• Title/Summary/Keyword: 월 보정계수

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Evaluation of GPM satellite and S-band radar rain data for flood simulation using conditional merging method and KIMSTORM2 distributed model (조건부합성 기법과 KIMSTORM2 분포형 수문모형을 이용한 GPM 위성 강우자료 및 Radar 강우자료의 홍수모의 평가)

  • Kim, Se Hoon;Jung, Chung Gil;Jang, Won Jin;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.21-33
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    • 2019
  • This study performed to simulate the watershed storm runoff using data of S-band dual-polarization radar rain, GPM (Global Precipitation Mission) satellite rain, and observed rainfall at 21 ground stations operated by KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) respectively. For the 3 water level gauge stations (Sancheong, Changchon, and Namgang) of NamgangDam watershed ($2,293km^2$), the KIMSTORM2 (KIneMatic wave STOrm Runoff Model2) was applied and calibrated with parameters of initial soil moisture contents, Manning's roughness of overland and stream to the event of typhoon CHABA (82 mm in watershed aveprage) in $5^{th}$ October 2016. The radar and GPM data was corrected with CM (Conditional Merging) method such as CM-corrected Radar and CM-corrected GPM. The CM has been used for accurate rainfall estimation in water resources and meteorological field and the method combined measured ground rainfall and spatial data such as radar and satellite images by the kriging interpolation technique. For the CM-corrected Radar and CM-corrected GPM data application, the determination coefficient ($R^2$) was 0.96 respectively. The Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) was 0.96 and the Volume Conservation Index (VCI) was 1.03 respectively. The CM-corrected data of Radar and GPM showed good results for the CHABA peak runoff and runoff volume simulation and improved all of $R^2$, NSE, and VCI comparing with the original data application. Thus, we need to use and apply the radar and satellite data to monitor the flood within the watershed.

Evaluation of impact of climate change on inflow to Chungju Dam by user-centered selection of GCM and downscaling method (사용자 중심의 GCM 및 상세화 기법 선정에 따른 충주댐 유입량 기후변화 영향 평가)

  • Cho, Jaepil;Kim, Chul-gyum;Park, Ji-Hun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.25-25
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 충주댐을 대상으로 기후변화에 따른 미래 댐운영에 미치는 영향을 평가하기 위하여 연구 목적에 접합한 GCM 및 상세화 기법 선정을 위한 절차를 적용함으로써 사용자 중심의 기후변화 시나리오 상세화 자료가 유입량의 재현성 평가에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 우선 편이보정 전의 29개 원시 GCM에 대한 강수량 및 기온의 순단위 시 공간적 재현성 평가를 통해서 상위 16개 GCM을 선정하였다. 이후 상세화 기법을 선정하기 위해서 유입량 전망에 중요하다고 판단되는 총강수량(prcptot) 및 일최대강수량 (rx1day)을 기후지수(Climate Indices)로 선정하였다. 상세화 기법은 과거기간의 재현성이 평가, 미래기간 시그널 왜곡도 평가, 공간상관성에 대한 재현성 평가를 통해 SQM 기법을 선정하였다. 제한적인 기후변화 전망 자료를 고려하여 과거 30년 기간에 대한 모의결과 월단위 모형효율지수(ME) 및 결정계수 ($R^2$)는 모두 0.92로 만족할 만한 결과를 보여 주었다. GCM 선정에 따른 오차는 원시 GCM을 통해 선정된 16개 GCM을 사용한 경우 유입량 재현성 평가에 있어 가장 좋은 결과를 보였다. 전체적으로 상세화 자료를 유역 모델링에 활용하는 경우 GCM의 선정보다는 상세화 기법의 선정이 전체적인 재현성 평가에 있어서 중요한 것으로 나타났다. 미래기간에 대한 평균 유입량 전망은 모든 RCP 시나리오에서 근 미래 보다는 중간 및 먼 미래 기간 동안에 유입량이 증가하는 경향을 보였다. 또한 모든 미래 기간에 대해여 RCP 8.5 시나리오가 RCP 4.5 시나리오와 비교하여 유입량의 증가가 높을 것으로 전망되었다. 홍수 관리측면에서 중요한 일 최대 유입량의 미래 변동은 평균 유입량과 비교하여 최대 두 배 이상의 높은 변화율을 보였다. 댐운영 측면에서는 연간 총 유입량의 변화보다 시기별 유입량의 변동 특성을 이해하는 것이 중요하며, 평균 유입량 및 일단위 최대 유입량 모두 근 미래 기간에 대해서는 RCP 시나리오 모두 7월 및 8월을 중심으로 유입량이 증가하는 경향을 보였다. 반면 중간 미래에서 먼 미래로 갈수록 평균 및 일단위 최대 유입량 모두 전체 기간에 걸쳐 증가하는 경향을 보였다.

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Study of Dynamic Variation Aspect in Lung Volume due to Respiration in Stereotactic Body Radiotherapy Using Abdominal Compressor (복부압박장치를 이용한 정위적방사선치료 시 호흡에 따른 폐암 용적의 동적변이 양상에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Kwang Soon;Kim, Joo Ho;Park, Hyo Kook;Beak, Jong Geal;Lee, Sang Kyoo;Yoon, Jong Won;Cho, Jeong Hee
    • The Journal of Korean Society for Radiation Therapy
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.159-165
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    • 2013
  • Purpose: Abdominal compressor is used to control breathing in stereotactic body radiotherapy for lung tumors frequently. We evaluated the dynamic variation aspect of internal tumor volume by breathing. Materials and Methods: We reviewed 20 lung cancer patients (7 upper lung patients, 4 middle lung patients, 9 lower lung patients) who received stereotactic body radiotherapy using abdominal compressor between April 2012 to April 2013. Coordinate shift values were obtained by using four-dimensional cone-beam CT (4D-CBCT) to investigate treatment set-up error and moving tumor position error. To investigate how much difference of each part, we compared 95% confidence interval, maximum values and minimum values of three-dimensional vector value and analyzed conformity degree through the Pearson square correlation coefficient. Results: 95% confidence interval of three-dimensional vector value of each part is 1.8~2.9 mm in upper lobe, 2.3~5.4 mm in middle lobe and 2.2~4.0 mm in lower lobe. Conformity degree was the result that respectively is LR direction 0.75, SI direction 0.68 and AP direction 0.63 in upper lobe, LR direction 0.82, SI direction 0.51 and AP direction 0.92 in middle lobe and LR direction 0.63, SI direction 0.50 and AP direction 0.34 in lower lobe. Conclusion: We showed difference by each site in lung tumor due to respiration by using abdominal compressor. Therefore, we must correct treatment set-up error as well as moving tumor position error by breathing. It is also considered to be useful that it is the use of 4D-CBCT when correcting the error due to various dynamic variation.

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Parameter Sensitivity Analysis for Spatial and Temporal Temperature Simulation in the Hapcheon Dam Reservoir (합천댐 저수지에서의 시공간적 수온모의를 위한 매개변수 민감도 분석)

  • Kim, Boram;Kang, Boosik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.12
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    • pp.1181-1191
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    • 2013
  • This study have implemented finding the optimal water temperature parameter set for Hapcheon dam reservoir using CE-QUAL-W2 model. In particular the sensitivity analysis was carried out for four water temperature parameters of wind sheltering coefficient (WSC), radiation heat coefficient (BETA), light extinction coefficient (EXH2O), heat exchange coefficient at the channel bed (CBHE). Firstly, WSC, BETA, EXH2O shows relatively high sensitivity in common during April to September, and CBHE does during August to November. Secondly, as a result of identifying depth range of parameter influence, BETA and EXH2O show 0~9 m and 8~14 m which is thermocline layer close to water surface, CBHE is deep layer 12 m away from bottom. Finally, applying annual or monthly optimal parameter sets indicates that the bias between two sets does not show much differences for WSC and CBHE parameters, but BETA and EXH2O parameters show $0.20^{\circ}C$ and $0.51^{\circ}C$ of monthly average biases for two parameter sets. In particular the bias reveals to be $0.4^{\circ}C$ and $1.09^{\circ}C$ during May and August that confirms the necessity of use of monthly parameters during that season. It is claimed that the current operational custom use of annual parameters in calibration of reservoir water quality model requires the improvement of using monthly parameters.

Flood risk assessment for local government units in Gyeonggi-do using the number of buildings grid data (건축물수 격자자료를 활용한 경기도 지자체별 홍수위험도 평가)

  • Wang, Won-joon;Seo, Jae Seung;Eom, Junghyun;Kim, Sam Eun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.71-71
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    • 2021
  • 현재 국내에서 사용되고 있는 지자체 단위 위험도 평가 기법들은 자연재난과 사회재난으로부터 유발되는 여러 위험성들을 함께 고려하여 평가에 반영하고 있다. 또한, 지자체 내에서 홍수위험에 노출될 수 있는 대상만을 선별하여 분석한 것이 아닌 지자체별 단순 통계값으로 평가가 이루어지기 때문에 홍수위험에 대한 정확한 평가가 어렵다는 한계를 가지고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 Indicator Based Approach(IBA)에서 제시하는 평가 항목인 Hazard, Exposure, Vulnerability, Capacity 중 Exposure에 해당하는 건축물수를 대상으로 홍수위험지도와 중첩되는 건축물들을 선별하여 홍수위험도 평가를 수행하였다. 지자체별 건축물수 산정은 2018년 11월 기준 경기도 31개 시군별 도로명주소 전자지도(건물)와 500m × 500m 건축물수 격자자료를 사용하였다. 건축물수 격자자료는 도로명주소 전자지도의 건물 폴리곤 자료 대비 분석이 간편하다는 장점을 가지고 있다. 비교 분석을 통해 공간분석자료의 유형에 따라 발생하는 통계값의 차이는 격자자료에 보정계수를 적용하여 보완하였다. 보정된 경기도 지자체별 건축물수 격자자료로 세부지표 지수를 산정한 결과 단순히 자지체별 건축물수를 사용했을 때에는 화성시, 용인시, 평택시 순으로 지수가 크게 산정되었다, 하지만 홍수위험지도와 중첩된 건축물수를 사용했을 때에는 고양시, 광명시, 김포시 순으로 지수가 크게 산정되었다. 본 연구를 통해서 건축물수 격자자료와 홍수위험지도를 사용하여 위험도 평가를 수행했을 때 기존 방법론 대비 합리적인 평가결과를 얻을 수 있었다.

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Measurement of Backscattering Coefficients of Rice Canopy Using a Ground Polarimetric Scatterometer System (지상관측 레이다 산란계를 이용한 벼 군락의 후방산란계수 측정)

  • Hong, Jin-Young;Kim, Yi-Hyun;Oh, Yi-Sok;Hong, Suk-Young
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.145-152
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    • 2007
  • The polarimetric backscattering coefficients of a wet-land rice field which is an experimental plot belong to National Institute of Agricultural Science and Technology in Suwon are measured using ground-based polarimetric scatterometers at 1.8 and 5.3 GHz throughout a growth year from transplanting period to harvest period (May to October in 2006). The polarimetric scatterometers consist of a vector network analyzer with time-gating function and polarimetric antenna set, and are well calibrated to get VV-, HV-, VH-, HH-polarized backscattering coefficients from the measurements, based on single target calibration technique using a trihedral corner reflector. The polarimetric backscattering coefficients are measured at $30^{\circ},\;40^{\circ},\;50^{\circ}\;and\;60^{\circ}$ with 30 independent samples for each incidence angle at each frequency. In the measurement periods the ground truth data including fresh and dry biomass, plant height, stem density, leaf area, specific leaf area, and moisture contents are also collected for each measurement. The temporal variations of the measured backscattering coefficients as well as the measured plant height, LAI (leaf area index) and biomass are analyzed. Then, the measured polarimetric backscattering coefficients are compared with the rice growth parameters. The measured plant height increases monotonically while the measured LAI increases only till the ripening period and decreases after the ripening period. The measured backscattering coefficientsare fitted with polynomial expressions as functions of growth age, plant LAI and plant height for each polarization, frequency, and incidence angle. As the incidence angle is bigger, correlations of L band signature to the rice growth was higher than that of C band signatures. It is found that the HH-polarized backscattering coefficients are more sensitive than the VV-polarized backscattering coefficients to growth age and other input parameters. It is necessary to divide the data according to the growth period which shows the qualitative changes of growth such as panicale initiation, flowering or heading to derive functions to estimate rice growth.

Application of 1-D channel network flow model to Nodeul Island (노들섬 구간에 대한 1차원 하도망 흐름 해석 모형 적용)

  • Kim, Keuk-Soo;Kim, Ji-Sung;Kim, Won;Choi, Kyu-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.556-556
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구는 수지상, 망상, 분기상 등을 모의 할 수 있는 1차원 고정확도 하천흐름 해석 모형을 개발하는데 그 목적이 있다. 이러한 복잡한 형태의 하천흐름 해석 모형 개발을 위해 기존 Fread(1973)가 수지상 하천흐름 해석을 위해 개발한 바 있는 Relaxation 알고리듬을 활용하였으며 이를 망상 및 delta 등에 적용할 수 있도록 확장하였다. 모형의 검증을 위해 한강 팔당댐 하류 한강대교 노들섬 지점에서 발생되는 유량 분기 현상을 모의하였다. 모의구간은 팔당댐~행주대교 구간이며, 대상호우는 2011년 8월 발생한 사상이다. 대상구간 내 팔당대교, 잠수교, 한강대교 수위관측소의 수위자료를 활용하여 조도계수 보정을 수행하였다. 한강대교 노들섬 구간에 대하여 망상하도를 구성하였으며 한강대교 남단과 북단에서 운영 중인 ADVM 유량관측 자료와 본 연구모형의 모의 결과를 비교 검토하였다. 추가로 HEC-RAS 모형의 입력자료를 구성하여 모의하였으며 이를 본 연구모형의 결과와 비교하였다. 이를 통해 본 연구 모형의 하도망 해석 알고리듬의 타당성을 입증하였다. 따라서 본 연구모형을 통해 복잡한 하도로 구성되는 하천 하구 지역의 흐름현상 규명이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

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The Relationship between GMS-5 IR1 Brightness Temperature and AWS Rainfall: A heavy rain event over the mid-western part of Korea for August 5-6, 1998 (GMS-5 IR1 밝기온도와 AWS 강우량의 관계성: 1998년 8월 중서부지역 집중호우 사례)

  • 권태영
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.15-31
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    • 2001
  • The relationship between GMS-5 IR1 brightness temperature (CTT:cloud top temperature) and AWS (automatic weather station) rainfall is investigated on a heavy rain event over the mid-western part of Korea for August 5-6, 1998. It is found that a temporal variability of the heavy rain can be described in detail y the time series of rain area and rain rates over the study area that are calculated from AWS accumulated rainfalls for 15 minutes. A time period of 0030-0430 LST 6 August 1998 is chosen in the time series as a heavy rain period which has relatively small rain area (20~25%) and very strong rain rates(6~9 mm/15 min.) with a good time continuity. In the heavy rain period, CTT of a point and AWS 15-minute rainfall beneath that point are compared. From the comparison, AWS rainfalls are shown to be not closely correlated with CTT. In the range of CTT lower than -5$0^{\circ}C$ where most AWS with rain are distributed, the probability of rain is at most about 30%. However, when the satellite images are shifted by 2~3 pixels southward and 3 pixels westward for the geometric correction of images, AWS rainfalls are shown to be statistically correlated with CTT (correlation coefficient:-0.46). Most AWS with rain are distributed in the much lower CTT range(lower than -58$^{\circ}C$), but there is still not much change in the rain probability. Even though a temporal change of CTT is taken into account, the rain probability amount to at most 50~55% in the same range.

Analysis of climate change impact on flow duration characteristics in the Mekong River (기후변화에 따른 메콩강 유역의 미래 유황변화 분석)

  • Lee, Daeeop;Lee, Giha;Song, Bonggeun;Lee, Seungsoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.71-82
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the Mekong River streamflow alteration due to climate change. The future climate change scenarios were produced by bias corrections of the data from East Asia RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, given by HadGEM3-RA. Then, SWAT model was used for discharge simulation of the Kratie, the main point of the Mekong River (watershed area: $646,000km^2$, 88% of the annual average flow rate of the Mekong River). As a result of the climate change analysis, the annual precipitation of the Kratie upper-watershed increase in both scenarios compared to the baseline yearly average precipitation. The monthly precipitation increase is relatively large from June to November. In particular, precipitation fluctuated greatly in the RCP 8.5 rather than RCP 4.5. Monthly average maximum and minimum temperature are predicted to be increased in both scenarios. As well as precipitation, the temperature increase in RCP 8.5 scenarios was found to be more significant than RCP 4.5. In addition, as a result of the duration curve comparison, the streamflow variation will become larger in low and high flow rate and the drought will be further intensified in the future.

Probabilistic Prediction and Field Measurement of Column Shortening for Tall Building with Bearing Wall System (초고층 내력벽식 구조물의 기둥축소량에 대한 확률론적 예측 및 현장계측)

  • Song, Hwa-Cheol;Yoon, Kwang-Sup
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.18 no.1 s.91
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    • pp.101-108
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    • 2006
  • Accurate prediction of time-dependent column shortening is essential for tall buildings in both strength and serviceability aspects. The uncertainty associated with assumed values for concrete properties such as strength, creep, and shrinkage coefficients should be considered for the prediction of time-dependent column shortening of tall concrete buildings. In this study, the column shortenings of 41-story tall concrete building are predicted using monte carlo simulation technique based on the probabilistic analysis. The probabilistic column shortenings considering confidence intervals are compared with the actual column shortenings by field measurement. The time-dependent strains measured at tall bearing wall building were generally lower than the predicted strains and the measured values fell within a range ${\mu}-1.64$, confidence level 90%.