• Title/Summary/Keyword: 의사결정 방법론

Search Result 630, Processing Time 0.029 seconds

A Evaluation Model of AHP Results Using Monte Carlo Simulation (Depending on the Case Studies of Road and Rail) (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 통한 AHP결과 해석모형개발 (도로 및 철도부문 사례를 중심으로))

  • Sul, You-Jin;Chung, Sung-Bong;Song, Ki-Han;Chon, Kyung-Soo;Rhee, Sung-Mo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.26 no.4
    • /
    • pp.195-204
    • /
    • 2008
  • Multi-Criteria Analysis is one method for optimizing decisions that include numerous characteristics and objective functions. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is used as a general Multi-Criteria Analysis considering many critical issues. However, since validation procedures for the decision reliability of AHP valuers had been left off existing methodologies, a new methodology including such validation procedures is required to make more reliable decisions. In this research, idea decision results are derived using Monte Carlo Simulation in cases where AHP valuers do not have expertise in the specific project, and these results are compared with the results derived from experts to develop a new analysis model to make more reliable decisions. Finally, this new analysis is applied to various field case studies of road and rail carried out by the Korea Development Institute (KDI) between 2003 and 2006 to validate the new analysis model. The study found that approximately 20% of decisions resulting from the existing methodology are considered prudent. In future studies, the authors suggest analyzing the correlation between initial weights and final results since final results are enormously influenced by the initial weight.

Command and control modeling for computer assisted exercise (훈련시뮬레이션에서의 지휘통제 모델링)

  • Yun, Woo-Seop;Han, Bong-Gyu;Lee, Tae-Eog
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.117-126
    • /
    • 2016
  • We suggest the C2 modeling method to develop a simulation model for training command groups which consist of commanders and staffs. By using C2 models in constructive simulation models, combat entities or units directly receive and execute orders from a command group without mediating human role players. We also compare combat results from suggested modeling method with the results of existing models by building and implementing a simulation model with C2 models. Our analysis by comparison demonstrates advantages of suggested method to model C2 for computer assisted exercises.

A GIS-based Geometric Method for Solving the Competitive Location Problem in Discrete Space (이산적 입지 공간의 경쟁적 입지 문제를 해결하기 위한 GIS 기반 기하학적 방법론 연구)

  • Lee, Gun-Hak
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
    • /
    • v.46 no.3
    • /
    • pp.366-381
    • /
    • 2011
  • A competitive location problem in discrete space is computationally difficult to solve in general because of its combinatorial feature. In this paper, we address an alternative method for solving competitive location problems in discrete space, particularly employing deterministic allocation. The key point of the suggested method is to reducing the number of predefined potential facility sites associated with the size of problem by utilizing geometric concepts. The suggested method was applied to the existing broadband marketplace with increasing competition as an application. Specifically, we compared computational results and spatial configurations of two different sized problems: the problem with the original potential sites over the study area and the problem with the reduced potential sites extracted by a GIS-based geometric algorithm. The results show that the competitive location model with the reduced potential sites can be solved more efficiently, while both problems presented the same optimal locations maximizing customer capture.

An Algorithm for Searching Pareto Optimal Paths of HAZMAT Transportation: Efficient Vector Labeling Approach (위험물 수송 최적경로 탐색 알고리즘 개발: Efficient Vector Labeling 방법으로)

  • Park, Dong-Joo;Chung, Sung-Bong;Oh, Jeong-Taek
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
    • /
    • v.11 no.3
    • /
    • pp.49-56
    • /
    • 2011
  • This paper deals with a methodology for searching optimal route of hazard material (hazmat) vehicles. When we make a decision of hazmat optimal paths, there is a conflict between the public aspect which wants to minimize risk and the private aspect which has a goal of minimizing travel time. This paper presents Efficient Vector Labeling algorithm as a methodology for searching optimal path of hazmat transportation, which is intrinsically one of the multi-criteria decision making problems. The output of the presented algorithm is a set of Pareto optimal paths considering both risk and travel time at a time. Also, the proposed algorithm is able to identify non-dominated paths which are significantly different from each other in terms of links used. The proposed Efficient Vector Labeling algorithm are applied to test bed network and compared with the existing k-shortest path algorithm. Analysis of result shows that the proposed algorithm is more efficient and advantageous in searching reasonable alternative routes than the existing one.

VE/LCC Analysis Models of Breakwaters by Fuzzy Reliability Approach (퍼지 신뢰성 이론에 의한 방파제의 VE/LCC 분석모델)

  • Ahn, Jong-Pil;Park, Ju-Won;Yu, Deog-Chan
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.8 no.3
    • /
    • pp.159-167
    • /
    • 2007
  • In this study, the concepts of integrated VE analysis assessment is introduced in order to achieve "Design for Deterioration performance" in design VE phase. For this purpose, a framework for fuzzy reliability based LCC and value analysis model using fuzzy logic based approach for breakwaters Projects is suggested. It is anticipated that the methodology Proposed in this paper can also be utilized in the design and maintenance phase of other facilities where decision making is made for the fuzzy reliability based life cycle cost and value analysis.

Division of Labour in Risk Governance: Cases of Public Deliberation for Radioactive Waste Management in the UK and Korea (기술위험 거버넌스에서의 역할분담: 영국과 한국의 방사성폐기물 관리 공론화 사례)

  • Lee, Yun Jeong
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.159-191
    • /
    • 2016
  • In order to deal with uncertainty and conflicting interests in technological risk policy-making, various participatory decision-making models have been practiced. This participatory approach is an alterative to the traditional process of science and technology policy-making where scientific experts provide evidence and government officials make decisions. However, there still remain different opinions on who should play what kind of role in decision-making process. Therefore this paper examines the division of labour in the public deliberations for radioactive waste management policy carried out in the UK and Korea. It discusses the ways in which various actors are defined, and the rationales are employed for allocating actors to certain roles and participatory methods. In so doing, this paper unfolds the ways in which the participatory decision-making process for risk governance is delivered in real policy context. Similarities and differences revealed in the division of labour of two cases contribute to development of radioactive waste management policy and the policy instruments for risk governance.

Using rough set to develop the optimization strategy of evolving time-division trading in the futures market (러프집합을 활용한 캔들스틱 트레이딩 최적화 전략)

  • Kim, Hyun-Ho;Oh, Kyong-Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.23 no.5
    • /
    • pp.881-893
    • /
    • 2012
  • This paper proposes to develop system trading strategy using rough set, decision tree in futures market. While there is a great deal of literature about the analysis of data mining, there is relatively little work on developing trading strategies in futures markets. There are three objectives in this paper. The first objective is to analysis performance of decision tree in rule-based system trading. The second objective is to find proper profitable trading interval. The last objective is to find optimized training period of trading rule training. The results of this study show that proposed model is useful trading strategy in foreign exchange market and can be desirable solution which gives lots of investors an important investment information.

Study on Decision-Making Model to Select Optimal Strengthening Method (최적 보강공법 선정을 위한 의사결정모델에 관한 연구)

  • Sun, Jong-Wan;Park, Kyong-Hoon;Oh, Hong-Sub;Cho, Hyo-Nam
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
    • /
    • v.14 no.1
    • /
    • pp.117-124
    • /
    • 2010
  • Different to other social infrastructures, bridge elements or bridges can be damaged or collapsed and this may cause death toll and severe social and economical damage, bridges should be managed to maintain a safety level. Diverse strengthening methods is developed to improve a deteriorated bridge performance up to original design level. But rational decision-making process and methodologies to select a optimum strengthening method are absence yet in Korea. This paper therefore derived items and proposed methodologies for quantity estimate considering uncertainty to select a optimum strengthening method among conceptually designed alternatives. And also, to demonstrate the applicability and verification of the proposed approach, it was applied to select the optimum strengthening method for the deteriorated T-shape concrete girder bridge. The model and the procedure can greatly contribute to the uncertainty-oriented alternative selection.

A study on part selection problem at initial design stage of FMS (FMS 초기설계단계에서 부품선택에 관한 연구)

  • 신호섭;박찬권;박진우
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
    • /
    • 1996.04a
    • /
    • pp.111-114
    • /
    • 1996
  • FMS(Flexible Manufacturing System)는 NC와 같이 다양한 종류의 공정을 수행할 수 있는 가공장비들이 자동화된 물류 운반 시스템(Material Handling System)으로 연결되어 있어 집중화된 제어 및 운용 시스템에 의해 여러 종류의 다양한 부품들을 동시에 가공할 수 있는 생산시스템으로 정의할 수 있다. FMS의 도입을 고려 중인 기업이 초기단계에서 가장 먼저 직면하게 의사결정 문제는 부품선정 문제이다. 즉, 현재 생산하고 있는 부품들 중에서 혹은 새로이 생산할 부품들 중에서 어떤 부품을 가공할 것인가를 결정하여야 한다. 이 문제의 중요성은 부품선정문제가 FMS의 운영에 필요한 가공장비, 치구 및 공구의 소요량 결정과 관련을 갖게되고 결과적으로는 FMS의 경제적 타당성 평가에 근본적인 영향을 미치게 된다. 본 연구에서는 FMS의 초기설계단계에서의 부품선택문제의 해결을 통한 FMS 경제적 타당성을 평가할 방법론 및 해결 방법을 제시할 것 이다.

  • PDF

Decision Making of Seismic Performance Management for the Aged Road Facilities Based on Road-Network and Fragility Curve (취약도곡선을 이용한 도로망기반 노후도로시설물 내진성능관리 의사결정)

  • Kim, Dong-Joo;Choi, Ji-Hae
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
    • /
    • v.25 no.5
    • /
    • pp.94-101
    • /
    • 2021
  • According to the Facility Management System (FMS) operated by the Korea Authority of Land & Infrastructure Safety, it is expected that the number of aging facilities that have been in use for more than 30 years will increase rapidly to 13.9% in 2019 and 34.5% in 2929, and end up with a social problem. In addition, with the revision of "Common Application of Seismic Design Criteria" by the Ministry of Public Administration and Security in 2017, it is mandatory to re-evaluate all existing road facilities and if necessary seismic reinforcement should be done to minimize the magnitude of earthquake damage and perform normal road functions. The seismic performance management-decision support technology currently used in seismic performance management practice in Korea only determines the earthquake-resistance reinforcement priority based on the qualitative index value for the seismic performance of individual facilities. However with this practice, normal traffic functions cannot be guaranteed. A new seismic performance management decision support technology that can provide various judgment data required for decision making is needed to overcome these shortcomings and better perform seismic performance management from a road network perspective.