• Title/Summary/Keyword: 오차 인자 분석

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Reliability Analysis of Final Settlement Using Terzaghi's Consolidation Theory (테르자기 압밀이론을 이용한 최종압밀침하량에 관한 신뢰성 해석)

  • Chae, Jong Gil;Jung, Min Su
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.6C
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    • pp.349-358
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    • 2008
  • In performing the reliability analysis for predicting the settlement with time of alluvial clay layer at Kobe airport, the uncertainties of geotechnical properties were examined based on the stochastic and probabilistic theory. By using Terzaghi's consolidation theory as the objective function, the failure probability was normalized based on AFOSM method. As the result of reliability analysis, the occurrence probabilities for the cases of the target settlement of ${\pm}10%,\;{\pm}25%$ of the total settlement from the deterministic analysis were 30~50%, 60%~90%, respectively. Considering that the variation coefficients of input variable are almost similar as those of past researches, the acceptable error range of the total settlement would be expected in the range of 10% of the predicted total settlement. As the result of sensitivity analysis, the factors which affect significantly on the settlement analysis were the uncertainties of the compression coefficient Cc, the pre-consolidation stress Pc, and the prediction model employed. Accordingly, it is very important for the reliable prediction with high reliability to obtain reliable soil properties such as Cc and Pc by performing laboratory tests in which the in-situ stress and strain conditions are properly simulated.

A Study on the Reliability of Detecting Reinforcement Embedded in Concrete in Various Factors Using Electromagnetic Induction Method and Electromagnetic Wave Method (전자기유도법과 전자파레이더법을 이용한 각종인자에 따른 철근탐사의 신뢰성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Ho;Oh, Kwang-Chin;Park, Seung-Bum
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.179-186
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    • 2008
  • Probing inside of concrete structures is one of the important steps in assessing condition of the structure. For the assessment, electromagnetic induction method and electromagnetic wave method are currently applied to the measurement of cover depth, and the detection of reinforcement embedded in concrete. To determine detection capability of locating reinforcement embedded in concrete, commercially available nondestructive testing (NDT) equipments have been tested. The equipments include electromagnetic wave system and electromagnetic induction system. In the tests, nine concrete specimens which have the dimensions of 1,000mm(length))${\times}$300mm(width) with thickness varying from 125mm to 150mm are used. The reinforcement are located at 45, 60, 100mm depth from the concrete surface. Horizontal reinforcement spacing has been set over 100mm. From the outcome, it is shown that error is increased as the diameter of reinforcement enlarge in case of using electromagnetic induction method. In case of using electromagnetic wave method, the detection of reinforcement embedded in deep is good in the view of reliability because of using the relative permittivity on the real cover depth.

Proposition Empirical Equations and Application of Artificial Neural Network to the Estimation of Compression Index (압축지수의 추정을 위한 인공신경망 적용과 경험식 제안)

  • 김병탁;김영수;배상근
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this paper is to discuss the effects of soil properties such as liquid limit, water content, etc. on the compression index and to propose the empirical equation of compression index far regional clay and to verify the application Back Propagation Neural Network(BPNN). The compression index values obtained from laboratory tests are in the range of 0.01 to 3.06 for clay soils sampled in eleven regions. As the compare with the results of laboratory test and the predicted compression index value from the proposed empirical equations, the results of empirical equations including single soil parameter have a possibility to be overestimated. Also, the results of empirical equations including multiple soil parameters closed to the measured value more than that of empirical equations including single soil parameter, but the standard error for measured value obtained larger than 0.05. For these reasons, the empirical equations including single or multiple soil parameters proposed base on the results of laboratory test and the determination coefficient is up to 0.89. The result of BPNN shows that correlation coefficient and standard error between test and neural network result is larger than 0.925 and smaller than 0.0196, which means high correlativity, respectively. Especially, the estimated result by neural network, using only three parameters such as natural water content, dry unit weight and in-situ void ratio among various factors is available to the estimation of compression index and the correlation coefficient is 0.974. This result verified the possibility that if BPNN use, the compression index can be predicted by the parameters, which obtained from simplex field test.

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Investigation of image preprocessing and face covering influences on motion recognition by a 2D human pose estimation algorithm (모션 인식을 위한 2D 자세 추정 알고리듬의 이미지 전처리 및 얼굴 가림에 대한 영향도 분석)

  • Noh, Eunsol;Yi, Sarang;Hong, Seokmoo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.7
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    • pp.285-291
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    • 2020
  • In manufacturing, humans are being replaced with robots, but expert skills remain difficult to convert to data, making them difficult to apply to industrial robots. One method is by visual motion recognition, but physical features may be judged differently depending on the image data. This study aimed to improve the accuracy of vision methods for estimating the posture of humans. Three OpenPose vision models were applied: MPII, COCO, and COCO+foot. To identify the effects of face-covering accessories and image preprocessing on the Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) structure, the presence/non-presence of accessories, image size, and filtering were set as the parameters affecting the identification of a human's posture. For each parameter, image data were applied to the three models, and the errors between the actual and predicted values, as well as the percentage correct keypoints (PCK), were calculated. The COCO+foot model showed the lowest sensitivity to all three parameters. A <50% (from 3024×4032 to 1512×2016 pixels) reduction in image size was considered acceptable. Emboss filtering, in combination with MPII, provided the best results (reduced error of <60 pixels).

A Study on Experimental Vibration pre-estimation Techniques of Structure (구조물의 실험적 진동예측 기술에 관한 연구)

  • 이홍기;권형오
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 1992.10a
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    • pp.48-52
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    • 1992
  • 진동원을 가진 장비를 임의의 구조물에 설치할 경우 관심이 되는 문제는 구 조물의 임의의 위치에서의 진동 수준을 추정하는 일이다. 특히 정밀장비를 다루는 반도체 공장에서 크린룸이나, 정밀측정, 분석 실험실등 미진동을 제 어해야 하는 분야에서는 더욱 그 필요성이 대두되고 있다. 진동제어가 필요 한 공간에 대한 진동수준의 예측이 가능할 경우 진동윈이나 수진점(active and passive type)방진에서 최적화된 전달률(transmissibility)을 명확히 결정 할 수 있어 설계와 시행오차를 최소화 할 수 있다. 그러나 이러한 실제문제 를 다룰 경우 대부분 진동제어 구조물은 복잡하고 설치 운용되는 장비들은 대형, 복합장비가 사용되는 것이 일반적이고 수행기간도 여러가지 공정상 단 시간에 이루어져야 하는 현실적인 어려움이 있다. 진동제어가 필요한 구조물 에 대한 임의의 공간에서 진동수준을 신속하고 정확하게 예측하기 위해서는 최소한 두 가지 정보만이라도 명확히 해야 한다. 하나는 장비의 주파수별 정 확한 가진력의 산정이고 다른 하나는 장비가 설치되고 진동제어가 필요한 구조물에 대한 동적특성(dynamic property)이다. 가진력에 대한 정보는 일반 적으로 장비제작사가 제시하는 것이 원칙이나 그렇지 못할 경우 구조해석 기술자(structure engineer)가 해석적으로 추정하거나 또는 명확히 가진 특성 을 알지 못하는 복잡한 장비는 실험적으로 결정해야 한다. 구조물의 동적 특 성을 나타내는 모빌리티(mobility)를 구하는 방법은 해석적인 방법과 실험적 인 방법이 있으나 복합재료, 복잡한 구조형태나, 지지조건, 다양한 결합부의 동적 특성을 정의하여 해석적으로 정확히 해결하기에는 어려움이 있다. 이러 한 제한조건을 손쉽게 해결하는 방법은 실 구조물에 대한 동적실험(dynamic test)을 통하여 단기간에 동적특성을 결정하고 SDM(structure dynamic modification)이나 FRS(force response simulation)를 수행하여 임의의 좌표 공간에 대한 진동수준을 해석적으로 예측할 뿐만 아니라 구조물의 진동제어 를 위한 동적인자를 변경시킬 수 있는 정보를 제공하며 장비를 방진할 경우 신뢰성 있는 전달률을 결정할 수 있다. 실험적으로 철교, 교량이나 건물의 철골구조 및 2층 바닥 등 대,중형의 복잡한 구조물에 대항 동특성을 나타내 는 모빌리티를 결정할 경우 충격 가진 실험이 사용되는 실험장비 측면에서 나 실험을 수행하는 과정이 대체적으로 간편하다. 그러나 이 경우 대상 구조 물을 충분히 가진시킬수 있는 용량의 대형 충격기(large impact hammer)가 필요하게 된다. 이러한 동적실험은 약 길이 61m, 폭 16m의 4경간 교량에 대 하여 동적실험을 수행하여 가능성을 확인하였다. 여기서는 실험실 수준의 평 판모델을 제작하고 실제 현장에서 이루어질 수 있는 진동제어 구조물에 대 한 동적실험 및 FRS를 수행하는 과정과 동일하게 따름으로써 실제 발생할 수 있는 오차나 error를 실험실내의 차원에서 파악하여 진동원을 있는 구조 물에 대한 진동제어기술을 보유하고자 한다.

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Smoothing Effect in X-ray Microtomogram and Its Influence on the Physical Property Estimation of Rocks (X선 토모그램의 Smoothing 효과가 암석의 물성 예측에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Lee, Min-Hui;Keehm, Young-Seuk
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.347-354
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    • 2009
  • Physical properties of rocks are strongly dependant on details of pore micro-structures, which can be used for quantifying relations between physical properties of rocks through pore-scale simulation techniques. Recently, high-resolution scan techniques, such as X-ray microtomography and high performance computers make it possible to calculate permeability from pore micro-structures of rocks. We try to extend this simulation methodology to velocity and electrical conductivity. However, the smoothing effect during tomographic inversion creates artifacts in pore micro-structures and causes inaccurate property estimation. To mitigate this artifact, we tried to use sharpening filter and neural network classification techniques. Both methods gave noticeable improvement in pore structure imaging and accurate estimation of permeability and electrical conductivity, which implies that our method effectively removes the smoothing effect in pore structures. However, the calculated velocities showed only incremental improvement. By comparison between thin section images and tomogram, we found that our resolution is not high enough, and it is mainly responsible for the inaccuracy in velocity despite the successful removal of the smoothing effect. In conclusion, our methods can be very useful for pore-scale modeling, since it can create accurate pore structure without the smoothing effect. For accurate velocity estimation, the resolution of pore structure should be at least three times higher than that for permeability simulation.

Development of a Data-Driven Model for Forecasting Outflow to Establish a Reasonable River Water Management System (합리적인 하천수 관리체계 구축을 위한 자료기반 방류량 예측모형 개발)

  • Yoo, Hyung Ju;Lee, Seung Oh;Choi, Seo Hye;Park, Moon Hyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.75-92
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    • 2020
  • In most cases of the water balance analysis, the return flow ratio for each water supply was uniformly determined and applied, so it has been contained a problem that the volume of available water would be incorrectly calculated. Therefore, sewage and wastewater among the return water were focused in this study and the data-driven model was developed to forecast the outflow from the sewage treatment plant. The forecasting results of LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory), GRU (Gated Recurrent Units), and SVR (Support Vector Regression) models, which are mainly used for forecasting the time series data in most fields, were compared with the observed data to determine the optimal model parameters for forecasting outflow. As a result of applying the model, the root mean square error (RMSE) of the GRU model was smaller than those of the LSTM and SVR models, and the Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient (NSE) was higher than those of others. Thus, it was judged that the GRU model could be the optimal model for forecasting the outflow in sewage treatment plants. However, the forecasting outflow tends to be underestimated and overestimated in extreme sections. Therefore, the additional data for extreme events and reducing the minimum time unit of input data were necessary to enhance the accuracy of forecasting. If the water use of the target site was reviewed and the additional parameters that could reflect seasonal effects were considered, more accurate outflow could be forecasted to be ready for climate variability in near future. And it is expected to use as fundamental resources for establishing a reasonable river water management system based on the forecasting results.

Study on Optimum Mixture Design for Service Life of RC Structure subjected to Chloride Attack - Genetic Algorithm Application (염해에 노출된 콘크리트의 내구수명 확보를 위한 최적 배합 도출에 대한 연구 - 유전자 알고리즘의 적용)

  • Kwon, Seung-Jun;Lee, Sung Chil
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.5A
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    • pp.433-442
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    • 2010
  • A control of chloride diffusion coefficient is very essential for service life of reinforced concrete (RC) structures exposed to chloride attack so that much studies have been focused on this work. The purpose of this study is to derive the intended diffusion coefficient which satisfies intended service life and propose a technique for optimum concrete mixture through genetic algorithm(GA). For this study, 30 data with mixture proportions and related diffusion coefficients are analyzed. Utilizing 27 data, fitness function for diffusion coefficient is obtained with variables of water to binder ratio(W/B), weight of cement, mineral admixture(slag, flay ash, and silica fume), sand, and coarse aggregate. 3 data are used for verification of the results from GA. Average error from fitness function is observed to 18.7% for 27 data for diffusion coefficient with 16.0% of coefficient of variance. For the verification using 3 data, a range of error for mixture proportions through GA is evaluated to 0.3~9.3% in 3 given diffusion coefficients. Assuming the durability design parameters like intended service life, cover depth, surface chloride content, and replacement ratio of mineral admixture, target diffusion coefficient, where exterior conditions like relative humidity(R.H.) and temperature, is derived and optimum design mixtures for concrete are proposed. In this paper, applicability of GA is attempted for durability mixture design and the proposed technique would be improved with enhancement of comprehensive data set including wider range of diffusion coefficients.

Prediction on the amount of river water use using support vector machine with time series decomposition (TDSVM을 이용한 하천수 취수량 예측)

  • Choi, Seo Hye;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Park, Moonhyung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.12
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    • pp.1075-1086
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    • 2019
  • Recently, as the incidence of climate warming and abnormal climate increases, the forecasting of hydrological factors such as precipitation and river flow is getting more complicated, and the risk of water shortage is also increasing. Therefore, this study aims to develop a model for predicting the amount of water intake in mid-term. To this end, the correlation between water intake and meteorological factors, including temperature and precipitation, was used to select input factors. In addition, the amount of water intake increased with time series and seasonal characteristics were clearly shown. Thus, the preprocessing process was performed using the time series decomposition method, and the support vector machine (SVM) was applied to the residual to develop the river intake prediction model. This model has an error of 4.1% on average, which is higher accuracy than the SVM model without preprocessing. In particular, this model has an advantage in mid-term prediction for one to two months. It is expected that the water intake forecasting model developed in this study is useful to be applied for water allocation computation in the permission of river water use, water quality management, and drought measurement for sustainable and efficient management of water resources.

Optimal Growth Model of the Cochlodinium Polykrikoides (Cochlodinium Polykrikoides 최적 성장모형)

  • Cho, Hong-Yeon;Cho, Beom Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.217-224
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    • 2014
  • Cochlodinium polykrikoides is a typical harmful algal species which generates the red-tide in the coastal zone, southern Korea. Accurate algal growth model can be established and then the prediction of the red-tide occurrence using this model is possible if the information on the optimal growth model parameters are available because it is directly related between the red-tide occurrence and the rapid algal bloom. However, the limitation factors on the algal growth, such as light intensity, water temperature, salinity, and nutrient concentrations, are so diverse and also the limitation function types are diverse. Thus, the study on the algal growth model development using the available laboratory data set on the growth rate change due to the limitation factors are relatively very poor in the perspective of the model. In this study, the growth model on the C. polykrikoides are developed and suggested as the optimal model which can be used as the element model in the red-tide or ecological models. The optimal parameter estimation and an error analysis are carried out using the available previous research results and data sets. This model can be used for the difference analysis between the lab. condition and in-situ state because it is an optimal model for the lab. condition. The parameter values and ranges also can be used for the model calibration and validation using the in-situ monitoring environmental and algal bloom data sets.