• Title/Summary/Keyword: 자체 앙상블

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Research on flood risk forecast method using weather ensemble prediction system in urban region (앙상블 기상예측 자료를 활용한 도시지역의 홍수위험도 예측 방안에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Youngje;Yi, Jaeeung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.10
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    • pp.753-761
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    • 2019
  • Localized heavy storm is one of the major causes of flood damage in urban regions. According to the recent disaster statistics in South Korea, the frequency of urban flood is increasing more frequently, and the scale is also increasing. However, localized heavy storm is difficult to predict, making it difficult for local government officials to deal with floods. This study aims to construct a Flood risk matrix (FRM) using ensemble weather prediction data and to assess its applicability as a means of reducing damage by securing time for such urban flood response. The FRM is a two-dimensional matrix of potential impacts (X-axis) representing flood risk and likelihood (Y-axis) representing the occurrence probability of dangerous weather events. To this end, a regional FRM was constructed using historical flood damage records and probability precipitation data for basic municipality in Busan and Daegu. Applicability of the regional FRMs was assessed by applying the LENS data of the Korea Meteorological Administration on past heavy rain events. As a result, it was analyzed that the flood risk could be predicted up to 3 days ago, and it would be helpful to reduce the damage by securing the flood response time in practice.

A Study on Method for User Gender Prediction Using Multi-Modal Smart Device Log Data (스마트 기기의 멀티 모달 로그 데이터를 이용한 사용자 성별 예측 기법 연구)

  • Kim, Yoonjung;Choi, Yerim;Kim, Solee;Park, Kyuyon;Park, Jonghun
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.147-163
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    • 2016
  • Gender information of a smart device user is essential to provide personalized services, and multi-modal data obtained from the device is useful for predicting the gender of the user. However, the method for utilizing each of the multi-modal data for gender prediction differs according to the characteristics of the data. Therefore, in this study, an ensemble method for predicting the gender of a smart device user by using three classifiers that have text, application, and acceleration data as inputs, respectively, is proposed. To alleviate privacy issues that occur when text data generated in a smart device are sent outside, a classification method which scans smart device text data only on the device and classifies the gender of the user by matching text data with predefined sets of word. An application based classifier assigns gender labels to executed applications and predicts gender of the user by comparing the label ratio. Acceleration data is used with Support Vector Machine to classify user gender. The proposed method was evaluated by using the actual smart device log data collected from an Android application. The experimental results showed that the proposed method outperformed the compared methods.

How does Man and Non-human beings meet? (인간과 비인간 존재는 어떻게 만나는가?)

  • Sim, Gui-yeon
    • Journal of Korean Philosophical Society
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    • v.147
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    • pp.239-260
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    • 2018
  • Is an artificial intelligence robot, a non-human beings newly emerging in the age of technology, a threat to human beings, or a mutual cooperation or ensemble with human beings? The desire to control nature through the use of the power of science and technology is manifested in the fear that humans can annihilate themselves. This study attempts to identify the problems of Cartesian epistemology underlying these questions and fears and to answer these questions based on Merleau - Ponty 's ontological ontology using the Ontology and Latour' s ontology and technological philosophy. The cogito derived from the Cartesian philosophy became the basis of the structure of dichotomous epistemology of 'subjectivity and objectivity' based on human - reason. In the human-centered world, all non-human beings were tools or controls for humans. The problem of the modern people is not only to get help from the natural scientific methods to control the nature including man, but also to think that scientific method is the only way to understand the world. In criticizing this, Merleau-Ponty shows that the body mediates between human beings and non-human beings, and provides a possible ontological basis for the ontology. Merleau - Ponty 's phenomenological methodology and ontology are newly developed by Simondon under the influence of phenomenological philosopher and phenomenology. The relationship between human beings and nonhuman beings by Simondon appears as an ensemble of human and technical objects or a mutual co - operation of human and technical objects. In particular, Latour goes a step further in Simondon and defines all the bodies living in the world as actor-network theory, denying the core concept of modernity. Merleau - Ponty 's phenomenological view can be a new possible basis for the philosophical discussion of the technological age. We will see that the problem itself can be solved by shifting modern fear to a phenomenological attitude.

Improvement of Disaster Prevention Performance Target Rainfall Considering Climate Change (기후변화를 고려한 방재성능목표 강우량 개선 방향)

  • Lee, Jeonghoon;Kim, Kyungmin;Kim, Sangdan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.175-175
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    • 2018
  • 우리나라에서 발생하는 대규모 자연재해의 상당부분은 강우에 의한 홍수피해이다. 최근 이러한 홍수피해는 기후변화와 더불어 극한강우 현상의 빈발에 의한 새로운 재해양상으로 전개되고 있으며, 이에 따라 정부에서도 재해발생시 원상복구의 개념이 아닌 항구복구의 개념으로 복구사업을 수행하고 있다. 그러나 설계에 기후변화에 대한 영향을 반영하고 있지 못하기 때문에 기후변화에 의하여 미래에 발생할 극한강우로 반복적인 피해가 예상되고 있으므로 기존의 방재성능목표 강우량의 설정 방법에 대한 개선이 필요하다. 전 세계적으로 이러한 기후변화에 의한 현상을 모의하기 위한 연구로 전지구기후모델(Global Climate Model, 이하 GCM)과 지역기후모델(Reginal Climate Model, 이하 RCM)을 사용하고 있다.우리나라 기상청에서도 CMIP5 국제사업의 표준 실험체계를 통해 전지구 기후변화 시나리오 산출을 위해서 영국 기상청 해들리센터의 GCM인 HadGEM2-AO를 도입하였다. 또한 한반도 기후변화 시나리오를 산출하기 위해 HadGEM3-RA 모형을 이용하여 전지구 기후변화 시나리오를 역학적으로 상세화하고 이를 한반도에 대해 12.5km 공간 해상도로 일 자료를 제공하고 있다. 하지만 유역규모 혹은 지점규모에서 사용하기 위해서는 이러한 일자료의 시 공간적인 상세화기법이 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화를 고려한 방재성능목표 강우량 개선 방향을 제안하기 위해 다양한 연구단에서 도출된 상세화 결과를 수집하고 비교분석을 통해 기후변화를 고려하고자 하였다. 다양한 연구기관에서 생산된 미래 확률 전망을 살펴본 결과, 동일한 GCM자료를 사용하더라도 상세화 방법론에 따라 서로 다른 결과가 도출되는 것을 확인하였다. 미래 예측의 불확실성을 고려하면 특정한 방법론이 우수하다고 평가하기는 어려움에 따라 앙상블 평균을 활용한 개선방향을 제안한다. 본 연구의 결과는 전국 지자체의 강우특성만을 고려한 것으로, 연안지역의 경우 해수면 상승을 고려하여 추가적인 대책이 필요할 것으로 판단된다.

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Comparison of the Machine Learning Models Predicting Lithium-ion Battery Capacity for Remaining Useful Life Estimation (리튬이온 배터리 수명추정을 위한 용량예측 머신러닝 모델의 성능 비교)

  • Yoo, Sangwoo;Shin, Yongbeom;Shin, Dongil
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.91-97
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    • 2020
  • Lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) have a longer lifespan, higher energy density, and lower self-discharge rates than other batteries, therefore, they are preferred as an Energy Storage System (ESS). However, during years 2017-2019, 28 ESS fire accidents occurred in Korea, and accurate capacity estimation of LIB is essential to ensure safety and reliability during operations. In this study, data-driven modeling that predicts capacity changes according to the charging cycle of LIB was conducted, and developed models were compared their performance for the selection of the optimal machine learning model, which includes the Decision Tree, Ensemble Learning Method, Support Vector Regression, and Gaussian Process Regression (GPR). For model training, lithium battery test data provided by NASA was used, and GPR showed the best prediction performance. Based on this study, we will develop an enhanced LIB capacity prediction and remaining useful life estimation model through additional data training, and improve the performance of anomaly detection and monitoring during operations, enabling safe and stable ESS operations.

Research on ITB Contract Terms Classification Model for Risk Management in EPC Projects: Deep Learning-Based PLM Ensemble Techniques (EPC 프로젝트의 위험 관리를 위한 ITB 문서 조항 분류 모델 연구: 딥러닝 기반 PLM 앙상블 기법 활용)

  • Hyunsang Lee;Wonseok Lee;Bogeun Jo;Heejun Lee;Sangjin Oh;Sangwoo You;Maru Nam;Hyunsik Lee
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.12 no.11
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    • pp.471-480
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    • 2023
  • The Korean construction order volume in South Korea grew significantly from 91.3 trillion won in public orders in 2013 to a total of 212 trillion won in 2021, particularly in the private sector. As the size of the domestic and overseas markets grew, the scale and complexity of EPC (Engineering, Procurement, Construction) projects increased, and risk management of project management and ITB (Invitation to Bid) documents became a critical issue. The time granted to actual construction companies in the bidding process following the EPC project award is not only limited, but also extremely challenging to review all the risk terms in the ITB document due to manpower and cost issues. Previous research attempted to categorize the risk terms in EPC contract documents and detect them based on AI, but there were limitations to practical use due to problems related to data, such as the limit of labeled data utilization and class imbalance. Therefore, this study aims to develop an AI model that can categorize the contract terms based on the FIDIC Yellow 2017(Federation Internationale Des Ingenieurs-Conseils Contract terms) standard in detail, rather than defining and classifying risk terms like previous research. A multi-text classification function is necessary because the contract terms that need to be reviewed in detail may vary depending on the scale and type of the project. To enhance the performance of the multi-text classification model, we developed the ELECTRA PLM (Pre-trained Language Model) capable of efficiently learning the context of text data from the pre-training stage, and conducted a four-step experiment to validate the performance of the model. As a result, the ensemble version of the self-developed ITB-ELECTRA model and Legal-BERT achieved the best performance with a weighted average F1-Score of 76% in the classification of 57 contract terms.

Various Possibilities of Dispositif Film (디스포지티프 영화의 다양한 가능성)

  • KIM, Chaehee
    • Trans-
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    • v.3
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    • pp.55-86
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    • 2017
  • This study begins with the necessity of the concept of reincarnation of film media and the inclusion of specific tendencies of contemporary films as post - cinema comes. Variable movements around recent films Challenging and experimental films show aesthetics that are difficult to approach with the analysis of classical mise en scene and montage. In this way, I review the dispositif proposed by Martin in films that are puzzling to criticize with the classical conceptual framework. This is because the concept of dispositive is a conceptual pile that extends more than a mise en scene and a montage. Dispositif films tend to be non-reproducible and non-narrative, but not all non-narrativef tendencies are dispositif films. Only the dispositif film is included in the flow. Dispositif movement has increased dramatically in the modern environment on which digital technology is based, but it is not a tendency to be found in any particular age. The movement has been detected in classical films, and the dispositif tendency has continued to exist in avant-garde films in the 1920s and some modernist films. First, for clear conceptualization of cinematic dispositif, this study examines the sources of dispositif debates that are being introduced into film theory today. In this process, the theory of Jean Louis Baudry, Michel Foucault, Agamben, Flusser, and Deleuze will help. The concept of dispositif was discussed by several scholars, including Baudry and Foucault, and today the notion of dispositif is defined across all these definitions. However, these various discussions are distinctly different from the cinematic dispositif or dispositif films that Martin advocates. Martin's proposed concept reminds us of the fundamentals of cinematic aesthetics that have distinguished between the mise-en-scene and the montage. And it will be able to reconsider those concepts and make it possible to view a thing a new light or create new films. The basic implications of dispositif are apparatus as devices, disposition and arrangement, the combination of heterogeneity. Thus, if you define a dispositif film in a word, it is a new 'constraint' consisting of rearrangement and arrangement of the heterogeneous elements that make up the conditions of the classical film. In order for something to become a new design, changes must be made in the arrangement and arrangement of the elements, forces, and forces that make up it. Naturally, the elements encompass both internal and external factors. These dispositif films have a variety of possibilities, such as reflection on the archival possibilities and the role of supervision, the reestablishment of active and creative audience, the reason for the film medium, and the ideological reflection. films can also 'network' quickly and easily with other media faster than any medium and create a new 'devised' aesthetic style. And the dispositif film that makes use of this will be a key keyword in reading the films that present the new trend of modern film. Because dispositif are so comprehensive and have a broad implication, there are certainly areas that are difficult to sophisticate. However this will have a positive effect on the future activation of dispositif studies end for end. Dispositif is difficult to elaborate the concept clearly, so it can be accessed from a wide range of dimensions and has theoretically infinite extensibility. At the beginning and end of the 21st century film, the concept of cinematic dispositif will become a decisive factor to dismantle old film aesthetics.

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