• Title/Summary/Keyword: 일반화선형 모형

Search Result 152, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

Review of Mixed-Effect Models (혼합효과모형의 리뷰)

  • Lee, Youngjo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.28 no.2
    • /
    • pp.123-136
    • /
    • 2015
  • Science has developed with great achievements after Galileo's discovery of the law depicting a relationship between observable variables. However, many natural phenomena have been better explained by models including unobservable random effects. A mixed effect model was the first statistical model that included unobservable random effects. The importance of the mixed effect models is growing along with the advancement of computational technologies to infer complicated phenomena; subsequently mixed effect models have extended to various statistical models such as hierarchical generalized linear models. Hierarchical likelihood has been suggested to estimate unobservable random effects. Our special issue about mixed effect models shows how they can be used in statistical problems as well as discusses important needs for future developments. Frequentist and Bayesian approaches are also investigated.

Estimating GARCH models using kernel machine learning (커널기계 기법을 이용한 일반화 이분산자기회귀모형 추정)

  • Hwang, Chang-Ha;Shin, Sa-Im
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.21 no.3
    • /
    • pp.419-425
    • /
    • 2010
  • Kernel machine learning is gaining a lot of popularities in analyzing large or high dimensional nonlinear data. We use this technique to estimate a GARCH model for predicting the conditional volatility of stock market returns. GARCH models are usually estimated using maximum likelihood (ML) procedures, assuming that the data are normally distributed. In this paper, we show that GARCH models can be estimated using kernel machine learning and that kernel machine has a higher predicting ability than ML methods and support vector machine, when estimating volatility of financial time series data with fat tail.

Future Weather Generation with Spatio-Temporal Correlation for the Four Major River Basins in South Korea (시공간 상관성을 고려한 일기산출기 모형을 이용한 4대강 유역별 미래 일기 변수 산출)

  • Lee, Dong-Hwan;Lee, Jae-Yong;Oh, Hee-Seok;Lee, Young-Jo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.25 no.2
    • /
    • pp.351-362
    • /
    • 2012
  • Weather generators are statistical tools to produce synthetic sequences of daily weather variables. We propose the multisite weather generators with a spatio-temporal correlation based on hierarchical generalized linear models. We develop a computational algorithm to produce future weather variables that use three different types of green-house gases scenarios. We apply the proposed method to a daily time series of precipitation and average temperature for South Korea.

Factor Analysis of Customer Loyalty in Car Insurance Using Generalized Additive Partial Linear Model (일반화가법부분선형모형을 이용한 자동차보험 충성도 요인분석)

  • Ki, Seung-Do;Kang, Kee-Hoon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.25 no.1
    • /
    • pp.67-79
    • /
    • 2012
  • The car insurance market in Korea has already entered (or is in the process of entry) a mature market that is characterized by increased competition by market participants. Participants are expected to compete more intensively in order to survive. Together with a slowdown in market growth the goal of non-life insurers' marketing strategies is to enhance existing customer loyalty because it is easier to raise their loyalty via customer satisfaction than to attract new customers in a stagnant market. In this article, we investigate what factors affect customer loyalty, and suggest some specific ways to establish and implement marketing strategies. We use a generalized additive partial linear model in order to find some significant factors.

Multi-Site Stochastic Weather Generator for Daily Rainfall in Korea (시공간구조를 가지는 확률적 강우 모형)

  • Kwak, Minjung;Kim, Yongku
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.27 no.3
    • /
    • pp.475-485
    • /
    • 2014
  • A stochastic weather generator based on a generalized linear model (GLM) approach is a commonly used tools to simulate a time series of daily weather. In this paper, we propose a multi-site weather generator with applications to historical data in South Korea. The proposed method extends the approach of Kim et al. (2012) by considering spatial dependence in the model. To reduce this phenomenon, we also incorporate a time series of seasonal mean precipitations of South Korea in the GLM weather generator as a covariate. Spatial dependence was incorporated into the model through a latent Gaussian process. We apply the proposed model to precipitation data provided by 62 stations in Korea from 1973{2011.

Binary regression model using skewed generalized t distributions (기운 일반화 t 분포를 이용한 이진 데이터 회귀 분석)

  • Kim, Mijeong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.30 no.5
    • /
    • pp.775-791
    • /
    • 2017
  • We frequently encounter binary data in real life. Logistic, Probit, Cauchit, Complementary log-log models are often used for binary data analysis. In order to analyze binary data, Liu (2004) proposed a Robit model, in which the inverse of cdf of the Student's t distribution is used as a link function. Kim et al. (2008) also proposed a generalized t-link model to make the binary regression model more flexible. The more flexible skewed distributions allow more flexible link functions in generalized linear models. In the sense, we propose a binary data regression model using skewed generalized t distributions introduced in Theodossiou (1998). We implement R code of the proposed models using the glm function included in R base and R sgt package. We also analyze Pima Indian data using the proposed model in R.

A Study on Spatial and Temporal Distribution of a Pest via Generalized Linear Mixed Models (일반화선형혼합모형을 통한 해충밀도의 시공간분포 연구)

  • 박흥선;조기종
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.185-196
    • /
    • 2004
  • It is an important research area in Integrated Pest Management System to estimate the pest density within plants, because the artificial controls such as spraying pesticides or biological enemies depend on the information of pest density. This paper studies the population density distribution of two-spotted spider mite in glasshouse roses. As the data were collected repeatedly on the same subject, Subject-Specific and Population Averaged approaches are used and compared.