• Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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• 1994.10a
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• pp.3-3
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• 1994

워게임은 전쟁수행능력 평가를 위하여 수많은 변수들이 복잡하게 연결되어 있는 극한상황에서전투수행상황을 신속학 분석할 수 있는 전쟁모의분석 기법의 하나이다. 최근 컴퓨터의 처리능력이 급격히 증대됨에 따라서 워게임의 활용영역이 점진적으로 확대되고 있다. 워게임운용에 있어서 우리의 전쟁상황과 실정에 맞는 전쟁모의모형을 우리가 개발하여 사용하는 것이 가장 이상적이다. 그러나 이러한 모형개발·운영에는 막대한 비용과 시간이 소요되며, 최근까지 초대형모형을 독자적으로 개발할 수 있는 여건이 충분히 성숙되어 있지 않다. 아직가지 워게임 전문연구기관이 국내에 없으며, 워게임모형개발과 전문이력확보에 대한 투자가 미흡함으로써 전쟁연구의 해외의존이 지속되고 있으며, 한국상황에 적합한 전쟁연구는 국내 워게임 관련기관을 중심으로 제한적으로 수행되고 있는 실정이다. 하지만 당면한 국방정책결정과 전쟁수행능력 평가를 효율적으로 수행하기 위해서는, 선진외국의 개밞형을 보전·보완·개선하여 활용하면서 이와 병행하여 중장기적으로 독자적인 한국형 모형을 개발할 수 있는 능력을 보전하여야 한다. 본 논문은 한국형 워게임 보형개발에 있어서 필수적으로 검토 분석되어야 하는 사항과 주요 전투논리를 개선하는데 필요한 개발단계별 검증방법을 제시한다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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• 1998.03a
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• pp.32-32
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• 1998

과거의 전쟁은 재래식 무기에 의존한 화력전이었지만, 미래의 전쟁은 C4I와 전략무기의 중요성이 강조되는 정보전으로 변화될 것으로 예상된다. 현재 활용중인 대부분의 워게임 모형들은 대형전산기 위주로 개발되었으므로, 정보전 개념을 모의하기 위해서는 모형의 논리구조 개선과 영상전시기능 보완이 요구되고 있다. 하지만 기존 워게임 모형 개선은 최신개발 모형과의 상호 호환성 및 재사용성 측면에서 많은 제약이 따르게 된다. 따라서 세계 각국은 국방모의체계(DM&S)의 발전을 위한 자체적인 종합계획을 수립하여 미래전장에서 적용될 첨단무기체계 효과 분석을 위한 모형을 개발하고 있다. 한국국방연구원은 미래전쟁 양상을 신속하게 분석할 수 있으며, PC에서 운용이 가능한 간이분석모형의 개발을 추진하고 있다. 본고에서는 미래전 분석을 위한 간이모형 개발에 적용된 방법론과 운용논리, 모형검증 기법 등을 소개하고 향후 개발모형의 활용방안을 제시하고자 한다.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.21 no.11
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• pp.77-86
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• 2021

A method of constructing a war simulation based on Bayesian Inference was proposed as a method of constructing heterogeneous historical war data obtained with a time difference into a single model. A method of applying a linear regression model can be considered as a method of predicting future battles by analyzing historical war results. However it is not appropriate for two heterogeneous types of historical data that reflect changes in the battlefield environment due to different times to be suitable as a single linear regression model and violation of the model's assumptions. To resolve these problems a Bayesian inference method was proposed to obtain a post-distribution by assuming the data from the previous era as a non-informative prior distribution and to infer the final posterior distribution by using it as a prior distribution to analyze the data obtained from the next era. Another advantage of the Bayesian inference method is that the results sampled by the Markov Chain Monte Carlo method can be used to infer posterior distribution or posterior predictive distribution reflecting uncertainty. In this way, it has the advantage of not only being able to utilize a variety of information rather than analyzing it with a classical linear regression model, but also continuing to update the model by reflecting additional data obtained in the future.

• Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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• 1999.11c
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• pp.331-340
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• 1999

국제원유가격의 변동은 세계 각국의 경제에 상당한 영향을 미치고 있다. 이러한 원유가격의 변동을 정확히 예측하기 위해서는 원유가격 변동요인의 정립이 필히 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 전통적으로 원유가격의 중요한 변동요인으로 알려져 있는 OPEC의 원유생산량과 걸프전쟁 이후 주요한 국제원유가격 변동요인으로 알려져 있는 OPEC의 원유생산량과 걸프 전쟁 이후 주요한 국제원유가격 변동요인으로 주목받고 있는 미국의 원유재고량의 영향과 역할을 공적분(Cointegration) 모형과 오차수정모형(Error-Correction Model)을 통해 분석하였다. 분석결과, 원유생산량과 더불어 원유재고량도 원유가격의 중요한 변동요인으로 작용함을 알 수 있었다. 장·단기 탄력성의 경우, 원유생산량의 생산탄력성은 단기에 비해 장기에 더 탄력적으로 나타났으며 장기에는 원유재고량의 변동이 생산량의 변동보다 오히려 원유가격에 더 큰 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 원유가격은 첫해에서 나타난 불균형을 대략 12%의 조정속도로, 장기균형으로 조정됨을 알 수 있었다.

• Convergence Security Journal
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• v.13 no.4
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• pp.77-83
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• 2013

As the network composed of numerous sensor nodes, sensor network conducts the function of sensing the surrounding information by sensor and of the sensed information. The concept of the battlefield is also changing to one that includes not only physical spaces but all areas including the networks of the nation's key industries and military facilities, energy facilities, transportation, and communication networks. In light of the changing warfare in terms of how it is conducted and what form it takes, the Korea military has to seek ways to effectively respond to threats of cyber warfare. In the past, although partial strategies on cyber warfare were studied, no research was done through the overall system flow. In this paper, key variables related to cyber warfare security are classified into personnel, management, and technology. A simple model and an extended model are suggested for each area, and based on the technology area of the extended model, formal methods are used to verify the validity and a detailed response strategy is suggested according to the identified leverage.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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• v.39 no.3
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• pp.26-38
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• 2011

The purpose of this study was to analyze the commemoration culture of Vietnam War Memorials (VWM) in Vietnam. Through site survey, the researcher selected 23 VWM in Vietnam and analyzed 5 categories: memorial type, design concept and narratives, location and spatial form, landscape elements, and content expressed in landscape details. The results are as follows: 1. Because of the long, drawn out Vietnam War, which lasted from 1955 to 1975, VWM were divided into 10 types mainly as soldier cemeteries based on a traditional memorial style, battlefields and places of tragedies considering sense of place, war museums representing victory and atrocity in war, and peace parks promoting reconciliation and peacemaking. 2. The analysis revealed that the main concepts and narratives of VWM were to value the victims of the Vietnam War, remember soldiers' contributions, highlight the victory in war and resistance to the United States, and express a sense of place. Peacemaking applied only to My Lai Peace Park and Han-Viet Hoa Binh Cong Vien, built by international cooperation. 3. Cemeteries and appreciation memorials were designed to follow a traditional memorial space form that highly regard both axis and symmetry. The design concept at battlefields and places where tragedies occurred depended mainly upon a sense of place and used symbolic landscape elements to compensate for the undefined concept. 4. Sculptures and towers were mainly used to highlight war victory and resistance as the representative style of a Socialist country, weapons and pictures exhibited in war museums and battlefield showed the reality and strain of war. Symbolic elements of Buddhism and Confucianism were often introduced as a way to venerate the memory of deceased persons. 5. The state and heroic actions in the Vietnam War were realistically depicted on sculptures and walls. Also, the symbolic phrase, 'TO-QUOC-GUI-CONG' meaning 'our country remember your achievement', were written on the memorial tower and 'Quagmiire' was used to metaphorically represent the difficulties faced by the U.S. military on battlefields during the war and the uncertainly that pervaded U.S. society in those days. 6. In VWM, ideologies like nationalism, patriotism, socialism, capitalism were mixed and traditional cultures like Buddhism, Confucianism, Taoism were inherent. Differing from their Confucianism culture, war heroes, particularly including women, were often described by sculpture, monument, and pictures and the conflict in and outside the country regarding the Vietnam War was shown. Further study will be required to analyze design characteristics of VWM in the u.s. and to understand the difference in commemoration cultures between Vietnam and the U.S.

• Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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• v.38 no.4
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• pp.87-106
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• 2022

Uncertainties in the energy market are increasing due to technology developments (shale revolution), trade wars, COVID-19, and the Russia-Ukraine war. Especially, since 2020, the risk of international trade in the energy market has increased significantly due to changes in the supply chain of transportation and due to prolonged demand reduction because of COVID-19 and the Russian-Ukraine war. Considering these points, this study analyzed connectedness between energy price, tanker index, and uncertainty to understand the connectedness between international trade in the energy market. Main results are summarized as follows. First, as a result of analyzing stable period and unstable period of the energy price model using the MS-VAR model, it was confirmed that both the crude oil market model and the natural gas market model had a higher probability of maintaining stable period than unstable period, increasing volatility by specific events. Second, looking at the results of the analysis of the connectedness between stable period and unstable period of the energy market, it was confirmed that in the case of total connectedness, connectedness between variables was increased in the unstable period compared to the stable period. In the case of the energy market stable period, considering the degree of connectedness, it was confirmed that the effect of the tanker freight index, which represents the demand-side factor, was significant. Third, unstable period of the natural gas market model increases rapidly compared to the crude oil market model, indicating that the volatility spillover effect of the natural gas market is greater when uncertainties affecting energy prices increase compared to the crude oil market.

• Journal of Technology Innovation
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.149-177
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• 2009

Today, the phase of modem war is very different from past war. That is, the winning of war depends on the ability to obtain information and high technology. The purposes of this research are to propose an effective R&D governance model in national defense sector and to present R&D strategy for obtaining core national defense technology. As a part of collaborative innovation, the strategy to exchange R&D results actively between the defense sector and the private sector will be discussed. The main contribution of this research is dearly defining the concept of R&D governance in national defense sector and applying it to an actual case. The national defense R&D governance model proposed in this paper is based on the characteristics of national defense R&D which are different from other industries. The analysis of business success factors for national defense R&D through the T-50 case study is presented in detail. The T-50 case study reveals the importance of strategic intent, core technology knowledge base, organizational structure, and project management.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.8 no.12
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• pp.310-321
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• 2008

In the era of the Korean Empire, the identity of nation is not secured, therefore police system are also changed many times which has not an consistent directions. There are efforts of the ruler to reinforce or protect the nation against the invasion of outside power in the process, of course. But these efforts which reinforce the power of despotic emperor and modernize the nation are disappointed by the exclusive control of japan after the Russo-Japanese War in 1904. Therefore, japan disseized the police power of the Korean Empire in various forms(general police and military police). And these general police and military police are faced role conflict often, finally integrate to the military police, which take root the basic model of colonial police in 1910.

• Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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• v.33 no.1
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• pp.105-115
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• 2007

It is essential to give a fatal damage to the enemy force by using prompt and accurate fire in order to overcome the lack of artillery force. During the artillery fire operations, minimizing the firing time will secure the adapt ability in tactical operation. In this paper, we developed a mathematical model to schedule the artillery fire on the multiple targets to decrease total fire operation time. To design a program to describe a real firing situation, we consider many possible circumstances of changes such as commander's intention, firing constraints, target priority, and contingency plan to make a fire plan in an artillery unit. In order to work out the target sequencing problem, MIP is developed and the optimum solution is obtained by using ILOG OPL. If this analytical model is applied to a field artillery unit, it will improve the efficiency of the artillery fire force operations.