• Title/Summary/Keyword: 음이항 회귀 분석

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The Effect of Weather and Season on Pedestrian Volume in Urban Space (도시공간에서 날씨와 계절이 보행량에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Su-mi;Hong, Sungjo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.9
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    • pp.56-65
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    • 2019
  • This study empirically analyzes the effect of weather on pedestrian volume in an urban space. We used data from the 2009 Seoul Flow Population Survey and constructed a model with the pedestrian volume as a dependent variable and the weather and physical environment as independent variables. We constructed 28 models and compared the results to determine the effects of weather on pedestrian volume by season, land use, and time zone. A negative binomial regression model was used because the dependent variable did not have a normal distribution. The results show that weather affects the volume of walking. Rain reduced walking volume in most models, and snow and thunderstorms reduced the volume in a small number of models. The effects of the weather depended on the season and land use, and the effects of environmental factors depended on the season. The results have various policy implications. First, it is necessary to provide semi-outdoor urban spaces that can cope with snow or rain. Second, it is necessary to have different policies to encourage walking for each season.

A Study on the Road Safety Analysis Model: Focused on National Highway Areas in Cheonbuk Province (도로 안전성 분석 모형에 관한 연구: 전라북도 국도 권역을 중심으로)

  • Lim, Joonbeom;Kim, Joon-Ki;Lee, Soobeom;Kim, Hyunjin
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.583-595
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    • 2014
  • Currently, Korean transportation policies are aiming for increase of safety and environment-friendly and efficient operation, by avoiding construction and expansion of roads, and upgrading road alignments and facilities. This is revealed by that there have been 22 road expansion projects (30%) and 50 road improvement projects (70%) under the 3rd Five-Year Plan for National Highways ('11~'15), while there were 53 road expansion projects (71%) and 22 road improvement projects (29%) under the 2nd Five-Year Plan for National Highways. For more effective road improvement projects, there is a need of choosing projects after an objective and scientific safety assessment of each road, and assessing safety improvement depending on projects. This study is intended to develop a model for this road safety analysis and assessment. The major objective of this study is creating a road safety analysis and assessment model appropriate for Korean society, based on the HSM (Highway Safety Manual) of the U.S. In order to build up data for model development, the sections thought to have identical geometrical structure factors in 5 lines, Cheonbuk province, were divided as homogeneous sections, and representative values of geometric structures, facilities, traffic volume, climate conditions and land usage were collected from the 1,452 sections divided. In order to build up data for model development, the sections thought to have identical geometrical structure factors in 5 lines, Cheonbuk province, were divided as homogeneous sections, and representative values of geometric structures, facilities, traffic volume, climate conditions and land usage were collected from the 1,452 sections divided. The collected data was processed correlation analysis of each road element was implemented to see which factor had a big effect on traffic accidents. On the basis of these results, then, an accident model was established as a negative binomial regression model.Using the developed model, an Crash Modification Factor (CMF) which determines accident frequency changes depending on safety performance function (SPF) predicting the number of accident occurrence through traffic volume and road section expansion, road geometric structure and traffic properties, was extracted.

A Crash Prediction Model for Expressways Using Genetic Programming (유전자 프로그래밍을 이용한 고속도로 사고예측모형)

  • Kwak, Ho-Chan;Kim, Dong-Kyu;Kho, Seung-Young;Lee, Chungwon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.369-379
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    • 2014
  • The Statistical regression model has been used to construct crash prediction models, despite its limitations in assuming data distribution and functional form. In response to the limitations associated with the statistical regression models, a few studies based on non-parametric methods such as neural networks have been proposed to develop crash prediction models. However, these models have a major limitation in that they work as black boxes, and therefore cannot be directly used to identify the relationships between crash frequency and crash factors. A genetic programming model can find a solution to a problem without any specified assumptions and remove the black box effect. Hence, this paper investigates the application of the genetic programming technique to develope the crash prediction model. The data collected from the Gyeongbu expressway during the past three years (2010-2012), were separated into straight and curve sections. The random forest technique was applied to select the important variables that affect crash occurrence. The genetic programming model was developed based on the variables that were selected by the random forest. To test the goodness of fit of the genetic programming model, the RMSE of each model was compared to that of the negative binomial regression model. The test results indicate that the goodness of fit of the genetic programming models is superior to that of the negative binomial models.

Effect on ambulatory dental visitation frequency according to pack-years of smoking (흡연력이 치과외래이용횟수에 미치는 영향)

  • Jeong, Sun-Rak;Doo, Young-Taek;Lee, Won Kee
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.419-427
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    • 2016
  • To examine whether the effect on utilization of ambulatory dental care are associated with oral disease according to pack-years of smoking in Korean population. Using data from Korea Health Panel between 2008 and 2012, we analyzed 3,866 participants who were male and more than 20 years. Pack-years of smoking were significantly associated with utilization in ambulatory dental care after adjustment for age, marital status, family income, and chronic disease. Ambulatory dental visitation frequency has been estimated to increase by 6% when 10.0 pack-years of smoking increased. Especially, the smokers who had 20.0~29.9 and 30.0 or more pack-years of smoking in forties and fifties males were 25% and 52% respectively more than non-smokers in utilization of ambulatory dental care.

Development of Evaluation Model for Black Spot Improvement Priorities by using Emperical Bayes Method (EB기법을 이용한 사고잦은 곳 개선사업 우선순위 판정기법 개발)

  • Jeong, Seong-Bong;Hwang, Bo-Hui;Seong, Nak-Mun;Lee, Seon-Ha
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 2009
  • The safety management of a road network comprises four basic inter-related components:identification of sites(black spot) requiring safety investigation, diagnosis of safety problems, selection of feasible treatments for potential treatment candidates, and prioritization of treatments given limited budgets(Persaud, 2001). Identification process of selecting black spot is very important for efficient investigation of sites. In this study, the accident prediction model for EB method was developed by using accident data and geometric conditions of black spots selected from four-leg signalized intersections in In-cheon City for three years (2004-2006). In addition, by comparing the rank nomination technique using EB method to that by using accident counts, we managed to show the problems which the existing method have and the necessity for developing rational prediction model. As a result, in terms of total number of accidents, both the counts predicted by existing non-linear regression model and that by EB method have high good of fitness, but EB method, considering both the accident counts by sites and total number of accident, has better good of fitness than non-linear poison model. According to the result of the comparison of ranks nominated for treatment between two methods, the rank for treatment of almost sites does not change but SeoHae intersection and a few other intersections have significant changes in their rank. This shows that, with the technique proposed in the study, the RTM problem caused by using real accident counts can be overcome.

A Study on the Determinants of Rescreening for Using the Private Health Screening Program (민간검진이용자의 재검진 결정요인에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Il-Su;Kim, Yoo-Mi;Kang, Sung-Hong
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.383-396
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    • 2015
  • This study aims to identify factors related to rescreening the private health screening center. Data from private health screening center with seven district centers were analyzed. The number of subjects was 70,250 from 2008 through 2015. Socio-demographic characteristics, morbidity, history, physical measurement, laboratory test, and health behavior factors were analyzed the association with health rescreening using chi-square test and negative binominal regression. 19.2% of subjects were recheck their health status on each year from 2008 to 2012. The socio-demographic characteristics related to reuse private health screening center were male, 30-40 aged, Daegu, Gwangju, Jeonnam and Gyeongnam region residents. And overweight and pre-hypertension were also factors association with number of using the private health screening program. People who control their health risk factors such as alcohol intake, smoking and mental health and execute physical exercise tend to use health screening program regularly. Our finding suggest that customer relationship management can execute and private health screening center enable their strategic plan based on data-evidence.

Corporate Venture Capital and Technological Innovation: Effects of Investment Portfolio Composition (사내벤처캐피탈의 투자포트폴리오 운영성향과 기술혁신 효과)

  • Ahn, Hyunsoup;Yoon, Jeewhan
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.29-56
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this research is to examine whether investment portfolio composition affects the technological performance of corporate venture capital (CVC). The stages of investment are categorized from "start-up/seed", "early", and "expansion", to "later" stage. We posit and test that the investment stage composition in a portfolio is highly correlated with the growth potential and downside risk of the portfolio, which in turn influences an investor's innovation performance. To test this hypothesis, we used negative binomial panel regression with 21 years of deal data from 70 cases of CVC. The results show that there is an inverted U shaped relationship between investment portfolio composition and technological performance. This means that the more seed or early stage investment within the investment portfolio, the higher the innovation performance; however, if the amount of seed or early stage investment is over a certain level, the performance decreases. Further, this study finds that the external partners of a venture negatively moderate the inverted U shaped relationship between portfolio composition and innovation performance. We believe that corporate planners, venture capitalists, and policy makers will be helped by these results showing that companies can maximize their investment performance by considering the investment stage and progress of investments.

A Study on Improvement of Design Method for Freeway Diverging Areas (고속도로 분류부 설계기법 개선 연구)

  • Park, Jae-Beom;Lee, Seung-Jun;Gang, Jeong-Gyu;Kim, Il-Hwan
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.1 s.94
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    • pp.23-35
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    • 2007
  • Freeway diverging areas are very vulnerable to traffic accidents due to abrupt vehicle speed changes and geometric changes. Therefore, in designing diverging areas, much attention should be Paid to safety The Present design criteria about freeway diverging areas regulate transition sections for lane changes, deceleration lanes, transition corves for direction changes. and other similar items. However, the design criteria were often violated in implementation because of ambiguities in the criteria. This study aims at clarifying and improving the present design criteria for freeway diverging areas. For this, field survey data and traffic accident data for diverging areas were analyzed.

A Study on the Influence of the Use of Specialized Organizations for Technology Transfer and Commercialization on Corporate Performance -Focusing on the complex use of specialized institutions- (외부기술이전 기업의 기술이전·사업화 전문기관의 활용이 기업의 기술성과 및 경영성과에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 -기술이전·사업화 전문기관의 복합활용을 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Jungsoo;Park, Myeongjun;Jee, Sungchul;Park, Minjeong;Sohn, Dongseop
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.19 no.7
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    • pp.189-197
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    • 2021
  • In order to commercialize technology, Korea is continuously fostering specialized institutions for technology transfer/commercialization, and it is composed in various forms. However, there are limited studies on corporate performance according to the type of technology transfer/commercialization specialized institution and the type of support. This study aims to measure the combined utilization performance and performance of companies that have adopted the technology by classifying the types of technology transfer/commercialization specialized institutions. To this end, a study was conducted on 380 companies that promoted the introduction and use of external technologies. As a result of the analysis, it was found that the more the combined use of technology transfer/commercialization specialized institutions has a positive effect on corporate performance, and has different effects on corporate performance depending on the items of external technology introduction. In addition, it was found that the earlier the industrial growth stage is, the higher the corporate performance. Through this study, implications of strategies for the use of specialized organizations for technology transfer and commercialization and introduction of external technologies of the company were presented at the corporate level.

A Quantitative Study on How the Cheonghae Anti-piracy Unit influences the Occurrence of Maritime Piracy near Somalia (청해부대 파병(다국적 해군의 대(對)해적 작전)이 소말리아 인근 해적사건 발생에 미치는 영향에 관한 정량적연구)

  • Han, Jong-Hwan
    • Strategy21
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    • s.46
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    • pp.123-157
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    • 2020
  • This research focuses on one important type of non-traditional threat, maritime piracy, and tries to supplement previous research from the perspective of military power, especially naval power. When considering the elements of military power, naval power is a core independent variable to explain piracy incidents. Indeed, naval power can play a key role in solving piracy problems, since naval power is the only legitimate force to respond to piracy in the sea. It is natural that well equipped and trained naval power in the sea increases the probability of capturing pirates, which leads to increasing the costs of piracy and decreasing its occurrences. In addition, since naval combatant ships have more impressive weapons than those of pirate boats, just the presence of naval combatant ships could serve to deter piracy incidents in the sea. The main purpose of this research is finding the effectiveness of large multinational naval efforts to deter piracy incidents in Africa. With this research purpose, I analyze 771 piracy incidents that occurred in African states from 2009 to 2014. Furthermore, I include all 33 coastal states in Africa regardless of the experiences of piracy incidents in order to avoid selection bias, which is very common in quantitative-based piracy incidents research. The dependent variable of this research is frequency of maritime piracy incidents for a country-year and the independent variable is the number of multi-national naval warships that operate near Somalia. With this analysis, I find the large number of multi-state naval combatant ships are negatively related to piracy incidents. In other words, as a main means to counteract piracy incidents, multi-state naval combatant ships are conducive to reduce piracy incidents near Somalia, since it increases costs (being captured) of conducting piracy.