• Title/Summary/Keyword: 임의번호걸기

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The Major Findings of the Telephone Survey by Random Digit Dialing and Time-Balanced Quota Sampling (임의번호걸기와 시간균형할당표집에 의한 전화조사의 주요결과)

  • Huh, M.H.;Han, S.T.;Kim, J.Y.;Sung, E.H.;Kang, H.
    • Survey Research
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.77-88
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    • 2011
  • Korean telephone surveys have been based on telephone directory and thus criticized for considerable under-coverage. Now, Korean survey institutions progress to random digit dialing (RDD) very actively. But still most surveys are administered by quota sampling, prone to assign heavier weights to social classes with more hours staying indoor. As a practical remedy, time-balanced quota sampling scheme was proposed by Huh and Hwang (2006). This study compares two telephone surveys on TV audience environment in Korea: RDD with conventional quota sampling versus RDD with time-balanced quota sampling.

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Random Digit Dialing Telephone Survey and Major Findings (RDD 전화조사와 주요결과)

  • Kang, H.C.;Han, S.T.;Kim, J.Y.;Jung, Y.C.;Huh, M.H.
    • Survey Research
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.1-22
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    • 2008
  • Telephone directories ille still being used as the sampling frame in almost all fixed-line telephone surveys in Korea, causing potentially serious coverage error. RDD (random digit dialing) sampling is an obvious alternative to solve the problem. The aim of this paper is twofold: 1) proposal of RDD methodology suitable to the telephone system of Korea and 2) the identification of socio-demographic and socio-psychological differences between listed-number and unlisted-number respondents. Major findings of RDD telephone survey conducted experimental]y are as follows. 1) Population coverage by telephone directories is 60% or less. 2) Unlisted-number households have statistically larger income compared to listed-number households. 3) Unlisted-number households have smaller family size compared to listed-number households. 4) Unlisted-number respondents are more sensitive about confidentiality, leaks, 5) Unlisted-number respondents are more liberal compared to unlisted-number respondents. These facts suggest that directory-based telephone surveys tend to be biased in socio-economic aspects.

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RDD Sample versus Directory - Based Sample for Telephone Surveys: The Case of 2007 Presidential Election Forecasting in Korea (RDD 표본 대 전화번호부 표본: 2007년 대통령 선거 예측사례)

  • Huh, Myung-Hoe;Kim, Young-Won
    • Survey Research
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.55-69
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    • 2008
  • In most telephone surveys in Korea, telephone numbers are selected from the directories. Inevitably, such samples may lack representativeness due to poor coverage rate. To resolve the problem, Kang et al.(2008) implemented RDD(random digit dialing) method for nationwide sampling in Korea. The aim of this study is to compare an RDD sample with a traditional telephone quota sample that were collected independently by two survey institutes commissioned by the KBS-MBC consortium for the 2007 Presidential Election of Korea.

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Study on Sampling Frame and Methods for Analyzing Political Attitudes : A Comparison of RDD and Direct Sampling (표집틀 설정과 표본추출방법에 따른 정치성향 분석의 문제점: 임의번호걸기(Random Digit Dialing)과 전화번호부 추출방법 비교)

  • Woo, Jung-Yeop;Kim, Ji-Yoon;Moon, Jong-Bae
    • Survey Research
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.153-174
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    • 2011
  • This research aims to discuss the causes of inaccuracy in public opinion polls currently conducted in Korea. In particular, identifying the problems in sampling frame and sampling methods in political and social public opinion polls is an important question. Currently, most polling organizations operating in Korea are using phone number directories provided by Korea Telecom(KT) as its sampling frame for conducting most political polls. A critical problem of using a phone number directory as a sampling frame is that unlisted phone numbers can never be included in the sample. If a systematic difference in socio-demographic or politico-economic characteristics exists between the listed number using group and the unlisted group, using a phone number directory as a sampling frame cannot produce a sample that can represent the whole adult population in Korea. According to the poll result commissioned by the Asan Institute for Policy Studies in January 2011, there are statistically significant differences in socio-demographic and politico-economic characteristics between those two groups, and those differences led to the differences in the presidential job approval rating and party support. Our findings include that the listed number using group is more pro-Grand National Party and show stronger support for the president than the unlisted group.

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A Study on Mixed-Mode Survey which Combine the Landline and Mobile Telephone Interviews: The Case of Special Election for the Mayor of Seoul (유.무선전화 병행조사에 대한 연구: 2011년 서울시장 보궐선거 여론조사 사례)

  • Lee, Kyoung-Taeg;Lee, Hwa-Jeong;Hyun, Kyung-Bo
    • Survey Research
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.135-158
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    • 2012
  • Korean telephone surveys have been based on landline telephone directory or RDD(Random Digit Dialing) method. These days, however, there has been an increase of the households with no landline, or households with the line but not willing to register in the directory. Moreover, it is hard to contact young people or office workers who are usually staying out of home in the daytime. Due to these issues above, the predictability of election polls gets weaker. Especially, low accessibility to those who stay out of home when the poll's done, results in predictions with positive inclination toward conservatism. A solution to resolve this problem is to contact respondents by using both mobile and landline phones-via landline phone to those who are at home and via mobile phone to those who are out of home in the daytime(Mixed Mode Survey, hereafter MMS). To conduct MMS, 1) we need to obtain the sampling frames for the landline and mobile surveys, and 2) we need to decide the proportion of sample size of both. In this paper, we propose a heuristic method for conducting MMS. The method uses RDD for the landline phone survey, and the access panel list for the mobile phone survey. The proportion of sample sizes between landline and mobile phones are determined based on the 'Lifestyle and Time Use Study' conducted by Statistics Korea. As a case study, 4 election polls were conducted in the periods of the special election for the mayor of Seoul on Oct 26th, 2011. From the initial 3 polls, reactions and responses regarding the issues raised during the survey period were appropriately covered, and the final poll showed a very close prediction to the real election result.

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A Case Study of Mixed-Mode Design Incorporated Mobile RDD into Telephone RDD (유·무선 RDD를 결합한 혼합조사설계: 2011 서울시장 보궐선거 예측조사 사례 연구)

  • Lee, Kay-O;Jang, Duk-Hyun;Hong, Young-Taek
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.153-162
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    • 2012
  • We proposed a mixed-mode design with a landline survey and mobile survey as the solution for the problems of election opinion polls by the original telephone survey method, mostly with limited population coverage for young people not living at home and with lower efficiency in selecting valid voters. We numerically verified the applicability of the proposed dual frame survey by analyzing the preliminary opinion poll results of the Seoul mayor by-election of October 26 2011. This research achieved the result that relative standard errors were similar between a mobile RDD sample and landline RDD sample though the variance was bigger in the former. Though the combination of mobile RDD and landline RDD is not found to improve the forecast accuracy, it still is expected to have higher reliability for election polls by expanding the population coverage and compensating the weakness of each survey method.