• Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
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• 2000.11a
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• pp.229-250
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• 2000

신뢰할 만한 소지역 통계 작성을 위한 다양한 소지역 추정 기법들이 최근 많은 관심속에 개발되고 있다. 이 논문은 다양한 소지역 추정 기법들 중 일부 기법들에 대한 간략한 소개 및 실례를 제시한다. 먼저 대표적인 소지역에 대한 간접추정법인 인구통계학적 방법, 합성추정법과 복합추정법에 관한 이론 및 추정절차를 살펴보았고, 모형 기반 추정법으로써 경험적 베이즈(EB) 추정법과 계층적 베이즈(HB) 추정법을 소개하였다. 마지막으로 합성추정법과 복합추정법을 이용하여 충북의 시군구 실업자 추정에 적용해 보았고, 시군구 실업자 추정결과를 직접 추정법의 결과와 비교하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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• 2002.11a
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• pp.305-309
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• 2002

소지역에서 직접(direct) 시계열추정을 할 수 있다면, 소지역들 추정에서 최적선형 불편예측량(BLUP)을 일반화 시킬 수 있다. 특히 조사에서 얻어지는 관측 값의 오차가 시간상으로 상관관계가 있다면 Kalman-Filter(K-F)기법이 사용 될 수 있다. 이 연구는 소지역의 실업자 수 추정에서 K-F기법으로 경제활동인구수를 이용하여 현 시점의 소지역 실업자 수를 예측함수(BLUP)를 통해 추정하였다. 그리고 단순 회귀분석 추정치와 비교하였다.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Next Generation Computing
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• v.13 no.4
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• pp.29-39
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• 2017

Various electronic warfare situations drive the need to develop an integrated electronic warfare simulator that can perform electronic warfare modeling and simulation on radar threats. In this paper, we analyze the components of a simulation system to reversely model the radar threats that emit electromagnetic signals based on the parameters of the electronic information, and propose a method to gradually maintain the reverse extrapolation model of RF threats. In the experiment, we will evaluate the effectiveness of the incremental model update and also assess the integration method of reverse extrapolation models. The individual model of RF threats are constructed by using decision tree, naive Bayesian classifier, artificial neural network, and clustering algorithms through Euclidean distance and cosine similarity measurement, respectively. Experimental results show that the accuracy of reverse extrapolation models improves, while the size of the threat sample increases. In addition, we use voting, weighted voting, and the Dempster-Shafer algorithm to integrate the results of the five different models of RF threats. As a result, the final decision of reverse extrapolation through the Dempster-Shafer algorithm shows the best performance in its accuracy.

• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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• 2003.05a
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• pp.261-267
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• 2003

표본의 크기가 작은 경우 추정치의 정도에 문제가 발생한다. 본 연구에서는 대규모 조사에서의 표본을 소지역 혹은 소도메인에 할당하였을 경우 발생하는 추정치의 문제점을 해결하는 방안으로서 회귀모형을 도입하였다. 회귀모형을 기계산업 표본설계 자료에 적용하여 소지역추정의 가능성을 확인하였으며, 고전적인 추정방법과의 비교도 함께 이루어졌다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.239-246
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• 2003

In small area estimation, Best Linear Unbaised Predictor(BLUP) can be directly implicated ,specially, in use of the time series estimation. If there are correlations between observations and error terms over the time, Kalman Filter method can be used. Therefore, using kalman Filtering technique small area estimation of total of unemployments are estimated by BLUP. And for the example of this study, Economic Active Population Survey data were used.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.21 no.1
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• pp.109-123
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• 2008

Many small area estimation methods have been suggested. Also for the comparison of the estimation methods, model diagnostic checking techniques have been studied. Almost all of the small area estimators were developed by minimizing MSE(Mean square error) and so the MSE is the well-known comparison criterion for superiority. In this paper we suggested a new small area estimator based on minimizing MSPE(Mean square percentage error) which is recently re-highlighted. Also we compared the new suggested estimator with the estimators explained in Shin et al. (2007) using MSE, MSPE and other diagnostic checking criteria.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.22 no.2
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• pp.403-414
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• 2009

Many researches have been devoted to the small area estimation related with the area level statistics. Almost all of the small area estimation methods are derived based on minimization of mean squared error(MSE). Recently Hwang and Shin (2008) suggested an alternative small area estimation method by minimizing mean squared percentage error. In this paper we apply this small area estimation method to the labor statistics, especially monthly wages by a branch area of labor department. The Monthly Labor Survey data (2007) is used for analysis and comparison of these methods.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.25 no.2
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• pp.293-300
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• 2012

When Binomial data are obtained, logit and logit mixed models are commonly used for small area estimation. Those models are known to have good statistical properties through the use of unit level information; however, data should be obtained as area level in order to use area level information such as spatial correlation or auto-correlation. In this research, we suggested a new small area estimator obtained through the combination of unit level information with area level information.

• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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• 2004.11a
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• pp.161-164
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• 2004

You 와 Rao (2002)는 소지역 추정시 유사 최량선형 비편향 예측에서 설계 가중 값을 사용하는 방법을 발전시켰다. 특히 소지역 평균들을 추정하기 위하여 유사-최량선형 비편향 예측 추정량을 제안하였다. 우리는 소지역 추정에서 실용적으로 이용되는 몇 가지 추가적인 성질을 연구하였다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.605-617
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• 2014

Small area estimation is a statistical inference method to overcome large variance due to a small sample size allocated in a small area. A shrinkage estimator obtained by minimizing relative error(RE) instead of MSE has been suggested. The estimator takes advantage of good interpretation when the data range is large. A semiparametric estimator is also studied for small area estimation. In this study, we suggest a semiparametric shrinkage small area estimator and compare small area estimators using labor statistics.