• Title/Summary/Keyword: 예비위험분석

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The Effects of Cognitive Bias on Entrepreneurial Opportunity Evaluations through Perceived Risks in Entrepreneurial Self-Efficacy (창업가의 인지편향이 지각된 위험과 조절된 창업효능감에 따라 창업기회평가에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Daeyop;Park, Jaehwan
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.95-112
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    • 2020
  • This paper is to investigate how cognitive bias of college students and entrepreneurs relates to perceived risks and entrepreneurial opportunities that represent uncertainty, and how various cognitive bias and entrepreneurial efficacy In the same way. The purpose of this study is to find improvement points of entrepreneurship education for college students and to suggest problems and improvement possibilities in the decision making process of current entrepreneurs. This empirical study is a necessary to improve the decision-making of individuals who want to start a business at the time when various attempts are made to activate the start-up business and increase the sustainability of the existing SME management. And understanding of the difference in opportunity evaluation, and suggests that it is necessary to provide good opportunities together with the upbringing of entrepreneurs. In order to achieve the purpose of the study, questionnaires were conducted for college students and entrepreneurs. A total of 363 questionnaire data were obtained and demonstrated through structural equation modeling. This study confirms that there is some relationship between perceived risk and cognitive bias. Overconfidence and control illusions among cognitive bias have a significant relationship between perceived risk and wealth. Especially, it is confirmed that control illusion of college students has a significant relationship with perceived risk. Second, cognitive bias demonstrated some significant relationship with opportunity evaluation. Although we did not find evidence that excess self-confidence is related to opportunity evaluation, we have verified that control illusions and current status bias are related to opportunity evaluation. Control illusions were significant in both college students and entrepreneurs. Third, perceived risk has a negative relationship with opportunity evaluation. All students, regardless of whether they are college students or entrepreneurs, judge opportunities positively if they perceive low risk. Fourth, it can be seen from the college students 'group that entrepreneurial efficacy has a moderating effect between perceived risk and opportunity evaluation, but no significant results were found in the entrepreneurs' group. Fifth, the college students and entrepreneurs have different cognitive bias, and they have proved that there is a different relationship between entrepreneurial opportunity evaluation and perceived risk. On the whole, there are various cognitive biases that are caused by time pressure or stress on college students and entrepreneurs who have to make judgments in uncertain opportunities, and in this respect, they can improve their judgment in the future. At the same time, university students can have a positive view of new opportunities based on high entrepreneurial efficacy, but if they fully understand the intrinsic risks of entrepreneurship through entrepreneurial education and fully understand the cognitive bias present in direct entrepreneurial experience, You will get a better opportunity assessment. This study has limitations in that it is based on the fact that university students and entrepreneurs are integrated, and that the survey respondents are selected by the limited random sampling method. It is necessary to conduct more systematic research based on more faithful data in the absence of the accumulation of entrepreneurial research data. Second, the translation tools used in the previous studies were translated and the meaning of the measurement tools might not be conveyed due to language differences. Therefore, it is necessary to construct a more precise scale for the accuracy of the study. Finally, complementary research should be done to identify what competitive opportunities are and what opportunities are appropriate for entrepreneurs.

A Study of Demand and Effects on Power System of Electric Vehicles (전기자동차의 전력수요 및 전력계통에의 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Hong-Gyun;Hwang, Gab-Chul;Rho, Jang-Hyun;Park, Jong-Wan;Park, Eung-Rae;Kim, Tae-Yong
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2009.07a
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    • pp.113_114
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    • 2009
  • 우리나라 전기자동차의 잠재 전력수요는 최대부하 측면에서 분석해보면 2008년말 현재 우리나라 자동차 16,794,287대를 전력부하로 환산해보면 1,887,017MW로서 우리나라 발전용량(70,353MW)의 약27배로 나타난다. 다행히도 전기자동차는 비동시 부하이며 최대부하로 충전하지는 않으므로 동시에 그만한 최대전력수요가 필요한 것은 아니다. 그러므로 연간 공급가능한 전기에너지(GWh)를 밸리 필링(Vally Filling;여유 심야전력) 전력량으로 구해보면 약 50,151GWh/년이고, 전기자동차의 에너지 필요용량을 계산해보면 46,587GWh/년이 된다. 이 결과는 전기자동차용 에너지양이 기설 발전설비로 공급가능한 밸리 필링 전력량의 93%로서 전기자동차의 수요를 적당한 시간대로 유도하면 현재의 발전설비 용량으로도 전기자동차에 에너지 공급이 가능하다는 것을 의미한다. 그러나 수도권의 자동차가 45.9%를 차지하고 있어 향후 수도권의 전력공급을 위한 전력 수송의 병목현상인 북상조류의 문제는 심화될 위험이 있다. 하지만 전기자동차의 축전지를 계통에 연계하여 분산전원으로 운영한다면 계통의 피크전력과 예비전력, 주파수 조정 등에 이점을 가져올 수도 있을 것이다.

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Development of a Railway Accident Scenario Analysis Technique using a Preliminary Hazard Analysis(PHA) and a Quality Function Deployment(QFD) (예비위험분석기술(PHA)과 품질기능전개(QFD) 기법을 이용한 철도사고 시나리오 분석기술 개발)

  • Park Chan-Woo;Kwak Sang-Log;Wang Jong-Bae;Hong Seong-Ho;Park Joo-Nam
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.151-156
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    • 2005
  • The objective of this study is to devise an accident scenario analysis method adept at creating accident scenarios at the Preliminary Hazard Analysis(PHA) step of a hazard analysis for railway system. This approach was inspired by the Quality Function Deployment(QFD) method, which is conventionally used in quality management and was used at the systematic accident scenario analysis(SASA) for the design of safer products. In this study, the QFD provides a formal and systematic schema to devise accident scenarios while maintaining objective. The accident scenario analysis method first identifies the hazard factors that cause railway accidents and explains the situation characteristics surrounding the accident. This method includes a feasibility test, a clustering process and a pattering process for a clearer understanding of the accident situation. Since this method enables an accident scenario analysis method to be performed systematically as well as objectively, this method is useful in building better accident prevention strategies. Therefore, this study can serve to reduce railway accident and be an effective tool for a hazard analysis.

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Beyond Coronary CT Angiography: CT Fractional Flow Reserve and Perfusion (전산화단층촬영 관상동맥조영술: 분획혈류예비력과 심근관류 영상)

  • Moon Young Kim;Dong Hyun Yang;Ki Seok Choo;Whal Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.83 no.1
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    • pp.3-27
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    • 2022
  • Cardiac CT has been proven to provide diagnostic and prognostic evaluation of coronary artery disease for cardiovascular risk stratification and treatment decision-making based on rapid technological development and various research evidence. Coronary CT angiography has emerged as a gateway test for coronary artery disease that can reduce invasive angiography due to its high negative predictive value, but the diagnostic specificity is relatively low. However, coronary CT angiography is likely to overcome its limitations through functional evaluation to identify the hemodynamic significance of coronary artery disease by analyzing myocardial perfusion and fractional flow reserve through cardiac CT. Recently, studies have been actively conducted to incorporate artificial intelligence to make this more objective and reproducible. In this review, functional imaging techniques of cardiac computerized tomography are explored.

Development of a Policy Assessment Mothed for Structural Flood Defensive Alternatives (구조적 홍수방어 대안의 정책성 평가 방법 개발)

  • Byeon, Sung-Ho;Lee, Jeong-Ho;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02a
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    • pp.703-706
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    • 2008
  • Structural flood defensive alternatives have been evaluated based on economic feasibility, riskiness of safety and sustainability. Social problems associated with structural flood defensive alternatives such as dams, flood control channels, etc. are currently issued. The evaluation items of policy presented in KDI(2001) are should be modified in order to resolve the social problems. Hence, this study conducted a questionnaire survey of public servants, researchers, and engineers to obtain how to determine evaluation items for policy assessment and to compute their weights in the analytic hierarchy process. This study also compared the weights of the items in KDI(2000) with the weights from the survey in this study. The policy assessment weight was estimated higher than KDI(2000). This result suggests that social awareness increases and the analysis of policy becomes important for selecting optimal structural defensive alternatives.

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A Study on the PHA of ATP Equipment for the Korean Tilting Train (한국형 틸팅열차 ATP장치 예비위험원분석에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Duc-Ko;Baek, Jong-Hyen;Lee, Kang-Mi;Kim, Yong-Kyu
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.1959-1962
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we derive the hazard which is a criterion of safety assurance by PHA for the ATP equipped in Korea Tilting Train. The ATP onboard equipment in Korea Tilting Train was introduced as ETCS Level l(which is ETCS specification). Also, the ATP trackside equipment was introduced as a ETCS SRS(System Requirement Specification) 2.2.2 and it has a target for commercial operation in 2009 late. In IEC 62278(EN50126), it recommend of PHA to derive a hazard of target system in concept establishment step and estimate if it can control as a tolerable level and then derive safety case to control the hazard by lifecycle. Therefore, we indicate the hazard using criterion of safety assurance by PHA using FRS (Functional Requirement Specification) 5.0. which is a upper criterion than SRS. The hazard of ATP onboard equipment derived in Korea Tilting Train will be able to use as ATP functional hazards of unified onboard equipment in G7 which is a multiple unit and preliminary hazards of ATP onboard equipment in NEL drived by Korail.

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Cash flow Forecasting in International Construction Projects through Categorized Risk Analysis (특성별 리스크 분석을 통한 해외건설공사 현금흐름 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yeom, Sang-Min;Han, Seung-Heon;Kim, Du-Yeon;Nam, Ha-Na;Park, Hee-Dae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.295-300
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    • 2006
  • In this research, risk factors which can raise project cost are identified in the initial stage and picked out through the decision maker's baseline. And also this probable risks are implemented to the project cash flow to estimate the contingency and to build a risk management system in the level of project. The risks that affect the projects profits were classified in two categories in the risk checklist. Firstly, financial risks derived from the external economic conditions for example exchange rate, escalation, interest rates etc. are analyzed through the stochastic methods, Monte-Carlo Simulation. Secondly, the project individual risks which are come from the project characteristics, for example country risk, clime, owner etc., are evaluated using the utility curve of the decision maker. Finally these risk analysis methods are used to forecast the actual project cash flow and final profit.

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Point Prevalence of Anxiety and Depression among Cancer Inpatients in a General Hospital : A Preliminary Study for the Development of Distress Management Strategies in Cancer Patients (일 종합병원 입원 암환자의 불안과 우울증상의 시점 유병률 : 암 환자 디스트레스 중재 전략을 위한 예비 연구)

  • Lee, Min-A;Huh, Hyu-Jung;Min, Jung-Ah;Lee, Chang-Uk;Lee, Chul;Kim, Tae-Suk
    • Korean Journal of Psychosomatic Medicine
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.122-131
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    • 2013
  • Objectives: This study aimed to examine the point prevalence of anxiety, depression and the associated risk factors in hospitalized patients with cancer. Methods: A total of 114 patients with cancer who admitted to the Cancer Center in St. Mary's Hospital were enrolled for a day. The patients were asked to complete Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale(HADS). Sociodemographic and cancer related clinical variables were also evaluated. Results: The point prevalence of anxiety and depression was 10.5% and 34.2%, respectively, as assessed with HADS. Logistic regression models revealed that distant metastasis was significantly associated with anxiety in patients with cancer and previous chemotherapy and Low socioeconomic status were significantly associated with depression. Conclusions: Our results indicate that more than one third of patients with cancer suffer from either anxiety or depression. In addition, previous chemotherapy as well as low socioeconomic status and distant metastasis were associated risk factors of anxiety and depression, respectively. These findings suggest the need for screening and systematized psychosocial intervention for psychological distress in hospitalized patients with cancer.

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Down syndrome in women aged more than 35 Years positive detection rates (산전선별검사를 통한 35세이상 산모 다운증후군 양성률 비교 평가)

  • Oh, Taek Min;Kim, Ga-Yeon;Lee, Young ki
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.314-320
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    • 2021
  • With the increasing age of motherhood in recent years, attributed to late marriages due to social or environmental factors, the Down's syndrome screening test using biochemical markers has become essential for pregnant women. The process of diagnosing Down's syndrome pregnancy in the high-risk group subjects involves chromosomal analysis, which is performed on samples obtained through invasive procedures such as chorionic biopsy or amniotic fluid. Thus, to reduce unnecessary invasive tests and lower the risk to mother and fetus, it is important to identify a screening test with low risk and high Down's syndrome detection rate. Recently, as the average age of mothers has increased, numerous inspection agencies have classified high-risk mothers as women over the age of 35 years. This study evaluated a total of 36,436 pregnant women aged between 17 to 46 years, and who requested prenatal screening at an inspection agency in Yongin in 2018. Test (13,690 people) Four tests were conducted by applying the time-resolved fluoroimmunoassay method using the direct sandwich and indirect sandwich technology, and the immunoassay method using the sandwich method. We aimed to confirm the difference in positivity rate with increasing age of the subjects. We believe that in future, data obtained from this study will be very useful for the prevention and treatment of Down's syndrome risk at varied inspection institutions, and for prospective mothers.

Factors Influencing on Purchase Intention for an Autonomous Driving Car -Focusing on Extended TAM- (자율주행자동차 구매의도에 미치는 영향요인 연구 -확장된 기술수용모델을 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Hae-Youn;Sung, Dong-Kyoo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.81-100
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    • 2018
  • This study investigated the influential factor over the intention to buy autonomous driving car by applying extended technology acceptance model (TAM2). To this end, 117 ordinary persons experienced in driving car were analyzed by using SEM(Structural Equation Modeling). Analysis shows that the perceived usefulness and purchase intention is positively affected by social influence and recognized risk. It is found that perceived usefulness is not affected, but purchase intention is positively affected in the case of innovation. On the contrary, analysis shows that driving capability and car playfulness recognized by individual have no influence on the perceived easiness. Although the result that driving capability recognized by individual negatively affects perceived usefulness was not included in the study hypothesis, it was remarkable. Generalizing the above result, it is found that social influence, innovation and recognized risk as variables which affect the intention to buy autonomous car play the role of significant variable. This study is meaningful in that such result can foresee the perception of preliminary accommodators of new technology of the 4th industrial revolution, autonomous driving car.