• Title/Summary/Keyword: 예측성능 개선

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A Study on Searching for Export Candidate Countries of the Korean Food and Beverage Industry Using Node2vec Graph Embedding and Light GBM Link Prediction (Node2vec 그래프 임베딩과 Light GBM 링크 예측을 활용한 식음료 산업의 수출 후보국가 탐색 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Seong;Jun, Seung-Pyo;Seo, Jinny
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.73-95
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    • 2021
  • This study uses Node2vec graph embedding method and Light GBM link prediction to explore undeveloped export candidate countries in Korea's food and beverage industry. Node2vec is the method that improves the limit of the structural equivalence representation of the network, which is known to be relatively weak compared to the existing link prediction method based on the number of common neighbors of the network. Therefore, the method is known to show excellent performance in both community detection and structural equivalence of the network. The vector value obtained by embedding the network in this way operates under the condition of a constant length from an arbitrarily designated starting point node. Therefore, it has the advantage that it is easy to apply the sequence of nodes as an input value to the model for downstream tasks such as Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine, and Random Forest. Based on these features of the Node2vec graph embedding method, this study applied the above method to the international trade information of the Korean food and beverage industry. Through this, we intend to contribute to creating the effect of extensive margin diversification in Korea in the global value chain relationship of the industry. The optimal predictive model derived from the results of this study recorded a precision of 0.95 and a recall of 0.79, and an F1 score of 0.86, showing excellent performance. This performance was shown to be superior to that of the binary classifier based on Logistic Regression set as the baseline model. In the baseline model, a precision of 0.95 and a recall of 0.73 were recorded, and an F1 score of 0.83 was recorded. In addition, the light GBM-based optimal prediction model derived from this study showed superior performance than the link prediction model of previous studies, which is set as a benchmarking model in this study. The predictive model of the previous study recorded only a recall rate of 0.75, but the proposed model of this study showed better performance which recall rate is 0.79. The difference in the performance of the prediction results between benchmarking model and this study model is due to the model learning strategy. In this study, groups were classified by the trade value scale, and prediction models were trained differently for these groups. Specific methods are (1) a method of randomly masking and learning a model for all trades without setting specific conditions for trade value, (2) arbitrarily masking a part of the trades with an average trade value or higher and using the model method, and (3) a method of arbitrarily masking some of the trades with the top 25% or higher trade value and learning the model. As a result of the experiment, it was confirmed that the performance of the model trained by randomly masking some of the trades with the above-average trade value in this method was the best and appeared stably. It was found that most of the results of potential export candidates for Korea derived through the above model appeared appropriate through additional investigation. Combining the above, this study could suggest the practical utility of the link prediction method applying Node2vec and Light GBM. In addition, useful implications could be derived for weight update strategies that can perform better link prediction while training the model. On the other hand, this study also has policy utility because it is applied to trade transactions that have not been performed much in the research related to link prediction based on graph embedding. The results of this study support a rapid response to changes in the global value chain such as the recent US-China trade conflict or Japan's export regulations, and I think that it has sufficient usefulness as a tool for policy decision-making.

Analysis of Stability Indexes for Lightning by Using Upper Air Observation Data over South Korea (남한에서 낙뢰발생시 근접 고층기상관측 자료를 이용한 안정도 지수 분석)

  • Eom, Hyo-Sik;Suh, Myoung-Seok
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.467-482
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    • 2010
  • In this study, characteristics of various stability indexes (SI) and environmental parameters (EP) for the lightning are analysed by using 5 upper air observatories (Osan, Gwangju, Jeju, Pohang, and Baengnyeongdo) for the years 2002-2006 over South Korea. The analysed SI and EP are the lifted index, K-index, Showalter stability index, total precipitable water, mixing ratio, wind shear and temperature of lifting condensation level. The lightning data occurred on the range of -2 hr~+1 hr and within 100 km based on the launch time of rawinsonde and observing location are selected. In general, summer averaged temperature and mixing ratio of lower troposphere for the lightning cases are higher about 1 K and $1{\sim}2gkg^{-1}$ than no lightning cases, respectively. The Box-Whisker plot shows that the range of various SI and EP values for lightning and no lightning cases are well separated but overlapping of SI and EP values between lightning and no lightning are not a little. The optimized threshold values for the detection of lightning are determined objectively based on the highest Heidke skill socre (HSS), which is the most favorable validation parameter for the rare event, such as lightning, by using the simulation of SI and EP threshold values. Although the HSS is not high (0.15~0.30) and the number and values of selected SI and EP are dependent on geographic location, the new threshold values can be used as a supplementary tool for the detection or forecast of lightning over South Korea.

Efficient Correlation Channel Modeling for Transform Domain Wyner-Ziv Video Coding (Transform Domain Wyner-Ziv 비디오 부호를 위한 효과적인 상관 채널 모델링)

  • Oh, Ji-Eun;Jung, Chun-Sung;Kim, Dong-Yoon;Park, Hyun-Wook;Ha, Jeong-Seok
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2010
  • The increasing demands on low-power, and low-complexity video encoder have been motivating extensive research activities on distributed video coding (DVC) in which the encoder compresses frames without utilizing inter-frame statistical correlation. In DVC encoder, contrary to the conventional video encoder, an error control code compresses the video frames by representing the frames in the form of syndrome bits. In the meantime, the DVC decoder generates side information which is modeled as a noisy version of the original video frames, and a decoder of the error-control code corrects the errors in the side information with the syndrome bits. The noisy observation, i.e., the side information can be understood as the output of a virtual channel corresponding to the orignal video frames, and the conditional probability of the virtual channel model is assumed to follow a Laplacian distribution. Thus, performance improvement of DVC systems depends on performances of the error-control code and the optimal reconstruction step in the DVC decoder. In turn, the performances of two constituent blocks are directly related to a better estimation of the parameter of the correlation channel. In this paper, we propose an algorithm to estimate the parameter of the correlation channel and also a low-complexity version of the proposed algorithm. In particular, the proposed algorithm minimizes squared-error of the Laplacian probability distribution and the empirical observations. Finally, we show that the conventional algorithm can be improved by adopting a confidential window. The proposed algorithm results in PSNR gain up to 1.8 dB and 1.1 dB on Mother and Foreman video sequences, respectively.

Fast Decision Method of Geometric Partitioning Mode and Block Partitioning Mode using Hough Transform in VVC (허프 변환을 이용한 VVC의 기하학 분할 모드 및 블록 분할 고속 결정 방법)

  • Lee, Minhun;Park, Juntaek;Bang, Gun;Lim, Woong;Sim, Donggyu;Oh, Seoung-Jun
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.698-708
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    • 2020
  • VVC (Versatile Video Coding), which has been developing as a next generation video coding standard. Compared to HEVC (High Efficiency Video Coding), VVC is improved by about 34% in RA (Random Access) configuration and about 30% in LDB (Low-Delay B) configuration by adopting various techniques such as recursive block partitioning structure and GPM (Geometric Partitioning Mode). But the encoding complexity is increased by about 10x and 7x, respectively. In this paper, we propose a fast decision method of GPM mode and block partitioning using directionality of block to reduce encoding complexity of VVC. The proposed method is to apply the Hough transform to the current block to identify the directionality of the block, thereby determining the GPM mode and the specific block partitioning method to be skipped in the rate-distortion cost search process. As a result, compared to VTM8.0, the proposed method reduces about 31.01% and 29.84% encoding complexity for RA and LDB configuration with 2.48% and 2.69% BD-rate loss, respectively.

A Study on the Architecture Modeling of Information System using Simulation (시뮬레이션을 이용한 정보시스템 아키텍쳐 모델링에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Sang-Kook;Kim, Jong-Bae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2013.10a
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    • pp.455-458
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    • 2013
  • The conventional design of the information system architecture based on the personal experience of information systems has been acted as a limit in progress utilizing appropriate resource allocation and performance improvements. Architecture design depending on personal experience makes differences in variance of a designer's experience, intellectual level in related tasks and surroundings, and architecture quality according to individual's propensity. After all these problems cause a waste of expensive hardware resources. At working place, post-monitoring tools are diversely developed and are running to find the bottleneck and the process problems in the information operation. However, there are no simulation tools or models that are used for expecting and counteracting the problems at early period of designing architecture. To solve these problems we will first develop a simulation model for designing information system architecture in a pilot form, and will verify validity. If an error rate is found in the permissible range, then it can be said that the simulation reflects the characteristic of information system architecture. After the model is developed in a level that can be used in various ways, more accurate performance computation will be able to do, getting out of the old way relying on calculations, and prevent the existence of idle resources and expense waste that comes from the wrong design of architecture.

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A Development of Hydrological Model Calibration Technique Considering Seasonality via Regional Sensitivity Analysis (지역적 민감도 분석을 이용하여 계절성을 고려한 수문 모형 보정 기법 개발)

  • Lee, Ye-Rin;Yu, Jae-Ung;Kim, Kyungtak;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.337-352
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    • 2023
  • In general, Rainfall-Runoff model parameter set is optimized using the entire data to calculate unique parameter set. However, Korea has a large precipitation deviation according to the season, and it is expected to even worsen due to climate change. Therefore, the need for hydrological data considering seasonal characteristics. In this study, we conducted regional sensitivity analysis(RSA) using the conceptual Rainfall-Runoff model, GR4J aimed at the Soyanggang dam basin, and clustered combining the RSA results with hydrometeorological data using Self-Organizing map(SOM). In order to consider the climate characteristics in parameter estimation, the data was divided based on clustering, and a calibration approach of the Rainfall-Runoff model was developed by comparing the objective functions of the Global Optimization method. The performance of calibration was evaluated by statistical techniques. As a result, it was confirmed that the model performance during the Cold period(November~April) with a relatively low flow rate was improved. This is expected to improve the performance and predictability of the hydrological model for areas that have a large precipitation deviation such as Monsoon climate.

Frame-rate Up-conversion using Hierarchical Adaptive Search and Bi-directional Motion Estimation (계층적 적응적 탐색과 양방향 움직임 예측을 이용한 프레임율 증가 방법)

  • Min, Kyung-Yeon;Park, Sea-Nae;Sim, Dong-Gyu
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.28-36
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we propose a frame-rate up-conversion method for temporal quality enhancement. The proposed method adaptively changes search range during hierarchical motion estimation and reconstructs hole regions using the proposed bi-direction prediction and linear interpolation. In order to alleviate errors due to inaccurate motion vector estimation, search range is adaptively changed based on reliability and for more accurate, motion estimation is performed in descending order of block variance. After segmentation of background and object regions, for filling hole regions, the pixel values of background regions are reconstructed using linear interpolation and those of object regions are compensated based on the proposed hi-directional prediction. The proposed algorithm is evaluated in terms of PSNR with original uncompressed sequences. Experimental results show that the proposed algorithm is better than conventional methods by around 2dB, and blocky artifacts and blur artifacts are significantly diminished.

Evaluation of P-M Interaction Curve for Circular Concrete-Filled Tube (CFT) Column (원형 콘크리트 충전 강관(CFT) 기둥의 P-M 상관 곡선 평가)

  • Moon, Jiho;Park, Keum-Sung;Lee, Hak-Eun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.355-365
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    • 2014
  • Concrete-filled tubes (CFTs) have been used in civil engineering practices as a column of buildings and a bridge pier. CFTs have several advantages over the conventional reinforced concrete columns, such as rapid construction, enhanced buckling resistance, and inherited confinement effect. However, CFT component have not been widely used in civil engineering practice, since the design provisions among codes significantly vary each other. It leads to conservative design of CFT component. In this study, the design provisions of AISC and EC4 for CFT component were examined, based on the extensive test results conducted by previous researchers and finite element analysis results obtained in this study. Especially, the focus was made on the validation of P-M interaction curves proposed by AISC and EC4. From the results, it was found that the current design codes considerably underestimated the strength of CFT component under general combined axial load and bending. Finally, the modified P-M interaction curve was proposed and successfully verified.

Robust Double Deadbeat Control of Single-Phase UPS Inverter (단상 UPS 인버터의 강인한 2중 데드비트제어)

  • 박지호;허태원;안인모;이현우;정재륜;우정인
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.65-72
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    • 2001
  • This paper deals with a novel full digital control of the single-phase PWM(Pulse Width Modulation) inviter for UPS(Uninterruptible Power Supp1y). The voltage and current of output filter capacitor as a state variable are the feedback control input. In the proposed scheme a double deadbeat control consisting of minor current control loop and major voltage control loop have been developed In addition, a second order deadbeat currents control which should be exactly equal to its reference in two sampling time without error and overshoot is proposed to remove the influence of the calculation time delay. The load current prediction is achieved to compensate the load disturbance. The simulation and experimental result shows that the proposed system offers an output voltage with THD(Total Harmonic Distortion) less than 5% at a full nonlinear load.

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Forecasting Development Directions on Environment-Friendly Building Science for Energy Saving by Analyzing Patent Trend (특허동향 분석을 통한 에너지 절감이 가능한 친환경 건축물의 연구개발 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Kyi-Young;Kim, Gwang-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.99-105
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    • 2015
  • The building structure has an decisive influence on the environment as it takes over one third part in the energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions of whole world. Accordingly, every country makes the reduction of greenhouse gas emission compulsory pursuant to Kyoto Protocol of 1997, and Korea government makes an announcement for the improvement of building energy performance in 2014. In this study, the key technology of Energy Saving Environmental-Friendly Building is sorted into 3rd categories, and the analysis of patent trend for patent documents published in Korea, USA, Japan and Europe is carried out. The purpose of this study is to solve the problem of current technology that it cannot show the detailed situation of technique and development strategy of R&D, and to provide a systematic approach for R&D strategy and an exact technology development direction.