• Title/Summary/Keyword: 이변량 분석

Search Result 241, Processing Time 0.033 seconds

A Study on Identification of the Heat Vulnerability Area Considering Spatial Autocorrelation - Case Study in Daegu (공간적 자기상관성을 고려한 폭염취약지역 도출에 관한 연구 - 대구광역시를 중심으로)

  • Seong, Ji Hoon;Lee, Ki Rim;Kwon, Yong Seok;Han, You Kyung;Lee, Won Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
    • /
    • v.38 no.4
    • /
    • pp.295-304
    • /
    • 2020
  • The IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) recommended the importance of preventive measures against extreme weather, and heat waves are one of the main themes for establishing preventive measures. In this study, we tried to analyze the heat vulnerable areas by considering not only spatial characteristics but also social characteristics. Energy consumption, popu lation density, normalized difference vegetation index, waterfront distance, solar radiation, and road distribution were examined as variables. Then, by selecting a suitable model, SLM (Spatial Lag Model), available variables were extracted. Then, based on the Fuzzy theory, the degree of vulnerability to heat waves was analyzed for each variable, and six variables were superimposed to finally derive the heat vulnerable area. The study site was selected as the Daegu area where the effects of the heat wave were high. In the case of vulnerable areas, it was confirmed that the existing urban areas are mainly distributed in Seogu, Namgu, and Dalseogu of Daegu, which are less affected by waterside and vegetation. It was confirmed that both spatial and social characteristics should be considered in policy support for reducing heat waves in Daegu.

Assessment of Drought Vulnerability in Musoo Area According to Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 무수지구 가뭄 취약성 평가)

  • KIM, Sun Joo;KANG, Seung Mook;BARK, Min Woo;KWON, Hyung Joong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2018.05a
    • /
    • pp.390-390
    • /
    • 2018
  • 산업화에 따른 온실가스 배출량 증가는 심각한 기후변화의 요인으로 작용하여 우리나라를 포함한 전세계는 이에 대응하고자 노력하고 있다. 지구온난화 및 엘리뇨 현상 등으로 인하여 가뭄, 홍수, 한파, 혹서 등의 재해와 기상이변이 속출하고, 최근 우리나라의 경우 매년 가뭄이 발생하고 있어 이에 대한 대책이 시급한 실정이다. 이에 가뭄의 대처방안에 대한 관심이 증대 되었고, 가뭄을 정량적으로 하는 연구들과 기후변화에 따른 가뭄 취약성 평가에 대한 연구들이 진행 되었다. 가뭄의 취약성 평가는 기후변화에 따른 가뭄 저감을 위한 목적에 따라 평가목적, 평가방법, 필요한 정보, 과정의 설계 불확실성에 대한 고려 등이 달라진다. 취약성 평가의 목적은 크게 기후영향평가, 적응정책의 자원배분을 위한 취약부문 및 지역 파악, 적응정책 개발을 위한 적응 대안 분석으로 나눌 수 있다. 취약성 평가의 목적이 취약성 유발요인에 관한 정보를 제공하여 어디에 적응 대책에 필요하고 효과적일 수 있는지 파악하는데 도움을 주는 것이라면, 취약성 결정요인에 대한 분석을 명료하고 상세하게 수행하는 것이 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 따른 농업용수의 취약성 평가지표를 개발하기 위하여 국내 외 취약성 평가 지표를 분석, 국내 농업기상 및 농업용수 등 관련 자료(1981 ~ 2015)의 조사 현황을 고려하여 취약성 평가지표(강우량, 증발산량, 경지면적, 저수용량, 용수로 통수능력, 수요량, 하천평수위)를 제시하고 국내 농업기상 및 농업용수 등 관련 자료의 조사 현황을 고려하여 대상지구인 충북 진천 무수 관개지구에 취약성 지표를 적용하였다. 강우의 증가는 가뭄 취약성에 긍정적 영향을 나타냈고, 증발산량의 증가는 부정적인 영향을 나타냈다. 경지면적의 감소는 소비수량이 증가하므로 가뭄 취약성에 긍정적인 영향을 나타냈고, 저수 용량의 감소는 홍수조절능력의 저하로 인해 부정적인 영향을 끼치고, 하천 홍수위의 변화는 가뭄에 영향을 미치는 요소 중의 하나로 홍수위가 높아지면 가뭄에 부정적인 영향을 나타냈다. 가뭄 취약성 지표들을 각각의 가중치를 합산한 결과, 1981년~2015(5년 분할) 무수지구의 가뭄 취약성 평가는 분석을 시작한 1981년부터 2015년 까지 안전과 우려가 반복 되는 것으로 나타났다. 연구대상지구의 농업기상 및 관련 자료들의 조사 기간이 길면 빈도별 신뢰성이 높아진다. 따라서 자료의 누적은 정확한 기후변화에 대한 이수 및 치수 취약성 평가 지표개발 및 평가 능력을 높여 줄 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

  • PDF

An Analysis of PMF and Critical Duration for Design of Hydraulic Structure (수공구조물 설계를 위한 PMF 및 임계지속시간 분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Jin;Choi, Hyun;Shin, Hee-beom;Park, Sang-Kil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.37 no.9
    • /
    • pp.707-718
    • /
    • 2004
  • This study is to analyze the Probable Maximum Flood(PMF) as a part of counterplan for the disaster prevention of hydraulic structures such as dams, according to recent unfavorable weather conditions. During the period of typhoon RUSA in August 2002, the rainfall recorded in Gang-loeng Province was 880mm a day and exceeded the scale of PMP made in 2001. Accordingly, the reconsideration of hydrologic criteria for dam design was inevitable. In the design of dams for flood controls, the design flood must be determined by introducing the concept of maximum values. When the duration of design rainfall is determined, it needs to use the critical duration which causes the maximum flood by the maximum runoff. In this study, we Investigate the variation of critical duration with hydrologic parameters used in three different synthetic unit hydrographs(Clark, Nakayasu and SCS methods). As a result, the total runoff calculated from 24-hour duration is larger than that calculated from the critical duration. We calculate also the hydrographs with three different time distribution models(Huff's 4-quartile, IDF curve and Mononobe) and compare those with measured hydrograph data. From this comparison, we propose that the Huff's 4-quartile model must be used to obtain the desirable data in the hydrologic design of dams.

A Study on the Effects of Meterological Factors on the Distribution of Agricultural Products: Focused on the Distribution of Chinese Cabbages (기상요인이 농산물 유통에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구: 배추 유통 사례를 중심으로)

  • Lee, Hyunjoung;Hong, Jinhwan
    • Journal of Distribution Research
    • /
    • v.17 no.5
    • /
    • pp.59-83
    • /
    • 2012
  • Agriculture is a primary industry that influenced by the weather or meterological factors more than other industry. Global warming and worldwide climate changes, and unusual weather phenomena are fatal in agricultural industry and human life. Therefore, many previous studies have been made to find the relationship between weather and the productivity of agriculture. Meterological factors also influence on the distribution of agricultural product. For example, price of agricultural product is determined in the market, and also influenced by the weather of the market. However, there is only a few study was made to find this link. The objective of this study is to investigate the effects of meterological factors on the distribution of agricultural products, focusing on the distribution of chinese cabbages. Chinese cabbage is a main ingredient of Kimchi, and basic essential vegetable in Korean dinner table. However, the production of chinese cabbages is influenced by weather and very fluctuating so that the variation of its price is so unstable. Therefore, both consumers and farmers do not feel comfortable at the unstable price of chinese cabbages. In this study, we analyze the real transaction data of chinese cabbage in wholesale markets and meterological factors depending on the variety and geography. We collect and analyze data of meterological factors such as temperatures, humidity, cloudiness, rainfall, snowfall, wind speed, insolation, sunshine duration in producing and consuming region of chinese cabbages. The result of this study shows that the meterological factors such as temperature and humidity significantly influence on the volume and price of chinese cabbage transaction in wholesale market. Especially, the weather of consuming region has greater correlation effects on transaction than that of producing region in all types of chinese cabbages. Among the whole agricultural lifecycle of chinese cabbages, 'seeding - harvest - shipment - wholesale', meterological factors such as temperature and rainfall in shipment and wholesale period are significantly correlated with transaction volume and price of crops. Based on the result of correlation analysis, we make a regression analysis to verify the meterological factors' effects on the volume and price of chines cabbage transaction in wholesale market. The results of stepwise regression analysis are shown in

    and
    . The type of chinese cabbages are categorized by 5 types, i.e. alpine, gimjang for winter, spring, summer, and winter crop, and all of the regression models are shown significant relationship. In addition, meterological factors in shipment and wholesale period are entered more in regression model than those in seeding and harvest period. This result implies that weather in consuming region is also important in the distribution of chinese cabbages. Based on the result of this study, we find several implications and recommendations for policy makers of agricultural product distribution. The goal of agricultural product distribution policy is to insure proper price and production cost for farmers and provide proper price and quality, and stable supply for consumers. Therefore, coping with the uncertainty of weather is very essential to make a fruitful effect of the policy. In reality, very big part of consumer price of chinese cabbage is made up of the margin of intermediaries, because they take the risk. In addition, policy makers make efforts for farmers to utilize AWIS (Agricultural Weather Information System). In order to do that, it should integrate the relevant information including distribution and marketing as well as production. Offering a consulting service to farmers about weather management is also expected to be a good option in agriculture and weather industry. Reflecting on the result of this study, the distribution authorities can offer the guideline for the timing and volume of harvest, and it is expected to contribute to the stable equilibrium of supply and demand of agricultural products.

  • PDF
  • Estimating Grain Weight and Grain Nitrogen Content with Temperature, Solar Radiation and Growth Traits During Grain-Filling Period in Rice (등숙기 온도 및 일사량과 생육형질을 이용한 벼 종실중 및 종실질소함량 추정)

    • Lee, Chung-Kuen;Kim, Jun-Hwan;Son, Ji-Young;Yoon, Young-Hwan;Seo, Jong-Ho;Kwon, Young-Up;Shin, Jin-Chul;Lee, Byun-Woo
      • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
      • /
      • v.55 no.4
      • /
      • pp.275-283
      • /
      • 2010
    • This experiment was conducted to construct process models to estimate grain weight (GW) and grain nitrogen content (GN) in rice. A model was developed to describe the dynamic pattern of GW and GN during grain-filling period considering their relationships with temperature, solar radiation and growth traits such as LAI, shoot dry-weight, shoot nitrogen content, grain number during grain filling. Firstly, maximum grain weight (GWmax) and maximum grain nitrogen content (GNmax) equation was formulated in relation to Accumulated effective temperature (AET) ${\times}$ Accumulated radiation (AR) using boundary line analysis. Secondly, GW and GN equation were created by relating the difference between GW and GWmax and the difference between GN and GNmax, respectively, with growth traits. Considering the statistics such as coefficient of determination and relative root mean square of error and number of predictor variables, appropriate models for GW and GN were selected. Model for GW includes GWmax determined by AET ${\times}$ AR, shoot dry weight and grain number per unit land area as predictor variables while model for GN includes GNmax determined by AET ${\times}$ AR, shoot N content and grain number per unit land area. These models could explain the variations of GW and GN caused not only by variations of temperature and solar radiation but also by variations of growth traits due to different sowing date, nitrogen fertilization amount and row spacing with relatively high accuracy.

    Evaluation of Fibrosis in Liver Cirrhosis by Superparamagnetic Iron Oxide (SPIO)-Enhanced MR Imaging: Does the Radiological Non-Invasive Fibrosis Index Correlate with the Laboratory Non-Invasive Fibrosis Index? (Superparamagnetic Iron Oxide-Enhanced MRI를 이용한 간섬유화의 평가: 영상의학적 비침습적 간섬유화 지표가 AST/혈소판 비와 상관 관계가 있는가?)

    • Kim, Shin-Kee;Lee, Chang-Hee;Kim, Kyeong-Ah;Choi, Jae-Woong;Lee, Jong-Mee;Park, Cheol-Min
      • Investigative Magnetic Resonance Imaging
      • /
      • v.12 no.2
      • /
      • pp.115-122
      • /
      • 2008
    • Purpose : To evaluate the correlation between the radiological non-invasive hepatic fibrosis index (RNHFI), as determined by SPIO-enhanced MRI, and the laboratory non-invasive hepatic fibrosis index. Materials and Methods : Patients (99 total: 61 men and 38 women; mean age: 58 years) who underwent SPIO-enhanced MRI (1.5T) during 5 years included. These patients were subdivided into a liver cirrhosis group (LCG) and a non-liver cirrhosis group (non-LCG). Using PACS view, we measured the RNHFI (mean standard deviation of hepatic signal intensity (SD), noise-corrected coefficient of variation (CV)) of three ROIs in the liver parenchyma by SPIO-enhanced MRI. The laboratory non-invasive hepatic fibrosis index (AST-platelet ratio index (APRI)) of all patients was calculated from the laboratory data. We compared the RNHFI and APRI of LCG with those of non-LC group using Student's t-test. A bivariate correlation was performed to investigate the relationship between the RNHFI and APRI in the LCG. Results : For the LCG, mean values of SD and CV by SPIO-enhanced MRI were $10.3{\pm}3.7$ and $0.19{\pm}0.08$, respectively. For the non-LCG, mean values of SD and CV were $6.5{\pm}1.6$ and $0.08{\pm}0.05$, respectively. The mean APRI of the LCG and the non- LCG were $2.04{\pm}1.7$ and $0.32{\pm}0.32$, respectively. The RNHFI and APRI were significantly different between both groups (p<0.05). For the LCG, the bivariate correlation between SD and APRI revealed a statistically significant positive correlation (r=0.5, p<0.001). In both groups, there was no statistically significant correlation between CV and APRI. Conclusion: A measurement of SD can be a simple and useful method for the evaluation of hepatic fibrosis.

    • PDF

    Prediction of Chinese Cabbage Yield as Affected by Planting Date and Nitrogen Fertilization for Spring Production (정식시기와 질소시비 수준에 따른 봄배추의 생육량 추정)

    • Lee, Sang Gyu;Seo, Tae Cheol;Jang, Yoon Ah;Lee, Jun Gu;Nam, Chun Woo;Choi, Chang Sun;Yeo, Kyung-Hwan;Um, Young Chul
      • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
      • /
      • v.21 no.3
      • /
      • pp.271-275
      • /
      • 2012
    • The average annual and winter ambient air temperatures in Korea have risen by $0.7^{\circ}C$ and $1.4^{\circ}C$, respectively, during the last 30 years. The continuous rise in temperature presents a challenge in growing certain horticultural crops. Chinese cabbage, one most important cool season crop, may well be used as a model to study the influence of climate change on plant growth, because it is more adversely affected by elevated temperatures than warm season crops. This study examined the influence of transplanting time, nitrogen fertilizer level and climate parameters, including air temperature and growing degree days (GDD), on the performance of a Chinese cabbage cultivar (Chunkwang) during the spring growing season to estimate crop yield under the unfavorable environmental conditions. The chinese cabbage plants were transplanted from Apr. 8 to May 13, 2011 when 3~4 leaves were occurred, at internals of 7 days and cultivated with 3 levels of nitrogen fertilization. The data from plants transplanted on Apr. 22 and 29, 2012 were used for the prediction of yield as affected by planting date and nitrogen fertilization for spring production. In our study, plant dry weight was higher when the seedlings were transplanted on 15th (168 g) than on 22nd (139 g) of April. There was no significant difference in the yield when plants were grown with different levels of nitrogen fertilizer. The values of correlation coefficient ($R^2$) between GDD and number of leaves, and between GDD and dry weight of the above-ground plant parts were 0.9818 and 0.9584, respectively. Nitrogen fertilizer did not provide a good correlation with the plant growth. Results of this study suggest that the GDD values can be used as a good indicator in predicting the top biomass yield of Chinese cabbage.

    Laboratory Experiments for Triad Interactions of Deep Water Wind Waves (심해 풍파의 3파 상호작용에 대한 실험실 실험)

    • ;;Noriaki Hashimoto
      • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
      • /
      • v.12 no.1
      • /
      • pp.39-52
      • /
      • 2000
    • The triad interactions have been known to be important only for shoaling waves or finite depth wind waves. In deep water, they are insignificant compared with the quadruplet interactions in respect to the evolution of wind waves due to energy transfer among the wave components. However, the triad interactions may be important even for deep water waves because they may closely be related to the wave steepness, which definitely affects wave breaking, drag of air flow over t.'Ie sea, or navigation of ships, especially during the early stage of the development of wind waves. This study reports a series of laboratory experiments, whose data are subjected to bispectral analyses to investigate the triad interactions of deep-water wind waves. It is found that the bicoherence at the spectral peak frequency and the wave steepness are almost directly proportional, indicating that the steep waves with peaked crests and flat troughs are resulted from the triad interactions. Both bicoherence and wave steepness increase with the wave age during the early stage of wave generation and then drop off as the waves grow old. It seems that the energy of the secondary spectral peak developed by the triad interactions during the early stage of wave generation is redistributed to the neighboring frequencies by the quadruplet interactions during the later stage.

    • PDF

    Application Analysis of GIS Based Distributed Model Using Radar Rainfall (레이더강우를 이용한 GIS기반의 분포형모형 적용성 분석)

    • Park, Jin-Hyeog;Kang, Boo-Sik;Lee, Geun-Sang
      • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
      • /
      • v.16 no.1
      • /
      • pp.23-32
      • /
      • 2008
    • According to recent frequent local flash flood due to climate change, the very short-term rainfall forecast using remotely sensed rainfall like radar is necessary to establish. This research is to evaluate the feasibility of GIS-based distributed model coupled with radar rainfall, which can express temporal and spatial distribution, for multipurpose dam operation during flood season. $Vflo^{TM}$ model was used as physically based distributed hydrologic model. The study area was Yongdam dam basin ($930\;km^2$) and the 3 storm events of local convective rainfall in August 2005, and the typhoon.Ewiniar.and.Bilis.collected from Jindo radar was adopted for runoff simulation. Distributed rainfall consistent with hydrologic model grid resolution was generated by using K-RainVieux, pre-processor program for radar rainfall. The local bias correction for original radar rainfall shows reasonable results of which the percent error from the gauge observation is less than 2% and the bias value is $0.886{\sim}0.908$. The parameters for the $Vflo^{TM}$ were estimated from basic GIS data such as DEM, land cover and soil map. As a result of the 3 events of multiple peak hydrographs, the bias of total accumulated runoff and peak flow is less than 20%, which can provide a reasonable base for building operational real-time short-term rainfall-runoff forecast system.

    • PDF

    A Study on Air Resistance and Greenhouse Gas Emissions of an Ocean Leisure Planning Boat (해양레저용 활주형선의 공기저항 및 온실 가스 배출에 대한 연구)

    • Kim, Y.S.;Hwang, S.K.
      • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
      • /
      • v.16 no.3
      • /
      • pp.202-210
      • /
      • 2013
    • As incomes increase, interest in ocean leisure picks up. As a result, a lot of research and developments on hull form design and production of planing boats, mostly used for ocean leisure, are needed. Analysis in researches on resistance of planing boats shows that resistance characteristic of planing boats is different from resistance characteristic of general boats because the former is fast, and its wetted surface is very small. Using Savitsky formula widely used in the calculation of effective horse power in shipbuildingyards, and propulsion system and engine manufacturers, this study calculated total resistance of a research planing boat. Then it analyzed the flow characteristics of the planing boat through theoretical analysis and wind tunnel experiment, and computed air resistance and lift force by changes of speed and trim angle. It also compared and analyzed result of theoretical analysis and experiment of the ratio of air resistance to total resistance under variations of velocity and trim angle. When the study is used to estimate more accurate effective horse power, it is expected to remedy abuses of unnecessarily installing high-powered engine. As nature disasters due to abnormal changes of weather increase, interest in greenhouse gas grows. International Maritime Organization (IMO) legislated Energy Efficiency Design Index (EEDI) and Energy Efficiency Operational Indicator (EEOI) to reduce ship greenhouse gas emissions. But this index will be applied to over 400 tons ships, small ships, emitting more greenhouse gases than larege ships per unit power, will dodge the regulations. Thus, this study indicated a problem by calculating greenhouse gas emissions of an ocean leisure planning boat (a small ship), and suggested the need for EEDI of small ships.


    (34141) Korea Institute of Science and Technology Information, 245, Daehak-ro, Yuseong-gu, Daejeon
    Copyright (C) KISTI. All Rights Reserved.