  • Seok, Woo-Chan;Kim, Jin-Woong;Yoon, Young-Joong;Seok, Jae-Ho;Lim, Jae-Woo
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.27 no.1B
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    • pp.114-124
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we proposed the image-based 3D ray tracing indoor propagation model using a patch scattering model for fading analysis of indoor propagation environments. An image-based 3D ray tracing technique is mainly used, which allows the rapid generation of the complex channel impulse response for any given location and polarization of transmitter and receiver. Due to the site specific nature of indoor environment, we took into account the location and the electrical properties of individual walls and objects such as windows, doors and plaster board in our propagation model. Besides, the 3D radiation beam-patterns and polarizations of arbitrary antennas were considered, and using patch scattering model we can consider the change of the polarization due to the scattering from the various indoor objects, like desks, chairs and etc. the are almost impossible to be modeled with the basic image-based ray tracing method. The model will predict the impulse response, the rms delay spread, the fading characteristics of the channel and performances of the polarization diversity schemes.

Implementation of Propagation delay estimation model of medium frequency for positioning (측위 적용을 위한 중파의 전파 지연 예측 모델 구현)

  • Yu, Dong-Hui
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.111-118
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    • 2009
  • Against Anomaly of GPS, there are several projects of independent satellite navigation systems like Galileo of Europe and QZSS of Japan and modernization of terrestrial navigation system like Loran. In domestic, the need of independent navigation system was proposed and DGPS signal was nominated as the possible substitute. The DGPS signal uses medium frequency, which travels through the surface and cause the additional delay rather than the speed of light according to Conductivities and elevations of the irregular terrain. The similar approach is Locan-C. Loran-C has been widely used as the maritime location system. Loran-C uses the ASF estimation method and provides more precise positioning. However there was rarely research on this area in Korea Therefore, we introduce the legacy guaranteed model of additional delay(ASF) and present the results of implementation. With the comparison of the original Monteath results and BALOR results respectively, we guarantee that the implementation is absolutely perfect. For further works, we're going to apply the ASF estimation model to Korean DGPS system with the Korean terrain data.

Analysis of UHF-Band Propagation Loss in Long-distance Air-to-Ground Communication Tests (UHF 대역 장거리 항공 통신 시험의 전파 손실 분석)

  • Chang, Min-soo;Kim, Kyoo-hwan;Kim, Jae-hwan;Lee, Jae-moon;Whang, Chan-ho
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.8
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we measured the propagation path loss by a ground to air flight communication test at UHF band and analyzed the results. The ground receiving terminal was located at 1,100m above sea level in Cheju Island and the airborne transmit terminal flew at an altitude of 3.5km from 150 to 220km from the ground terminal. In this case, the ground terminal and the airborne terminal are on the Line of Sight. Therefore loss in this communications environment can be predicted based on Free Space Loss. However, in this test, the sea level exists between two terminals, and due to the very small angle of incidence on the reflecting surface due to the long-range communication environment, it is not possible to accurately predict the loss of free space only. Therefore, considering that there are no surrounding obstacles and that a line of sight is secured between the end of two terminals, we applied a plane earth reflection model and a spherical earth reflection model to estimate the propagation path loss and compared with the actual test results. As a result of the comparison, the predicted propagation path loss by a spherical earth reflection model were quite similar to the actual test values.

공간 모델링을 이용한 자기지전류 탐사의 전자기 잡음 예측

  • Lee, Chun-Gi;Lee, Hui-Sun;Gwon, Byeong-Du
    • 한국지구과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.09a
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    • pp.112-123
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    • 2005
  • 자기지전류 탐사의 적용에 있어 인공잡음의 영향은 탐사의 승패를 좌우하는 중요한 요소이며 인공잡음의 영향을 최소화할 수 있는 탐사의 설계와 자료처리가 요구되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 수치공간자료를 이용한 공간모델링을 통해 MT 주파수 대역에서의 잡음을 예측하고 실제 탐사 자료와 비교분석하여 MT 잡음 모델링을 가능성을 살펴보았다. 수치지도로부터 추출된 잡음원일 가능성이 높은 건물, 도로, 고압 송전선에 의해 발생하는 전자기장의 강도를 지하매질의 전기전도도에 따른 전자기파의 전파 특성을 고려하여 예측하는 잡음모델을 제안하였다. 제안된 잡음모델로부터 예측된 잡음 파워와 실제 탐사를 통해 측정된 MT 자료와의 상관도 분석을 수행한 결과, 전반적으로 전기장에서는 넓은 주파수 대역에서 높은 상관관계를 보이는 반면 자기장은 60 Hz 부근의 대역에서만 상관관계를 가진다. 본 연구에서 제안된 공간모델링을 통한 잡음 예측은 특히 고도로 산업화되어가는 도시 주변지역에서의 MT 탐사를 수행하는데 있어 유용한 정보를 제공할 수 있을 것이다.

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Interference Impact Analysis of Ground Based Radar from Spaceborne High Resolution Synthetic Aperture Radar (고해상도 위성 탑재 영상 레이다(SAR)의 지상 레이다에 미치는 간섭 영향 분석)

  • Song, Woo-Jin;Woo, Sung-Chul;Kwag, Young-Kil
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.663-668
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    • 2008
  • Recently, World Radio Conference(WRC)-2007 approved the ultrawide bandwidth of 500 MHz for the use of spaceborne synthetic aperture radar in X-band for the EESS(Earth Exploration Satellite Service) in order to improve the SAR imaging resolution. It is concerned about the interference impact from the spaceborne SAR that may cause to most of ground radars due to the extended ultra wideband. In this paper, in order to predict the interference impact of the ground-based radar from the spaceborne radar, radar interference model is presented using radar characteristic parameters by taking into account the operating environments of the spaceborne and ground based radar in the time, space, and spectrum domains. Using the spaceborne SAR model of TerraSAR-X and ground radar model of meteorological radar recommended by ITU-R, the interference impact was assessed through the computer simulation to see the possible interference impact of the ground based radar operating in the Korean peninsula.