• Title/Summary/Keyword: 인구통계자료

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A study comparison of mortality projection using parametric and non-parametric model (모수와 비모수 모형을 활용한 사망률 예측 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Soon-Young;Oh, Jinho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.701-717
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    • 2017
  • The interest of Korean society and government on future demographic structures is increasing due to rapid aging. Korea's mortality rate is decreasing, but the declined gap is variable. In this study, we compare the Lee-Carter, Lee-Miller, Booth-Maindonald-Smith model and functional data model (FDM) as well as Coherent FDM using non-parametric smoothing technique. We are then examine a reasonable model for projecting on mortality declined rate trend in terms of accuracy of mortality rate by ages and life expectancy. The possibility of using non-parametric techniques for the prediction of mortality in Korea was also examined. Based on the analysis results, FDM and Coherent FDM, which uses the non-parametric technique and reflects the trend of recent data, are excellent. As a result, FDM and Coherent FDM are good fit, and predictability is also excellent assuming no significant future changes.

Methods and Evaluation of Korean Population Census (인구총조사의 방법과 평가)

  • 김태헌
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.27-46
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    • 1997
  • It is generally known that the quality of Korean population census results is very high. The completeness of the census has been over 97% since 1960. The age errors are very low and they belong to the lowest group in the world. However, Korean census has several problems to be solved, which are suggested as the followings: 1) Since most Koreans are basically educated, we will be able to adopt the self-reporting survey method for the next census instead of the interview method. Then, we can save a lot of time and cost in a census. 2) We have to simplify, the items of age since the effects of the four age items (Korean ago, zodiac year at birth, birth date in solar or lunar calendar) are not large enough to compare to the investments of manpower and costs. 3) It should be helpful to improve the quality of census data if the post enumeration survey is conducted more successfully and the results evaluated for more items not only age are published. 4) For the reduction of the error rates for the age groups of infants, young children and the young labours who are moving frequently, we need some special items for the compliteness of the population census by age group. 5) We have to prepare and release the 1995 2% sample data file to the public users for the improvement of the usefuleness in time. Furtheremore, it is also very important for the research in the field of social sciences that the back series of 2% sample files from 1985 census data are reconstructed.

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An Overview on Historical Development in Population Survey System (우리나라 인구 통계 작성제도의 변천에 관한 고찰)

  • 최봉호
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.5-25
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    • 1997
  • The historical study reveals that our ancestors had maintained a system which could produce data on the number of population and households as well as on their characteristics. For example, such data on age structure of the population, number of births, number of deaths by age & sex, number of in & out migrants were found in an historical document for the year 755. The main purposes of maintaining the system at that time were taxation and conscription. As the system evolves, another function of identifying the legal status of people was also added. Looking into the figures for those days reveals that ommission rates of the number of population and households were high. Thus, in an effort to obtain a reliable data, the annual population survey system was introduced as of 1 September 1896. This date is now cerebrated as the Statistics Day. Since then, the survey system has been diversified. At the present time, there are three major data sources which produce the statistics on population and households: Civil Registration System (vital statistics), Resident Registratiton System (migration statistics) and Population Census. However, these three systems are found to have some problems to produce the accurate data. There are some inherent problems in the registration systems such as problems in its coverage, accuracies in contents and timeliness in reporting the vital events and publishing the results. The population census has also non-sampling errors such as errors in coverage, response and non-response. Apart from the above mentioned problems, there are also conflicting problems arised from having different three data source. We can find some overlapping problems in laws and difficulties in comparative studies between regions. In the future, these problems should be taken into consideration for the improvement of the quality of statistics on population and households.

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Regional Analysis of the Migration Patterns of Returning Farmers (귀농인의 지역별 이동패턴 분석)

  • Jung, Jin Hwa;Roh, Jae-Sun;Jang, Woncheol;Kim, Sae Bom;Yoon, Kee Youl;Kim, Junsik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.221-232
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    • 2014
  • 초고령화된 한국 농촌에서 다양한 교육 및 직업 배경을 가진 중장년층 귀농인구의 유입은 고령화 문제에 대한 대안의 하나로 부각되고 있다. 본 연구는 농가 고령화에 대한 귀농인구의 잠재적인 기여도 측면에서 귀농인구의 지역별 유입 유출 패턴을 분석하였다. 분석에는 로그선형모형과 총합레퍼런스코딩을 사용하였고, 분석자료는 통계청의 2013년 귀농 통계이다. 분석결과에 의하면, 귀농인의 절반 정도가 수도권에서 비수도권 지역으로 이주한 인구이고, 이들을 제외하면 귀농인의 대부분은 원 거주지가 있던 도 내에서 이동하고 있다. 귀농인의 귀농 전 대비 귀농 후 지역 내 오즈비(odds ratio)는 지역별로 차이가 있으며, 귀농인의 성별과 연령에 따라서도 지역별 유입 유출패턴이 다르다. 이는 귀농인 유입의 긍정적 효과를 높이기 위해서는 지자체별 차이를 반영한 특화된 정책이 필요하다는 것을 의미한다.

Determinants of Health among Korean Adolescents (청소년의 건강에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hong-Jik
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.8 no.12
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    • pp.1819-1824
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    • 2013
  • This study tried to explore the determinants of health of the youth in Korea. Especially, it explored how the socio demographic characteristics and delinquent behaviors factors of the Korean youth affect their health. This study used the 2009 Korean Youth Health Risk Behavior On-line Survey for this purpose. It selected 35,668 cases of senior high school students from the raw data and conducted a secondary data analysis. This study conducted frequency analysis, t-test, F-test, and regression analysis. Gender, living with parents, economic status, school type, academic record, internet addiction, problem drinking, drug use were significantly determinants of the health of the youth. Findings may be used for improving health of the Korean youth.

Relationship between Demographic Characteristics, Health and Internet Addiction and Drug Uses among the Korean High School Students (중고생의 인구학적 특성, 건강, 인터넷 중독과 약물사용과의 관계)

  • Lee, Hyun-Sook;Kim, Kwang-Sun;Kim, Kwang-Hoi;Nam, Gil-Woo;Min, Kyeong-Won;Lee, Sam-Soon;Jeong, Chan-Hee;Lee, Hong-Jik;Park, Ji-Hyun
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.963-969
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    • 2013
  • This study aimed to examine the relationships between demographic characteristics, health, and internet addiction factors and drug uses among the Korean high school students. The 2009 Korean Youth Health Risk Behavior On-line Survey data was used for this study. It selected 73,238 cases of junior and senior high school students from the raw dataset and conducted a secondary data analysis. Frequency analysis and chi-square test were conducted for this study. Gender, living with parents, economic status, school level, academic record, subjective health status, subjective well-being, level of stress, level of depression and internet addiction were significantly associated with their drug uses. Findings may be used for developing strategies to cope with drug uses among the Korean high school students.

The Preference of the Silver Town based on the Psychological Variances -Mainly about the Life Style between from 30s to 60s- (심리적 변수에 따른 실버타운 선호도 -30대~60대 라이프스타일을 중심으로-)

  • Chai, Sang-Kyun;Ha, Kyu-Soo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.8
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    • pp.211-228
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    • 2013
  • In this study, it has conducted the questionnaire in the Seoul, Gyeonggi Province and DaeGu, GyeongBuk Province among males and females from 30s to 60s randomly to consider if the socio-demographical variance and the life style will meaningfully affect the preference of the silver town among elderly consumers as well as the future silver consumers. SPSS Win Ver.18.0 was used to analyze the statistical management of the collected data. As a consequence, among the socio-demographic variances, it was analyzed that the academic ability and religions were meaningfully affecting the preference of the silver town statistically, and after assaying how the characteristics of the life style affects the preference of the silver town, the more the family pursues the conservative life style the lower the preference of the silver town was observed, the more the life style covets the health, safety and the materials, the higher the preference of the silver town was analyzed. In addition, it was analyzed life style and the preference of the silver town showed a difference depending on the socio-demographic variances.

Construction of Sampling Frames for the 5th Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (국민건강영양조사 표본설계를 위한 추출틀 구축)

  • Park, Jin-Woo;Byun, Jong-Seok;Park, Min-Kyu
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.923-932
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    • 2010
  • One of the problems in designing the fifth Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey(KNHNES) is the lack of an appropriate sampling frame. Due to the significant time difference, we expect eight severe sampling frame errors if we use the sampling frame obtained from the latest population and housing census that was conducted in 2005. Thus, the construction of an appropriate sampling frame for the fifth KNHNES is crucial for a successful survey. We considered the construction of a sampling frame that overcomes the limitations of the 2005 population and housing census based frame. For the construction of eight new sampling frames, we considered the use of multiple sampling frames in which the frame for the apartment households and the frame for the general households are obtained from different sources.

Core Demand Market by Visitor's Characteristics of Mountain Types of a National Park -focused on Demographic and Social Economical Factors- (국립공원 방문객 특성을 이용한 핵심수요시장연구 -인구통계학적 변인과 사회경제학적 변인을 중심으로-)

  • Gwak, Gang-Hee
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.7
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    • pp.361-368
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    • 2013
  • This research aims to offer the information required for demand increase on marketing strategy level by investigating Mudeungsan visitors' demographic characteristics and social economical variables. To accomplish this study, the proper analyzing model needs to be applied because a grave error of parameters will be led if regression model appropriate for analyzing the data of a continuous probability variable is applied, in case that dependent variable is a discrete random variable which have a discrete probability distribution. Therefore data analysis was performed with Poisson model. However, as the data was showing an overdispersion, parameter was estimated with the Binomial Poisson model able to cover the problem. As a result, some explanatory variables turned out to be significant such as visitor's age, occupation, preferred season to visit, type of company, five days working, and preferring type of tourism. Author could offer to the national park the information about characteristics of core market revealed and marketing strategy for it, based on those influential variables.

An Analytical Review of the Methods Computing Age at First Marriage (평균초혼연령 측정방법에 관한 소고)

  • 김남일;이지현
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.1-22
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    • 1995
  • In this paper, the methods to measure the mean age at first marriage is examined, and by analysing data of Korean women for the period 1970-1990, the differences that each methods make on measurements of the mean age at first marriage are presented. The main findings were : The Hajnal's SMAM, the most used index in studies of the pattern of marriage in Korea, was not a measure based on the marriages for a specific period. The resulting biases, in cases of 1970-1990 Korean women, were below 0.3 year in age, which can be considered small, if the changes in the pattern of marriage in these periods took into account. But the possibility of bringing larger bias cannot be excluded. Also the direction of biases was toward raising the mean age when marriage was in upward tendency. Considering the availability of data in Korea, the utilization of the simple mean or the measure from Agarwala method according to the purpose is recommendable. The mean age at first marriage by Agarwala(ASMAM) meets with the one computed from a gross nuptiality table based on the cohort's marriage rates for a specific period. The time series of the proportion single by age groups obtained from the population censuses showed high consistency. However when they were compaired with those computed from sample surveys at a same point of time, significant differences(at $\alpha$=0.05) were found in some major age groups. It was also pointed out that these differences were not caused by the problems related with the sampling frame for surveys or the survey questions.

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