• Title/Summary/Keyword: 인구효과

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Projecting Future Change in the Female Labor Force based on Historical Experiences of Other Developed Countries: Implications for the Effects of Changing Population Structure on the Size of the Workforce (선진국의 역사적 사례에 기초한 여성경제활동인구 변화 전망 : 인구구조 변화가 노동인력규모에 미치는 영향에 대한 함의)

  • Lee, Chulhee;Kim, Claire Kyu-yeon
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.1-29
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    • 2019
  • This study estimates how changes in the female (aged 25 to 54) labor force participation rate (LFPR) following the historical experiences of the US and Japan would alter the future trend of the female economically active population by 2065, compared to the case in which the LFPR as of 2018 will remain unchanged. According to the results, the female labor force aged 25 to 54 will increase by 14% (about 797,000) and 15% (about 831,000), respectively, by 2042 if the female LFPR should change following the past trends of the US and Japan. In particular, the increase in the labor force is expected to be pronounced among females aged 30 to 44 who currently suffer high rates of job severance. The results of this study strengthen the prediction that the on-going population changes will not reduce much the overall economically active population in the near future. The result of a simulation based on the historical experiences of Japan suggests that, as least in the near future, policy efforts to encourage female labor supply will be more effective in alleviating the potential labor-market impacts of population changes, compared to policies aiming at increasing old-age employment.

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Geographically Weighted Regression on the Characteristics of Land Use and Spatial Patterns of Floating Population in Seoul City (서울시 유동인구 분포의 공간 패턴과 토지이용 특성에 관한 지리가중 회귀분석)

  • Yun, Jeong Mi;Choi, Don Jeong
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.77-84
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    • 2015
  • The key objective of this research is to review the effectiveness of spatial regression to identify the influencing factors of spatial distribution patterns of floating population. To this end, global and local spatial autocorrelation test were performed using seoul floating population survey(2014) data. The result of Moran's I and Getis-Ord $Gi^*$ as used in the analysis derived spatial heterogeneity and spatial similarities of floating population patterns in a statistically significant range. Accordingly, Geographically Weighted Regression was applied to identify the relationship between land use attributes and population floating. Urbanization area, green tract of land of micro land cover data were aggregated in to $400m{\times}400m$ grid boundary of Seoul. Additionally public transportation variables such as intersection density transit accessibility, road density and pedestrian passage density were adopted as transit environmental factors. As a result, the GWR model derived more improved results than Ordinary Least Square(OLS) regression model. Furthermore, the spatial variation of applied local effect of independent variables for the floating population distributions.

Characteristics of Intra and Inter-Regional Population Mobility Resulting from Innovative City Development (혁신도시 건설에 따른 권역내·외 인구이동 특성)

  • Seong-Won KANG;Tae-Heon MOON;Hye-Lim KIM
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 2023
  • In 2005, the selection of 10 innovation cities was completed, and since 2013, public institutions began relocating to innovation cities. As a policy aimed at promoting balanced regional development, there were significant expectations from the regions. However, although the population moving to innovation cities has increased, it remains to be seen how much inflow is from the capital region and what spatial characteristics exist nationwide. Therefore, this study aims to analyze whether the innovation cities are fulfilling their roles by examining the patterns of inflow from the capital region and the spatial characteristics, and to reassess the policy direction for future innovation cities. We utilized the Microdata Integrated Service (MDIS) provided by Statistics Korea from 2013 to 2021. For the data collection reasons, we focused on analyzing the three cities. The results showed that in the initial stages of innovation city development, there was a significant influx of population from the capital region, leading to some effects on population dispersion and balanced regional development. However, over time, a phenomenon emerged where more people started to move back to the capital region, indicating a problematic trend. Furthermore, the Gyeongbuk Innovation City and Gwangju-Jeonnam Innovation City showed similarities in terms of reasons for migration, age of householder, and number of household members. However, the Gyeongnam Innovation City exhibited distinct characteristics compared to the other two cities. While the reasons for this phenomenon may be diverse, the current situation suggests that the goal of achieving "balanced national development" has reached its limits. Therefore, urgent measures need to be taken for improvement that take regional characteristics into account. Furthermore, in designing the second phase of the public institution relocation plan is required to avoid repeating the same issues and ensure a more thoughtful approach.

Exploring the Determinants of Continuous Usages of ASMR Content: Focusing on the Moderating Effects of Neuroticism (ASMR 콘텐츠 지속적 사용 영향 요인 탐색: 신경증의 조절효과를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Sungjoon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.19 no.10
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    • pp.112-125
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    • 2019
  • ASMR are becoming a new consumption trend with wide prevalence of personal web-casting and video-sharing platforms. In this context, this research looked at what factors determine usage of ASMR contents. In greater details, demographic variables, sub-types of contents, usage motivations, neuroticism and subjective norm were considered as possible determinants in this study. And their influences on ASMR usage were empirically tested. The moderating effect of neuroticism was also examined. The findings showed that educational level as one of demographic variables, two sub-types of scratching and eating sound, three motivational factors including attention, relieving for sleep disorder and pleasure stress relief have positive influences on ASMR usage while motivations of curiosity trend and sexual pleasure have negative influences. The moderating effect of neuroticism was also empirically proven. This study has implications since it suggests that personal traits including neuroticism as influencing factors should be taken into account in understanding usage behaviors of ASMR contents with accuracy.

A Study on the Parenting Knowledge and Parenting Style of Mothers with Infants (영아기 자녀를 둔 어머니의 양육지식 및 양육스타일에 관한 연구)

  • Seo, Jin Young;Lee, Joo-Yeon
    • Korean Journal of Childcare and Education
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.369-389
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    • 2013
  • The main purposes of this study were to analyze the moderating effect of parenting knowledge in the relationship between socio-demographic factors and parenting style. This study was conducted with the data from 'Panel Study Korean Children(2009).' Among the original data, a sample of 1,637 mothers with infants ranged from 13 to 18 months old was selected. The results of this study were as follows. First, there were significant differences in child's birth-order, mother's education level, and monthly family income. Second, there was a statistically significant difference in the parenting style of mothers in their parenting knowledge. That is, the mother with a high score in parenting knowledge reported more positive parenting style. Lastly, the interaction effects between socio-demographic variables and parenting knowledge on parenting style were statistically significant only with the variables such as child's birth-order and mother's education level. The mothers who cared for their first child and got a high score in parenting knowledge showed the most desirable parenting style, and the mothers whose educational level was under high school graduation and parenting knowledge score was low reported the lowest score in parenting style. These results suggest parenting knowledge should be subject-specifically provided as the differences in socio-demographic variables.

Service Factor is Effect on Revisiting for Old People : Centering around Mediator Effect for Feeding Satisfaction (서비스요인이 재이용의도에 미치는 영향 : 급식만족도의 매개효과를 중심으로)

  • Kim, Yoon Hee;Ha, Kyu Su
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.59-67
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    • 2015
  • This studying is on the degree of reuse that runs from Seoul Palace Y elderly welfare and general social demographic is to the welfare service factors of the path Restaurant (hygiene, workers, convenience, food, accessibility, environmental, and social relationships), and influence, the process of was to effect on determining on to the mediating effect on the satisfaction with the meals ages overrun 65 years using the path restaurant was applied to the final total of 310 valid samples were subjects. We take advantage of SPSS 19.0, the first study showed that rental housing other all the factors affecting the satisfaction of catering service factor analysis of the demographic characteristics. Showed Secondly, characteristics and service factors, one of the demographic characteristics education, service factors that affect all of the factors identified in the reuse of reclaimed relationship satisfaction and feed results. Third, there are the demographic characteristics and service factors and the relationship of re-verifying the mediating effect of feeding satisfaction results, effects a positive the degree of reuse factor and the employees of the catering service satisfaction. Therefore, continued and investment is outer required the efforts of local governments for quality of service and satisfaction path restaurant you will be looking improving them for ways towards attention improve the multilateral environmental Furthermore Feed.

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A Study on the Influence of Economic Factors on Library Use (경제요인이 도서관 이용에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Jeon, Gyeahyung;Kwon, Sun-young
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.9 no.11
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    • pp.299-306
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    • 2018
  • Changes in demographic and economic conditions affect corporate strategy, labor market and social welfare. The purpose of this study is to examine the effects of changes in population and economic situation on library use and to examine the income effect of library use. In order to achieve the purpose of this study, we analyzed the 10 year fixed library of public library statistics and statistical census data from 2008 to 2017 using the panel fixed effect model using the data of regional gross production and unemployment rate. And the changes in the economic and demographic characteristics of the region are used to confirm the regularity of the relationship between the changes in the usage situation of the libraries belonging to a certain region and the changes in the economic and demographic conditions in the respective regions. As a result of the analysis, the changes in the economic environment did not significantly affect the number of visitors to the library and the number of library users, but it was an important factor in the number of borrowers. This study is significant in that it shows how the economic environment changes affect the library. The result of this study is expected to be a theoretical basis for establishing the service policy of public libraries.

Marital Status of Elderly: Does it Really Matter for Health? (노인의 결혼지위 점유에 따른 건강차이: 노년기 사회적 관계망의 매개효과를 중심으로)

  • Cha, Seung-Eun
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.371-392
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    • 2007
  • Marital status has drawn much attention as previous studies have been pointed it out as a key factor of health. Nonetheless, systematic studies on elderly marital status and health have been quite limited, for most researches have neglected the varying effects of marital status on health over the lifespan and mainly focused on midlife. This study, using nationwide survey on elderly population, attempts to discover the health differentials between widowed and married elderly and explain the differences though the structure and function of their social network. The results reveal that the magnitudes of marital status effects were differed by dimensions of health. The widowed were more likely to be unhappy than married, even after controlling the socio-demographic characteristics. In physical health, however, the health differences between widowed and married were less noticeable or disappeared, as sex, age and other structure factors were considered. Furthermore, the strength of social network factors affecting the physical and mental health of elderly turned out to be different between married and widowed: widowed were more likely than married to be affected by the contact with children and less likely to be affected by contact with friends/relatives. Such results had both positive and negative impact on physical and mental health of widowed. This may imply the difference in pathways of regulating health among the married and widowed elderly.

Study of the Curative Effect of the Ear Reflex Therapy to the Depression of Elderly (노인 우울에 귀 자극 요법이 미치는 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Choung, Hye-myoung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.379-380
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구는 빠르게 진행되고 있는 노인 인구의 증가에 따라 노인들의 사회적, 경제적, 건강상의 복잡한 문제로 발생되는 정신병 문제가 대두되고 있고. 그중 우울증은 노인들의 자살로 이끄는 중대한 질병이므로 본 연구에서는 간단한 자가 치료가 가능한 귀자극 요법을 활용하여 노인들의 우울증에 대한 치료 효과를 알아보고 이에 대한 활용 방법을 제시하고 한다.

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Analysis of Relative Breakage Hazard Rate of Water Mains Using the Proportional Hazards Model (비례위험모형을 이용한 상수관로의 상대적 파손위험율 분석)

  • Park, Su-Wan;Kim, Jung-Wook;Im, Gwang-Chae;Lee, Hyeong-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.490-494
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구에서는 상수도 배수관로의 내 외부적 특성에 따라 개별관로를 정의하는 방법을 연구대상 지역의 배수관로 파손 데이터베이스에 적용하여 비례위험모형을 구축하였다. 연구에 사용된 자료는 연구대상지역의 배수관로의 제원 및 파손시기를 포함하는 관로 파손데이터베이스, 관로매설지역의 급수인구 및 수압범위에 관한 자료를 포함하는 GRID 데이터베이스와 관로매설지역의 토지개발 정도에 관한 자료를 포함한다. 이러한 자료를 이용하여 관로를 순차적 파손경험에 따라 7개의 생존시간군(STG I $\sim$ VII)으로 구분하고 각 생존시간군에 대한 비례위험모형(Model I $\sim$ VII)을 구축하였다. 이러한 모형을 이용하여 관로의 파손횟수가 증가하는 동안 파손에 영향을 미치는 인자의 변화와 그 효과를 파악하였으며, 또한 추정된 공변수의 위험비율을 분석함으로써 관로의 제원 혹은 매설환경, 급수인구 등에 따른 위험률의 상대적인 변화를 분석하였다. 또한 비례 위험모형의 구축과정에서 관로의 파손에 영향을 미치는 공변수의 비례성 가정을 검토하여 시간종속형 공변수를 모형화하였으며, 모형의 이탈잔차(deviance residual)를 분석하여 모형의 적합성을 검토하였다. 본 연구에서 구축된 비례위험모형에 대해 Shoenfeld 잔차를 이용한 스코어 잔차의 변화(score process)를 검토한 결과, Model I 과 Model II 에 대해서는 공변수의 시간종속 효과가 발견되었다. Model I에 대해서는 관로재질과 급수인구의 영향이 시간에 따라 변하며 Model II에서는 급수인구의 영향만이 시간에 따라 변하는 것으로 나타났다. 한편 Model III $\sim$ Model VII 들에 대해서는 공변수의 영향이 시간에 따라 변하지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 각 생존시간군에 대해 관로재질, 토지개발정도, 관로길이 및 급수인구의 변화가 관로의 상대적 누수위험률에 미치는 영향을 상대위험률의 95% 신뢰구간을 고려하여 정량적으로 산정하였고, 시간 종속형 공변수로 모형화된 공변수는 시간에 따른 공변수 영향의 변화를 분석하였다. 순차적 파손사건에 대한 비례위험모형의 구축 결과 생존시간군(STG) I의 기저위험률은 매설 후 대략 450개월까지는 파손 위험률이 '0'에 가까우나 그 이후로 급격히 증가하다가 매설 후 약 700개월에 이르러서는 약간 감소하고 약 850개월 이후에는 다시 급격히 증가한다. STG II의 기저위험률은 첫 번째 파손 후 약 300개월이 되면 위험률이 급격히 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. STG III $\sim$ STG VII의 기저위험률은 이차함수의 형태를 띄며, 특히 STG V, STG VI 및 STG VII의 기저위험률은 욕조형 곡선(bathtub curve)의 형태를 가진다. 각 생존시간군의 기저생존함수의 생존확률 '0.5'에 해당하는 기저중간생존시간에 대한 분석으로부터 파손횟수가 많아질수록 순차적 파손사건 사이의 경과시간은 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 기저생존시간에 대한 경향은 관로의 파손횟수가 많아질수록 관로의 일반적은 내구성은 감소하기 때문인 것으로 분석된다.

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