• Title/Summary/Keyword: 역내포괄적경제동반자협정

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The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership in East Asia and Its Economic Effects: A CGE Approach (CGE모형을 이용한 동아시아 역내포괄적경제동반자협정(RCEP)의 경제적 영향 분석)

  • Ko, Jong-Hwan
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 2013
  • This study aims at conducting a quantitative assessment of potential economic effects of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) consisting of 10 Member States of the ASEAN, Australia, China, India, Japan, Korea and New Zealand using a multi-region, multi-sector CGE model. Three different policy scenarios are carried out based on baseline scenarios: China-Japan-Korea FTA (Scenario 1); ASEAN+3 FTA (Scenario 2); and the RCEP (Scenario 3). The impacts of three scenarios are described in terms of real GDP, Equivalent Variation as a measure of welfare, export and import volumes, trade balance, and terms of trade. This study finds that the RCEP is to lead to an increase in real GDP of all members of the RCEP, with Korea as a winner with a highest additional economic growth of 2.43 percent, which implies that Korea is in a better position to play a leading role in promoting the RCEP.

A Study on the Changes and the Impact of Korean Trade Policy after the US's withdrawal of TPP -Based on Vietnam Market- (미국의 TPP 탈퇴에 따른 한국 통상정책의 변화와 그 영향에 대한 연구 -베트남 시장을 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Dong-Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.92-102
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    • 2018
  • This paper studied the changes and effects of Korean Trade Policies in Vietnam market after the withdrawal of the TPP from US. Since Trump government is starting, US trade policy has moved to the protectionism method. Nevertheless, Vietnam is expanding its status as an FTA hub, and Vietnam is actively expanding its economic growth by actively implementing foreign capital. Vietnam, however, is likely to lose its position as a hub of FTA after USA's withdrawal from TPP member. So, Korea's trade policy is also expected to change its stance on Vietnam, and Korea is expected to change its policy toward Vietnam. Korea has achieved a lot of accomplishments and growth with free trade and free economic markets, and it has to strengthen its national strength even afterwards. Thus, if the flow of free trade & globalization continues, I would consider how the Korea trade policy change after the U.S.'s withdraws from TPP.