• Title/Summary/Keyword: 자기회귀

Search Result 1,484, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

A Dynamic Analysis of Import Price of Roundwood (원목수입가격(原木輸入價格)의 동태적(動態的) 분석(分析))

  • Han, Sang-Yoel;Kim, Tae-Kyun;Cho, Jae-Hwan;Choi, Kwan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
    • /
    • v.88 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-10
    • /
    • 1999
  • The dynamic relationships among import prices of roundwood are analyzed using the time series approach. A vector autoregression(VAR) model is estimated for six import prices(New Zealand, Chile, Russia, U.S.A., PNG, and Malaysia). Then Granger's causality test, variance decomposition analysis, and impulse response function analysis are also conducted. The major results are summarized as follows : (1) The prices of New Zealand and Russia are caused by only own lagged prices. (2) The prices of Chile and PNG are effected by New Zealand, the price of PNG is effected by New Zealand and Russia, and the price of U.S.A. is effected by those of Chile and PNG, respectively. (3) An exogenous shock in New Zealand will affect the prices of New Zealand, PNG, U.S.A., Chile, Russia. (4) An exogenous shock in Chile may also affect the prices of Chile, U.S.A., Russia.

  • PDF

A Study on Estimating Tourism Elasticities using Autoregressive Distributed Lag(ARDL) model (ARDL 모형을 이용한 관광탄력성 추정에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Kyung-Hee;Kim, Kyung-Soo
    • Management & Information Systems Review
    • /
    • v.36 no.2
    • /
    • pp.81-92
    • /
    • 2017
  • This study was to investigate the elasticity in tourism demand of Chinese tourists visiting Malaysia through ARDL models by using Chinese tourists arrivals, GDP, CPI, transportation costs and others. When China was implementing an open-door policy with foreign countries in the early 15th century, the movement of Chinese was very limited, and then communication between China and other countries was very weak. However, the Chinese government persistently and entirely implemented an open-door policy by participating in the World Trade Organization(WTO) in 2001. The Chinese government has opened the economy through foreign direct investment by providing various incentives for foreign investment. As a result, inbound and outbound Chinese movements increased in the early 21st century. China was one of the top five most visited tourist destinations in the world by 2016, and also Chinese tourists traveling abroad increased, so they made Malaysia a popular tourists destination because of increase sharply to around 1.41 million. This study examined the significance of major economic factors affecting the increase in Chinese tourists arriving in Malaysia. Other factors that induced their arrival included income, tourism prices, transportation costs and promotional activities. Short-run shocks from the Asian economic crisis and the outbreak of SARS were included to understand how tourism demand in Malaysia was affected. Finally this study found that the combination of the ARDL and the Error Correction Model were useful to statistically estimate the elasticities of tourism demand.

  • PDF

A Study on the Job Satisfaction of the Dental Hygienists (울산지역 치과위생사의 직무만족도에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Gye-won;Lee, Ga-ryoung
    • Journal of dental hygiene science
    • /
    • v.6 no.1
    • /
    • pp.35-39
    • /
    • 2006
  • objective: The purpose of this study was to investigate job satisfaction of dental hygienist who were employed at the private dental clinic in Ulsan, Korea methods: The date obtained from some dental hygienists during 1 month. the survey was performed by face-by-face interview questionnaire consisting of 23 items and 6 point Likert type response format. The respondents were 77 from dental hygienists. The adjusted response rate was 88.5%(77/87). Data were analyzed using frequency distribution, independent T-test, ANOVA, chi-square and correlation. all statistical analyzed were conducted using Statistical Package for SPSS 11.5 result: In each factorial duty contentment, the level of the self-conceit from their own job was the highest. on contrary, the level of their monthly earnings was the lowest. In such a case as there was experience to move to another dental hospital, the job satisfaction was higher than nothing to move. conclusion: The dental hygienist who is in charge of protecting and hygiene of the teeth and the disease of oral has much influence of oral health. job satisfaction the dental hygienists have for their own job can influence themselves and even patients. So, making the job satisfaction higher is necessary to improve the quality of general dental hygiene.

  • PDF

Social Competence, Language and Literacy Ability of Kindergartners: The Affects of Parent-Child Interaction, Peer Interaction and Teacher-Child Interaction (부모-유아 상호작용, 또래상호작용, 교사-유아 상호작용이 유아의 사회적 유능감과 언어 및 문해 능력에 미치는 영향)

  • Back, Ji Sook;Kwon, Eun Joo
    • Korean Journal of Child Education & Care
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.99-114
    • /
    • 2017
  • This study investigated the affects of Parent-child interaction, peer interaction and teacher-child interaction on kindergartners' social competence, language and literacy Ability. Participants were 1203 children attending panel study on Korean children. It used the 'Social Competence Inventory', 'SECCYD', 'HEQ', 'PIPPS' and the 'Teacher-Child Relation Scale' in collection of data. Collected data were analyzed through the SPSS 18.0 program and pearson's correlation and step-wise multi regression analysis. Findings are as follows. First, there were positive correlations between children's social competence and parent-child interaction, peer interaction and teacher-child interaction. Second, there were positive correlations between children's language and literacy ability and peer interaction and teacher-child interaction. Third, Parent-child interaction, peer interaction were predictable variable affecting the young children's social competence. Fourth, peer interaction and teacher-child interaction were found to be predictable variables affecting the young children's language and literacy ability.

A Study on the Statistical GIS for Regional Analysis (지역분석을 위한 웹 기반 통계GIS 연구)

  • 박기호;이양원
    • Spatial Information Research
    • /
    • v.9 no.2
    • /
    • pp.239-261
    • /
    • 2001
  • A large suite of official statistical data sets has been compiled for geographical units under the national directives, and it is the quantitative regional analysis procedures that could add values to them. This paper reports our attempts at prototyping a statistical GIS which is capable of serving over the Web a variety of regional analysis routines as well as value-added statistics and maps. A pilot database of some major statistical data was ingested for the city of Seoul. The baseline subset of regional analysis methods of practical usage was selected and accommodated into the business logic of the target system, which ranges from descriptive statistics, regional structure/inequality measures, spatial ANOVA, spatial (auto) correlation to regression and residual analysis. The leading-edge information technologies including the application server were adopted in the system design and implementation so that the database, analysis modules and analytic mapping components may cooperate seamlessly behind the Web front-end. The prototyped system supports tables, maps, and files of downloadable format for input and output of the analyses. One of the most salient features of out proposed system is that both the database and analysis modules are extensible via the bi-directional interface for end users; The system provides users with operators and parsers for algebraic formulae such that the stored statistical variables may be transformed and combined into the newly-derived set of variables. This functionality eventually leads to on-the-fly fabrication of user-defined regional analysis algorithms. The stored dataset may also be temporarily augmented by user-uploaded dataset; The extension of this form, in essence, results in a virtual database which awaits for users commands as usual. An initial evaluation of the proposed system confirms that the issues involving the usage and dissemination of information can be addressed with success.

  • PDF

Social work field training awareness on the impact of the research career (사회복지현장실습이 진로의식에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon, Seong-Nam
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.19 no.6
    • /
    • pp.119-128
    • /
    • 2014
  • In this study, the social welfare field training course there is a growing awareness as professionals in order to verify the impact was conducted. G-local four-year university study social work majors by sampling 198 people were examined for the purpose, through self - survey was conducted. Materials and analytical methods in order to identify the characteristics of a variable frequency, and technical analysis, T-test, F-test, ANOVA, correlation (correlation), Regression (regression) was used for the SPSS 14.0. The results are as follows. First, the personal factors of the individual physician trainees reflect (${\beta}=.197$), and then the same about Social Welfare satisfaction (${\beta}=.205$) of the Social Welfare majors had significant impact on career identity. Second, the personal factors they chose what to major in social work satisfaction (${\beta}=-.291$), and if you feel you select a parent with a major in Social Work and Social Welfare major students feel the satisfaction of having a significant effect on the level of career decision crazy. Third, individual reflect personal physician factors (${\beta}=.156$) is significantly influenced the behavior of career preparation.

A Study on the Effect of Changes in Oil Price on Dry Bulk Freight Rates and Intercorrelations between Dry Bulk Freight Rates (국제유가의 변화가 건화물선 운임에 미치는 영향과 건화물선 운임간의 상관관계에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Sang-Kuck;Kim, Seong-Ki
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.27 no.2
    • /
    • pp.217-240
    • /
    • 2011
  • In this study, vector autoregressive and vector error correction models in the short-run dynamics are considered to analyze the effect of the changes in international crude oil prices on Baltic dry index, Baltic Capesize index and Baltic Panamax index, and the intercorrelations between Capesize and Panamax prices, respectively. First, using the vector autoregressive model, the changes in international crude oil price have a statistically significant positive effect for Capesize at lag 1, for Panamax a significant negative effect at lag 3 and a significant positive effect for Baltic dry index at lag 1. From the impulse response analysis, the international crude oil price causes Baltic dry index to increase in the sort-run and the effect converges on the mean after 3 months. Second, using the vector error correction model, the empirical results for the spillover effects between Capesize and Panamax markets provide that in the case of the deviation from a long-run equilibrium the Panamax price is adjusted toward decreasing. The increases in freight rates of the Capesize market at lag 1 lead to increase the freight rates in Panamax market at present. The Panamax responses from the Capesize shocks increase rapidly for 3 months and the effect converges on the mean after 5 months. The Capesize responses from the Panamax shocks are relatively small, and increase weakly for 3 months and the effect disappears thereafter.

The Exploring of Servant Leadership's Theoretical Framework in the Service Industry (서비스 산업에서 서번트 리더십의 이론적 분석 틀의 구축 가능성)

  • Bang, Yong Tae
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
    • /
    • v.10 no.2
    • /
    • pp.77-89
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study analyzed the effect of Servant Leadership on leader trust and job engagement for the lower-level leader in airline crew occupations with the aim of identifying the possibility of establishing the theoretical framework of Servant Leadership in the service industry. As a result of the regression analysis, it was found that the social learning dimension of Servant Leadership has greater influence than the social exchange dimension on the leader trust, while the influence on job engagement is the opposite. The results of this analysis can be interpreted that trying to learn the words and actions of the Servant Leader is more effective in further consolidating the trust of the subordinates in the leader. On the other hand, the Servant Leader's words and actions for social exchange are inferred to have more influence on the job engagement. This study is targeted at air transport services, exposing limitations to the generalization of research results. Throughout leadership research and organizational research, including Servant leadership, further studies applying the social learning theory and social exchange theory presented in this paper are expected to produce theoretical results that will lead to the emergence of a new framework for research analysis.

Analysis of Factors Influencing Physical Activity in Female Nursing Students based on the Habit Formation Model (습관형성모델을 기반으로 한 간호대학 여학생의 신체활동에 대한 영향요인 분석)

  • Kim, Kyunghee;Gu, Mee-Ock
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
    • /
    • v.6 no.4
    • /
    • pp.453-468
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study was conducted to investigate factors influencing physical activity in female nursing students based on the habit formation model. The participants were 207 female students at G nursing college and J nursing college located in J city. All data were collected from 31, August to 14, September in 2020 and analyzed by descriptive statistics, ANOVA and Scheffĕ test, Pearson's correlation coefficient, Univariate, and Multivariate multinomial logistic regression using SPSS/WIN 22.0 program. The average level of physical activity measured by the Korean version of IPAQ was 2506.31±2807.05 MET-min/week. According to the physical activity category classified by IPAQ, there were 59students(28.5%) in the high group, 98students(47.3%) in the moderate group, and 50students(24.2%) in the low group. Physical activity habit strength was the significant factor influencing physical activity in female nursing students. Therefore, this study suggests that it is necessary to develop the habit formation program and verify effectiveness for enhancing and maintaining the physical activity in female nursing students.

An Analysis of the Relationship between Career Barrier and Career Maturity of the Adolescents (청소년의 진로장벽과 진로성숙도간의 관계분석)

  • Song, Byeong Kug;Jeon, Ju Yeon
    • Journal of Agricultural Extension & Community Development
    • /
    • v.20 no.1
    • /
    • pp.235-264
    • /
    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between career barrier and career maturity of the adolescents who were concretely worried about their career and occupation. 672 middle school students were participated to analyze the Pearson Correlation and Multiple Regression Analyses with data collected by the questionnaire. This study revealed the following results. First, the correlational analysis showed that career barrier associated negatively with career maturity. Second, the multiple regression analysis revealed that sub-elements of career barrier which the adolescents conceived, such as the shortage of self-understanding, the shortage of self-reliance, gender-role conflict and gender discrimination, and the shortage of career and occupational information were significantly effecting their career maturity. Third, as a result of multiple regression analysis to estimate the explanability of career barrier on career maturity, career barrier among various independent factors which were correlated statistically with career maturity showed most effects on it. Also, school academic achievement was confirmed as a significant factor effecting the career maturity. Above these results imply that the perception on the career barrier of the adolescent should be reduced for increasing the career maturity. For this, career education and counselling should be positively intervened and reinforced through the school curriculum and activities.