• Title/Summary/Keyword: 재해 지수

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Evaluation of flash drought characteristics using satellite-based soil moisture product between North and South Korea (위성영상 기반 토양수분을 활용한 남북한의 돌발가뭄 특성 비교)

  • Lee, Hee-Jin;Nam, Won-Ho;Jason A. Otkin;Yafang Zhong;Xiang Zhang;Mark D. Svoboda
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.57 no.8
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    • pp.509-518
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    • 2024
  • Flash drought is a rapid-onset drought that occurs rapidly over a short period due to abrupt changes in meteorological and environmental factors. In this study, we utilized satellite-based soil moisture product from the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer-2(AMSR2) ascending X-band to calculate the weekly Flash Drought Intensity Index (FDII). We also analyzed the characteristics of flash droughts on the Korean Peninsula over a 10-year period from 2013 to 2022. The analysis of monthly spatial distribution patterns of the irrigation period across the Korean Peninsula revealed significant variations. In North Korea (NK), a substantial increase in the rate of intensification (FD_INT) was observed due to the rapid depletion of soil moisture, whereas South Korea (SK) experienced a significant increase in drought severity (DRO_SEV). Additionally, regional time series analysis revealed that both FD_INT and DRO_SEV were significantly high in the Gangwon province of both NK and SK. The estimation of probability density by region revealed a clear difference in FD_INT between NK and SK, with SK showing a higher probability of severe drought occurrence primarily due to the high values of DRO_SEV. As a result, it is inferred that the occurrence frequency and damage of flash droughts in NK are higher than those in SK, as indicated by the higher density of large FDII values in the NK region. We analyzed the correlation between DRO_SEV and the Evaporative Stress Index (ESI) across the Korean Peninsula and confirmed a positive correlation ranging from 0.4 to 0.6. It is concluded that analyzing overall drought conditions through the average drought severity holds high utility. These findings are expected to contribute to understanding the characteristics of flash droughts on the Korean Peninsula and formulating post-event response plans.

A Study on Air Resistance and Greenhouse Gas Emissions of an Ocean Leisure Planning Boat (해양레저용 활주형선의 공기저항 및 온실 가스 배출에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Y.S.;Hwang, S.K.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.202-210
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    • 2013
  • As incomes increase, interest in ocean leisure picks up. As a result, a lot of research and developments on hull form design and production of planing boats, mostly used for ocean leisure, are needed. Analysis in researches on resistance of planing boats shows that resistance characteristic of planing boats is different from resistance characteristic of general boats because the former is fast, and its wetted surface is very small. Using Savitsky formula widely used in the calculation of effective horse power in shipbuildingyards, and propulsion system and engine manufacturers, this study calculated total resistance of a research planing boat. Then it analyzed the flow characteristics of the planing boat through theoretical analysis and wind tunnel experiment, and computed air resistance and lift force by changes of speed and trim angle. It also compared and analyzed result of theoretical analysis and experiment of the ratio of air resistance to total resistance under variations of velocity and trim angle. When the study is used to estimate more accurate effective horse power, it is expected to remedy abuses of unnecessarily installing high-powered engine. As nature disasters due to abnormal changes of weather increase, interest in greenhouse gas grows. International Maritime Organization (IMO) legislated Energy Efficiency Design Index (EEDI) and Energy Efficiency Operational Indicator (EEOI) to reduce ship greenhouse gas emissions. But this index will be applied to over 400 tons ships, small ships, emitting more greenhouse gases than larege ships per unit power, will dodge the regulations. Thus, this study indicated a problem by calculating greenhouse gas emissions of an ocean leisure planning boat (a small ship), and suggested the need for EEDI of small ships.

The Variation of Benthic Macroinvertebrates Caused by Erosion Control Works in a Torrential Stream - Focused on Variation of Benthic Macroinvertebrates Analyzed immediately after Construction Works - (황폐계류의 사방공작물 시공에 따른 저서성 대형무척추동물상의 변화 - 시공 직후의 변화를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Do-Hyung;Lee, Ki-Hwan;Lee, Heon-Ho;Ma, Ho-Seop;Bae, Kwan-Ho;Kim, Jong-Hyon
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.353-364
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    • 2009
  • This study was conducted to evaluate the effect of erosion control works on the stream ecosystem in a mountain torrential stream. The species composition of benthic macroinvertebrates and biological water quality were investigated before and after construction of erosion control works at 5 sites. The total number of benthic macroinvertebrates before construction was 3,086 individuals including 4 phyla, 6 classes, 11 orders, 22 families, and 25 species, but after construction it has decreased to 1,208 individuals including 4 phyla, 6 classes, 10 orders, 17 families, and 19 species. Especially, the diversity, richness, and evenness indices, which were calculated based on existing number of biological species, have decreased or not produced at the erosion control sites, where biological species were not found or the minimum number of species were found. The results of community analysis of benthic macroinvertebrates and ESB(Ecological Score of Benthic macroinvertebrate community) indicated that the environmental qualities of the stream based on saprobity, environmental condition, and water quality decreased after the construction at all sites: before construction, the top of the stream was satisfactory and some satisfactory, the middle was some defectiveness, and the lower was defectiveness and very defectiveness; after construction, all parts of the stream except some parts of the top were very defectiveness. Moreover, the water quality of torrential stream was rated between I to III before construction, but after construction, it declined to $IV{\sim}V$ except control. The habitat damage of benthic macro invertebrates occurred at all investigation sites after the construction of erosion control works led to reduction of the number of biological species and water quality deterioration. The results reported in this study were collected directly after the construction of erosion control works. Therefore, additional studies are needed to further explore the effect of disaster-prevention of erosion control works and the recovery process of stream ecosystem through long term monitoring.

Analysis of the Characteristics of the Seismic source and the Wave Propagation Parameters in the region of the Southeastern Korean Peninsula (한반도 남동부 지진의 지각매질 특성 및 지진원 특성 변수 연구)

  • Kim, Jun-Kyoung;Kang, Ik-Bum
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.2 no.1 s.4
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    • pp.135-141
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    • 2002
  • Both non-linear damping values of the deep and shallow crustal materials and seismic source parameters are found from the observed near-field seismic ground motions at the South-eastern Korean Peninsula. The non-linear numerical algorithm applied in this study is Levenberg-Marquadet method. All the 25 sets of horizontal ground motions (east-west and north-south components at each seismic station) from 3 events (micro to macro scale) were used for the analysis of damping values and source parameters. The non-linear damping values of the deep and shallow crustal materials were found to be more similar to those of the region of the Western United States. The seismic source parameters found from this study also showed that the resultant stress drop values are relatively low compared to those of the Western United Sates. Consequently, comparisons of the various seismic parameters from this study and those of the United States Seismo-tectonic data suggest that the seismo-tectonic characteristics of the South eastern Korean Peninsula is more similar to those of the Western U.S.

Predictive Flooded Area Susceptibility and Verification Using GIS and Frequency Ratio (빈도비 모델과 GIS을 이용한 침수 취약 지역 예측 기법 개발 및 검증)

  • Lee, Moung-Jin;Kang, Jung-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.86-102
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    • 2012
  • For predictive flooded area susceptibility mapping, this study applied and verified probability model and the frequency ratio using a geographic information system (GIS) and frequency raio. Flooded areas were identified in the study area of field surveys, For predictive flooded area susceptibility mapping, this study applied and verified probability model and the frequency ratio using a geographic information system (GIS) and frequency raio. Flooded areas were identified in the study area of field surveys, and maps of the topography, geology, landcover and green infrastructure were constructed for a spatial database. The factors that influence flooded areas occurrence, such as slope gradient, slope, aspect and curvature of topography and distance from darinage, were calculated from the topographic database. Lithology and distance from fault were extracted and calculated from the geology database. The frequency ratio coefficient is overlaid for flooded areas susceptibility mapping as each factor's ratings. Then the flooded areas susceptibility map was verified and compared using the existing flooded areas. As the verification results, the frequency ratio model showed 82% in prediction accuracy. The method can be used to reduce hazards associated with flooded areas and to plan land use.

Development of Real-time Inflow Forecasting Models for Securing Reservoir Conservation Storage (이수용량 확보를 위한 실시간 저수지 유입량 예측모형의 개발)

  • Jang, Su-Hyung;Yoon, Jae-Young;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Won-Seock;Yoon, Yong-Nam
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.821-825
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    • 2005
  • 본 연구에서는 홍수조절 용 저수지의 예비방류 시행을 충분히 효과적으로 시행하고 강우종료 후에도 충분한 이수용량이 확보되도록 실시간 강우자료를 이용한 저수지 유입량 예측모형을 개발하였다. 사전예보(기상청 등)에 의한 총 예상강우량과 선행강우량, 현재 저수지 수위를 입력자료로 저수지 유입 총량과 수위변화량을 계산하여 홍수조절 응 저수지의 초기수위저하 및 하류 하도의 홍수방어를 사전에 대비할 수 있는 자료를 제시하였다. 또한, 유역을 하나의 통합시스템으로 구성하고 실제 강우가 시작되면 매시간 현시간 이후 강우가 중단된다는 가정 하에 현시점까지의 우량주상도를 통합시스템에 적용하여 이후 저수지 유입량을 예측하였다. 무한천 예당저수지에 적용하였으며 통합시스템의 구성은 저수지유역을 10개 소유역으로 분할하고 소유역별 홍수유출량은 Clark의 유역추적법, 하도구간은 Muskingum의 하도홍수추적 방법으로 계산되도록 하였다. 그리고 홍수유출시스템 내에는 강우관측소별 티센가중치에 따라 소유역별 평균강우량이 자동으로 입력되도록 하였으며, 예측정확도를 위해 현시간 이전까지 매시간마다 저수지의 수위변동과 실제 방류량으로부터 실측유입량을 산정하여 모형의 매개변수가 자동 보정되도록 하였다. 1995년 8월 23일$\~$8월 26일과 1999년 8월 2일$\~$8월 4일의 집중호우에 대하여 적용한 결과 모형의 예측정확도는 신뢰수준에 있었으며, 이와 같은 자료는 장수형 등(2005)이 제시한 효율적 저수지 운영관리 시스템과 하나로 통합되어 하류 하도의 통수능력을 고려한 홍수방어능력을 극대화한 예비방류의 시행과 강우종료 후에도 이수용량에는 손실이 없는 저수지의 관리방안의 지침이 되는데 효율적이라 판단되었다. 방법을 개발하여 개선시킬 필요성이 있다.>$4.3\%$로 가장 근접한 결과를 나타내었으며, 총 유출량에서도 각각 $7.8\%,\;13.2\%$의 오차율을 가지는 것으로 분석되어 타 모형에 비해 실유량과의 차가 가장 적은 것으로 모의되었다. 향후 도시유출을 모의하는 데 가장 근사한 유출량을 산정할 수 있는 근거가 될 것이며, 도시재해 저감대책을 수립하는데 기여할 수 있을 것이라 판단된다.로 판단되는 대안들을 제시하는 예비타당성(Prefeasibility) 계획을 수립하였다. 이렇게 제시된 계획은 향후 과학적인 분석(세부평가방법)을 통해 대안을 평가하고 구체적인 타당성(feasibility) 계획을 수립하는데 토대가 될 것이다.{0.11R(mm)}(r^2=0.69)$로 나타났다. 이는 토양의 투수특성에 따라 강우량 증가에 비례하여 점증하는 침투수와 구분되는 현상이었다. 경사와 토양이 같은 조건에서 나지의 경우 역시 $Ro_{B10}(mm)=20.3e^{0.08R(mm)(r^2=0.84)$로 지수적으로 증가하는 경향을 나타내었다. 유거수량은 토성별로 양토를 1.0으로 기준할 때 사양토가 0.86으로 가장 작았고, 식양토 1.09, 식토 1.15로 평가되어 침투수에 비해 토성별 차이가 크게 나타났다. 이는 토성이 세립질일 수록 유거수의 저항이 작기 때문으로 생각된다. 경사에 따라서는 경사도가 증가할수록 증가하였으며 $10\% 경사일 때를 기준으로 $Ro(mm)=Ro_{10}{\times}0.797{\times}e^{-0.021s(\%)}$로 나타났다.천성 승모판 폐쇄 부전등을 초래하는 심각한 선천성 심질환이다. 그러나 진단 즉시 직접 좌

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Improvement of Flood Forecasting System in the Nakdong River (낙동강홍수예보시스템 개선)

  • Yoon, Kwang-Seok;Lee, Min-Ho;Lee, Byung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.806-810
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    • 2005
  • 홍수로 인한 국민의 재산과 인명피해를 방지 또는 최소화하기 위한 방법으로 주요지점을 선정하여 홍수예보를 수행하고 있다. 이러한 홍수예보는 초기 강우법, 수위법 등의 단순한 방법으로 수행되었으나, 컴퓨터가 발달되면서 여러 형태의 홍수유출모형이 개발되어 현재에는 홍수유출모형을 이용한 홍수예보를 수행하고 있다. 낙동강홍수예보 시스템은 1987년 낙동강홍수통제소의 개소시 42개소의 수위관측소와 54개소의 우량관측소를 중심으로 43개 소유역을 구분하고 티센망을 구성하여 홍수예보시스템을 구축하였다. 홍수예보시스템이 구축된 후 여러 차례의 매개변수 개선과정을 거쳐 운용하고 있다. 반면, 지속적인 수문관측소의 증설이 이루어졌으나 이를 모형에 반영하지 않아 증설된 수위관측소를 반영하여 114개 소유역으로 구분하고 추가된 우량관측소를 이용하여 티센망을 구성하였으며, 당초 반영되지 않았던 소규모댐을 모형에 추가하여 예측의 정확도를 재고하였다. 증설된 수문관측소를 모형에 반영과 함께 우량자료의 신뢰성 및 안정성을 확보하기 위한 우량관측소의 확장방안을 제시하였다. 본 연구에서 수행한 낙동강홍수예보 시스템의 소유역을 114개로 나누고 기존의 유효우량산정법, 유역유출모형 하도유출모형의 매개변수를 전통적인 방법으로 재산정하여 홍수기에 적용한 결과 당초의 홍수예보시스템으로 예측한 결과보다 소유역의 적절하게 재구성하는 것으로도 예측의 정밀도가 개선되었음을 확인할 수 있었다. 그러나, 소유역의 수와 하도의 수가 증가하면서 발생하는 오차를 감소시킬 필요성이 있으며, 이는 지속적인 시스템의 운용을 통하여 모형구성을 개선함으로서 어느 정도 개선될 것으로 판단된다. 그밖에 기존의 매개변수산정을 전통적인 방법에서 우리나라 하천 또는 낙동강유역의 하천에 적당한 방법을 개발하여 개선시킬 필요성이 있다.>$4.3\%$로 가장 근접한 결과를 나타내었으며, 총 유출량에서도 각각 $7.8\%,\;13.2\%$의 오차율을 가지는 것으로 분석되어 타 모형에 비해 실유량과의 차가 가장 적은 것으로 모의되었다. 향후 도시유출을 모의하는 데 가장 근사한 유출량을 산정할 수 있는 근거가 될 것이며, 도시재해 저감대책을 수립하는데 기여할 수 있을 것이라 판단된다.로 판단되는 대안들을 제시하는 예비타당성(Prefeasibility) 계획을 수립하였다. 이렇게 제시된 계획은 향후 과학적인 분석(세부평가방법)을 통해 대안을 평가하고 구체적인 타당성(feasibility) 계획을 수립하는데 토대가 될 것이다.{0.11R(mm)}(r^2=0.69)$로 나타났다. 이는 토양의 투수특성에 따라 강우량 증가에 비례하여 점증하는 침투수와 구분되는 현상이었다. 경사와 토양이 같은 조건에서 나지의 경우 역시 $Ro_{B10}(mm)=20.3e^{0.08R(mm)(r^2=0.84)$로 지수적으로 증가하는 경향을 나타내었다. 유거수량은 토성별로 양토를 1.0으로 기준할 때 사양토가 0.86으로 가장 작았고, 식양토 1.09, 식토 1.15로 평가되어 침투수에 비해 토성별 차이가 크게 나타났다. 이는 토성이 세립질일 수록 유거수의 저항이 작기 때문으로 생각된다. 경사에 따라서는 경사도가 증가할수록 증가하였으며 $10\% 경사일 때를 기준으로 $Ro(mm)=Ro_{10}{\times}0.797{\times}e^{-0.021s(\%)}$로 나타났다.천성 승모판 폐쇄 부전등을 초래하는 심각한 선천성 심질환이다. 그러나 진단 즉시 직접 좌관상동맥-대동맥 이식술로 수술적 교정을 해줌으로써 좋은 성적을 기대할 수 있음을 보

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Slope Stability and Development of Debris Flow Deposit in the Ulleung Basin, East Sea (동해 울릉분지의 사면안정성 및 쇄설류 퇴적체의 발달)

  • Lee, Sun-Jong;Lee, Jeong-Min;Yoo, Dong-Geun;Lee, Go-Eun;Park, Soo-Chul
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.50 no.2
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    • pp.129-143
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    • 2017
  • The shallow sediments in the southwestern Ulleung Basin consist of mass flow deposits such as slide/slump and debris flow deposits (DFD), caused by slope failure. These sediments are proven to be important in studying geological disaster and stability of the seafloor. In this paper, we analysised the flow accumulation and slope failure susceptibility of the Ulleung Basin on the basis of multi-beam data, collected in this area. We also studied the distribution pattern and the seismic characteristics of the DFD in the uppermost layer of the Ulleung Basin on the basis of seismic data. The slope susceptibility was calculated as the frequency ratio of each factors including slope, aspect, curvature and stream power index (SPI), which causes the slope failure. These results indicate that the slope failure is frequently to occur in the southern and western continental slope of the Ulleung Basin. The sediment flow (mass flow) caused by the slope failure converges to the north and northwest of the Ulleung Basin. According to the seismic characteristics, the uppermost layer in study area can be divided into four sedimentary unit. These sedimentary units develop from the south and southwest to the north and northwest in association with slope susceptibility and flow accumulation.

Determination of Parameters for the Clark Model based on Observed Hydrological Data (실측수문자료에 의한 Clark 모형의 매개변수 결정)

  • Ahn, Tae Jin;Jeon, Hyun Chul;Kim, Min Hyeok
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2016
  • The determination of feasible design flood is the most important to control flood damage in river management. Concentration time and storage constant in the Clark unit hydrograph method mainly affects magnitude of peak flood and shape of hydrograph. Model parameters should be calibrated using observed discharge but due to deficiency of observed data the parameters have been adopted by empirical formula. This study is to suggest concentration time and storage constant based on the observed rainfall-runoff data at GongDo stage station in the Ansung river basin. To do this, five criteria have been suggested to compute root mean square error(RMSE) and residual of oserved value and computed one. Once concentration time and storage constant have been determined from three rainfall-runoff event selected at the station, the five criteria based on observed hydrograph and computed hydrograph by the Clark model have been computed to determine the value of concentration time and storage constant. A criteria has been proposed to determine concentration time and storage constant based on the results of the observed hydrograph and the Clark model. It has also been shown that an exponent value of concentration time-cumulative area curve should be determined based on the shape of watershed.

TITAN2D Simulations of Pyroclastic Flows from Small Scale Eruption at Mt. Baekdusan (백두산에서 소규모 분화로 발생 가능한 화쇄류에 대한 TITAN2D 시뮬레이션 연구)

  • Yun, Sung-Hyo;Lee, Jeong-Hyun;Kim, Sunkyeong;Chang, Cheolwoo;Cho, Eunil;Yang, Innsook;Kim, Yunjeong;Kim, Sanghyun;Lee, Kilha;Kim, Seongwook;Macedonio, Giovanni
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.34 no.7
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    • pp.615-625
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    • 2013
  • Many eruptions of Mt. Baekdusan volcano have been recorded in the historical literatures, and there were unrest precursors in 2002. Based on the geological survey results, it has been recognized that Mt. Baekdusan's Plinian eruptions had caused ashfall, followed by the occurrence of pyroclastic flows, which were caused by the collapse of eruption column. Therefore, we simulated the range of the impacts of pyroclastic flows, which were caused by small eruptions from a specific crater. Based on the simulation results, it can be interpreted that, when the pyroclastic flows are caused by the eruption column collapse from an eruption with less than VEI 3, the impacts will range from the outer rim of the caldera to the mountain slope 7 km at the maximum distance. Furthermore, it is interpreted that, when the eruption column occurs by the crater located inside the caldera, most will be deposited inside the caldera and what overflows will be deposited thickly mostly in the north valley, the upper stream region of Erdaobaihe.