• Title/Summary/Keyword: 위험도모델

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New Approach of the Existing Reinforced Slope Risk Evaluation Method (기존보강사면에 대한 위험도 평가기술 개발에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Sang-Hwan;Kim, Hak-Moon;Jang, Kyung-Jun;Ko, Dong-Pil
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2009
  • This paper presents a new approach of risk evaluation method for the reinforced slopes. In order to perform this study, the existing stability and risk evaluation methods are reviewed and analysed in terms of rainfall, ground condition, and drain conditions. According to the characteristic of the reinforced slopes improved by internal and external reinforcement, the nineteen influence factors are determined in order to develop new risk analysis model based on 'Interaction matrix' approach suggested by Hudson (1991). Using new approach of slope risk analysis model, the weighting values for interaction factors are analysed and determined. Based on new slope risk evaluation approach, the slope risk index, namely SRI (Slope Risk Index) is developed in this study to apply the evaluation of the reinforced slopes. In order to verify the SRI, a total of 15 cases are studied and analysed. The analysed results are compared and evaluated. According to the results, it is deduced that new slope risk evaluation method (SRI approach) IS very useful and practically a reliable method to evaluate the existing slopes.

Establishment of a Dynamic Factor Prediction Module for Risk Assessment in Coastal Activity Sites (연안활동장소 위험도 평가를 위한 동적요소 예측 모듈 구축)

  • Young Jae Yoo;Dong Soo Jeon;Won Kyung Park
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.95-101
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    • 2023
  • Recent persistent coastal developments have expanded recreational areas and enhanced accessibility. However, this growth has also led to a rise in safety incidents. These accident factors can be divided into human-made and natural types. The latter is comprised of dynamic factors like waves, tides, sea fogs, and winds. While institutions like the Korea Meteorological Administration and the Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Agency already offer data on these dynamic factors, the resolution is often insufficient for a precise assessment of localized risks. In this study, to overcome these limitations, we utilized the dynamic information from existing open systems to construct a high-resolution numerical simulation. Through this, we developed an automated module to predict dynamic factors in localized coastal activity areas. Particularly during the module's construction, we compared and reviewed the numerical prediction results for waves with observed wave heights.

Predicting Traffic Accident Risk based on Driver Abnormal Behavior and Gaze

  • Ji-Woong Yang;Hyeon-Jin Jung;Han-Jin Lee;Tae-Wook Kim;Ellen J. Hong
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.29 no.8
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2024
  • In this paper, we propose a new approach by analyzing driver behavior and gaze changes within the vehicle in real-time to assess and predict the risk of traffic accidents. Utilizing data analysis and machine learning algorithms, this research precisely measures drivers' abnormal behaviors and gaze movement patterns in real-time, and aggregates these into an overall Risk Score to evaluate the potential for traffic accidents. This research underscores the significance of internal factors, previously unexplored, providing a novel perspective in the field of traffic safety research. Such an innovative approach suggests the feasibility of developing real-time predictive models for traffic accident prevention and safety enhancement, expected to offer critical foundational data for future traffic accident prevention strategies and policy formulation.

A Study on the Analysis of Present Navigation Method at the Ulsan waterways from the viewpoint of Pilot (도선사의 관점에서 본 울산항 도선구의 통항 현황 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Kei-Yel;Lee, Dong-Sup;Park, Young-Soo
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.469-475
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    • 2011
  • Ulsan pilotage is one of the most busy pilots boarding among the korean pilotages. The route layout of ulsan port is simple but the complex degree of marine traffic flow is high because there are many navigating ships from/to piers and anchorages nearby route. So, this paper is surveyed and analysised the navigating dangerous factors as to navigation danger elements in/near the route, the proper distance between piers at the ulsan waterways. And this research assures the same place where shiphandling bunder is occurred to compare the danger sense of pilot with environment stress to represented the mariner's shiphandling stress quantitatively at the ulsan route.

A Study on the Operational Risk Assessment of cargo transport Korean Urban Air Mobility(K-UAM) trial operation corridor applying SORA Model (SORA 모델을 적용한 화물운송 한국형 도심항공교통(K-UAM) 시범운용 회랑의 운용위험도 평가 연구)

  • Namgung, Pyeong;Eom, Jeongho;Lee, Seungkeun;Kwon, Thawha
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.125-135
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    • 2022
  • UAM is emerging as the biggest issue in the aviation industry and which is attracting a lot of attention not only domestically but also internationally. In Korea, active research is being conducted centered on the government and industry-university research institutes, such as the establishment of a future K-UAM concept of operation. Therefore, in this study applies the SORA (Specific Operation Risk Assessment) model established by the European JARUS (Joint Authorities for Rulemaking on Unmanned Systems) to apply the K-UAM operation environment and specific corridor for the purpose of cargo transportation that will be operated in the future that the government is promoting. We intend to suggest policy and technical measures for risk mitigation in the initial operating environment by evaluating the level of risk and analyzing the results.

Development of Priority Assessment Model for Recovery from Urban Flooding considering Lifelines with Resilience (도심지 라이프라인을 고려한 도시침수피해 복구우선순위 산정모델 개발)

  • Hyung Jun Park;Chan Jin Jung;Dong Hyun Kim;Seung Oh Lee
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.21-21
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    • 2023
  • 현재 구축되어있는 방재시설의 능력은 기후위기로 인해 수용가능한 극한강우량의 범위를 넘어서고 있어 대형화된 홍수로 인한 피해가 꾸준히 발생하고 있다. 이로 인해 잠재적 홍수로 인한 도시회복도 관리와 홍수로 수반되는 피해에 대한 복구의 중요도가 높아지고 있다. 회복도는 도시의 재해 취약성, 저항, 적응, 복구, 완화에 대한 능력을 포괄하는 개념으로써 최근 주목받고 있는 개념이지만 대부분의 연구는 주로 시설에 대한 회복도 평가가 이루어지고 있다 (Sen et al.,2021). 또한 재해 후 도시복구에 관한 연구는 다수 존재하지만 복구에 따른 지역의 회복도 변화와 라이프라인과 같은 주요 시설의 복구에 따른 회복도 차이를 고려한 연구는 미비한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 도시침수 발생 후 라이프라인을 고려한 도시복구 우선순위 산정모델을 개발하고 재해관리의 효율성 향상측면에서 도시의 기능적 회복도를 평가하였다. 이를 위해 라이프라인 중 도로 복구결과의 평가를 위하여 리스크 매트릭스 기법을 이용한 도로위험도평가를 수행하였으며 도시의 회복도를 측정하였다. 회복도를 크게 홍수로부터 도시가 받은 영향과 재해복구역량으로 구성하였으며 정량적인 평가를 위해 각각 손상함수와 재해재난목적예비비를 활용하여 산정하였다. 이후 복구우선순위를 산정하였으며 복구와 도시회복도와의 관계를 분석하기 위하여 재해연보 자료를 기초로 회귀분석을 통해 복구비용을 추정하였다 (유순영 등.,2014). 시범지역에 적용한 결과 시설 및 도로 복구에 따른 도시영향의 변화보다 복구비사용으로 인한 재해복구역량의 변화가 더욱 크다는 것을 확인하였다. 이는 재해재난목적예비비의 중요성이 크다는 것을 의미하며 향후 추가적인 인문학적, 법제적 요소가 회복도에 미치는 영향을 연구한다면 도시회복도 향상 및 도시복구에 관한 정책적 의사결정에 큰 도움이 될 것이다.

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Air Pollution Risk Prediction System Utilizing Deep Learning Focused on Cardiovascular Disease

  • Lee, Jisu;Moon, Yoo-Jin
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.27 no.12
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    • pp.267-275
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    • 2022
  • This paper proposed a Deep Neural Network Model system utilizing Keras for predicting air pollution risk of the cardiovascular disease through the effect of each component of air on the harmful virus using past air information, with analyzing 18,000 data sets of the Seoul Open Data Plaza. By experiments, the model performed tasks with higher accuracy when using methods of sigmoid, binary_crossentropy, adam, and accuracy through 3 hidden layers with each 8 nodes, resulting in 88.92% accuracy. It is meaningful in that any respiratory disease can utilize the risk prediction system if there are data on the effects of each component of air pollution and fine dust on oil-borne diseases. It can be further developed to provide useful information to companies that produce masks and air purification products.

A Study on Safety Impact Assessment of a Multiple Hydrogen Refueling Station (다차종 동시 충전을 위한 수소 스테이션의 안전 영향 평가 연구)

  • Boo-Seung Kim;Kyu-Jin Han;Seung-Taek Hong;Youngbo Choi
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.85-99
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    • 2024
  • As the proliferation of hydrogen electric vehicles accelerates, there is observed diversification in hydrogen refueling station models. This diversification raises safety concerns for different types of stations. This study conducted a quantitative risk assessment of a multi-vehicle hydrogen station, capable of simultaneously refueling cars, buses, and trucks. Utilizing Gexcon's Effects&Riskcurves Software, scenarios of fire and explosion due to hydrogen leaks were assessed. The study calculated the impact distances from radiative heat and explosion overpressure, and measured risks to nearby buildings and populations. The largest impact distance was from fires and explosions at dispensers and high-pressure storage units. High-pressure storage contributes most significantly to personal and societal risk. The study suggests that conservative safety distances and proper protective measures for these facilities can minimize human and material damage in the event of a hydrogen leak.

Flexural Analysis of Steel Fiber Rreinforced Concrete Beam (강섬유 보강 콘크리트 보의 휨 해석)

  • 이차돈
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.113-122
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    • 1990
  • An analytical simulation of the flexural behavior of SFRC beam has been illustrated. Curvature distributions and crack opening in critical region were taken into account. Compressive and tensile constitutive models which express post-peak behavior of SFRC with stress-crack opening relationships were incorporated in simulating nonlinear flexural behavior of the beam. The model was able to predict test results with reasonable accuracy. Behavior of the critical section and effects of different factors m the flexural behavior of SFRC beam were investigated. Simple observation and statistical approach have been made in selecting most influential parameters in flexural behavior of SFRC.

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A Research for calculation FED of construction material according to conecalorimeter model (콘칼로리미터 화재모델을 적용한 건축 재료의 독성지수산정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sung-Soo;Cho, Nam-Wook;Chun, Ji-Hong;Rie, Dong-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Institute of Fire Science and Engineering Conference
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    • 2011.04a
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    • pp.262-266
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구에서는 건축물 내장 재료에 대한 연소독성평가와 독성지수연구로써 FT-IR을 이용한 연소가스분석실험을 하였다. 독성지수를 산정하기 위한 실험의 화재모델로 콘 칼로리미터 화재모델(KS F ISO/TR 9122-4)을 사용하였으며 ISO 19702의 절차에 따라 FT-IR을 이용하여 건축 재료의 연소로부터 발생되는 가스의 분석을 수행하였다. 국제규격에서 제시하고 있는 몇 가지 독성지수 산정법 중 ISO 13344에서 규정하는 방법에 따라 FED 값을 산정하였으며, 30분간 시험동물에 노출 시 대상의 50%가 사망하는 농도인 $LC_{50}$을 기준으로 하여 3가지 재료의 독성지수화를 통해 상대적인 독성 위험도를 평가하였다.

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