• Title/Summary/Keyword: 잔여 수명

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보일러 헤더의 잔여수명 평가 -크립 균열성장 거동에 의한 해석-

  • 윤기봉
    • Journal of the KSME
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.358-370
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    • 1992
  • 균열이 형성되어 있는 설비가 고온에서 정하중을 받으면, 크립 조건에서 균열이 성장하여 파손이 발생한다. 이 때 잔여수명 평가법을 설명하기 위해 발전소 헤더의 경우를 예로하여 잔여수명 평가절차, 이에 필요한 기초이론 및 Cr-Mo강의 관련 재료 물성 데이터 등을 설명하였다. 현재 국내발전소들이 노후화되어 잔여수명평가의 필요성이 증대되고 있으므로, 이 분야의 연구 및 기 술개발은 시급하고 중요한 과제라고 생각된다.

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The Study on the Mean Residual Life Estimation of Reliability Data under Random Censoring (임의절단 하에서 신뢰성 자료의 평균잔여수명 추정에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Mi-Sook
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.1997-2003
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    • 2010
  • Mean Residual Life (MRL) function plays a very important role in the area of engineering, medical science, survival studies, social sciences, and many other fields. Specially, in the reliability study of technical systems, the MRL estimation of a component is very important because the sudden stop of a system brings a serious problem. So, many simulation studies of MRL estimation have been done considering various situation variables. In this paper, four estimators of MRL are proposed under random censoring and their performances re compared through bias and Mean Square Error (MSE) by Monte Carlo simulation.

Residual Life Assessment of mod HP Reformer Tubes Using Surface Replication Methods (표면복제를 사용한 mod HP강 개질로 튜브의 잔여수명 평가에 대한 연구)

  • Ryu, Hyung Ki;Le, Thi Giang;Bang, Hyo Jung;Yoon, Kee Bong
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.30-36
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    • 2021
  • Residual life assessment of reformer tubes of mod HP steel used in the refinery and petrochemical industry were investigated by quantitative metallographic evaluation method. Area fractions of precipitated carbides were measured by using surface replication and its relationship with the remaining life of the tube was investigated. The microstructures of the virgin and other tubes were examined using optical microscopy (OM) for service periods of 1.8, 6.0, 7.2, 8.5, 9.7, and 16.2 years at 950 ℃ and the area fractions of the precipitates were measured by image analysis using ImageJ software. As the area fraction of the precipitates increased, the residual life was decreased accordingly. The results showed that the LMP was the highest in the virgin and the LMP decreased as the service time increased and the residual life decreased. A regressional equation showing the relation between the area fraction of carbides and LMP was experimentally derived. The obtained relationship can be used with the surface replication method for on-site residual life assessment.

Remaining Life Assessment of High Temperature Steam Piping (고온 증기 파이프의 잔여수명 평가)

  • 윤기봉
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.12-24
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    • 1995
  • Recently, more researches have been actively performed for the assessment of material degradation and residual-life of elevated temperature plant components, as some of domestic fossil power plants become older than 30 years. In this paper, results of on_site residual life assessment are reported for main steam pipes of Youngwol power station #2 which have operated since 1965. For critical weld locations such as butt welds branch welds, Y_sections and a T-section, replication technique and hardness measurement technique were employed for life_assessment. When cracks were detected by conventional NDT tests, crack growth life was calculated using a computer code. On the other hand, for matrix of pipes, residual life was quantitatively estimated by an analytic method and material degradation was estimated qualitatively using diameter measurement data and grain-boundary etching method. Also, direction in further improvement of on-site life assessment techniques are proposed.

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임의 중단모형하에서의 평균잔여수명함수의 추정

  • Lee, In-Seok;Lee, U-Dong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.45-57
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    • 1994
  • 이 연구에서는 Hjort(1991)에의해 제안된 누적위험률함수의 비모수적 추정량을 이용하여 무한인 구간까지 정의된 평균잔여수명함수의 추정량을 제안하고 제안된 추정량의 일치성과 점근적 정규성을 밝히고, 모의실험을 통하여 다른 추정량들과 비교하고자 한다.

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입계부식법에 의한 고온플랜트 요소의 크리프 잔여수명 평가

  • 윤기봉;한상인;강태연;박종진
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Industrial Safety Conference
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    • 1998.05a
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    • pp.71-76
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    • 1998
  • 고온플랜트 설비 고온요소의 재질열화 정도를 평가하기 위해서 사용되는 방법 중 입계부식법은 시험절차가 간단하고 실제 플랜트에서의 적용이 용이하여 안전 및 수명진단시에 많이 이용되어 왔다. 본 논문에서는 오랜 기간 고온에서 사용된 고온$\cdot$고압플랜트의 실기 요소에 입계부식법을 적용하여 재질의 고온에서의 장시간 노출에 의한 인성저하로 발생되는 잔여 수명을 평가한 결과를 제시하였다. (중략)

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Estimator of the Mean Residual Life for Some Parametric Families (모수족에서 평균 잔여수명의 추정량)

  • Kuey Chung Choi;Kyung Hyun Nam
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.89-100
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    • 1994
  • In this paper we consider a new estimator of mean residual life (MRL), based on the partial moment of the distribution. The parameters of a partial moment are estimated by its maximum likelihood estimators when the underlying distribution is known. Though the new estimator is not a consistent estimator of the MRL, it is shown to have smaller mean squared error than the well known empirical MRL estimator for certain parametric families. Numerical summaries of the mean squared errors of the new estimator are presented.

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Statistical Uncertainty Analysis of Thermal Mass Method for Residual Propellant Estimation (잔여추진제 추정을 위한 열질량법의 통계적 불확실성 분석)

  • Park, Eungsik;Park, BongKyu;Huh, Hwanil
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.43 no.12
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    • pp.1116-1123
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    • 2015
  • The lifetime of a geostationary satellite depends on the residual propellant amount and therefore the precise residual propellant gauging is very important for the mitigation of economic loss arised from premature removal of satellite from its orbit, satellites replacement planning, slot management and so on. In this paper, the thermal mass method and its uncertainty are described. The residual propellant analysis of a geostationary satellite is simulated based on the KOREASAT data and the uncertainty of thermal mass method is calculated by using the Monte Carlo method. The results of this study show the importance parameter of estimation residual propellant using the thermal mass method.

Residual Propellant Gauging Methods for Geostationary Satellites and Recent Technology Status (정지궤도위성의 잔여추진제량 측정방법 및 기술동향)

  • Park, Eungsik;Huh, Hwanil
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.42 no.10
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    • pp.870-877
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    • 2014
  • Geostationary satellites undergo various orbital perturbations and this results in location change. Therefore, all the geostationary satellites use the thruster in order to control the location change. For this purpose, the suitable amount of liquid propellant is mounted and the amount of propellant is reduced as time goes by. This means that the lifetime of the satellite depends on the residual propellant amount. Therefore precise residual propellant gauging is very important for the mitigation of economic losses arised from premature removal of satellite from its orbit, satellites replacement planning, slot management and so on. In this paper, we introduce the propellant gauging methods used in the geostationary satellites and the propellant gauging method studied in the laboratory level.