• Title/Summary/Keyword: 예측성능 개선

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Design of Fuzzy System with Hierarchical Classifying Structures and its Application to Time Series Prediction (계층적 분류구조의 퍼지시스템 설계 및 시계열 예측 응용)

  • Bang, Young-Keun;Lee, Chul-Heui
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.595-602
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    • 2009
  • Fuzzy rules, which represent the behavior of their system, are sensitive to fuzzy clustering techniques. If the classification abilities of such clustering techniques are improved, their systems can work for the purpose more accurately because the capabilities of the fuzzy rules and parameters are enhanced by the clustering techniques. Thus, this paper proposes a new hierarchically structured clustering algorithm that can enhance the classification abilities. The proposed clustering technique consists of two clusters based on correlationship and statistical characteristics between data, which can perform classification more accurately. In addition, this paper uses difference data sets to reflect the patterns and regularities of the original data clearly, and constructs multiple fuzzy systems to consider various characteristics of the differences suitably. To verify effectiveness of the proposed techniques, this paper applies the constructed fuzzy systems to the field of time series prediction, and performs prediction for nonlinear time series examples.

A Fast Block Matching Motion Estimation Algorithm by using the Enhanced Cross-Hexagonal Search Pattern (개선된 크로스-육각 패턴을 이용한 고속 블록 정합 움직임 추정 알고리즘)

  • Nam Hyeon-Woo
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.11 no.4 s.42
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    • pp.77-85
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    • 2006
  • There is the spatial correlation of the video sequence between the motion vector of current blocks. In this paper, we propose the enhanced fast block matching algorithm using the spatial correlation of the video sequence and the center-biased properly of motion vectors. The proposed algorithm determines an exact motion vector using the predicted motion vector from the adjacent macro blocks of the current frame and the Cross-Hexagonal search pattern. From the of experimental results, we can see that our proposed algorithm outperforms both the prediction search algorithm (NNS) and the fast block matching algorithm (CHS) in terms of the search speed and the coded video's quality. Using our algorithm, we can improve the search speed by up to $0.1{\sim}38%$ and also diminish the PSNR (Peak Signal Noise Ratio) by at nst $0.05{\sim}2.5dB$, thereby improving the video qualify.

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Improved Power Performances of the Size-Reduced Amplifiers using Defected Ground Structure (결함 접지 구조를 이용하여 소형화한 증폭기의 개선된 전력 성능)

  • Lim, Jong-Sik;Jeong, Yong-Chae;Han, Jae-Hee;Lee, Young-Taek;Park, Jun-Seok;Ahn, Dal;Nam, Sang-Wook
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.13 no.8
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    • pp.754-763
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    • 2002
  • This paper discusses the improved power performances of the size-reduced amplifier using defected ground structure (DGS). The slow-wave effect and enlarged electrical length occur due to the additional equivalent circuit elements of DGS. Using these properties, it is possible to reduce the length of transmission lines in order to keep the same original electrical lengths by inserting DGS on the ground plane. The matching and performances of the amplifier are preserved even after DGS patterns have been inserted. While there is no loss in the size-reduced transmission lines at the operating frequency, but there exists loss to some extent at harmonic frequencies. This leads to the more excellent inherent capability of harmonic rejection of the size-reduced amplifier. Therefore, it is expected tile harmonics of the size-reduced amplifier are smaller than those of the original amplifier. The measured second harmonic, third order intermodulation distortion (IMD3), and adjacent channel power ratio (ACPR) of the size-reduced amplifier are smaller than those of the original amplifier by 5 dB, 2~6 dB, and 1~4 dB, respectively, as expectation.

A Study on the Prediction Model of Stock Price Index Trend based on GA-MSVM that Simultaneously Optimizes Feature and Instance Selection (입력변수 및 학습사례 선정을 동시에 최적화하는 GA-MSVM 기반 주가지수 추세 예측 모형에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jong-sik;Ahn, Hyunchul
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.147-168
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    • 2017
  • There have been many studies on accurate stock market forecasting in academia for a long time, and now there are also various forecasting models using various techniques. Recently, many attempts have been made to predict the stock index using various machine learning methods including Deep Learning. Although the fundamental analysis and the technical analysis method are used for the analysis of the traditional stock investment transaction, the technical analysis method is more useful for the application of the short-term transaction prediction or statistical and mathematical techniques. Most of the studies that have been conducted using these technical indicators have studied the model of predicting stock prices by binary classification - rising or falling - of stock market fluctuations in the future market (usually next trading day). However, it is also true that this binary classification has many unfavorable aspects in predicting trends, identifying trading signals, or signaling portfolio rebalancing. In this study, we try to predict the stock index by expanding the stock index trend (upward trend, boxed, downward trend) to the multiple classification system in the existing binary index method. In order to solve this multi-classification problem, a technique such as Multinomial Logistic Regression Analysis (MLOGIT), Multiple Discriminant Analysis (MDA) or Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) we propose an optimization model using Genetic Algorithm as a wrapper for improving the performance of this model using Multi-classification Support Vector Machines (MSVM), which has proved to be superior in prediction performance. In particular, the proposed model named GA-MSVM is designed to maximize model performance by optimizing not only the kernel function parameters of MSVM, but also the optimal selection of input variables (feature selection) as well as instance selection. In order to verify the performance of the proposed model, we applied the proposed method to the real data. The results show that the proposed method is more effective than the conventional multivariate SVM, which has been known to show the best prediction performance up to now, as well as existing artificial intelligence / data mining techniques such as MDA, MLOGIT, CBR, and it is confirmed that the prediction performance is better than this. Especially, it has been confirmed that the 'instance selection' plays a very important role in predicting the stock index trend, and it is confirmed that the improvement effect of the model is more important than other factors. To verify the usefulness of GA-MSVM, we applied it to Korea's real KOSPI200 stock index trend forecast. Our research is primarily aimed at predicting trend segments to capture signal acquisition or short-term trend transition points. The experimental data set includes technical indicators such as the price and volatility index (2004 ~ 2017) and macroeconomic data (interest rate, exchange rate, S&P 500, etc.) of KOSPI200 stock index in Korea. Using a variety of statistical methods including one-way ANOVA and stepwise MDA, 15 indicators were selected as candidate independent variables. The dependent variable, trend classification, was classified into three states: 1 (upward trend), 0 (boxed), and -1 (downward trend). 70% of the total data for each class was used for training and the remaining 30% was used for verifying. To verify the performance of the proposed model, several comparative model experiments such as MDA, MLOGIT, CBR, ANN and MSVM were conducted. MSVM has adopted the One-Against-One (OAO) approach, which is known as the most accurate approach among the various MSVM approaches. Although there are some limitations, the final experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model, GA-MSVM, performs at a significantly higher level than all comparative models.

Basic Research on the Possibility of Developing a Landscape Perceptual Response Prediction Model Using Artificial Intelligence - Focusing on Machine Learning Techniques - (인공지능을 활용한 경관 지각반응 예측모델 개발 가능성 기초연구 - 머신러닝 기법을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Jin-Pyo;Suh, Joo-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.70-82
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    • 2023
  • The recent surge of IT and data acquisition is shifting the paradigm in all aspects of life, and these advances are also affecting academic fields. Research topics and methods are being improved through academic exchange and connections. In particular, data-based research methods are employed in various academic fields, including landscape architecture, where continuous research is needed. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the possibility of developing a landscape preference evaluation and prediction model using machine learning, a branch of Artificial Intelligence, reflecting the current situation. To achieve the goal of this study, machine learning techniques were applied to the landscaping field to build a landscape preference evaluation and prediction model to verify the simulation accuracy of the model. For this, wind power facility landscape images, recently attracting attention as a renewable energy source, were selected as the research objects. For analysis, images of the wind power facility landscapes were collected using web crawling techniques, and an analysis dataset was built. Orange version 3.33, a program from the University of Ljubljana was used for machine learning analysis to derive a prediction model with excellent performance. IA model that integrates the evaluation criteria of machine learning and a separate model structure for the evaluation criteria were used to generate a model using kNN, SVM, Random Forest, Logistic Regression, and Neural Network algorithms suitable for machine learning classification models. The performance evaluation of the generated models was conducted to derive the most suitable prediction model. The prediction model derived in this study separately evaluates three evaluation criteria, including classification by type of landscape, classification by distance between landscape and target, and classification by preference, and then synthesizes and predicts results. As a result of the study, a prediction model with a high accuracy of 0.986 for the evaluation criterion according to the type of landscape, 0.973 for the evaluation criterion according to the distance, and 0.952 for the evaluation criterion according to the preference was developed, and it can be seen that the verification process through the evaluation of data prediction results exceeds the required performance value of the model. As an experimental attempt to investigate the possibility of developing a prediction model using machine learning in landscape-related research, this study was able to confirm the possibility of creating a high-performance prediction model by building a data set through the collection and refinement of image data and subsequently utilizing it in landscape-related research fields. Based on the results, implications, and limitations of this study, it is believed that it is possible to develop various types of landscape prediction models, including wind power facility natural, and cultural landscapes. Machine learning techniques can be more useful and valuable in the field of landscape architecture by exploring and applying research methods appropriate to the topic, reducing the time of data classification through the study of a model that classifies images according to landscape types or analyzing the importance of landscape planning factors through the analysis of landscape prediction factors using machine learning.

Performance Evaluation of Opportunistic Incremental Relaying Systems by using Partial and Full Channel Information in Rayleigh Fading Channels (레일레이 페이딩 채널에서 부분 및 전체 채널 정보를 이용하는 기회전송 증가 릴레이 시스템의 성능)

  • Kim, Nam-Soo
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2013
  • Recently, the opportunistic incremental relaying systems have been studied to improve the system performance effectively in wireless fading channel. Most of the performance analysis of the system includes a source-destination direct link. And there are few analysis which consider source-relay-destination indirect paths only. Therefore this paper proposes a transmission protocol which relays the source information using the selected relay from the partial channel information at the first stage in an opportunistic incremental relaying system. If the transmission fails, the selected best relay from the full channel information retransmits the information to the destination incrementally. The performance of the proposed system is derived analytically and verified from Monte Carlo simulation. The derived results can be applied to the system design and the performance estimation of the mobile systems and the bidirectional TV broadcasting systems which adapt an opportunistic incremental relaying system.

Performance Analysis of a NOW According to the Number of Processes and Execution Time (프로세스의 수와 실행시간에 따른 NOW의 성능 분석)

  • 조수현;김영학
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.135-145
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    • 2002
  • Recently, instead of a high-cost supercomputer, there haws been widely used a NOW system that consists of low-cost PCs and workstations connected all over the network In a NOW, performance for parallel processing depends on the computation pouter of each computer and communication time. Currently, a lot of methods have been proposed in order to increase the performance of parallel processing. However, the previous results have been studied in the view of balancing work load as the computation pouter of each computer. If a computer has multiple work precesses in a NOW, we can predict a decrease of communication tire needed in message passing, Therefore, in this paper, we analyzes factors of improving the performance in the view of work precesses, and evaluates experimently an effect on total performance as the number of work processes increases. Also, we propose a new broadcasting method to be used in experiment of this paper. This paper uses the LAM/MPI for an experimental evaluation.

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Fuzzy Clustering with Genre Preference for Collaborative Filtering

  • Lee, Soojung
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.99-106
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    • 2020
  • The scalability problem inherent in collaborative filtering-based recommender systems has been an issue in related studies during past decades. Clustering is a well-known technique for handling this problem, but has not been actively studied due to its low performance. This paper adopts a clustering method to overcome the scalability problem, inherent drawback of collaborative filtering systems. Furthermore, in order to handle performance degradation caused by applying clustering into collaborative filtering, we take two strategies into account. First, we use fuzzy clustering and secondly, we propose and apply a similarity estimation method based on user preference for movie genres. The proposed method of this study is evaluated through experiments and compared with several previous relevant methods in terms of major performance metrics. Experimental results show that the proposed demonstrated superior performance in prediction and rank accuracies and comparable performance to the best method in our experiments in recommendation accuracy.

Performance Analysis of a Mobile Stratospheric Communication System with Channel Codings over Rician Log-Normal Fading Channel Models (라이시안 로그노말 페이딩 채널 모델에서 채널 부호를 사용한 이동 성층권 통신 시스템의 성능 분석)

  • 강병권
    • Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.67-73
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    • 2002
  • There have been increased concerns on mobile stratospheric communication system(SCS) for the purpose of advanced service of personal and high speed communication systems. In fact, this SCS is considered and studied for IMT-2000 service by ITU. Although, it is important to make accurate channel model for prediction of the SCS performance, there is no measured channel data in this system. Thus, in this paper, we estimate the performance of SCS bye use of channel model provided by Corazza(2) and modified by You(3). And also, the effects of channel codings on system performance are analyzed by deriving bit error performance based on realistic Rician log-normal fading channel models. The performance results are divided into three kinds of areas with three kinds of elevation angles 20$^\cire$, 45$^\cire$, and 80$^\cire$. And also the effects of forward error correction channel codings on system performance with Hamming(7,4), HCH( IS,7) and convolutional code of constraint length 3 and code rate R=1/2.

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Implementation of Real-time Data Stream Processing for Predictive Maintenance of Offshore Plants (해양플랜트의 예지보전을 위한 실시간 데이터 스트림 처리 구현)

  • Kim, Sung-Soo;Won, Jongho
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.42 no.7
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    • pp.840-845
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    • 2015
  • In recent years, Big Data has been a topic of great interest for the production and operation work of offshore plants as well as for enterprise resource planning. The ability to predict future equipment performance based on historical results can be useful to shuttling assets to more productive areas. Specifically, a centrifugal compressor is one of the major piece of equipment in offshore plants. This machinery is very dangerous because it can explode due to failure, so it is necessary to monitor its performance in real time. In this paper, we present stream data processing architecture that can be used to compute the performance of the centrifugal compressor. Our system consists of two major components: a virtual tag stream generator and a real-time data stream manager. In order to provide scalability for our system, we exploit a parallel programming approach to use multi-core CPUs to process the massive amount of stream data. In addition, we provide experimental evidence that demonstrates improvements in the stream data processing for the centrifugal compressor.