• Title/Summary/Keyword: 재해재난

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A Study on a New Definition of Societal Crisis Based upon Resilience (회복탄력성 측면에서 새로운 사회위기 개념 연구)

  • Sin-Young Kim
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.179-184
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    • 2023
  • Korean society has experienced so-called 'societal crisis' in many aspects of society for a couple of decades and those crises include both natural disasters and tragic catastrophes. Given that, this study purports to investigate, first of all, what is the definition of crisis in general and societal crisis in specific. Next question is what are the major types of societal crises and what are the indicators for those crises. As a result, many areas of societal crisis and corresponding indicators in each area will be introduced. Finally, this study tries to establish a new definition of societal crises based upon a more sociological, more specifically a more phenomenological point of view. For these research purpose, in-depth review for previous research on the subject will be done including psychological and sociological materials. Final outcome of this study will be a new and experimental definition of societal crisis, which will provide the principle base for actual numeric indicators of societal crisis in both macro and micro level.

A study on the indirect measurement method of bedload discharge using hydrophone (하이드로폰을 이용한 소류사량 간접계측방안 분석 연구)

  • Kim, Sung Uk;Jun, Kye Won;Yoon, Young Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.249-249
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    • 2022
  • 국외에서 산지재해를 예방하기 위해 하천 유사량을 계측하는 기존의 재래식 채집기의 문제점을 보완한 간접계측장치인 하이드로폰의 개발 및 실용화를 위한 연구를 수행하고 있다. 하지만 국내의 경우 유사량을 계측하는 기술 수준은 선진국에 비해 기초단계에 머물러 있다. 이러한 문제를 해결하기 위해 국내에서 사용하기 적합한 간접계측장치를 개발하고자 한다. 간접계측장치인 하이드로폰은 횡단구조물의 끝단에 부착하여 설치하는 형태로 개발하였다. 충돌음향 계측을 위한 센서부는 파이프와 마이크로폰으로 구성하였으며, 구조물에 부착하기 위한 고정프레임과 연결장치로 제작되었다. 설치된 계측장치는 하상에서 이동중인 토사가 파이프에 충돌할 때 발생하는 소음을 계측하며 충돌음은 데이터로거로 취득된다. 계측된 음향 데이터는 정확한 소류사량 추정을 위해 충돌 횟수에 착안한 펄스 분석 방법과 진폭의 시간 적분치에 착안한 음압적분치 방법으로 비교·검토를 수행하였다. 소류사량 추정 관계식의 유의성 분석을 수행한 후 펄스 수 기반 추정 관계식과 음압적분치 기반 추정 관계식을 공급 소류사량과 비교시 각각 29%와 33%의 오차율을 나타내는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 앞서 선정된 소류사량 추정 관계식의 신뢰성을 확보하기 위해 관계식으로 추정할 수 있는 예측구간 및 95% 신뢰구간을 분석하였으며, 분석 결과 펄스 수 기반 추정 관계식은 92.5%, 음압적분치 기반 추정 관계식은 90.9%로 두 관계식 모두 소류사량을 추정하기에 양호한 수준으로 일치하는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 향후 추가적인 연구를 수행한다면 수문조사 시 부족했던 유사량 측정분야의 확대에 기여할 수 있을 것으로 예상되며, 이와 관련된 사업 및 기술발전에도 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

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Utility of Deep Learning Model for Improving Dam and Reservoir Operation: A Case Study of Seonjin River Dam (섬진강 댐의 수문학적 예측을 위한 딥러닝 모델 활용)

  • Lee, Eunmi;Kam, Jonghun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.483-483
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    • 2022
  • 댐과 저수지의 운영 최적화를 위한 수문학적 예보는 현재 수동적인 댐 운영이 주를 이루면서 활용도가 높지 않다. 불확실한 기후변화나 기후재난 상황에서 우리 사회에 악영향을 최소화하기 위해 선제적으로 대응/대비할 수 있는 댐 운영 방안이 불가피하다. 강우량 예측 기술은 기후변화로 인해 제한적인 상황이다. 실례로, 2020년 8월에 섬진강의 댐이 극심한 집중 강우로 인해 무너지는 사태가 발생하였고 이로 인해 지역사회에 막대한 경제적 피해가 발생하였다. 선제적 댐 방류량 운영 기술은 또한 환경적인 변화로 인한 영향을 완화하기 위해 필요한 것이다. 제한적인 기상 예보 기술을 극복하고자 심화학습이나 강화학습 같은 인공지능 모델들의 활용성에 대한 연구가 시도되고 있다. 따라서 본 연구는 섬진강 댐의 시간당 수문 데이터를 이용하여 댐 운영을 위한 심화학습 모델을 개발하고 그 활용도를 평가하였다. 댐 운영을 위한 심화학습 모델로서 시계열 데이터 예측에 적합한 Long Sort Term Memory(LSTM)과 Gated Recurrent Unit(GRU) 알고리즘을 구축하고 댐 수위를 예측하였다. 분석 자료는 WAMIS에서 제공하는 2000년부터 2021년까지의 시간당 데이터를 사용하였다. 입력 데이터로서 시간당 유입량, 강우량과 방류량을, 출력 데이터로서 시간당 수위 자료를 각각 사용하였으며. 결정계수(R2 Score)를 통해 모델의 예측 성능을 평가하였다. 댐 수위 예측값 개선을 위해 하이퍼파라미터의 '최적값'이 존재하는 범위를 줄여나가는 하이퍼파라미터 최적화를 두 가지 방법으로 진행하였다. 첫 번째 방법은 수동적 탐색(Manual Search) 방법으로 Sequence Length를 24, 48, 72시간, Hidden Layer를 1, 3, 5개로 설정하여 하이퍼파라미터의 조합에 따른 LSTM와 GRU의 민감도를 평가하였다. 두 번째 방법은 Grid Search로 최적의 하이퍼파라미터를 찾았다. 이 두가지 방법에서는 같은 하이퍼파라미터 안에서 GRU가 LSTM에 비해 더 높은 예측 정확도를 보였고 Sequence Length가 높을수록 정확도가 높아지는 경향을 보였다. Manual Search 방법의 경우 R2가 최대 0.72의 정확도를 보였고 Grid Search 방법의 경우 R2가 0.79의 정확도를 보였다. 본 연구 결과는 가뭄과 홍수와 같은 물 재해에 사전 대응하고 기후변화에 적응할 수 있는 댐 운영 개선에 도움을 줄 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Earthquake Response Analysis of Cylindrical Liquid-Storage Tanks Considering Nonlinear Fluid-Structure Soil Interactions (비선형 유체-구조물-지반 상호작용 고려한 원통형 액체저장탱크의 지진응답해석)

  • Jin Ho Lee;Jeong-Rae Cho
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.133-141
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    • 2024
  • Considering fluid-structure-soil interactions, a finite-element model for a liquid-storage tank is presented and the nonlinear earthquake response analysis is formulated. The tank structure is modeled considering shell elements with geometric and material nonlinearities. The fluid is represented by acoustic elements and combined with the structure using interface elements. To consider the soil-structure interactions, the near- and far-field regions of soil are modeled with solid elements and perfectly matched discrete layers, respectively. This approach is applied to the seismic fragility analysis of a 200,000 kL liquid-storage tank. The fragility curve is observed to be influenced by the amplification and filtering of rock outcrop motions at the site when the soil-structure interactions are considered.

Improvement and evaluation of flood control safety utilizing a flood risk map - Yeong-Seomjin River Basin - (홍수위험지도를 활용한 치수안전도 방법 개선 및 평가 - 영·섬진강 유역중심으로 -)

  • Eo, Gyu;Lee, Sung Hyun;Lim In Gyu;Lee, Gyu Won;Kim, Ji Sung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.57 no.1
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    • pp.21-33
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    • 2024
  • Recently, the patterns of climate change-induced disasters have become more diverse and extensive. To develop an effective flood control plan, Korea has incorporated the concept of Potential Flood Damage (PFD) into the Long-Term Comprehensive Water Resources Plan to assess flood risk. However, concerns regarding the PFD have prompted numerous studies. Previous research primarily focused on modifying and augmenting the PFD index or introducing new indices. This study aims to enhance the existing flood control safety evaluation method by utilizing a flood risk map that incorporates risk indices, specifically focusing on the Yeong-Seomjin river basin. The study introduces three main evaluation approaches: risk and potential analysis, PFD and flood management level analysis, and flood control safety evaluation. The proposed improved evaluation method is expected to be instrumental in evaluating various flood control safety measures and formulating flood control plans.

Analysis of Perception Differences between Construction Workers and Managers Implementing for the Severe Accident Punishment Act: Focused on Measures to Improve Safety Management Effectiveness (중대재해처벌법 시행에 따른 건설현장 근로자와 관리자의 인식차 분석: 안전관리 실효성 향상 방안을 중심으로)

  • Jae-Hwan Cho;Sung Hak Chung
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.75-89
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    • 2024
  • The objective of this study was to conduct research and analysis using Group Focus Interview to survey the between construction site workers and managers implementing for the Severe Accident Punishment Act. Focused on measures to improve safety management effectiveness for the effectiveness of establishing a safety management system. A plan to improve the efficient safety management system was presented to 50 construction industrial managers and workers. In order to ensure the industrial accident prevention policies appropriately, it is necessary to be aware of safety obligations for workers as well as business operators. In addition, despite the existence of a commentary on the Serious Accident Punishment Act, confusion in the field still persists, so in the event of a major accidents, the obligation to take safety and health education is strengthened, and effective case education is proposed by teaching actual accident cases suitable for actual working sites. It is necessary to make all training mandatory, and it is necessary to reconsider awareness through writing a daily safety log, awareness of risk factors, etc., and writing down risk information. Above all, at the construction ordering stage, it is necessary to keep the construction safety, request corrections and supplements for problems issues that arise, and consult between the orderer and the construction company about the problems issues. Rather than having only the construction company correct or supplement the safety management plan, the contents should be shared with supervisors and workers to establish a more practical solution. Results of this study will contribute to improving the effectiveness of the serious accident and construction safety management system.

Simulation Approach for the Tracing the Marine Pollution Using Multi-Remote Sensing Data (다중 원격탐사 자료를 활용한 해양 오염 추적 모의 실험 방안에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Keunyong;Kim, Euihyun;Choi, Jun Myoung;Shin, Jisun;Kim, Wonkook;Lee, Kwang-Jae;Son, Young Baek;Ryu, Joo-Hyung
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.36 no.2_2
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    • pp.249-261
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    • 2020
  • Coastal monitoring using multiple platforms/sensors is a very important tools for accurately understanding the changes in offshore marine environment and disaster with high temporal and spatial resolutions. However, integrated observation studies using multiple platforms and sensors are insufficient, and none of them have been evaluated for efficiency and limitation of convergence. In this study, we aimed to suggest an integrated observation method with multi-remote sensing platform and sensors, and to diagnose the utility and limitation. Integrated in situ surveys were conducted using Rhodamine WT fluorescent dye to simulate various marine disasters. In September 2019, the distribution and movement of RWT dye patches were detected using satellite (Kompsat-2/3/3A, Landsat-8 OLI, Sentinel-3 OLCI and GOCI), unmanned aircraft (Mavic 2 pro and Inspire 2), and manned aircraft platforms after injecting fluorescent dye into the waters of the South Sea-Yeosu Sea. The initial patch size of the RWT dye was 2,600 ㎡ and spread to 62,000 ㎡ about 138 minutes later. The RWT patches gradually moved southwestward from the point where they were first released,similar to the pattern of tidal current flowing southwest as the tides gradually decreased. Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) image showed highest resolution in terms of spatial and time resolution, but the coverage area was the narrowest. In the case of satellite images, the coverage area was wide, but there were some limitations compared to other platforms in terms of operability due to the long cycle of revisiting. For Sentinel-3 OLCI and GOCI, the spectral resolution and signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) were the highest, but small fluorescent dye detection was limited in terms of spatial resolution. In the case of hyperspectral sensor mounted on manned aircraft, the spectral resolution was the highest, but this was also somewhat limited in terms of operability. From this simulation approach, multi-platform integrated observation was able to confirm that time,space and spectral resolution could be significantly improved. In the future, if this study results are linked to coastal numerical models, it will be possible to predict the transport and diffusion of contaminants, and it is expected that it can contribute to improving model accuracy by using them as input and verification data of the numerical models.

A Study on Risk Assessment Method for Earthquake-Induced Landslides (지진에 의한 산사태 위험도 평가방안에 관한 연구)

  • Seo, Junpyo;Eu, Song;Lee, Kihwan;Lee, Changwoo;Woo, Choongshik
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.694-709
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: In this study, earthquake-induced landslide risk assessment was conducted to provide basic data for efficient and preemptive damage prevention by selecting the erosion control work before the earthquake and the prediction and restoration priorities of the damaged area after the earthquake. Method: The study analyzed the previous studies abroad to examine the evaluation methodology and to derive the evaluation factors, and examine the utilization of the landslide hazard map currently used in Korea. In addition, the earthquake-induced landslide hazard map was also established on a pilot basis based on the fault zone and epicenter of Pohang using seismic attenuation. Result: The earthquake-induced landslide risk assessment study showed that China ranked 44%, Italy 16%, the U.S. 15%, Japan 10%, and Taiwan 8%. As for the evaluation method, the statistical model was the most common at 59%, and the physical model was found at 23%. The factors frequently used in the statistical model were altitude, distance from the fault, gradient, slope aspect, country rock, and topographic curvature. Since Korea's landslide hazard map reflects topography, geology, and forest floor conditions, it has been shown that it is reasonable to evaluate the risk of earthquake-induced landslides using it. As a result of evaluating the risk of landslides based on the fault zone and epicenter in the Pohang area, the risk grade was changed to reflect the impact of the earthquake. Conclusion: It is effective to use the landslide hazard map to evaluate the risk of earthquake-induced landslides at the regional scale. The risk map based on the fault zone is effective when used in the selection of a target site for preventive erosion control work to prevent damage from earthquake-induced landslides. In addition, the risk map based on the epicenter can be used for efficient follow-up management in order to prioritize damage prevention measures, such as to investigate the current status of landslide damage after an earthquake, or to restore the damaged area.

Urban Flood Risk Assessment Considering Climate Change Using Bayesian Probability Statistics and GIS: A Case Study from Seocho-Gu, Seoul (베이지안 확률통계와 GIS를 연계한 기후변화 도시홍수 리스크 평가: 서울시 서초구를 대상으로)

  • LEE, Sang-Hyeok;KANG, Jung-Eun;PARK, Chang-Sug
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.36-51
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    • 2016
  • This study assessed urban flood risk using a Bayesian probability statistical method and GIS incorporating a climate change scenario. Risk is assessed based on a combination of hazard probability and its consequences, the degree of impact. Flood probability was calculated on the basis of a Bayesian model and future flood occurrence likelihoods were estimated using climate change scenario data. The flood impacts include human and property damage. Focusing on Seocho-gu, Seoul, the findings are as follows. Current flood probability is high in areas near rivers, as well as low lying and impervious areas, such as Seocho-dong and Banpo-dong. Flood risk areas are predicted to increase by a multiple of 1.3 from 2030 to 2050. Risk assessment results generally show that human risk is relatively high in high-rise residential zones, whereas property risk is high in commercial zones. The magnitude of property damage risk for 2050 increased by 6.6% compared to 2030. The proposed flood risk assessment method provides detailed spatial results that will contribute to decision making for disaster mitigation.

The Improvement Index of Smart Public Services to Advance Information Accessibility for the Elderly (고령자 정보접근성 향상을 위한 스마트 공공서비스 지표)

  • Kim, Mi-Yun;Byun, Sung-Jun
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.5
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    • pp.43-53
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    • 2018
  • Recently, public service for the improvement of quality of life and life support such as safety, aging, disaster, welfare, housing, economy, urban environment, traffic etc are actively developed based on open public data, and the spread of the network and the necessity of everyday life, smartphones are playing a role in providing public services. Currently, the development of science is changing the life expectancy of human beings and changing into social structure in which aged people become bigger due to various social conditions and low fertility and aging problems. However, the elderly who do not have easy access to information are very uncomfortable in dealing with mobile devices with very low accessibility and utilization of public services provided by mobile phones. Therefore, this study recategorizes the condition of the elderly presented in the previous study and identifies the problem through case analysis provided for the elderly. Also, we summarize the hierarchy of the core items of the existing interface design and derive it as an improvement index of the public service design for the improvement of the information accessibility of the elderly, and propose a design method to improve the utilization of the public service provided through the mobile device.