• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.21 no.3
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• pp.209-215
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• 2009

A new load surface method for reliability of caisson type breakwater was proposed. Linear functions for horizontal wave force and uplift force were estimated by using water level and wave height then they were applied to the reliability analysis of breakwater using first order reliability method(FORM). In the numerical example, sliding and overturning failure probability of caisson type breakwater were analyzed by using load surface and they were compared with those by Monte Carlo simulation.

• Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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• v.28 no.2
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• pp.92-100
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• 2016

Reliability analysis of tripod support structure for offshore wind turbine was performed. Extreme distribution function of peak response due to wind and wave loads was estimated by applying peak over threshold(POT) method. Then, stress based limit state function was defined by using maximum stress of support structure which was obtained by multiplying beam stress and concentration factor. The reliability analysis result was compared when maximum stress was calculated from shell element. Reliability index was evaluated using first order reliability method(FORM).

• Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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• v.22 no.4
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• pp.595-603
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• 2010

Monte-Carlo simulation technique is often used in order to predict service life of concrete structure subjected to chloride penetration in marine environment based on probability theory. Monte-Carlo simulation method, however, the method gives different results every time that the simulation is run. On the other hand, moment method, which is frequently used in reliability analysis, needs negligible computational cost compared with simulation technique and gives a constant result for the same problem. Thus, in this study, moment method was applied to the calculation of corrosion-initiation probability. For this purpose, computer programs to calculate failure probabilities are developed using first-order second moment (FOSM) and second-order second moment (SOSM) methods, respectively. From the analysis examples with the developed programs, SOSM was found to give a more accurate result than FOSM does. The sensitivity analysis has shown that the factor affecting the corrosion-initiation probability the most was the cover depth, and the corrosion-initiation probability was influenced more by its coefficient of variation than its mean value.

• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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• v.12 no.6
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• pp.129-139
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• 2008

Due to uncertainty of numerous variables in durability model, a probalistic approach is increasing. Monte Carlo simulation (Level III method) is an easily accessible method, but requires a lot of repeated operations. This paper evaluated the effectiveness of First Order Second Moment method (Level II method), which is more convenient and time saving method than MCS, to predict the corrosion initiation in harbor concrete structure. Mean Value First Order Second Moment method (MV FOSM) and Advanced First Order Second Moment method (AFOSM) are applied to the error function solution of Fick's second law modeling chloride diffusion. Reliability index and failure probability based on MV FOSM and AFOSM are compared with the results by MCS. The comparison showed that AFOSM and MCS predict the similar reliability index and MV FOSM underestimates the probability of corrosion initiation by chloride attack. Also, the sensitivity of variables in durability model to corrosion initiation probability was evaluated on the basis of AFOSM. The results showed that AFOSM is a simple and efficient method to estimate the probability of corrosion initiation in harbor structures.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.32 no.9
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• pp.740-753
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• 2008

The conventional Split Hopkinson Pressure Bar (C-SHPB) technique with aluminum pressure bars to achieve a closer impedance match between the pressure bars and the specimen materials such as hot temperature degraded POM (Poly Oxy Methylene) and PP (Poly Propylene) to obtain more distinguishable experimental signals is used to obtain a dynamic behavior of material deformation under a high strain rate loading condition. An experimental modification with Pulse shaper is introduced to reduce the nonequilibrium on the dynamic material response during a short test period to increase the rise time of the incident pulse for two polymeric materials. For the dynamic stress strain curve obtained from SHPB experiment under high strain rate, the Johnson-Cook model is applied as a constitutive equation, and we verify the applicability of this constitutive equation to the probabilistic reliability estimation method. The methodology to estimate the reliability using the probabilistic method such as the FORM and the SORM has been proposed, after compose the limit state function using Johnson-Cook model. It is found that the failure probability estimated by using the SORM is more reliable than those of the FORM, and the failure probability increases with the increase of applied stress. Moreover, it is noted that the parameters of Johnson-Cook model such as A and n, and applied stress affect the failure probability more than the other random variables according to the sensitivity analysis.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.21 no.5
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• pp.413-419
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• 2008

Deterministic design optimization (DO) does not explicitly deal with a variety of factors from inherent randomness and uncertainties. Reliability based design optimization(RBDO) is necessary to use in engineering systems in order to guarantee quality and performance of product. In this paper, design variables are considered as random variables. Standard deviation according to change of design variables have changed as much as coefficient of variation. And, if the standard deviation is error of manufacturing, standard deviation-mean relation is concave form. We obtain reliability index using advanced first order second moment method(AFOSM). This paper is examined by solving two examples and the results are compares with DO, RBDO and suggested RBDO.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.24 no.1 s.87
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• pp.121-131
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• 2006

Considering characteristics of drivers and vehicles with proper and reliable ways in highway design Procedures can ensure high level of highway safety. However, it is almost impossible to take into account all factors of drivers and vehicles influencing on the highway safety because of their uncertain and random nature. To detour the dead-end, the nature are usually assumed as simple homogeneous and deterministic one. Although the restricted assumption makes the system simple, it can produce serious problems due to lack of considering variability in the system. This paper develops a reliability-based method for determining stopping sight distance(SSD) and intersection sight distance (ISD), which are crucial elements in highway alignment design. In the study, Hasofer-Lind method is adopted. which is a well-known first-order second moment reliability method (AFOSM) The results in this study show that if mean, variance, and distribution of a particular driver-vehicle parameter are known, more reliable sight distances can be applied in highway design procedures because we can reflect uncertainties and randomness. Thus, the Probabilistic method could be adopted in designing the sight distance(s) with the desired reliability level.

• Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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• 2003.04a
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• pp.1130-1135
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• 2003

The need to increase the reliability of a structural system has been significantly brought in the procedure of real designs to consider, for instance, the material properties or geometric dimensions that reveal a random or incompletely known nature. Reliability based design optimization of a real system now becomes an emerging technique to achieve reliability, robustness and safety of these problems. Finite element analysis program and the reliability analysis program are necessary to evaluate the responses and the probabilities of failure of the system, respectively. Moreover, integration of these programs is required during the procedure of reliability based design optimization. It is well known that reliability based design optimization can often have so many local minima that it cannot converge to the specified probability of failure. To overcome this problem, barrier function method in reliability based design optimization is suggested. To illustrate the proposed formulation, reliability based design optimization of a bracket is performed. AMV and FORM are employed for reliability analysis and their optimization results are compared based on the accuracy and efficiency.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.5 no.2
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• pp.51-57
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• 1985

In the design of civil engineering structures, the designers are invariably faced to the uncertainties and the randomness of the design parameters such as material properties and loads. Even when the structures are built, the actual geometries of the structures are also subject to their random variations from their nominal design values. Thus, the reliability of a structure in terms of these uncertainties and variations becomes a matter of great concern to the structural designers. This study employs the First Order Second Moment Method to evluate numerically the reliability of a simple tension member and discusses the influence on the final failure probability of that structure due to: 1) use of equivalent normal distribution in place of non-normal distribution, 2) linearization of non linear limit state equation. A discussion is also made on the necessity of fundamental studies on the distrubution characteristics of the strength of locally produced construction materials and those of the loads frequently encountered in the structural design.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.38 no.5
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• pp.575-584
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• 2014

In this study, the NREL 5 MW wind turbine tower model was optimized according to the multi-body dynamics and reliability-based design. The mathematical model was defined as a link-joint system including dynamic characteristics derived from Timoshenko's beam theory. For the optimization problem, the sensitivities to variations in the tower thicknesses and inner and outer diameters were acquired and arranged in terms of safety and efficiency according to bending stress and buckling standards. An optimal design was calculated with the advanced first-order second moment method and used to define a finite element model for validation. The finite element model was simulated by static analysis. The relationship between the multi-body dynamic and finite element method throughout the process was investigated, and the optimal model, which had high endurance despite its low mass, was determined.