• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위험원 분석 및 위험 평가

Search Result 223, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

Development of MCDM for the Selection of Preferable Alternative and Determination of Investment Priority in Water Resource Projects (수자원사업 대안선정 및 투자우선순위결정을 위한 다기준의사결정모형 개발)

  • Yeo, Kyudong;Kim, Gilho;Lee, Sangwon;Choi, Seungan
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.31 no.6B
    • /
    • pp.551-563
    • /
    • 2011
  • Water resource projects need an enormous national budget. Therefore, a reasonable and reliable decision making is required for the planning of water resource projects, but decision making has been mostly performed by economic analysis. The objective of this study is to develop a Multi-criteria Decision Making(MCDM) model which can assess the project in various aspects for the selection of preferable alternative and determination of investment priority in water resource projects. In this study, the criteria involves economic feasibility, policies, vulnerability, and sub-items which have weights obtained from the expert survey for the consistent evaluation. We also derived the utility function considering risk trend of each item based on the expert survey. Then, the total score was estimated by weights of each item and utility score of each attribute. The results show that vulnerability is a major contributor for the criteria. This study will contribute to the selection of proper water resource projects considering efficiency of project and fairness for vulnerable area.

Soil Erosion Risk Assessment in the Upper Han River Basis Using Spatial Soil Erosion Map (분포형 토양침식지도를 이용한 한강상류지역 토양유실 위험성 평가)

  • Park, Chan-Won;Sonn, Yeon-Kyu;Zhang, Yong-Seon;Hong, S.-Young;Hyun, Byung-Keun;Song, Kwan-Cheol;Ha, Sang-Keun;Moon, Young-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Soil Science and Fertilizer
    • /
    • v.43 no.6
    • /
    • pp.828-836
    • /
    • 2010
  • This study was conducted to evaluate soil erosion risk with a standard unit watershed in the upper Han river basin using the spatial soil erosion map according to the change of landuse. The study area is 14,577 $km^2$, which consists of 10 subbasins, 107 standard unit watersheds. Total annual soil loss and soil loss per area estimated were $895{\times}10^4\;Mg\;yr^{-1}$ and 6.1 Mg $ha^{-1}\;yr^{-1}$, respectively. A result of analysis with a subbasin as a unit showed that annual soil losses and soil loss per area in Namhan river basins was more than in Bukhan river ones. Predicted annual soil loss according to the landuse ranked as Forest & Grassland > Upland ${\gg}$ Urban & Fallow area > Paddy field > Orchard. Upland area covered 6.2% of the study area, but the contribution of total annul soil loss was 40.6% and that of Forest & Grassland was 44.2%. As a evaluation of soil erosion risk using the spatial soil erosion map, we could precisely conformed the potential hazardous region of soil erosion in each unit watersheds. The ratio of regions, graded as higher "Moderate" for annual soil loss, were respectively 8.7%, 7.9% and 7.8% in 1001, 1002 and 1003 subbasins in Namhan river basin. Most landuse of these area was upland, and these area is necessary to establish soil conservation practices to reduce soil erosion based on the field observation.

Risk Factors Affecting Severity of Menopausal Symptoms in Early and Late Postmenopasusal Woman (초기와 후기 폐경후기 여성에서의 폐경기 증상의 심각도와 위험 요인들)

  • Kim, Jong-Hun;Lee, Moon-Soo;Yang, Jae-Won;Ko, Young-Hoon;Ko, Seung-Duk;Joe, Sook-Haeng
    • Korean Journal of Psychosomatic Medicine
    • /
    • v.17 no.2
    • /
    • pp.52-61
    • /
    • 2009
  • Objectives : The aim of this study was to assess health-related quality of life and evaluate the risk factors affecting severity of menopausal symptoms in early and late postmenopausal women based on the stages of reproductive aging workshop(STRAW) paradigm. Methods : This cross-sectional study examined 497 Korean postmenopausal women aged 41-59 years in Seoul and Gyeonggi province. We divided subjects into early postmenopause group and late postmenopause group. Menopause Rating Scale(MRS) was used to measure the quality of life. MRS scores, sociodemographic variables, smoking, alcohol use, age at menopause, and risk factors such as attitude to menopause, depression, history of premenstrual dysphoric disorder were compared between early and late postmenopause groups. Multiple regression analysis was performed in each group to assess the independent contribution of several variables. Results : Early postmenopause group showed significantly higher MRS scores, more negative attitude toward menopause, higher scores of depressive symptoms than late postmenopause group. Moderate to very severe hot flush group showed significantly, more negative attitude toward menopause, higher score of depressive symptoms, and higher MRS scores than none to mild hot flush groups. Depressive symptoms and attitude toward menopause contributed to the severity of menopausal symptom in both early and late postmenopause groups. Chronological age, age at menopause, history of PMDD contributed to severity of menopausal symptoms in early postmenopause group while marital status and occupation contributed in late postmenopause group. Conclusion : Health-related quality of life in postmenopause women was significantly lower in early postmenopause group than the late. Attitude toward menopause and depressive symptoms contributed significantly to quality of life in both early and late postmenopause groups but other variables contributed differently in each group. Further studies on clinical samples of postmenopausal women in order to confirm quality of life and its risk factor are needed to be done.

  • PDF

A Study on Implementation Plan for AI Service Impact Assessment (인공지능 서비스 영향평가 추진방안에 대한 연구)

  • Shin, Sunyoung
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
    • /
    • v.22 no.5
    • /
    • pp.147-157
    • /
    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to establish policy recommendations for the promotion of AI service impact assessment based on the definition of impact assessment and analysis of domestic and foreign AI service impact assessment cases. The direction of implementation was analyzed based on the case of impact evaluation promoted in various fields at home and abroad and the case of impact evaluation at home and abroad of artificial intelligence services. As a step-by-step implementation plan, in the first stage, quantitative indicators such as AI level survey-based economic effects are developed, and in the second stage, information culture such as safety and reliability and artificial intelligence ethics described in the Framework Act on Intelligence Information, social, economic, information protection, and people's daily lives are prepared. In the third stage, discussion on detailed metrics and methods will be expanded and impact assessment results will be evaluated. This study requires analysis through various participants such as policy designers, artificial intelligence service developers, and civic groups in the future.

Visitors' Evaluation of Trail in the Hanbat Arboretum: a case Importance-Satisfaction Analysis (한밭수목원 산책로에 대한 이용객 평가: 중요도-만족도 분석(ISA)을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Jong-Sun;Oh, Do-Kyo;Kim, Se-Bin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
    • /
    • v.99 no.3
    • /
    • pp.404-413
    • /
    • 2010
  • A study surveyed to visitors' expectation and satisfaction about trail in the Hanbat Arboretum by using Importance-Satisfaction Analysis (ISA). As the results of the research, the mean of importance was 3.85 and the mean of satisfaction was 3.67 in West Garden. Also the mean of importance was 3.99 and the mean of satisfaction was 3.78 in East Garden. Also appeared the evaluation factors of questionnaire the mostly importance that were higher than satisfaction. West Garden appeared necessary for items of safety features, drain facilities and board for risk area. Also East Garden appeared necessary for items of easy move for the wheelchair and carriage and safety features of trail. The research result are expected to provide clear path towards more effective adminstration and management tactics. Also expects with the research result that will be the possibility of raising the qualitative satisfaction of the visitor.

Work plan for flood disaster management considering climate changes (기후변화를 고려한 풍수해 재난관리 업무방향)

  • Shim, Kee-Oh;Yoo, Byung-Tae;Park, Kyoung-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2009.05a
    • /
    • pp.337-341
    • /
    • 2009
  • 지구의 평균기온이 지속적으로 상승함에 따라 지구온난화로 인한 기후변화는 지구에 분포되어 있는 극지방의 빙하들을 녹임으로써 지구의 물 순환시스템을 교란시켜 집중호우와 태풍, 가뭄, 낙뢰 등 예측을 불허하는 극한 기상변화를 발생시키고 있다. 기후변화로 인해 바다의 수온이 상승함에 따라 빙하가 녹거나 바닷물이 팽창하여 해수면이 상승하게 되는 바, 1990년 대비 2000년대에 동해바다에서는 상승률이 0.07cm/yr이던것이 0.20cm/yr로 나타났으며, 서해바다에서는 0.14cm/yr이던 것이 0.18cm/yr로 나타났고, 남해바다에서는 0.32cm/yr이던 것이 0.34cm/yr 로 평균상승률이 1990년대에 비해 증가하는 것으로 관측되었다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화로 인한 자연재해 피해를 최소화하기 위해 소방방재청의 현행 업무를 중심으로 재해를 예방하기 위한 풍수해 업무별 추진해야할 연구과제들을 조사 제시하고자 하였다. 기후변화에 따른 재난분야의 정책과 관련된 연구적인 측면의 분야를 제시하기 위하여 최근에 나타난 자연재난 피해현상에 대한 원인 및 대책을 기초로 하여, 재난관리분야에서 추진하고 있는 업무를 계승 발전시킴으로써 기후변화로 인한 피해를 예방 또는 최소화 할 수 있는 방향으로 제시하고자 하였다. 기후변화에 따른 소방방재청의 풍수해 재난관리 분야 종합계획을 제시하기 위해 본 연구에서는 기후변화 관련 최근 국내 외의 동향을 먼저 살펴보았다. 1977년부터 2006년까지 우리나라 최근 30년간의 재해연보에 제시되어 있는 시설물별 피해액을 조사하여 시설물 중 피해액이 많은 순으로 주요피해 시설물을 파악하였다. 여기에서 주요피해 시설물로는 하천, 도로, 소하천, 수리, 농경지, 사방 등의 순으로 나타났다. 이러한 주요시설물에 대한 피해현황을 파악하기 위하여 대규모 풍수해 피해에 대한 현황, 원인분석 및 대책이 제시되어 있는 각종 피해조사 보고서, 연구보고서 및 전문 학술지 기사들을 수집 분석하였으며, 수집된 자료를 토대로 각각의 재해피해현상에 대하여 시설물의 피해현상, 원인 및 대책을 분류하여 분석하고자 한다. 재난관리 분야 중 우수유출저감시설 관련 제시된 업무방향을 보면 침투 저류를 위한 우수유출저감시설의 개발연구, 침수위험지구의 지정기준 등급별 방재대책 방안연구, 유역별 재해위험 저감능력의 평가기준 개발, 단위구역별 우수유출저감시설의 확보기준 연구, 우수유출저감시설의 국내 표준화 방안 연구, 우수유출저감시설 설치자에 대한 인센티브 도입방안 연구, 피해지역의 매입을 통한 저류지화 방안 연구, 우수유출저감시설 설치효과의 교육 홍보 및 우수유출저감시설의 국제 표준화 기준 제정 추진 등이 필요할 것으로 조사되었다. 여기에서 제시된 재난관리 업무분야별 많은 연구과제들이 향후 연구할 수 있는 재원확보로 이어져 재난관리의 업무발전에 도움이 될 수 있도록 하여야 하겠으며, 주요 결론으로는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 우리나라는 기후변화에 대해서는 기존에 소극적으로 대응하였으나 기후변화대책기획단을 만들어 적극적으로 대처하고 있으므로 기후변화와 관련된 여러분야가 활성화 될 것으로 판단된다. 둘째, 국외의 기후변화 대응사례에서 보면 시설물의 규모를 볼 때 큰 규모의 예산을 투입하는 것으로 판단되는바, 이는 향후의 불확실한 기후변화에 대비하는 선진적인 판단으로 검토되어야 할 것이다. 셋째, 풍수해 관련 주요업무 8가지에 대하여 추진해야할 업무방향 48개를 선정 제시하였다.

  • PDF

The Influence of Medical Workers' Emotional Labor on Somatic Symptoms -Focusing on Mediating Effects of Depression and Anxiety- (의료 종사자의 감정노동이 신체증상에 미치는 영향 -우울 및 불안의 매개효과를 중심으로-)

  • Lee, Jung-Min;Jang, Ki-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.21 no.11
    • /
    • pp.586-594
    • /
    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to propose interventions on emotional labor and health issues through verifying the mediating effects of depression and anxiety on the relationship between emotional labor and somatic symptoms in medical workers. For this study, a sample of 200 medical workers completed the questionnaires of the Korean Emotional Labor Scale, the Patient Health Questionnaire-15, the Patient Health Questionnaire-9, and the Generalized Anxiety Disorder-7. The data was analyzed using the SPSS 25.0 program. The results of this study can be summarized as follows. 1. Results showed a risk of emotional labor, depression, and somatic symptoms in medical workers. 2. The risk group of the emotional labor's 4 factors (excluding organizational support and protection system) had a significantly higher level of depression compared with the normal group. Particularly in emotional dissonance and impairment, depression in the risk group was moderate, while depression in the normal group was normal. 3. Only emotional dissonance and impairment had a significant influence on somatic symptoms. Reflecting the results, the mediating effects of depression and anxiety on the relationship between emotional dissonance and impairment and somatic symptoms were verified. Results showed that depression had a partial mediating effect, whereas anxiety did not have a mediating effect. Finally, we discuss the necessity of dealing with emotional dissonance and depression in emotional labor and health issues.

Calculation of Non-revenue Water Ratio through the Artificial Neural Network of Water Distribution System (인공신경망을 이용한 상수관망 내 무수율 산정)

  • Jang, Dong Woo;Choi, Gye Woon;Park, Hyo Seon;Jo, Hyoung Geun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2017.05a
    • /
    • pp.120-120
    • /
    • 2017
  • 인천지역의 상수도공급은 팔당댐을 취수원으로 하여 도수, 송수관을 거쳐 인천지역 내 정수장을 통하여 각 급수지역까지 일원화된 관로시스템으로 공급되고 있다. 관망에서의 적절한 수압관리, 노후관로 교체사업 등은 급수관망 내 관로 사고위험을 줄일 수 있고, 누수량을 저감하여 무수율의 감소로 이어질 수 있다. 상수관망 내 누수에 영향을 주는 물리적, 운영적 요소를 파악하고, 이를 이용하여 누수해결을 위한 방법론을 제시하는 것은 매우 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 인천시 배수관망 데이터를 활용하여 통계분석 및 인공신경망을 통하여 무수율에 영향을 미치는 인자를 선별하고, 무수율과의 연관성을 분석하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 대상지역에 대한 시설현황 및 운영자료를 취득하고, 무수율 분석에 활용하였다. 인천시의 소블럭을 대상으로 관로노후도, 배수관연장, 평균관경, 급수전당 공급량, 누수발생 횟수, 용도지역, 관망구성 형태 등을 고려하여 무수율과의 관계분석을 위한 통계분석을 수행하였다. 특히 급수에 필요한 최소에너지와 관망에서 공급되는 에너지를 비교하기 위하여 관망해석 프로그램인 EPANET을 이용하여 관망내 절점에서의 수압과 수요량이 적용된 최소공급에너지를 활용하였고, 이를 통하여 블록 내 과잉공급에너지와 무수율의 영향성을 비교하였다. 최종적으로 산출된 주요인자에 대한 주성분분석, 분산분석, 다중회귀분석 등의 통계분석과 인공신경망에 의해 학습된 알고리즘을 통하여 산정된 무수율을 실측 무수율과 비교, 분석하였다. 인공신경망에 의해 산정된 무수율과 실측 무수율의 정확도를 평가하기 위하여 MAE, MSE, PBIAS 등의 정확도 평가와 산점도 분석을 수행하고, 상관계수를 도출하여 가장 정확한 방법을 결정하였다. 분석 결과 통계분석에 의한 다중회귀식으로 산출된 무수율 보다 인공신경망에 의한 무수율이 실측값에 더욱 근접한 것으로 나타났으며 이용된 뉴런의 수의 따라 산출결과가 상이하기 때문에 최적 뉴런의 수를 산정해야 할 필요가 있음을 확인하였다. 특히 사용된 상수관망 주요인자 중 주성분분석을 통하여 선정된 각 성분을 인공신경망에 적용시 더욱 정확한 무수율 예측이 가능한 것으로 나타났다.

  • PDF

Development and assessment of pre-release discharge technology for response to flood on deteriorated reservoirs dealing with abnormal weather events (이상기후대비 노후저수지 홍수 대응을 위한 사전방류 기술개발 및 평가)

  • Moon, Soojin;Jeong, Changsam;Choi, Byounghan;Kim, Seungwook;Jang, Daewon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.56 no.11
    • /
    • pp.775-784
    • /
    • 2023
  • With the increasing trend of extreme rainfall that exceeds the design frequency of man-made structures due to extreme weather, it is necessary to review the safety of agricultural reservoirs designed in the past. However, there are no local government-managed reservoirs (13,685) that can be discharged in an emergency, except for reservoirs over a certain size under the jurisdiction of the Korea Rural Affairs Corporation. In this case, it is important to quickly deploy a mobile siphon to the site for preliminary discharge, and this study evaluated the applicability of a mobile siphon with a diameter of 200 mm, a minimum water level difference of 6 m, 420 (m2/h), and 10,000 (m2/day), which can perform both preliminary and emergency discharge functions, to the Yugum Reservoir in Gyeongju City. The test bed, Yugum Reservoir, is a facility that was completed in 1945 and has been in use for about 78 years. According to the hydrological stability analysis, the lowest height of the current dam crest section is 27.15 (EL.m), which is 0.29m lower than the reviewed flood level of 27.44 (EL.m), indicating that there is a possibility of lunar flow through the embankment, and the headroom is insufficient by 1.72 m, so it was reviewed as not securing hydrological safety. The water level-volume curve was arbitrarily derived because it was difficult to clearly establish the water level-flow relationship curve of the reservoir since the water level-flow measurement was not carried out regularly, and based on the derived curve, the algorithm for operating small and medium-sized old reservoirs was developed to consider the pre-discharge time, the amount of spillway discharge, and to predict the reservoir lunar flow time according to the flood volume by frequency, thereby securing evacuation time in advance and reducing the risk of collapse. Based on one row of 200 mm diameter mobile siphons, the optimal pre-discharge time to secure evacuation time (about 1 hour) while maintaining 80% of the upper limit water level (about 30,000 m2) during a 30-year flood was analyzed to be 12 hours earlier. If the pre-discharge technology utilizing siphons for small and medium-sized old reservoirs and the algorithm for reservoir operation are implemented in advance in case of abnormal weather and the decision-making of managers is supported, it is possible to secure the safety of residents in the risk area of reservoir collapse, resolve the anxiety of residents through the establishment of a support system for evacuating residents, and reduce risk factors by providing risk avoidance measures in the event of a reservoir risk situation.

The Relationship Between Adiposity and Risk factors for Cadiovascular Disease at Normal Body Weight Male (정상 체중인 성인 남성에서 지방과다와 심혈관질환의 위험요인간의 관련성)

  • Kwon, Woo-Sung;Kim, Jun-Su;Chae, Jin-Wook;Lee, Keun-Mi;Jung, Seung-Pil;Moon, Yong
    • Journal of Yeungnam Medical Science
    • /
    • v.20 no.1
    • /
    • pp.62-70
    • /
    • 2003
  • Background: Most of all studies about the relation between the health risk and obesity are based on the European and American data. The purpose of this study is to examine the relation between adiposity and risk factors for cardiovacular disease (CVD) in normal weight individuals. Materials and Methods: Normal weight subjects with a body mass index (BMI) between 18.5 and $23kg/m^2$ (76 subjects) and overweight subjects with a BMI between 23 and $25kg/m^2$ (53 subjects) were retained for this study. Normal weight subjects were divided into three group of each adiposity variable, then three group and the overweight group were evaluated for the presence of CVD risk factors and analyze the correlation coefficients between adiposity variables and risk factors controlled for age in normal weight, overweight groups. Using logistic regression analysis, the odds ratio (OR) for the prevalence of risk factors for each group of adiposity variables and the overweight group was estimated relative to the first group in normal weight subjects. Results: Systolic BP, diastolic BP, LDL cholestrol, HDL cholesterol, triglycerides in normal weight subjects were significantly correlated with all adiposity variables (P<0.01). Third group (3.7 for %fat and 4.7 for fat mass)of adiposity variables in the normal weight group and the overweight group (6.6 for %fat and 11.5 for fat mass) tended to have higher ORs compared to first group for risk factor variables. Conclusion: Normal weight subjects with elevated adiposity had higher prevalence of risk factors than normal weights subjects with less adiposity. Measuring of adiposity added additional information of cardiovascular disease risk factors in normal weight subjects.

  • PDF