• Title/Summary/Keyword: 잠재적 요인

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Flood Stage Analysis and Prediction of River Bed Change for Stream Corridor Restoration Model with River Vegetation (하천식생 복원모형의 홍수위 분석과 하상변동 예측)

  • Song, Joong-Geun;Kim, Byeong-Chan;Lee, Jong-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.437-441
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    • 2009
  • The modern times is as special as from the river, the river is very important of our life. The importance to preserve the river environment has been issued and the river developing method is being changed to use potential function of nature as well as flood control. Essential element of the river restoration is a vegetation. The flow resistance by vegetation along the river banks is greatly increase the flood stage. Therefore, the flow resistance due to vegetation in the river and roughness coefficient changes to understand the hydraulic characteristics is an important elements in the river restoration. The purpose of this study is to analyze the flood stage and the aspects of riverbed changes due to the corridor restoration with river vegetation. In order to simulate the flood stage and riverbed changes, HEC-RAS, RMA-2, and SED-2D model were applied for the upstream and downstream in study reaches, respectively.

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A Study on Demand Forecasting of Export Goods Based on Vector Autoregressive Model : Subject to Each Small Passenger Vehicles Quarterly Exported to USA (VAR모형을 이용한 수출상품 수요예측에 관한 연구: 소형 승용차 모델별 분기별 대미수출을 중심으로)

  • Cho, Jung-Hyeong
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.73-96
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this research is to evaluate a short-term export demand forecasting model reflecting individual passenger vehicle brands and market characteristics by using Vector Autoregressive (VAR) models that are based on multivariate time-series model. The short-term export demand forecasting model was created by discerning theoretical potential factors that affect the short-term export demand of individual passenger vehicle brands. Quarterly short-term export demand forecasting model for two Korean small vehicle brands (Accent and Avante) were created by using VAR model. Predictive value at t+1 quarter calculated with the forecasting models for each passenger vehicle brand and the actual amount of sales were compared and evaluated by altering subject period by one quarter. As a result, RMSE % of Accent and Avante was 4.3% and 20.0% respectively. They amount to 3.9 days for Accent and 18.4 days for Avante when calculated per daily sales amount. This shows that the short-term export demand forecasting model of this research is highly usable in terms of prediction and consistency.

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Health-related Community Facility Characteristics Typification and Relationship to Transaction Prices (건강 관련 커뮤니티 시설 특성 유형화 및 거래가격과의 관계)

  • Choi, Won-Joon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.22 no.8
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    • pp.358-366
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    • 2022
  • Recently, 'Apartment community facilities' have emerged as the most optional factor in the apartment market, and their level is becoming very important. Therefore, this study derived each type through latent profile analysis centering on health-related community facilities in 126 domestic main apartment complexes, and as a result of the analysis, it was confirmed that it was divided into a Pilates group, GX and Yoga group, Golf and Table Tennis practice range group, and overall low group. Among the four groups, Pilates, GX, and yoga groups are more likely to belong to Gangnam, Seocho and Songpa compared to complexes with many golf and table tennis practice ranges, and at the same time, the transaction price is also the highest. Through these analysis results, it was suggested that changes in the preference for leisure activities should be reflected when constructing community facilities, and that health-related community facilities should be deeply considered in residential welfare policies in consideration of high preference for fitness facilities in youth housing.

The Construct Validation of the OSPG-2 for Screening of the Gifted in Korean Traditional and Western Music (음악(국악) 영재성 선별을 위한 부모관찰정보지(OSPG)의 구인타당화)

  • Won, Young-Sil
    • Journal of Gifted/Talented Education
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.61-85
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    • 2012
  • The OSPG(Observation Scale for Parents of the Gifted in Korean Traditional and Western Music) is one of the tools for screening of the Gifted in Korean traditional and Western music. So the validity and reliability of the OSPG has an influence on securing validity of the whole identification process. The purpose of this study is to examine the validity and reliability of the OSPG-2 that input screening processing, and to suggest systematization of identification processing for the Gifted in Korean traditional and Western Music. For the achievement of this purpose, this study administered the OSPG-2 to 261 gifted students aged between 13 and 16 in the middle or high school for the arts. To validate the OSPG-2, I analyzed items of the OSPG-2, and conducted the exploratory and confirmative factor analysis. I also examined the internal consistency. As a result of the exploratory factor analysis, I collected 40 items of the OSPG-2 finally. Furthermore, I could identify psychological construct of the Gifted in Korean traditional and Western Music. The consequence of confirmative factor analysis, the model provided good fit to observed data. As a result of reliability analysis, the internal consistency of the internal characteristic verified Cronbach's ${\alpha}$=.939, and the internal consistency of the external environmental characteristic verified Cronbach's ${\alpha}$=.887. This result of validity study reflects the fact that the OSPG-2 is a valid scale and is able to input to gifted educational field instantly.

A Study on the Development of Marine Traffic Risk Model for Mariners (선박운항자 해상교통위험도 모형 개발에 대한 연구)

  • Heo, Tae-Young;Park, Young-Soo;Kim, Jong-Sung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.91-100
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    • 2012
  • Although Korea's coastal areas increasingly experience marine accident due to frequent ship encounters, increased vessel traffic and large vessel, there is a no specific model to evaluate the navigating vessel's risk for the given situation. The maritime transport environmental assessment is necessary due to the amended marine traffic law. However, marine safety diagnosis is now evaluated by foreign models. In this paper, therefore, we suggest a domestic model catering to and reflecting the characteristics of Korea's costal areas as well as those of vessel navigator's risk. We can evaluate subjective risks using this model, and can establish the model output as maritime risk exposure assessment system. We have performed analyses of variance and multiple comparison to identify the factor affecting subjective risks. As a result, measurable subjective risks of maritime traffic accident based on our suggested model can be expressed using the maritime risk exposure assessment system with geographic information system.

A Study on Variation in Annual Water Balance (도시화에 따른 수문기후변화 I (연 물수지 변화 분석))

  • Rim, Chang-Soo;Chae, Hyo-Seok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.7
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    • pp.555-570
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    • 2007
  • The effects of climatic changes owing to urbanization on annual water balance have been studied. In this study, 56 meteorological stations including Seoul metropolis in South Korea have been selected, and the area of study site is $314\;km^2$. The meteorological station is centrally located in the study area with a 10 km radius. Land use status of study area was examined to estimate the urbanization extent, so that annual actual evapotranspiration could be estimated. Annual runoff was estimated by annual water balance approach using the estimated annual actual evapotranspiration and measured annual precipitation. Annual actual evapotranspiration was estimated by applying experimental equation suggested by Zhang et al, (2001) which was evaluated from 250 watersheds all over the world. Study results show that reference evapotranspiration is tending upwards due to urbanization; therefore, it seems that climatic change due to urbanization may increase the amount of annual actual evapotranspiration. However, the increase of residential area due to urbanization in study area may decrease the amount of annual actual evapotranspiration. The study results indicate that urbanization effect on annual trend of precipitation was not significant. In urban area, annual runoff is directly affected by annual precipitation, and compared with annual precipitation, annual variation of actual evapotranspiration was not significant even though it was estimated by using annual precipitation. It seems that the effect of urbanization on annual actual evapotranspiration does not influence on annual runoff significantly, and that urbanization effect on annual runoff Is not significant.

A Basic Study on Scale Development of Problem Behaviors for Young Children (유아 문제행동 척도 개발을 위한 기초 연구)

  • Kim, Joeng Kyoum;Kang, Young-Sik
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.147-159
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    • 2016
  • This study is intended to draw a scale for problem behaviors of young children. To achieve this, an empirical survey was carried out on experts from three groups of daycare center teachers, kindergarten teachers and early childhood education-majored professors. A total of 209 items were measured by the scale for young children's problem behaviors from the 1970s to now. The results showed that 96 of a total 209 items in 5 categories related to the scale for young children's problem behaviors were adopted as major items. Using these 96 major items in 5 categories, 17 out of 40 items in a peer relationship category, 13 out of 41 items in a development category, 20 out of 50 items in a fundamental habit category, 22 out of 38 items in a morality category, and 24 out of 40 items in an emotion category were adopted. Most items were adopted in the emotion category, whereas most items were rejected in the development category. Therefore, it is judged that their problem behaviors are caused mainly by anxiety, shrinking, unexpected behaviors, dependence on parents or teachers, and slow behaviors due to the latent negative emotions of young children at the developing stage.

Factors Affecting Disaster Victims' Quality of Life: The Uljin and Samcheok Forest Fires (산불피해자의 삶의 질에 영향을 미치는 요인: 울진⋅삼척 산불을 중심으로)

  • Hee-Ji Kang;Dong-Hoon Kim;Jae-Ok Ha;Chang-Hyou Kim;Sang-Yoel Han
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.112 no.1
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    • pp.105-116
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    • 2023
  • As forest fires' scale has increased, they have become disasters that destroy not only forests but also property, human psychological balance, and even human lives. As a result, governmental support has become a crucial part of the forest fire restoration process. Quickly restoring victims' quality of life (QOL) from not only an ecological perspective but also from their human perspective has become an important goal. Therefore, through structural equation modeling, this study analyzed effects of government support, post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), and resilience on 195 Uljin and Samcheok forest fire victims' QOL. In the final research model, the total standardized effect on QOL of government support to PTSD and resilience was found to have significant effect (0.417). By path, the effect of government support on QOL through resilience was verified as 0.172. Examination of the path between latent variables revealed that resilience had the greatest influence on QOL, and government support had a significant effect, thus confirming that they were the main factors affecting QOL.

A Study on the Present Status and Future Directions of Maritime Safety Audit (해상교통안전진단제도의 운영현황과 향후 정책방향에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Ik-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.399-405
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    • 2011
  • Recently, the navigation risk is increasing significantly with growth of marine traffic volume and construction of marine facilities, water bridges, port development and marine wind farm etc. To reduce this kinds of risk, Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs enacted a new law called MSA(Maritime Safety Audit) as a comprehensive maritime traffic safety management scheme in order to ensure safety improvements from the early planning stage to post managing of the development which affect the maritime traffic environment. MSA as a tool for improving maritime traffic safety is a formal safety assessment in the existing or future ship's fairway by an independent audit team. It examines the potential hazards of maritime traffic safety, if necessary, and is to ensure the implementation of appropriate safety measures. The object of this paper is to comprehensively evaluate the achievements and implementation problems of MSA about the 2 years, to define the fundamental problems of MSA by conceptualizing and analyzing MSA limits. MSA requires further examination about the introduction of screening and scoping in order to increase the efficiency and objectivity. It will be required the measures concerning policies directions as a tool for planning process for project owner. It will lead to right understanding concerning audit scheme and used in various ways such as amendments to related law.

Majoring in social work Majors satisfaction, Career adaptability, Career identity, Employability, Ego-resilience research on the effect of Careers Stress : Focusing on the latent mean analysis by Gender (사회복지 전공생의 전공만족도, 진로적응성, 진로정체감, 고용가능성, 자아탄력성이 취업스트레스에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 : 성별에 따른 잠재평균분석)

  • Yun, Il-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.308-314
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    • 2016
  • The aim of this study was to identify the factors affecting the social welfare of students and the Career Stress. This study verified the complete model equation through the structure. The differences between the groups according to gender were significant. Majors Satisfaction, Career adaptability, Career Identity, Employability, ego-resilience, and Career Stress were used as variables. From the Gwangju Regional Social Welfare, 246 people were college students. The analysis was performed using Structural Equation Modeling with Latent mean analysis. The Male and Female's Majors Satisfaction, Career adaptability, Career Identity, Employability, ego-resilience, and Career Stress were similar. The impact on the path of ego-resilience and Career Stress was also similar. The Female group had a stronger impact than the ego-resilience and Career Stress Male. The Social Welfare of Students Majors Satisfaction, Career adaptability, Career Identity, Employability, ego-resilience Career Stress were different in the male and female groups.