• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.25 no.2
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• pp.351-362
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• 2012

Weather generators are statistical tools to produce synthetic sequences of daily weather variables. We propose the multisite weather generators with a spatio-temporal correlation based on hierarchical generalized linear models. We develop a computational algorithm to produce future weather variables that use three different types of green-house gases scenarios. We apply the proposed method to a daily time series of precipitation and average temperature for South Korea.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.28 no.4
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• pp.797-810
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• 2017

The Korean peninsula is exposed to typhoons every year. Typhoons cause huge socioeconomic damage because tropical cyclones tend to occur with strong winds and heavy precipitation. In order to understand the complex dependence structure between strong winds and heavy precipitation, the copula links a set of univariate distributions to a multivariate distribution and has been actively studied in the field of hydrology. In this study, we carried out analysis using data of wind speed and precipitation collected from the weather stations in Busan and Jeju. Log-Normal, Gamma, and Weibull distributions were considered to explain marginal distributions of the copula. Kolmogorov-Smirnov, Cramer-von-Mises, and Anderson-Darling test statistics were employed for testing the goodness-of-fit of marginal distribution. Observed pseudo data were calculated through inverse transformation method for establishing the copula. Elliptical, archimedean, and extreme copula were considered to explain the dependence structure between strong winds and heavy precipitation. In selecting the best copula, we employed the Cramer-von-Mises test and cross-validation. In Busan, precipitation according to average wind speed followed t copula and precipitation just as maximum wind speed adopted Clayton copula. In Jeju, precipitation according to maximum wind speed complied Normal copula and average wind speed as stated in precipitation followed Frank copula and maximum wind speed according to precipitation observed Husler-Reiss copula.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.26 no.1
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• pp.1-14
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• 2013

ARIMA and ARIMA+IGARCH models are fitted and compared for daily Korean won/US dollar exchange rate data over 17 years. A linear structural change model and an autoregressive structural change model are fitted for multiple change-point estimation since there seems to be structural change with this data.

• Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
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• v.19 no.1
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• pp.45-68
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• 2013

In this study, We examined the dual path model in which entitlement rage and sexual dominance on the one of two pathway, sexual permissiveness and sexual objectification on another pathway mediated the relation between narcissism and sexual aggression. In addition, it was investigated whether alcohol use and rape myths acceptance have moderating effects in the pathways from sexual dominance and sexual objectification to sexual aggression on our path model. Data from 368 male college students in four university in Chungcheong province were analyzed using structural equation modeling. Results in structural equation modeling exhibited that narcissism affected sexual aggression through mediating effects of entitlement rage and sexual dominance, and through mediating effects of sexual permissiveness and sexual objectification. Furthermore, alcohol use and rape myths acceptance only moderated the relation between sexual dominance and sexual aggression on our model. We discussed the meaning of results and the implications for further study.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.371-381
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• 2000

In this paper, we describes smoothing spline in nonparametric regression and some asymptotic results for estimates of the regression cofficients in the parametric part were biased on semi parametric regression estimator.

• The Journal of Information Technology
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• v.3 no.1
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• pp.37-44
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• 2000

The purchasing estimate price of diamond is affected by the factors of carat, color, clarity, certificate, cut and price with the unit of $/carat. The object of this study is to obtain the linear regression model for such purchasing estimate price and to test statistically. The optimum model is the simple regression model of $^y{\;}:{\;}10^2{\;}/{\;}(-1.5575{\;}+{\;}0.3099{\;}logx){\;}+{\;}{\varepsilon}$ statistically satisfied by the lack of fit test and has the characteristics of normality, constant variance and symmetry.

• Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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• v.15 no.3
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• pp.367-380
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• 2012

The purpose of this research was to implement and verify an information retrieval(IR) system based on users' relevance criteria for information search tasks. For this purpose, we implemented an IR system with a dynamic ranking model using users' relevance criteria varying with the types of information search task and evaluated this system through user experiment. 45 participants performed three information search tasks on both IR systems with a static and a dynamic ranking model. Three Information search tasks are fact finding search task, problem solving search task and decision making search task. Participants evaluated top five search results on 7 likert scales of relevance. We observed that the IR system with a dynamic ranking model provided more relevant search results compared to the system with a static ranking model. This research has significance in designing IR system for information search tasks, in testing the validity of user-oriented relevance judgement model by implementing an IR system for actual information search tasks and in relating user research to the improvement of an IR system.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.13 no.8
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• pp.3417-3426
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• 2012

This study aims to determine how ownership structure (share-holding ratio of insiders, foreigners) affects agent costs (the portion of asset efficiency or non-operating expenses) through empirical analysis. However, as existing studies on correlations between ownership structure and agent costs adopted Pooled OLS Model, this study focused on additionally formulating Fixed Effect Model and Random Effect Model aimed to reflect the time of data formation and corporate effects as study models based on verification results on the suitability of Pooled-OLS Model before comparative analysis for the purpose of improvement of credibility and statistical validity of the results of empirical analysis based on the premise that the Pooled OLS Model is not reliable enough to verify massive panel data. The data has been accumulated over 10 years from 1998 to 2007 after the IMF crisis hit the nation, from a subject 331 companies except for financial institutions. As a result of the empirical analysis, verification of the suitability of model has determined that the Random Effect Model is appropriate in terms of asset efficiency among agent costs items. On the other hand, the Fixed Effect Model is appropriate in terms of non-operating costs. As a result of the empirical analysis according to the appropriate model, no hypothesis adopted in the Pooled OLS Model has been accepted. This suggests that developing an appropriate model is more important than other factors for the purpose of generating statistically significant empirical results by showing that different empirical results are produced according to the type of empirical analysis.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2020.06a
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• pp.192-192
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• 2020

취약성 분석의 결과로 폭설에 의한 기후노출은 현재에는 강원권이 가장 취약한 것으로 나타났다. 그러나 미래에는 강원권, 충청권, 호남권을 연결하는 축으로 취약지역이 확대될 것으로 전망된다. 본 연구에서는 다양한 머신러닝 기법을 이용하여 대설피해 예측을 실시하였다. 머신러닝 기법으로는 로지스틱회귀모형, 서포트벡터 머신, 의사결정트리 모형을 적용하였다. 종속변수로 대설피해액 자료를 이용하였고, 독립변수로 기상관측자료, 사회·경제적 요소를 사용하였다. 결과적으로 기존에 사용했던 다중회귀모형과 머신러닝 기법으로 예측한 예측력을 비교 및 분석하였고, 예측력이 가장 높은 머신러닝 기법을 제시하였다. 본 연구에서 대설피해 예측을 위해 사용된 예측력이 가장 높은 기법을 활용하여 대설피해를 예측한다면, 미래에 전국적으로 확대될 대설피해에 대해 효과적으로 대비할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2006.05a
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• pp.1701-1705
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• 2006

본 연구에서는 일차원 수리학적 하도추적모형인 FLDWAV 모형을 이용하여 낙동강 유역에 대해서 댐하류유역의 하도망을 구성하여 모형을 수행함으로서 댐 방류에 따른 안동댐에서 하구둑까지의 수리학적 흐름특성을 분석하였다. 대상구간은 안동댐${\sim}$하구둑까지의 본류구간과 임하댐직하${\sim}$반변천합류점, 합천댐직하${\sim}$황강합류점, 남강댐직하${\sim}$남강합류점까지의 단면을 적용하였으며, 하천정비기본계획상에 나타난 실측하상단면자료를 FLDWAV모형에 적합하게 변환하였다. 본 연구에서 적용된 모형은 1차원 부정류 해석모형으로서 단일하도 뿐만 아니라 지류와 연계된 하도망의 해석도 성공적으로 수행하게 된다. 모형에 의해 산정된 유량 및 수위의 값들은 당시의 실측값과 비교하여 유사한 형태를 가지며 정량적, 정성적인 부분에서 모형의 적합성을 증명하였다. 본 연구를 통하여 대상구간의 전체하도에 대한 적용절차 및 분석기법 등을 참조하여 다른 수계로의 확장이 가능하게 된다. 단면변환 및 경계조건 산정방법, 모형의 수행 및 결과 분석 과정 등이 댐방류 또는 지류의 유입을 고려한 합리적인 하천관리를 위한 방향을 제시하게 될 것으로 판단된다.