• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2012.05a
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• pp.984-984
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• 2012

지구온난화와 기후변화의 영향으로 전 지구적으로 이상홍수, 이상가뭄, 한파와 같은 이상기상 현상이 빈번하게 발생하고 있다. 국내에서는 2010년 추석 광화문 침수사태와 2011년 우면산 산사태와 같은 국지성 집중호우로 인한 인적 물적 피해가 속출하고 있다. 전통적으로 시기나 양적인 측면에서 대부분 장마기간에 국한되었던 강우집중현상이 과거와 달리 특정기간에 상관없이 발생하고 단기성, 국지성을 지닌 호우의 발생빈도가 높아지는 등 국내 강우의 특성이 변하고 있다. 이러한 변화에 대응하기 위해서 강우예측과 유출량예측의 정확도를 높이기 위한 시도가 다양하게 이루어지고 있다. 강우예측의 정확성을 높이기 위해 기상청에서는 단기예보를 목적으로 전지구 통합모델과 지역 통합모델을 연계한 동네예보를 수행하고 있으며, 초단기 예보를 위한 목적으로 VSRF, SCAN, VDRAS, MAPLE 등의 예보를 수행하고 있다. 홍수량 예측에서는 일반적으로 사용하고 있는 물리적 기반의 모형에 레이더강우와 같은 격자형 강우자료를 사용하여 정확성을 높이거나, 기존의 집중형 모형을 분포형 모형으로 대체하기 위한 연구 등이 이루어지고 있으며, 모형 구축이 간편하고 예측 정확도가 우수하다는 장점으로 인해 신경회로망이나 퍼지추론기법 등을 사용한 연구도 지속적으로 이루어지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 수자원분야에 산재한 불확실성을 적극적으로 인정하고 수학적으로 해석하기 위한 이론인 퍼지이론에 신경망 이론을 도입한 neuro-fuzzy 기법을 사용하여 홍수량을 예측하였다. 모형의 입력자료로는 관측된 강우자료와 유출량자료 및 기상청에서 제공하는 MAPLE(McGill Algorithm for Precipitation Nowcasting by Lagrangian Extrapolation) 강우예측자료를 사용하여 적용성을 평가해보았다. 모형의 적용성을 평가하기 위해 시험유역을 충주댐 상류 유역으로 선정하였으며, 2010년 2011년 홍수기의 충주댐 유입량을 예측하였다. 모형의 입력자료를 변경하여 입력자료의 변화에 따른 결과를 비교하였고, clustering 반경의 변화에 따른 정확도를 비교하였다. 모형의 정확도는 평균제곱근오차와 첨두수위오차를 통해 비교하였으며, 비교결과 전반적으로 lead time이 길어질수록 MAPLE 사용 시 예측 정확도가 우수하였고, clustering 반경은 0.5일 때 가장 우수한 결과를 보였다.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.26 no.4A
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• pp.677-687
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• 2006

Kriging interpolation is one of the generally used interpolation techniques in Geostatistics field. This technique includes the experimental and theoretical variograms and the formulation of kriging interpolation. In contrast to the conventional least square method for stress recovery, kriging interpolation is based on the weighted least square method to obtain the estimated exact solution from the stress data at the Gauss points. The weight factor is determined by variogram modeling for interpolation of stress data apart from the conventional interpolation methods that use an equal weight factor. In addition to this, the p-level is increased non-uniformly or selectively through a posteriori error estimation based on SPR (superconvergent patch recovery) technique, proposed by Zienkiewicz and Zhu, by auto mesh p-refinement. The cut-out plate problem under tension has been tested to validate this approach. It also provides validity of kriging interpolation through comparing to existing least square method.

• Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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• v.13 no.6
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• pp.27-37
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• 2009

A method of instrumentally estimating seismic intensity (MMI) based on the Fourier Acceleration Spectrum of earthquake ground-motion, the so-called 'FAS MMI method' of Sokolov and Wald (2002), was evaluated for its applicability to Korea based on the empirical models of mean (m) and standard deviation (${\sigma}$) for Korea according to individual seismic intensity for MMI ${\leq}$ IV (Yun et al., 2009). This evaluation showed that the error in estimating the seismic intensity using the FAS MMI method is ${\sigma}$ = 0.74 MMI, and was further reduced to ${\sigma}$ = 0.61 MMI if the dependency of the error on earthquake magnitude and distance is additionally corrected. It is also shown that FAS MMI based on the FAS semi-empirically evaluated from small earthquakes for damaging earthquakes in Korea with maximum MMI ${\geq}$ VI could predict the observed MMI with the maximum error of 0.63 by using the combined FAS m-${\sigma}$ models of Korea for MMI ${\leq}$ IV and global region for MMI ${\geq}$ V.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.28 no.10
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• pp.89-96
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• 2012

In this study landslide causal factors which are considered to have the same effect in assessment techniques are categorized and their impact on landslides is analyzed to acquire reasonable weighting factors in the landslide hazard. Results are compared to those of the Assessment Chart developed by National Institute for Disaster Prevention (NIDP) and the adequacy and proper portion for landslide causal factors are considered. The Artificial Neural Network (ANN) method applied to 28 landslide areas is incorporated to evaluate the reasonable rating. Results show that the following items in the Chart are necessary to modify their portions in order to implement the precise assessment results: 1) Estimated damage; 2) Tension crack; 3) Existence of valley.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.28 no.2
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• pp.123-130
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• 2015

This paper presents a new formulation for transient simulations of microwave propagation in heterogeneous unbounded domains. In particular, perfectly-matched-layers(PMLs) are introduced to allow for wave absorption at artificial boundaries used to truncate the infinite extent of the physical domains. The development of the electromagnetic PML targets the application to engineering mechanics problems such as structural health monitoring and inverse medium problems. To formulate the PML for plane electromagnetic waves, a complex coordinate transformation is introduced to Maxwell's equations in the frequency-domain. Then the PML-endowed partial differential equations(PDEs) for transient electromagnetic waves are recovered by the application of the inverse Fourier transform to the frequency-domain equations. A mixed finite element method is employed to solve the time-domain PDEs for electric and magnetic fields in the PML-truncated domain. Numerical results are presented for plane microwaves propagating through concrete structures, and the accuracy of solutions is investigated by a series of error analyses.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2018.05a
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• pp.123-123
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• 2018

가뭄은 홍수와 달리 진행속도가 비교적 느리기 때문에 초기에 감지한다면 피해를 최소화 할 수 있다. 국내에서는 가뭄전망을 위해 물리적 기반의 기상-수문연계해석 시스템을 구축하여 월 내지 계절전망을 수행하고 있다. 물리적 기반의 가뭄전망은 수치예보모델의 불확실성을 가지고 있으므로 예보 정확도 개선의 측면에서는 통계적 모델을 같이 활용하는 것이 바람직하다. 최근 국외에서는 통계적 방법인 AI (Artificial Intelligence) 기술을 사용하여 가뭄을 전망하는 연구가 활발히 진행 중이나, 아직까지 국내에서는 관련연구가 미흡한 실정이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 ANFIS (Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) 기반의 댐 유입량 예측 모델을 구축하고 SRI (Standardized Runoff Index)를 활용하여 수문학적 가뭄전망을 수행하였다. 대상유역은 국내 주요 다목적댐이 위치한 충주댐 유역과 소양강댐 유역을 선정하였다. 수문 및 기상자료는 국토 교통부 및 기상청의 관측 댐 유입량, 관측 강수량, 관측 기온 및 장기기상예보 자료를 사용하였다. ANFIS 모델 구축을 위한 훈련 및 보정기간과 검정기간은 각각 1987~2010년과 2011~2016년을 선정하였다. 수문학적 가뭄전망은 지속기간 3개월의 1개월 전망 SRI3를 활용하였으며, SRI3는 관측유입량과 예측유입량을 결합하여 산정하였다. 댐 예측유입량 및 수문학적 가뭄전망의 정확도 평가를 위해 상관계수, 평균제곱근오차를 활용하였다. 댐 예측유입량 평가 결과 예측값과 관측값의 상관계수가 높게 나타났으며, 평균제곱근오차는 낮아 예측성이 뛰어났다. SRI3의 경우 관측값과 예측값의 가뭄발생시기가 유사하여 가뭄을 적절하게 반영하는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구의 결과는 통계적 기반의 수문학적 가뭄전망기법을 개발하였다는 측면에서 의의가 있으며, 향후 물리적 기반의 가뭄전망정보와 결합한다면 보다 실효성이 향상될 것으로 기대된다.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.37 no.3
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• pp.173-178
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• 2024

This study presents a technique for assessing the dimensional quality of assembly parts in Prefabricated Steel Structures (PSS) using a stereo vision sensor. The stereo vision system captures images and point cloud data of the assembly area, followed by applying image processing algorithms such as fuzzy-based edge detection and Hough transform-based circular bolt hole detection to identify bolt hole locations. The 3D center positions of each bolt hole are determined by correlating 3D real-world position information from depth images with the extracted bolt hole positions. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is then employed to calculate coordinate axes for precise measurement of distances between bolt holes, even when the sensor and structure orientations differ. Bolt holes are sorted based on their 2D positions, and the distances between sorted bolt holes are calculated to assess the assembly part's dimensional quality. Comparison with actual drawing data confirms measurement accuracy with an absolute error of 1mm and a relative error within 4% based on median criteria.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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• v.34 no.5
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• pp.30-38
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• 2006

A new calibration method for five-hole pressure probe is presented. This method provides accuracies better than those based on the traditional regression method. The calibration algorithm uses a single sector interpolation response surface calculated by comparing the regression curve fits with the actual calibration data. A five-hole pressure probe with hemispherical tip was fabricated and calibrated at Reynolds number of $4.11{\times}10^6$/m and flow angle of ${\pm}48$ degrees. Two data prediction models, the least-square regression and a single sector error interpolation, were evaluated. The comparison of these two calibration methods to a five-hole probe is described and discussed. An evaluation of the calibration accuracy is also given.

• Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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• v.6 no.2 s.12
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• pp.21-34
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• 1998

SAR is an active imaging sensor emitting its own energy source and can be operated in all weather conditions. Thus SAR provides data which can not be obtained by an optical sensor. In this study, the potentials and problems of the techniques for DEM extraction from the SAR imagery were evaluated through theoretical researches and practical experiments. And then the accuracy was tested by RMS error between the digitized map contour and the results from this experiment. Here, two types of DEM extraction method were evaluated. One was an analytical photogrammetric technique, and the other was a SAR interferometric processing. From the experiment, we found that the photogrammetric technique is currently the most suitable method considering topographic conditions of Korea. In the SAR interferometry technique, we also conclude that the problems caused by decorrelations due to the temporal reasons and due to the scattering effects from vegetation should be solved.

• Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.59-67
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• 2011

This paper proposes a model to analyze the fault factors of air-to-ground weapon delivery utilizing software fault localization methods. In the previous study, to figure out the factors to affect the accuracy of air-to-ground weapon delivery, the FBEL (Factor-based Error Localization) method had been proposed and the fault factors were analyzed based on the method. But in the study, the correlation between weapon delivery accuracy and the fault factors could not be revealed because the firing accuracy among several factors was fixed. In this paper we propose a more precise fault analysis model driven through a study of the correlation among the fault factors of weapon delivery, and a method to estimate the possibility of faults with the limited number of test cases utilizing the model. The effectiveness of proposed method is verified through the simulation utilizing real delivery data. and weapons delivery testing in the evaluation of which element affecting the accuracy of analysis that was available to be used successfully.