• Title/Summary/Keyword: 오차평가기법

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A Study on Water Quality Prediction for Climate Change Using Watershed Model in Andong Dam Watershed (유역모형을 이용한 기후변화에 따른 안동댐 유역의 미래 수질 예측)

  • Noh, Hee-Jin;Kim, Young-Do;Kang, Boo-Sik;Yi, Hye-Suk
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.945-945
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 낙동강 수계의 안동댐 유역을 대상지역으로 선정하여 미래 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 댐 유역의 수환경 영향을 예측해 보고자 하였다. 특히 미래기후에 대한 수환경 평가는 기후자료를 입력 값으로 요구하는 강우-유출모형을 이용하거나 유량 이외에 유사, 영양물질과 같은 수질인자를 동시에 모의할 수 있는 유역모형을 이용하여 평가하는 것이 일반적이다. 이를 위해 선행연구로 IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change)에서 제공하는 AR4 시나리오의 RCM 자료를 ANN(Artificial Neural Network)기법을 이용하여 안동댐 유역의 총 4개 기상관측소에 대한 과거 20년(1991~2010) 실측자료를 바탕으로 미래 강수 및 습도 그리고 온도에 대해 상세화 하여 미래 기후 시나리오를 생산하였다. 또한 안동댐 유역 단위의 수질을 예측하기 위해 토양과 토지이용 및 토지관리 상태에 따른 수문-수질 모의가 가능한 유역모형인 SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool)을 이용하였다. 과거의 기상자료와 수질자료를 이용하여 유역모델의 검 보정을 실시하였으며 모형의 보정 및 검증결과에 따른 적합성과 상관성을 판단하기 위해 결정계수($R^2$)와 평균제곱근오차(Root Mean Square Error, RMSE)를 사용하였으며, 모형의 효율성 검증으로는 Nash and Sutcliffe(1970)가 제안한 모형효율성계수(NSE)를 사용하였다. 최종적으로 기후 시나리오에 대해서 전망된 지역상세기후를 유역모형의 입력자료로 이용하여 안동댐 유역의 미래수문 및 수질을 예측하고자 하였다.

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Power Signal Inter-harmonics Detection using Adaptive Predictor Notch Characteristics (적응예측기 노치특성을 이용한 전력신호 중간고조파 검출)

  • Bae, Hyeon Deok
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.435-441
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    • 2017
  • Detecting an inter-harmonic accurately is not easy work, because it has small magnitude, and its frequency which can be observed is not an integer multiple of fundamental frequency. In this paper, a new method using filter bank system and adaptive predictor is proposed. Filter bank system decomposes input signal to sub bands. In adaptive predictor, inter-harmonic is detected with decomposed sub band signal as input, and error signal as output. In this scheme, input-output characteristic of adaptive predictor is notch filter, as predicted harmonic is canceled in error signal, so detecting an inter-harmonic can be possible. Magnitude and frequency of detected inter-harmonic is estimated by recursive algorithm. The performances of proposed method are evaluated to sinusoidal signal model synthesized with harmonics and inter-harmonics. And validity of the method is proved as comparing the inter-harmonic detection results to MUSIC and ESPRIT.

Frame Synchronization for Mobile WiMAX Femtocells Using IEEE802.11 Based Wireless Backhaul (IEEE 802.11 기반의 무선 백홀을 사용하는 Mobile WiMAX 펨토셀을 위한 프레임 동기화 기법)

  • Choi, Ji-Hoon;Oh, Hyuk-Jun;Yun, Jae-Yeun;Ko, Hyun-Mo
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.35 no.8C
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    • pp.667-679
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    • 2010
  • The use of femtocells in buildings and homes has been widely studied as a means to enlarge the cell coverage and increase the network capacity of mobile communication systems. Femtocells for Mobile WiMAX (M-WiMAX) using time division duplexing (TDD) requires frame synchronization with neighboring base stations to avoid interference between uplink and downlink signals. In this paper, we propose a new frame synchronization method for femtocell using IEEE 802.11 based wireless backhaul, which transfers the time information of mobile network to femtocells via the beacon signal provided by IEEE 802.11. Also, in order to reduce timing error of the proposed method, we modify the collision avoidance scheme in the transmitter of IEEE 802.11 and apply a timing estimation technique designed in the sense of least squares to the receiver of IEEE 802.11. Through computer simulations using the proposed scheme, we evaluate the performance of frame synchronization for femtocells and show that the recovered timing information satisfies the timing specification defined by M-WiMAX standard.

Three-dimensional Reconstruction of X-ray Imagery Using Photogrammetric Technique (사진측량기법을 이용한 엑스선영상의 3차원 모형화)

  • Kim, Eui Myoung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.2D
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    • pp.277-285
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    • 2008
  • X-ray images are wildly used in medical applications, and these can be more efficiently find scoliosis which is appearing during the growth of human skeleton than others. This research is focused on the calibration of X-ray image and three-dimensional coordinate determination of objects. Three-dimensional coordinate of objects taken by X-ray are determined by two step procedure. Firstly, interior and exterior orientation parameters are determined by camera calibration using Primary Calibration Object (PCO) which has two sides with embedded radiopaque steel ball. Secondly, calibration cage coordinates which is composed of two acrylic sheets that are perpendicular to X-ray source are determined by the parameters. Three-dimensional coordinates of calibration cage determined by photogrammetric technique are compared with that of Coordinate Measuring Machine (CMM). Though the accuracy analysis, X direction which is parallel to X-ray source error values are relatively higher than those of Y and Z directions. But, the accuracies of Y and Z axis are approximately -3 mm to 3 mm. From the research results, it is considered that photogrammetric technique is applied to determine three-dimensional coordinates of patients or assist to make medical devices.

A Study on Estimate for Error and Convergence of Membrane Structures According to the Nonlinear Form-finding Techniques (비선형 형상 탐색 기법에 따른 막구조물의 오차와 수렴성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Shon, Su-Deok;Kim, Seung-Deog;Jeong, Eul-Seok;Jeon, Jin-Hyung
    • Journal of Korean Association for Spatial Structures
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    • v.7 no.3 s.25
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2007
  • The membrane structures, a kind of lightweight soft structural system, are used for spatial structures. The material property of the membrane has strong axial stiffness, but little bending stiffness. The design procedure of membrane structures are needed to do shape finding, stress-deformation analysis and cutting pattern generation. In shape finding, membrane structures are unstable structures initially. These soft structures need to be introduced initial stresses because of its initial unstable state, and happen large deformation phenomenon. Therefore, in this paper, we investigate the convergence of solution and the speed according to the control variables and the method of shape analysis.

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Estimation of Displacement Response from the Measured Dynamic Strain Signals Using Mode Decomposition Technique (모드분해기법을 이용한 동적 변형률신호로부터 변위응답추정)

  • Chang, Sung-Jin;Kim, Nam-Sik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.4A
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    • pp.507-515
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    • 2008
  • In this study, a method predicting the displacement response of structures from the measured dynamic strain signal is proposed by using mode decomposition technique. Evaluation of bridge stability is normally focused on the bridge completed. However, dynamic loadings including wind and seismic loadings could be exerted to the bridge under construction. In order to examine the bridge stability against these dynamic loadings, the prediction of displacement response is very important to evaluate bridge stability. Because it may be not easy for the displacement response to be acquired directly on site, an indirect method to predict the displacement response is needed. Thus, as an alternative for predicting the displacement response indirectly, the conversion of the measured strain signal into the displacement response is suggested, while the measured strain signal can be obtained using fiber optic Bragg-grating (FBG) sensors. As previous studies on the prediction of displacement response by using the FBG sensors, the static displacement has been mainly predicted. For predicting the dynamic displacement, it has been known that the measured strain signal includes higher modes and then the predicted dynamic displacement can be inherently contaminated by broad-band noises. To overcome such problem, a mode decomposition technique was used. Mode decomposition technique estimates the displacement response of each mode with mode shape estimated to use POD from strain signal and with the measured strain signal decomposed into mode by EMD. This is a method estimating the total displacement response combined with the each displacement response about the major mode of the structure. In order to examine the mode decomposition technique suggested in this study model experiment was performed.

Research for Generation of Accurate DEM using High Resolution Satellite Image and Analysis of Accuracy (고해상도 위성영상을 이용한 정밀 DEM 생성 및 정확도 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Jae-Hoon;Lee, Tae-Yoon;Kim, Tae-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.359-365
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    • 2008
  • This paper focused on generation of more accurate DEM and analysis of accuracy. For this, we applied suitable sensor modeling technique for each satellite image and automatic pyramid matching using image pyramid was applied. Matching algorithm based on epipolarity and scene geometry also was applied for stereo matching. IKONOS, Quickbird, SPOT-5, Kompsat-2 were used for experiments. In particular, we applied orbit-attitude sensor modeling technique for Kompsat-2 and performed DEM generation successfully. All DEM generated show good quality. Assessment was carried out using USGS DTED and we also compared between DEM generated in this research and DEM generated from common software. All DEM had $9m{\sim}12m$ Mean Absolute Error and $13m{\sim}16m$ RMS Error. Experimental results show that the DEMs of good performance which is similar to or better than result of DEMs generated from common software.

Analysis for Flood Quantile Estimates at Ungauged Sites in Arid and Semi-arid Regions Based on Regional Frequency Analysis (지역빈도해석을 통한 건조지역의 미계측 지점 확률홍수량 추정을 위한 연구)

  • Jung, Kichul;Kang, Boosik
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.51-51
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    • 2017
  • 지역빈도해석은 짧은 기간의 자료를 보유하고 있는 계측 지점이나 자료가 없는 미계측 지점에서의 확률수문량을 산정하기 위하여 많이 쓰여 진다. 지역빈도해석을 실시하기 위한 조건으로는 우선 수집된 하천유역들을 대상으로 수문학적 동질 지역을 구분하는 것이 중요하다. 그리고 구분되어진 지역에 포함되는 모든 지점들의 자료를 빈도해석 함으로써 관심 지점의 신뢰할 만한 확률수문량을 산정하는 것이다. 그동안의 지역빈도해석은 주로 비건조지역을 중심으로 홍수와 같은 재난재해 대비 그리고 수자원 관리를 위한 연구들을 실시해왔다. 본 연구의 주 목적은 건조지역의 수자원 관리를 위해 건조지역 하천유역을 중심으로 지역빈도해석을 실시하여 신뢰할만한 확률수문량을 산정하는 것이다. 확률수문량 산정값의 정확도를 향상시키기 위해 지역빈도해석 모델에 쓰여 지는 새로운 지형학적 변수들을 제공하였고 수문학적 동질 지역을 구분 위해 수집된 각 하천유역의 형상들을 확인하여 동질 지역을 정의하였다. 예를 들면, 수지형 유역, 부채형 유역, 격자형 유역과 같은 다른 형상들을 구분하여 각 유역 형상 종류별로 동질 지역을 만들었다. 건조지역의 지역빈도해석을 위해 미국 건조지역의 105개 하천유역 유량자료들을 수집 및 이용하였다. 확률수문량 산정을 위하여 앙상블 인경신경망 (Ensemble Artificial Neural Network)과 정준 상관 계수(Canonical Correlation Analysis)를 이용한 지역빈도해석 모델을 만들었다. 제안된 모델의 수행평가와 정확성 평가를 위해 리샘플링 기법인 10-겹 교차 검증 (10-fold cross-validation), 잭나이프 (Jackknife) 기법들을 이용하였고 모델로부터 산정된 확률수문량값을 편향 (Bias), 상대 편향(rBias), 평균 제곱근 오차 (RMSE), 상대 평균 제곱근 오차 (rRMSE)를 통하여 산정 값과 실제 관측 값의 차이를 분석하였다. 그 결과 건조지역의 지역빈도해석을 위해 새롭게 제시된 지형학적 변수들을 사용하였을 때 모델의 수행능력이 향상되었음을 확인하였다. 또한 하천유역 형상에 따라 동질 지역을 구분하였을 때 향상된 확률수문량이 산정되었다. 향상된 지역빈도해석 모델을 통해 건조지역의 신뢰할만한 확률수문량을 산정함으로써 건조지역의 효과적인 수자원 관리를 위한 수공시설물 설계에 중요한 정보들을 제공할 것이다.

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A Movie Rating Prediction System of User Propensity Analysis based on Collaborative Filtering and Fuzzy System (협업적 필터링 및 퍼지시스템 기반 사용자 성향분석에 의한 영화평가 예측 시스템)

  • Lee, Soo-Jin;Jeon, Tae-Ryong;Baek, Gyeong-Dong;Kim, Sung-Shin
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.242-247
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    • 2009
  • Recently an intelligent system is developed for the service what users want not a passive system which just answered user's request. This intelligent system is used for personalized recommendation system and representative techniques are content-based and collaborative filtering. In this study, we propose a prediction system which is based on the techniques of recommendation system using a collaborative filtering and a fuzzy system to solve the collaborative filtering problems. In order to verify the prediction system, we used the data that is user's rating about movies. We predicted the user's rating using this data. The accuracy of this prediction system is determined by computing the RMSE(root mean square error) of the system's prediction against the actual rating about the each movie and is compared with the existing system. Thus, this prediction system can be applied to base technology of recommendation system and also recommendation of multimedia such as music and books.

Verification on the Application of Monitoring for Frame Structures Using the VRS-RTK Method through the Free Vibration Test (자유 진동 실험을 통한 VRS-RTK 기법을 이용한 골조 구조물의 모니터링 적용성 검토)

  • Choi, Se-Woon;Park, Hyo-Seon;Kim, Bub-Ryur;Lee, Hong-Min;Kim, You-Sok
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.174-182
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    • 2014
  • To monitor the wind-induced responses of buildings, conventional real-time kinematic (RTK) methods based on two global positioning system (GPS) receivers (e.g., a reference and a rover) are widely applied. However, these methods can encounter problems such as difficulty in securing and maintaining a space for a reference station. With the recently developed virtual reference station (VRS)-RTK approach, the position of a structure can be measured using only a rover receiver. In this study, to evaluate the applicability of VRS-RTK methods in monitoring the lateral structural responses of frame structures, we performed free vibration tests on a one-story frame model (the first natural frequency of 1 Hz) and a three-story frame model (the first natural frequency of 0.85 Hz). To assess the reliability of the displacement and acceleration responses measured by the GPS, we performed a concurrent measurement using laser displacement sensors and an accelerometer. The accelerometer results were consistent with the GPS measurements in terms of the time history and frequency content. Furthermore, to derive an appropriate sampling rate for the continuous monitoring of buildings, the errors in the displacement responses were evaluated at different GPS sampling rates (5, 10, 20 Hz). The results indicate that as the sampling rate increased, the errors in the displacement responses decreased. In addition, in the three-story model, all modal components (first, second, and third modes) could be recorded at a sampling rate of 20 Hz.