• Title/Summary/Keyword: 음이항회귀분석

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Determinants of Inventor Productivity: An Empirical Result from Panel Regressions Using Network Characteristics (발명자 생산성 결정요인: 네트워크 특성을 이용한 패널회귀분석결과)

  • Choo, Kineung
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.83-113
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    • 2017
  • This paper constructs panel data of inventors listed on patents applied for the KIPO during 1991-2005 and analyzes the effects of network characteristics on inventor productivity. The findings are as follows: ⅰ) Strong ties within a network have positive effects on inventor productivity. ⅱ) An inventor with high centrality shows high producitivity. ⅲ) Technological diversity of a network enhances inventor productivity. ⅳ) An inventor belonging to a network of good quality shows higher productivity. ⅴ) Network size is positively related with inventor producitvity. ⅵ) A lone inventor shows the highest productivity among types of inventors, and a co-inventor with the experience of standalone invention is more productive compared to an inventor with only the experience of co-invention. ⅶ) The productivity effects of network variables differ across regions. ⅷ) Differences among regions do not decrease though geographical boundaries become less important.

Analyzing the Characteristics of Traffic Accidents and Developing the Models by Day and Night in the Case of the Cheongju Arterial Link Sections (청주시 간선가로 구간의 주.야간 사고특성 및 모형개발)

  • Kim, Tae-Young;Lim, Jin-Kang;Park, Byung-Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the characteristics of traffic accidents and to develop the models by day and night-time in the case of the arterial link sections. In pursuing the above, this study uses the 224 accident data occurred at the 24 arterial link sections in Cheongju. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, it was analyzed that the number of accidents during day was more than night, but the accidents rate during night was higher than day. Second, four models which were all statistically significant were developed. Finally, the differences between the day and night models were comparatively analyzed using independent variables.

An Analysis of Spatial Determinants of Inventor Networks in Korea (발명자 네트워크의 공간적 결정요인 분석)

  • Jeong, Jun Ho
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2016
  • This paper attempts to explore the spatial structure of inventor networks and their determinants among 230 shi-gun-gu regions in Korea by investigating the residence of co-inventors engaged in Korean patent applications to the Korean Intellectual Office and exploiting a zero inflated negative binomial model to accommodate an estimation to the count nature of a dependent variable and its excess of zeros. Several variables are found to affect the spatial linkage of inventor networks. Spatial links extend beyond the region if it has more own R&D-related specific assets (private R&D, patent productivity, population, education); if it is physically close to and has technological similarity with the other region. The assets of the other region plays a positive role if, in a similar way, the other region has more R&D-related specific assets.

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Prediction of the Number of Food Poisoning Occurrences by Microbes (원인균별 식중독 발생 건수 예측)

  • Yeo, In-Kwon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.923-932
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    • 2013
  • This paper proposes a method to predict the number of foodborne disease outbreaks by microbes. The weekly data of food poisoning occurrences by microbes in Korea contain many zero-valued observations and have dependency between outbreaks. In order to model both phenomena, the number of food poisonings is predicted by an autoregressive model and the probabilities of food poisoning occurrences by microbes (given the total of food poisonings) are estimated by the baseline category logit model. The predicted number of foodborne disease outbreaks by a microbe is obtained by multiplying the predicted number of foodborne disease outbreaks and the estimated probability of the food poisoning by the corresponding microbe. The mean squared error and the mean absolute value error are evaluated to compare the performances of the proposed method and the zero-inflated model.

A Study on the Factors Influencing Regional Networks of Start-ups in New Growth Industries in the Capital Region (수도권 신성장산업 창업 사업체의 지역 간 유출입 네트워크 및 영향 요인)

  • Song, Changhyun;Kim, Juyoung;Lim, Up
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.3-20
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to exploratory analyze the transition pattern of establishments and workers in new growth industries in the metropolitan area from 2010 to 2019 and to identify regional factors affecting the inflow and outflow of new growth industry start-ups. As for the analysis, the original data of the Census on Establishments were used, and spatial data at the sigungu level were constructed based on the inflow and outflow data of the number of new growth industry businesses and workers. For the analysis, the degree centrality of connection to outflow inflow by region was calculated, and an empirical analysis was conducted on regional-level factors affecting the inflow and outflow of new growth industries by applying a negative binomial regression model. According to the results, the new growth industry manufacturing sector was actively relocated in southern Gyeonggi Province, and the new growth industry service sector in Gangnam and Guro-Geumcheon-gu, and the impact of regional-level factors on the inflow and outflow of new growth industry start-ups varies depending on the industry. This study presented implications for regional industrial policies to improve the competitiveness of the local economy by attracting new industries by identifying spatial transition patterns for new growth industries and conducting empirical analysis to identify influencing factors.

An Empirical Analysis of In-app Purchase Behavior in Mobile Games (모바일 게임 인앱구매에 영향을 주는 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Moonkyoung Jang;Changkeun Kim;Byungjoon Yoo
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.43-52
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    • 2020
  • The mobile game industry has become the one of the fastest growing industries with its astonishing market size. Despite its industrial importance, a few studies empirically considered actual purchasing behavior in mobile games rather than the intention to purchase. Therefore, this paper investigates the key drivers of in-app purchase by analyzing the game-log dataset provided from a mobile game company in Korea. Specifically, the effects of goal-directed, habitual and social-interacted playing behavior are analyzed on in-app purchase. Furthermore, the recursive relationship with playing and purchasing behaviorsis also considered. The result shows that all suggested factors have positive impacts on in-app purchase in the current period. In addition, the effect of previous habitual playing has a positive impact, but the effect of social-interacted playing and in-app purchase in the previous period have negative impacts on in-app purchase of the current period. These findings can improve our understanding of the impact of game playing on in-app purchase in mobile games, and provide meaningful insights for researchers and practitioners.

Parenting Education Participation of Mothers in the Transition to Parenthood and Related Variables From the Ecological Systematic Perspective (부모기로의 전이기 어머니의 부모교육 참여경험과 생태체계적 접근에 기반한 관련 변인 연구)

  • Jeong, Yu-Jin
    • Journal of Family Relations
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.131-156
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    • 2016
  • Objective: This study aimed to examine parenting education participation of Korean mothers in the transition to parenthood and its related variables. Method: A study sample was composed of 870 mothers whose first child was younger than one-year old from the Panel Study on Korean Children in 2008(mean age=30.1, SD = 3.69). The descriptive statistics of parenting education participation were presented. In addition, negative binomial and logistic regression models were used in Stata13 in order to examine the variables related to parenting education participation of mothers in the transition to parenthood. Results: Approximately 82% of the mothers reported that they had participated in at least one parenting education program. Further, mother's educational level, monthly household income, mother's working experience, and community type generally predicted parenting education participation of mothers. However, the effects of these variables varied by the subjects and the providing institutions. Conclusion: This study provides the overall picture of parenting education participation of Korean mothers in the transition to parenthood and its related variables. The findings can be utilized to plan more effective parenting education programs for new parents.

A Zero-Inated Model for Insurance Data (제로팽창 모형을 이용한 보험데이터 분석)

  • Choi, Jong-Hoo;Ko, In-Mi;Cheon, Soo-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.485-494
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    • 2011
  • When the observations can take only the non-negative integer values, it is called the count data such as the numbers of car accidents, earthquakes, or insurance coverage. In general, the Poisson regression model has been used to model these count data; however, this model has a weakness in that it is restricted by the equality of the mean and the variance. On the other hand, the count data often tend to be too dispersed to allow the use of the Poisson model in practice because the variance of data is significantly larger than its mean due to heterogeneity within groups. When overdispersion is not taken into account, it is expected that the resulting parameter estimates or standard errors will be inefficient. Since coverage is the main issue for insurance, some accidents may not be covered by insurance, and the number covered by insurance may be zero. This paper considers the zero-inflated model for the count data including many zeros. The performance of this model has been investigated by using of real data with overdispersion and many zeros. The results indicate that the Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Regression Model performs the best for model evaluation.

The Hazardous Expressway Sections for Drowsy Driving Using Digital Tachograph in Truck (화물차 DTG 데이터를 활용한 고속도로 졸음운전 위험구간 분석)

  • CHO, Jongseok;LEE, Hyunsuk;LEE, Jaeyoung;KIM, Ducknyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.160-168
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    • 2017
  • In the past 10 years, the accidents caused by drowsy driving have occupied about 23% of all traffic accidents in Korea expressway network and this rate is the highest one among all accident causes. Unlike other types of accidents caused by speeding and distraction to the road, the accidents by drowsy driving should be managed differently because the drowsiness might not be controlled by human's will. To reduce the number of accidents caused by drowsy driving, researchers previously focused on the spot based analysis. However, what we actually need is a segment (link) and occurring time based analysis, rather than spot based analysis. Hence, this research performs initial effort by adapting link concept in terms of drowsy driving on highway. First of all, we analyze the accidents caused by drowsy in historical accident data along with their road environments. Then, links associate with driving time are analyzed using digital tachograph (DTG) data. To carry this out, negative binomial regression models, which are broadly used in the field, including highway safety manual, are used to define the relationship between the number of traffic accidents on expressway and drivers' behavior derived from DTG. From the results, empirical Bayes (EB) and potential for safety improvement (PSI) analysis are performed for potential risk segments of accident caused by drowsy driving on the future. As the result of traffic accidents caused by drowsy driving, the number of the traffic accidents increases with increase in annual average daily traffic (AADT), the proportion of trucks, the amount of DTG data, the average proportion of speeding over 20km/h, the average proportion of deceleration, and the average proportion of sudden lane-changing.

Analysis of Accident Characteristics and Improvement Strategies of Flash Signal-operated Intersection in Seoul (서울시 점멸신호 운영에 따른 교통사고 분석 및 개선방안에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Seung-Jun;Park, Byung-Jung;Lee, Jin-Hak;Kim, Ok-Sun
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.54-63
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    • 2014
  • Traffic accident frequency and severity level in Korea are known to be very serious. Especially the number of pedestrian fatalities was much worse and 1.6 time higher than the OECD average. According to the National Police Agency, the flash signals are reported to have many safety benefits as well as travel time reduction, which is opposed to the foreign studies. With this background of expanding the flash signal, this research aims to investigate the overall impact of the flash signal operation on safety, investigating and comparing the accident occurrence on the flash signal and the full signal intersections. For doing this accident prediction models for both flash and full signal intersections were estimated using independent variables (geometric features and traffic volume) and 3-year (2011-2013) accident data collected in Seoul. Considering the rare and random nature of accident occurrence and overdispersion (variance > mean) of the data, the negative binomial regression model was applied. As a result, installing wider crosswalk and increasing the number of pedestrian push buttons seemed to increase the safety of the flash signal intersections. In addition, the result showed that the average accident occurrence at the flash signal intersections was higher than at the full signal-operated intersections, 9% higher with everything else the same.