• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.201-210
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• 2008

The government employment statistics show the close comovement of the whole domestic unemployment rate with the youth unemployment rate for the past 10 years, implying the dominant influence of the unemployment of the youth age. This study investigates the structure of the short-run variation and the process of the long-run adjustment in the unemployment rates of the youth and middle ages by formulating the dynamic equation system. The estimation result consistently reflects the vulnerability of the youth class in the aggravation of the employment condition. The effect of exogenous changes is found to be persistent in the unemployment rates of both ages, which appear to have similar structures of the long-run time path. However, the youth unemployment rate turns out to have a relatively long adjustment process to the long-run equilibrium.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2016.05a
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• pp.62-62
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• 2016

대하천에서의 하도정비 및 보 신설 후 다양한 하천환경변화가 예상됨에 따라 각종 변화에 의해 발생할 수 있는 현상들을 예측하고 환경변화에 의한 재난을 예방하기 위한 대책수립이 절실히 요구되고 있는 실정이다. 하천에서의 하상변동은 경우에 따라 홍수위 상승, 저수 기능 감퇴, 용수와 취수 방해, 유사에 의한 오염원 확산 등의 문제를 발생시킬 수 있다. 기후변화에 따른 강우패턴의 변화로 하천 내 수리적 요소가 변화되고 그로인해 발생하는 하상 변동의 예측이 필요하다. 만일 유역의 특성이 유지된다면 하천의 동적평형상태인 정비 이전의 하천으로 돌아가려고 할 것이다. 하천이 준설로 넓어지고 깊어진 상태로 이전의 동적인 평형상태로 돌아가려고 하도가 좁아지고 얕아질 것이다. 그러나 기후변화로 인해 유역에서의 유량 및 유사량이 달라질 것으로 예상된다. 하지만 하상변동모델과 기후변화를 연계하여 하도의 변화를 비교 분석한 연구는 매우 드물다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 의한 유량의 변화에 따른 시나리오를 구성하고 장기간, 장구간에 걸친 하상변동 양상을 예측하였다. 준2차원 수치모형인 GSTARS를 이용하여 낙동강 상류에서 상주보 구간 사이의 기후변화 영향을 분석하고자 장기 기후시나리오를 구성하고 유사량 공식과 수류 튜브 개수에 따른 각각의 시나리오별 하상변동 양상을 예측하고 최심하상고, 횡방향에 따른 모의결과를 분석하였다.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.32 no.1B
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• pp.1-7
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• 2012

Quasi-two dimensional numerical model (GSTARS) was applied to determine the optimal sediment discharge formula for simulating the sedimentologic characteristics of Hyeongsan river. The field measurements have been conducted to obtain the data, such as sediment discharge, bed material, and channel geometry, for model calibration and verification. The sediment discharge formulas, which have been generally used, have been assessed according to the average error, relative error, RMSE, RRMSE, discrepancy ratio and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient for bed changes along the thalweg. From the results, Laursen formula(1958) shows the best performance to simulate the long-term bed change of Hyeongsan river.

• Spatial Information Research
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• v.21 no.5
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• pp.1-6
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• 2013

Trying to estimate variations of the riverbed is basic and important for river management. When new dam constructed in upstream and a structure were planned, impact of the riverbed changes in downstream should be considered for stably maintained and sustained rivers in the future. In this study, long-term riverbed changes analyzed using aerial photographs in Naeseongcheon. Also applying one-dimensional numerical model, GSTARS analyzed the effects of bed deformation in critical points. Based on Changing Patterns of long-term riverbed, it is possible that after the dam was built, to explore how to manage Naeseongcheon.

• Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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• v.20 no.1
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• pp.75-83
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• 2013

Human-induced modifications in coastal area may cause strong geomorphic responses by disturbing sediment supply, transport and deposition regimes. Morever, engineering structure have been built to stabilize coastal change, these effort impact on other morphologic change. In case of coastal area, there are lack of sediment yield data. This study focus on the tendency of long-term shoreline change, estimate method od sediment discharge which is a major factor of coastal change and adduced to way for considering design load influenced to coastal road.

• Journal of Wetlands Research
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• v.13 no.2
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• pp.329-341
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• 2011

This study was conducted with the national river, Munsancheon, which is located in Paju-si, Gyeonggi-do. The sediment discharge of Munsancheon was directly measured to analyze the sediment characteristics, and the results were used in the numerical model to predict the long-term river bed variation. The flow-total sediment discharge relation was derived using the measured total sediment discharge, and the results were compared with the total sediment discharge that was calculated using the existing prediction formula to derive a proper sediment discharge prediction method. In the actual measurements, the total annual sediment discharge was 5,478 ton/year, and the specific sediment discharge was 29.23 ton/$km^2$/year. The Ackers & White formula resulted in the values very close to the actual measurements. With the actual sediment discharge, geographical and hydrologic data as the input variables, HEC-6 and GSTARS models were comparatively analyzed. The test results showed that the HEC-6 model is suitable for the reliable prediction of the long-term river bed variation. Accordingly, the model was used for the long-term river bed variation prediction in this study. In the case of Munsancheon, deposition was continued in the downstream area and erosion occurred in the upstream area on the whole. It was expected that the stream would be stabilized in the river bed condition of 20 years later. The river bed variation was within 1 m, which was at the significance level. In the downstream area that is influenced by tide, however, the accumulation was continuously increasing within the section 2,000-7,000 m from the outlet. It seems that this should be considered in establishing the river management plans.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.297-313
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• 2009

Long-term trends and distribution patterns of water quality were investigated in the Gunsan coastal areas of Yellow Sea, Korea from 1972 to 2006. Water samples were collected at 6 stations and physicochemical parameters were analyzed including water temperature, salinity, suspended solids(SS), chemical oxygen demand(COD), dissolved oxygen(DO) and nutrients. Spatial distribution patterns of temperature, DO and SS were not clear among stations but the seasonal variations were distinct except COD and SS. The trend analysis by principal component analysis(PCA) during 24 years revealed the significant variations in water quality in the study area. Spatial water qualities were clearly classified into 3 clusters by PCA; station cluster 1, 2~4, and 5~6. Annual water qualities were clearly classified into 4 surface water clusters and 5 bottom water clusters by PCA. By this multi-variate analysis. The annual trends were summarized as follows; Salinity, pH and DO tended to increase since late 1970's, COD to increase since 1987, and SS to decrease and nutrients to increase in Gunsan coastal waters due to the input of fresh water from land same as in Kyoungin coastal area, Asan coastal area and Choensoo bay.

• Proceedings of the Korea Society of Environmental Biology Conference
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• 2002.05a
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• pp.50-50
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• 2002

• The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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• v.24 no.3
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• pp.63-89
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• 2007

This study aims at empirically verifying whether long memory properties exist in returns and volatility of the financial time series and then, empirically observing influential factors of long-memory properties. The presence of long memory properties in the financial time series is examined with the Hurst exponent. The Hurst exponent is measured by DFA(detrended fluctuation analysis). The empirical results are summarized as follows. First, the presence of significant long memory properties is not identified in return time series. But, in volatility time series, as the Hurst exponent has the high value on average, a strong presence of long memory properties is observed. Then, according to the results empirically confirming influential factors of long memory properties, as the Hurst exponent measured with volatility of residual returns filtered by GARCH(1, 1) model reflecting properties of volatility clustering has the level of $H{\approx}0.5$ on average, long memory properties presented in the data before filtering are no longer observed. That is, we positively find out that the observed long memory properties are considerably due to volatility clustering effect.

• Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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• v.24 no.6
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• pp.450-458
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• 1991

The thermal structures and their spatio-temporal fluctuations in the upper 200m layer off the southeast coast of Korea are studied using the bimonthly temperature data for 17years(1967-1983) at 37 stations. We analyzed the fluctuations of the temperatures in the surface(0-100m) and in the subsurface(100-200m) layers. The fluctuations of temperatures in the surface water are dominated by the annual variation, whereas the subsurface layer temperatures contain considerable non-seasonal fluctuations. The distributions of water temperature anomalies in the subsurface layer are closely related with those in the surface layer. The predominant periods of temperature fluctuations in the subsurface layer, other than the annual variation, are 14 and 70 months. The period of 14 months coincides with that of the pole tide or Chandler wobble. The cluster analysis shows that our study area can be divided into the cold, the frontal and the warm regions.