• Title/Summary/Keyword: 인구감소 고령화지역

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AHP Study on the Decision Making Factors of Farm-Returning and Rural-Returning: Focusing on the Determinants of Migration Area (귀농·귀촌 의사결정요인에 관한 AHP 분석 연구: 이주지역 선택 결정요인을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Won Suk;Jang, Sang-hyun;Choi, Joowon;Shin, Yongtae
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.81-92
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    • 2021
  • As the aging population of Korean agriculture and rural areas and the decline of the agricultural population are gradually deepening, the influx of population through returning to farming and rural areas is urgently needed. To this end, the most important problems to be solved were the lack of information that would help those who want to return to farming or rural areas when making decisions. Therefore, a survey was conducted for AHP analysis on related experts to find out the information (decision factors) required when selecting a return-to-farm or return-to-country migration area through this study. The AHP analysis showed that "Economic factors" were the most important among the three items in the primary class, while "Housing and land prices", "Metropolitan accessibility and traffic" and "Residential information" were the most important in the secondary class. The results of these studies are reflected in the information system to systematically support the decision-making of those who wish to return to farming or rural areas.It is hoped that it will be indirectly helpful and ultimately contribute to the revitalization and development of Korean agriculture and rural areas, which are aging.

Life Satisfaction of Urban-to-Rural Migrants in South Korea - Income vs. Nature - (귀농·귀촌인의 소득만족도와 자연환경만족도 비교 분석)

  • Jung, Jin Hwa;Kim, Sae Bom
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.65-76
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    • 2019
  • 농촌인구의 급격한 감소와 고령화 속에서 농촌의 지속가능성을 위한 방안으로 귀농·귀촌의 확대가 부각되고 있다. 본 연구는 귀농·귀촌인의 생활만족도 결정요인을 분석함으로써 도시민의 농촌 이주와 성공적인 정착을 촉진하기 위한 정책적 시사점을 제공하고자 한다. 본 연구는 특히 귀농·귀촌의 주요 동기가 소득이나 농촌의 자연환경이라는 점에서, 생활만족도를 자연환경만족도와 소득만족도로 구분하여 비교 분석하는 데 목적이 있다. 분석에는 순서형 로짓모형과 일반화 로짓모형을 사용하였고, 분석자료는 2016년 「귀농귀촌실태조사」 원자료이다. 분석결과, 귀농·귀촌인의 자연환경만족도는 상당히 높으나 소득만족도는 보통 수준에 미치지 못하였다. 귀농·귀촌의 이유가 자연환경이거나, 귀농·귀촌 시 가족의 지지가 있었거나, 귀농·귀촌 이후 주변 이웃들과 좋은 관계를 유지하거나, 지자체로부터 귀농·귀촌 지원을 받은 경우, 귀농·귀촌인의 소득만족도와 자연환경만족도가 모두 높았다. 이러한 공통적인 요인 이외에 귀농·귀촌인의 소득만족도와 자연환경만족도에 영향을 미치는 요인은 뚜렷한 차이를 보였다. 소득만족도는 현재 가구소득이나 귀농·귀촌 전·후 소득 변화와 같은 경제적 요인에 의해 영향을 받으나, 자연환경만족도는 귀농·귀촌 시 배우자의 동행 여부나 지역사회 참여와 같은 사회적 요인에 의해 주로 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다.

A Study on Development of Diagnostic Index for Rural Areas (농촌지역 진단지표 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Mo, Hye-Ran;Park, Hyung-Keun;Jo, Jin-Hee;Lee, Han-Soo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.1925-1935
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    • 2014
  • Initiatives for balanced growth are centered on urban centers and strictly based upon focused areas and quantitative economics, and thus have rather facilitated the urbanization while deteriorating rural areas' competitiveness. Although huge supports have been made by the central government to address this issue, the effects are very low, due to the limitation of top-down approaches. Recently, however, the demand of differentiated policies for rural communities increases while the necessity of diagnostic index tailored for individual municipalities is also highlighted. The present study investigates diagnostic indices discussed in the preceding studies and derives optimum ones suitable for rural area evaluation. To this end, an index pool was constructed and a set of indices was developed through experts interview and factor analysis. It is expected that the indices help planners effectively diagnose rural areas, and contribute to expand the applicability of 'Customized Diagnostic Technologies.'

A Study on the Population Estimation of Small Areas using Explainable Machine Learning: Focused on the Busan Metropolitan City (해석가능한 기계학습을 적용한 소지역 인구 추정에 관한 연구: 부산광역시를 대상으로)

  • Yu-Hyun KIM;Donghyun KIM
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.97-115
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    • 2023
  • In recent years, the structure of the population has been changing rapidly, with a declining birthrate and aging population, and the inequality of population distribution is expanding. At this point, changes in population estimation methods are required, and more accurate estimates are needed at the subregional level. This study aims to estimate the population in 2040 at the 500m grid level by applying an explainable machine learning to Busan in order to respond to this need for a change in population estimation method. Comparing the results of population estimation by applying the explainable machine learning and the cohort component method, we found that the machine learning produces lower errors and is more applicable to estimating areas with large population changes. This is because machine learning can account for a combination of variables that are likely to affect demographic change. Overestimated population values in a declining population period are likely to cause problems in urban planning, such as inefficiency of investment and overinvestment in certain sectors, resulting in a decrease in quality in other sectors. Underestimated population values can also accelerate the shrinkage of cities and reduce the quality of life, so there is a need to develop appropriate population estimation methods and alternatives.

A Study on the User Satisfaction of Demand Response Transport(DRT) by Quantile Regression Analysis (분위회귀분석에 의한 수요응답형교통 이용자 만족도 분석)

  • Jang, Tae Youn;Han, Woo Jin;Kim, Jeong Ho
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.118-128
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    • 2016
  • As the rural areas have experienced the population reduction and the aging, the service level of public transit decreases. This study analyzes the effecting factor to user satisfaction of demand response transport(DRT) as alternative to rural public transit by the quantile regression that aims at estimating either the conditional median or other quantiles of the response variable. Jeonbuk Province tested DRT operations in Dongsang of Wanju County and Sannae of Jeongup City each in 2015. The user DRT satisfaction of Wanju was higher than one of Jeongup in basic statistics analysis. The difference in satisfaction between higher quantile and lower quntile of Wanju is smaller than one of Jeongupy as a result of quantile regression analysis. Also, Wanju DRT continues the second test operation of DRT as satisfaction from Ordinary Least Squares(OLS) close to higher satisfaction quantile.

Using IoT and Apache Spark Analysis Technique to Monitoring Architecture Model for Fruit Harvest Region (IoT 기반 Apache Spark 분석기법을 이용한 과수 수확 불량 영역 모니터링 아키텍처 모델)

  • Oh, Jung Won;Kim, Hangkon
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.58-64
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    • 2017
  • Modern society is characterized by rapid increase in world population, aging of the rural population, decrease of cultivation area due to industrialization. The food problem is becoming an important issue with the farmers and becomes rural. Recently, the researches about the field of the smart farm are actively carried out to increase the profit of the rural area. The existing smart farm researches mainly monitor the cultivation environment of the crops in the greenhouse, another way like in the case of poor quality t is being studied that the system to control cultivation environmental factors is automatically activated to keep the cultivation environment of crops in optimum conditions. The researches focus on the crops cultivated indoors, and there are not many studies applied to the cultivation environment of crops grown outside. In this paper, we propose a method to improve the harvestability of poor areas by monitoring the areas with bad harvests by using big data analysis, by precisely predicting the harvest timing of fruit trees growing in orchards. Factors besides for harvesting include fruit color information and fruit weight information We suggest that a harvest correlation factor data collected in real time. It is analyzed using the Apache Spark engine. The Apache Spark engine has excellent performance in real-time data analysis as well as high capacity batch data analysis. User device receiving service supports PC user and smartphone users. A sensing data receiving device purpose Arduino, because it requires only simple processing to receive a sensed data and transmit it to the server. It regulates a harvest time of fruit which produces a good quality fruit, it is needful to determine a poor harvest area or concentrate a bad area. In this paper, we also present an architectural model to determine the bad areas of fruit harvest using strong data analysis.

Urban Regeneration through University-Community Partnerships in Japan: A Case Study of Yokohama City and Yokohama City University Partnership (일본의 대학-지역사회 협력을 통한 도시재생에 관한 연구: 요코하마시와 요코하마시립대학교 간의 협력 사례를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Taehee;Park, Soeun;Kim, Taehyun
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.57-75
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    • 2016
  • University has various resources such as intellectual human resource, spatial resource and facilities, and economic resource. At the same time, universities are, in general, found upon fundamental mission of public service, as well as teaching and research. Recently in Korea, it has been argued that we should make use of such resource of universities in the process of urban regeneration through university-community partnership. Yet, these arguments are lack of concreteness: 'which' kind of resource for 'what' kind of problem, and 'how'. Therefore, this research examined the case of university-community partnership in Japan and tried to find of some implications to Korean society. The reason for examining Japanese case is because Japan has experienced similar problems that Korea face such as aging population, decrease in the number of student, deteriorations of existing urban area; there are respectable amount of similarities between Japan and Korea in political, social and economic context; and because Japan has proceeded regeneration of communities through university-community partnerships.

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The Process of Changes and Challenges of Regional Science & Technology Policy in Korea (한국 지역과학기술정책의 변화와 발전 방향)

  • Ho Kim;Dongbok Kim;Yoonsik Chae
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.29-63
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the process of changes in regional science and technology policies in Korea and to seek future development directions. In Korea, regional science and technology policies have been implemented since the introduction of the local autonomy system. Since then, it has been implemented in earnest with the establishment of a central government-level plan. The regional science and technology policies have been developed to this day by interacting with national science and technology policies and regional development policies. Nevertheless, due to the path dependence and lock-in effect in the accumulated process, the regional science and technology policies are still subordinate to central government policies. Thus, the establishment of an independent ecosystem for local science and technology is still insufficient. Furthermore, the gap between regions is deepening, such as the growing of aging population, population decline due to low birth rates, job losses due to the recession of local key industry, and the concentration of the youth population in the metropolitan area. The transformation path such as digital transformation and carbon neutrality paradigm is expected to further widen regional disparities. In order to address a comprehensive problem, the implementing system of regional science and technology policies need to be newly established. A framework for reinvention of regional science and technology policy needed in the era of grand societal challenges have to be developed.

An Analysis on the Demand of Rural Settlement Support Services for Rural Residents (경북 울진군 기성면 척산리 중심의 농촌정주지원 서비스 요구사항 분석)

  • Choi, Yoon-Ji;Hwang, Jeong-Im;Kim, Young;Park, Gwang-Rae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Community Living Science Conference
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    • 2009.09a
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    • pp.106-106
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    • 2009
  • 영국에서는 농촌문제의 심각성과 범정부적 대책 마련에 대한 부처간 인식 공유가 증가함에 따라 2000년 "농촌백서"에 '농촌서비스 표준화(Rural Services Standard, RSS)'를 제정하였다. RSS는 농촌 주민의 삶의 질 제고와 복지 서비스 향상을 위해 달성할 주요 서비스의 National Minimum을 의미한다. 매년 RSS 운용에 대한 지속적인 모니터링을 통하여 내용을 매년 업데이트 하고 있다. 교육 및 아동서비스, 광대역 통신, 사회적 돌봄, 우체국 서비스, 보건, 인터넷 접속, 긴급 서비스, 교통의 8개분야 13개 서비스 기준을 설정 제시하고 있다. 우리의 경우도 농촌 주민의 삶의 질 향상을 위한 범정부적 투자가 이루어져 왔지만 농촌지역의 사회서비스 기준을 도시와 비교해 보면 아직도 부족한 부분이 많이 있다. 농촌 인구가 감소되고 있는 상황에서 지속적인 하드웨어 중심적 투자에 대한 의문제기와 함께 농촌 주민들이 최소한의 공적 서비스를 활용할 수 있는 기반이 되어야한다는 의견이 대립되고 있는 가운데 그 해결책을 찾기 위하여 '농촌 서비스 기준'을 설정하자는 논의가 추진되고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 인구 5만 이상 군지역에 속하는 경상북도 울진군 기성면 척산리를 중심으로 농촌 정주지원 서비스 요구사항을 분석하였다. 척산리에는 총가구 187호 363명이 거주하고 있으며 지난 3년간 인구 이동이 전혀 없었다. 주민들의 연령대는 50~60대가 가장 많으며 척산 3리가 가장 고령화 되어 있는 것으로 나타났다. 교통 환경은 좋은 편이었는데 기성공용버스 정류장에 10곳 이상의 차편이 있고 7번 국도가 있어 타 지역으로 이동도 용이하였다. 마을에 보건/의료를 담당하는 곳은 보건진료소뿐이었으며 잦은 외근과 구급약 부족 등으로 불편을 호소하고 있었다. 응급상황 발생시 수송 가능한 응급체계는 갖춰져 있지 않았고 노인들이 가장 많이 이용하는 물리 치료실은 일주일에 3번 개방하기에 불편하다고 하였다. 3층 건물의 복지회관이 있으나 장날(5일장; 1일, 5일)만 개방되어 이용에 한계가 있었고 마을주민을 위해 운영되는 프로그램은 없었다. 논농사 중심의 경제생활이었고, 부녀회와 청년회 등은 면단위 또는 행정리로 묶어서 운영하고 있었다. 주민들은 울진군 면소재지 중 척산리에만 약국이 없어 불편한 사항이 많기에 약국, 물리치료실의 상시 개방을 필요로 하였으며 장날을 이용한 노인대상 영화상영, 강연회 등 다양한 문화프로그램 운영을 희망하였다.

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Analysis and Evaluation of Integration Policy of Local Government in 2010~2014 : Focused on Multi-Dimensional Model (2010~2014년 시·군·구 통합정책의 분석과 평가: 다차원분석모형을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Cheol Hoi;Jin, Jae-Wan
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.123-131
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study was to find out the reason why the integration policy of local government in 2010~2014 has failed in the light of multi-dimensional model including normative, structural, constituentive, and technical dimension. Central government pushed integration policy of local government focused on increasing economic efficiency based on the theory of economy of scale on 16 regions and 36 local governments. Only one region(Cheong-Ju and Cheong-Won), however, completed integration procedure in 2014. Although most regions don't have common value on integration, and cultural, political ties in normative and structural dimension, central government pushed the integration policy. Futhermore central government failed to coordinate various interests of the participants and design incentive system including demands of local residents in constituentive and technical dimension. Based on this study central government should consider these policy implications when it propel the integration policy of local government in the future.