• Title/Summary/Keyword: 예측구조

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Design Sensitivity Analysis for the Vibration Characteristics of Vehicle Structure (수송체 구조물의 진동특성에 관한 설계민감도 해석)

  • 이재환
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 1994
  • Design sensitivity analysis method for the vibration of vehicle structure is developed using adjoint variable method. A variational approach with complex response method is used to derive sensitivity expression. To evaluate sensitivity, FEM analysis of ship deck and vehicle structure are performed using MSC/NASTRAN installed in the super computer CRAY2S, and sensitivity computation is performed by PC. The accuracy of sensitivity is verified by the results of finite difference method. When compared to structural analysis time on CRAY2S, sensitivity computation is remarkably economical. The sensitivity of vehicle frame can be used to reduce the vibration responses such as displacement and acceleration of vehicle.

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Application of recurrent neural network for inflow prediction into multi-purpose dam basin (다목적댐 유입량 예측을 위한 Recurrent Neural Network 모형의 적용 및 평가)

  • Park, Myung Ky;Yoon, Yung Suk;Lee, Hyun Ho;Kim, Ju Hwan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.12
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    • pp.1217-1227
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    • 2018
  • This paper aims to evaluate the applicability of dam inflow prediction model using recurrent neural network theory. To achieve this goal, the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model and the Elman Recurrent Neural Network(RNN) model were applied to hydro-meteorological data sets for the Soyanggang dam and the Chungju dam basin during dam operation period. For the model training, inflow, rainfall, temperature, sunshine duration, wind speed were used as input data and daily inflow of dam for 10 days were used for output data. The verification was carried out through dam inflow prediction between July, 2016 and June, 2018. The results showed that there was no significant difference in prediction performance between ANN model and the Elman RNN model in the Soyanggang dam basin but the prediction results of the Elman RNN model are comparatively superior to those of the ANN model in the Chungju dam basin. Consequently, the Elman RNN prediction performance is expected to be similar to or better than the ANN model. The prediction performance of Elman RNN was notable during the low dam inflow period. The performance of the multiple hidden layer structure of Elman RNN looks more effective in prediction than that of a single hidden layer structure.

Cost Prediction Model using Qualitative Variables focused on Planning Phase for Public Multi-Housing Projects (정성변수를 고려한 공공아파트 기획단계 공사비 예측모델)

  • Ji, Soung-Min;Hyun, Chang-Taek;Moon, Hyun-Seok
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.91-101
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    • 2012
  • In planning phase of Public Multi-Housing Projects, it is required to develop the methodology and criteria for fair cost prediction with influencing power from planning phase to occupancy phase. Many studies still have focused on the prediction of cost by multiple regression. However, there is no logical explanation about the influence of nonmetric variables for the prediction of cost in planning phase. Accordingly, this research pursues a cost prediction model including nonmetric variables for use in planning phase. There are 3 steps of this research : 1) Finding the factors influencing construction cost and assigning variables for a multiple regression. 2) Conducting a dummy regression analysis with nonmetric variables and model validation by comparing actual cost data. 3) Developing the ratio of RC structure cost to wall structure cost by using cost predection model. The results could establish cost prediction process including the influence of nonmetric variables and the ratio of RC structure cost to wall structure cost.

The Hardware Architecture of Efficient Intra Predictor for H.264/AVC Decoder (H.264/AVC 복호기를 위한 효율적인 인트라 예측기 하드웨어 구조)

  • Kim, Ok;Ryoo, Kwang-Ki
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SD
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    • v.47 no.5
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    • pp.24-30
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we described intra prediction which is the one of techniques to be used for higher compression performance in H.264/AVC and proposed the design of intra predictor for efficient intra prediction mode processing. The proposed system is consist of processing elements, precomputation processing elements, an intra prediction controller, an internal memory and a register controller. The proposed system needs the reduced the computation cycles by using processing elements and precomputation processing element and also needs the reduced the number of access time to external memory by using internal memory and registers architecture. We designed the proposed system with Verilog-HDL and verified with suitable test vectors which are encoded YUV files. The proposed architecture belongs to the baseline profile of H.264/AVC decoder and is suitable for portable devices such as cellular phone with the size of $176{\times}144$. As a result of experiment, the performance of the proposed intra predictor is about 60% higher than that of the previous one.

Prediction of Short and Long-term PV Power Generation in Specific Regions using Actual Converter Output Data (실제 컨버터 출력 데이터를 이용한 특정 지역 태양광 장단기 발전 예측)

  • Ha, Eun-gyu;Kim, Tae-oh;Kim, Chang-bok
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.561-569
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    • 2019
  • Solar photovoltaic can provide electrical energy with only radiation, and its use is expanding rapidly as a new energy source. This study predicts the short and long-term PV power generation using actual converter output data of photovoltaic system. The prediction algorithm uses multiple linear regression, support vector machine (SVM), and deep learning such as deep neural network (DNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM). In addition, three models are used according to the input and output structure of the weather element. Long-term forecasts are made monthly, seasonally and annually, and short-term forecasts are made for 7 days. As a result, the deep learning network is better in prediction accuracy than multiple linear regression and SVM. In addition, LSTM, which is a better model for time series prediction than DNN, is somewhat superior in terms of prediction accuracy. The experiment results according to the input and output structure appear Model 2 has less error than Model 1, and Model 3 has less error than Model 2.

인공신경망모형을 이용한 주가의 예측가능성에 관한 연구

  • Jeong, Yong-Gwan;Yun, Yeong-Seop
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.369-399
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    • 1998
  • Most of the studies on stock price predictability using the linear model conclude that there are little possibility to predict the future price movement. But some anomalous patterns may be generated by remaining market inefficiency or regulation, market system that is facilitated to prevent the market failure. And these anomalous pattern, if exist, make them difficult to predict the stock price movement with linear model. In this study, I try to find the anomalous pattern using the ANN model. And by comparing the predictability of ANN model with the predictability of correspondent linear model, I want to show the importance of recognitions of anomalous pattern in stock price prediction. I find that ANN model could have the superior performance measured with the accuracy of prediction and investment return to correspondent linear model. This result means that there may exist the anomalous pattern that can't be recognized with linear model, and it is necessary to consider the anomalous pattern to make superior prediction performance.

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Design of a User Location Prediction Algorithm Using the Flexible Window Scheme (Flexible Window 기법을 이용한 위치 예측 알고리즘 설계)

  • Son, Byoung-Hee;Kim, Yong-Hoon;Nahm, Eui-Seok;Kim, Hag-Bae
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.32 no.6A
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    • pp.550-557
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    • 2007
  • We predict a context of various structures by using Bayesian Networks Algorithms, Three-Dimensional Structures Algorithms and Genetic Algorithms. However, these algorithms have unavoidable problems when providing a context-aware service in reality due to a lack of practicality and the delay of process time in real-time environment. As far as context-aware system for specific purpose is concerned, it is very hard to be sure about the accuracy and reliability of prediction. This paper focuses on reasoning and prediction technology which provides a stochastic mechanism for context information by incorporating various context information data. The objective of this paper is to provide optimum services to users by suggesting an intellectual reasoning and prediction based on hierarchical context information. Thus, we propose a design of user location prediction algorithm using sequential matching with n-size flexible window scheme by taking user's habit or behavior into consideration. This algorithm improves average 5.10% than traditional algorithms in the accuracy and reliability of prediction using the Flexible Window Scheme.

Motion Vector Predictor selection method for multi-view video coding (다시점 비디오 부호화를 위한 움직임벡터 예측값 선택 방법)

  • Choi, Won-Jun;Suh, Doug-Young;Kim, Kyu-Heon;Park, Gwang-Hoon
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.565-573
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we propose a method to select motion vector predictor by considering prediction structure of a multi view content for coding efficiency of multi view coding which is being standardized in JVT. Motion vector of a different tendency is happened while carrying out temporal and view reference prediction of multi-view video coding. Also, due to the phenomena of motion vectors being searched in both temporal and view order, the motion vectors do not agree with each other resulting a decline in coding efficiency. This paper is about how the motion vector predictor are selected with information of prediction structure. By using the proposed method, a compression ratio of the proposed method in multi-view video coding is increased, and finally $0.03{\sim}0.1$ dB PSNR(Peak Signal-to-Noise Ratio) improvement was obtained compared with the case of JMVM 3.6 method.

Rainfall and Flood Forecasts using Numerical Weather Prediction Data from Korea and Japan (수치예보자료를 이용한 강우 및 홍수 예측 평가 : 한국-일본 비교)

  • Yu, Wansik;Hwang, Euiho;Chae, Hyosok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.305-305
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    • 2019
  • 태풍에 의한 재해는 우리나라에서 발생하는 자연재해 중 발생빈도가 가장 높은 것으로 나타나며, 최근 들어 태풍 및 집중호우로 인한 홍수가 급증하고 있는 실정이다. 최근에는 치수증대사업으로 하천 범람의 재해가 감소하는 추세이지만, 도시지역의 경우 도시개발에 따른 내수 범람 피해가 증가하고 있고, 산지에서는 토석류 등의 토사 재해가 증가하고 있다. 이러한 홍수피해를 경감하기 위해서는 치수사업 등과 같은 구조적인 대책도 필요하지만, 정확한 홍수 예 경보를 통한 대비시간의 확보 등과 같은 비구조적인 대책도 중요하며, 홍수 예 경보를 통한 선행시간(Lead time)확보를 위해 강우 및 홍수예측 시스템 구축이 하나의 대안으로 대두되고 있다. 강우예측 기법으로는 레이더(Radar)를 통해 관측된 자료를 외삽하는 초단기 강우예측기법이 최근까지 많이 수행되어 왔다. 하지만 컴퓨터 계산 능력이 향상되면서 수치예보(Numerical Weather Prediction; NWP) 모델을 이용한 강우예측 및 수문학적 적용에 관한 연구들이 대두되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 수치예보모델을 이용하여 기상 및 수자원 간의 연계를 통한 강우 및 홍수 예측에 활용방안을 검토하기 위해 한국 기상청에서 제공하는 국지예보모델(LDAPS)과 예측 도메인에 한국을 포함하는 일본 기상청의 중규모 모델(MSM)을 이용하여 남강댐 유역 내 산청 유역에 대해 강우 및 홍수 예측 정확도를 평가하고 비교 검토하였다. 본 연구에서 적용한 LDAPS와 MSM은 사용하는 수치모델, 물리과정 매개변수, 자료동화 기법 및 지배 방정식 등이 다르기 때문에 직접적인 비교를 하는데 무리가 있지만 국내의 강우 및 홍수 예측 분야에서의 각 수치예보모델의 활용성을 검토하고자 한다.

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Development of Integration System for Epitope Prediction (항원결정부위 예측을 위한 통합시스템 개발)

  • Jin, Hye Jeong;Lee, Jihoo;Lee, In Seoung;Kim, Hak Yong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.227-228
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    • 2015
  • 질병 치료에 대한 패러다임이 과거 치료 위주에서 조기진단 및 예방의 개념으로 전환되고 있으며 진단용 마커와 단클론 항체 제작은 핵심 기술로 부각되고 있다. 현재까지의 항원결정부위(epitope) 예측은 단백질의 1차구조인 아미노산 배열 순서를 바탕으로 추출되어 진다. 하지만 항원결정부위는 수용성의 항체와 직접 결합하기 때문에 친수성 잔기가 차지하는 비율이 높아야 하며, 면역계가 쉽게 인지할 수 있도록 노출되어 있어야하고, 긴 선상의 폴리펩티드 단백질이 3차원 구조를 형성하기 위해 회전, 유연성 등이 요구된다. 따라서 한 가지 성질 중심으로 할 경우 오류가 나올 가능성이 있다. 이를 보완하기 위하여 본 연구에서는 친수성(hydrophilicity), 극성(polarity), 파묻힘성(buried residues), 접근성(accessibility), 회전성(${\beta}-turns$), 유연성(flexibility), 굴절성(refractivity) 등을 분석한 후 통합 예측시스템을 개발하였다. 이를 검증하기 위해 고양이 백혈병 바이러스의 항원결정부위를 예측해보았다.

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