• Title/Summary/Keyword: 전력소비량예측

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Prediction for Energy Demand Using 1D-CNN and Bidirectional LSTM in Internet of Energy (에너지인터넷에서 1D-CNN과 양방향 LSTM을 이용한 에너지 수요예측)

  • Jung, Ho Cheul;Sun, Young Ghyu;Lee, Donggu;Kim, Soo Hyun;Hwang, Yu Min;Sim, Issac;Oh, Sang Keun;Song, Seung-Ho;Kim, Jin Young
    • Journal of IKEEE
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.134-142
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    • 2019
  • As the development of internet of energy (IoE) technologies and spread of various electronic devices have diversified patterns of energy consumption, the reliability of demand prediction has decreased, causing problems in optimization of power generation and stabilization of power supply. In this study, we propose a deep learning method, 1-Dimention-Convolution and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (1D-ConvBLSTM), that combines a convolution neural network (CNN) and a Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory(BLSTM) for highly reliable demand forecasting by effectively extracting the energy consumption pattern. In experimental results, the demand is predicted with the proposed deep learning method for various number of learning iterations and feature maps, and it is verified that the test data is predicted with a small number of iterations.

A Study on Changing Patterns of Short-run and Long-run Electricity Demand in Korea (우리나라 전력수요 패턴의 장단기 변화 실적에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Kwon-Soo;Park, Jong-In;Park, Chae-Soo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.435-438
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    • 2008
  • 우리나라 최대전력은 70년대 연도별로 36만 kW, 약 15%씩 증가하였으나, 최근 2000년대에는 연도별로 300만kW 이상, 약 6%대의 증가를 보이고 있다. 발생시간도 70년대에는 저녁시간대에 주로 발생했으나 80년대부터 최근까지는 15시에 하계 최대전력이 발생하고 있다 아울러 최근에는 기상의 변동폭 증가로 여름과 겨울의 계절성이 증폭되는 추세에 있고 이러한 최대전력 발생의 이면에는 시간별 부하패턴이 다양하게 나타나고 있다. 과거 70-80년대에는 연간이나 월간 부하패턴 모두 평균전력대비 변동폭이 크게 나타났으나 최근에는 변동폭이 상당히 작아지고 있다. 이는 최대전력에 못지않게 전력소비량이 지속적으로 증가하여 부하수준이 평준화되고, 부하율이 높아지고 있다는 것을 나타내며 연중 및 일간 피크 발생시점도 다변화되는 특징을 보이고 있다. 따라서 이러한 부하패턴 변화에 합리적으로 대응하기 위해서는 짧은 기간의 부하관리보다는 상시 수요관리인 효율향상 위주의 프로그램이 필요하고, 저렴한 전기 요금의 정상화를 통한 전력소비 감축을 통한 대응이 중요하다. 외국의 사례를 보면 우리나라 냉방 및 난방전력은 현재보다 10%p-20%p 정도 점유비가 추가적으로 상승할 개연성이 높으므로 다양한 시나리오 예측을 통한 철저한 위험관리 체계 확립이 요구된다.

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고령화가 가정부문 에너지 소비량에 미치는 영향 분석: 전력수요를 중심으로

  • Won, Du-Hwan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.341-369
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    • 2012
  • Population aging has been one of the serious problems in Korea. Aging can affect social and economic features including energy consumption. This paper analyzed how population aging makes an effect on residential electricity demand. Yearly data from 1965 to 2010 were collected. The long and short-run demands for residential electricity were estimated with respect to Korean aging index. The results show that population aging reduces residential electricity demands in the short run significantly, but the effect decreases in the long run. However, population aging still negatively affects residential electricity consumption in long run. If population keep aging as Korean government expected, then the residential electricity demand per capita will grow less than 3%.

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A Study on the Analysis of Power Load Density and Electric Power Consumption in Apartment Housing (아파트의 전력부하밀도 및 전력소비 실태 분석 연구)

  • 이기홍;성세진
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.118-124
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    • 2001
  • To guide the esti-on of electric d e d and energy saving, this proposed the Power Laaddensity, Elechic pwer consumption and the installed state of Power facility. For this purp~se, it wasconducted a questionnaire survey of the consumption-cattern of Electric power in 1W a p a r t t housings.As a 1-esult it is found that (i) the d m u m value of Power Load density is 7.70[~A/m"l, (ii) the avtragevalue of Power Load dens'||'&'||' is ~ . ~ A / mm' dl (iiijthe average load rate is Ed[%]. Also, the consumptionof electricity one year at tlie whole a m n t s of couniry is 14,0X[GWyearl, it was equivalent to 7[%1 ofthe total-consunmhon of electricity one year at the whole of co1mtnr. co1mtnr.

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The Numerical Analysis of Two-Dimensional Electrokinetic Remediation Characteristics Dependent on Electrode Configurations (전극배치에 따른 2차원적 동전기 정화 특성의 수치해석)

  • Kim, Soo Sam;Han, Sang Jae;Kim, Byung Ill
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.5C
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    • pp.291-301
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    • 2006
  • In this study the characteristics of electrokinetic remediation, which is dependent on a various electrode configuration, was predicted from 2-D numerical analysis program (HERO-2D). Based on the predicted results for one dimensional and two dimensional electrode configurations, the optimized electrode configuration was determined by analyzing remediation efficiency, consumed electric power, installation cost of electrode and so on. When proposed electrode configurations were applied for in-situ remediation of the soils contaminated by heavy metals, the electrode configuration of high remediation efficiency should be chosen in case the high removal effect would be required, and one dimensional electrode configuration should be chosen in case the hard field works would be expected. Because the rectangular electrode configuration is better than others for consumed electric power, remediation efficiency per unit power, installation cost of electrode and so on, it can obtain the best results for the cost reduction.

Energy-Efficient Operation Simulation of Factory HVAC System based on Machine Learning (머신러닝 기반 공장 HVAC 시스템의 에너지 효율화 운영 시뮬레이션)

  • Seok-Ju Lee;Van Quan Dao
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.47-54
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    • 2024
  • The global decrease in traditional energy resources has prompted increasing energy demand, necessitating efforts to replace and optimize energy sources. This study focuses on enhancing energy efficiency in manufacturing plants, known for their high energy consumption. Through simulations and analyses, the study proposes a temperature-based control system for HVAC (Heating, Ventilating, and Air Conditioning) operations, utilizing machine learning algorithms to predict and optimize factory temperatures. The results indicate that this approach, particularly the prediction-based free cooling algorithm, can achieve over 10% energy savings compared to existing systems. This paper presents that implementing an efficient HVAC control system can significantly reduce overall factory energy consumption, with plans to apply it to real factories in the future.

Data Mining-Based Performance Prediction Technology of Geothermal Heat Pump System (지열 히트펌프 시스템의 데이터 마이닝 기반 성능 예측 기술)

  • Hwang, Min Hye;Park, Myung Kyu;Jun, In Ki;Sohn, Byonghu
    • Transactions of the KSME C: Technology and Education
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2016
  • This preliminary study investigated data mining-based methods to assess and predict the performance of geothermal heat pump(GHP) system. Data mining is a key process of the knowledge discovery in database (KDD), which includes five steps: 1) Selection; 2) Pre-processing; 3) Transformation; 4) Analysis(data mining); and 5) Interpretation/Evaluation. We used two analysis models, categorical and numerical decision tree models to ascertain the patterns of performance(COP) and electrical consumption of the GHP system. Prior to applying the decision tree models, we statistically analyzed measurement database to determine the effect of sampling intervals on the system performance. Analysis results showed that 10-min sampling data for the performance analysis had highest accuracy of 97.7% over the actual dataset of the GHP system.

Artificial Neural Network-based Thermal Environment Prediction Model for Energy Saving of Data Center Cooling Systems (데이터센터 냉각 시스템의 에너지 절약을 위한 인공신경망 기반 열환경 예측 모델)

  • Chae-Young Lim;Chae-Eun Yeo;Seong-Yool Ahn;Sang-Hyun Lee
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.883-888
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    • 2023
  • Since data centers are places that provide IT services 24 hours a day, 365 days a year, data center power consumption is expected to increase to approximately 10% by 2030, and the introduction of high-density IT equipment will gradually increase. In order to ensure the stable operation of IT equipment, various types of research are required to conserve energy in cooling and improve energy management. This study proposes the following process for energy saving in data centers. We conducted CFD modeling of the data center, proposed an artificial intelligence-based thermal environment prediction model, compared actual measured data, the predicted model, and the CFD results, and finally evaluated the data center's thermal management performance. It can be seen that the predicted values of RCI, RTI, and PUE are also similar according to the normalization used in the normalization method. Therefore, it is judged that the algorithm proposed in this study can be applied and provided as a thermal environment prediction model applied to data centers.

SVM-based Energy-Efficient scheduling on Heterogeneous Multi-Core Mobile Devices (비대칭 멀티코어 모바일 단말에서 SVM 기반 저전력 스케줄링 기법)

  • Min-Ho, Han;Young-Bae, Ko;Sung-Hwa, Lim
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.69-75
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    • 2022
  • We propose energy-efficient scheduling considering real-time constraints and energy efficiency in smart mobile with heterogeneous multi-core structure. Recently, high-performance applications such as VR, AR, and 3D game require real-time and high-level processings. The big.LITTLE architecture is applied to smart mobiles devices for high performance and high energy efficiency. However, there is a problem that the energy saving effect is reduced because LITTLE cores are not properly utilized. This paper proposes a heterogeneous multi-core assignment technique that improves real-time performance and high energy efficiency with big.LITTLE architecture. Our proposed method optimizes the energy consumption and the execution time by predicting the actual task execution time using SVM (Support Vector Machine). Experiments on an off-the-shelf smartphone show that the proposed method reduces energy consumption while ensuring the similar execution time to legacy schemes.

Analysis of Automatic Meter Reading Systems (IBM, Oracle, and Itron) (국외 상수도 원격검침 시스템(IBM, Oracle, Itron) 분석)

  • Joo, Jin Chul;Kim, Juhwan;Lee, Doojin;Choi, Taeho;Kim, Jong Kyu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.264-264
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    • 2017
  • 국외의 상수도 원격검침 시스템 내 데이터 전송방식은 도시 규모, 계량기의 밀도, 전력공급 여부 및 통신망의 설치 여부 등을 종합적으로 고려하여 결정되었다. 대부분의 스마트워터미터 제조업체들은 계량기의 부호기가 공급하는 판독 내용(데이터)을 전송할 검침단말기와 근거리 통신망(neighborhood area network)을 연계하여 개발 및 판매하였으며, 자체 소유 통신 프로토콜을 사용하여 라디오 주파수(RF) 통신 기술을 사용하고 있다. 광역통신망(wide area network)의 경우, 노드(말단의 계량기 및 센서)들과 이에 연결된 통신망 들을 포함한 네트웍의 배열이나 구성이 스타(star), 메쉬(mesh), 버스(bus), 나무(tree) 등의 형태로 통신망이 구성되어 있으나, 스타와 메쉬형 통신망 구성형태가 가장 널리 활용되는 것으로 조사되었다. 시스템 통합운영관리 업체들인 IBM, Oracle, Itron 등은 용수 인프라 관리 또는 통합네트워크 솔루션 등의 통합 물관리 시스템(integrated water management system)을 개발하여 현장적용을 하고 있으며, 원격검침 시스템을 통해 고객들의 현재 소비량과 과거 누적 소비량, 누수 감지 서비스 및 실시간 요금 고지 등을 실시간으로 웹 포털과 앱을 통해 제공하고 있다. 또한, 일부 제조업체들은 도시 용수공급/소비 관리자가 주민의 용수사용량을 모니터링하여 일평균 용수사용량 및 사용 경향을 파악하고, 누수를 검지하여 복구 및 용수 사용 지속가능성 지수를 제시하고, 실시간으로 주민의 용수사용량 관련 데이터를 모니터링하여 용수공급의 최적화를 위한 의사결정지원 서비스를 용수공급자에게 제공하고 있다. 최근에는 인공지능을 활용해 가정용수의 용도별(세탁용수, 화장실용수, 샤워용수, 식기세척용수 등) 사용량 곡선을 패터닝하여 profiling 기법을 도입해, 스마트워터미터에서 용수사용량이 통합되어 검지될 시 용수사용량의 세부 용도별 re-profiling 기법을 도입하여 가정용수내 과소비되는 지점을 도출 후 절감을 유도하는 기술이 개발 중이다. 또한, 미래 용수 사용량 예측을 위해 다양한 시계열 자료를 분석하는 선형 종속 모형(자기회귀모형, 자기회귀이동평균모형, 자기회귀적분이동평균모형 등)과 비선형 종속 모형(Fuzzy Logic, Neural Network, Genetic Algorithm 등)을 활용한 예측기능이 구축되어 상호 비교하여 최적의 용수사용량 예측 도구를 제공되고 있다.

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