• Title/Summary/Keyword: 여객통행수요

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Development of International Passenger Travel Demand Models for the ASEAN Region (아세안지역의 국가간 여객통행수요 추정모형 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Mun, Jin-Su;Park, Jun-Hwan;Jung, Ho-Young
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.7-15
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    • 2008
  • Due to the limitations in the statistical data, the existing studies adopted rough methodologies with strong assumptions in the estimation of international passenger travel demand forecast in the ASEAN region. This study aims to develop international passenger travel demand models using scientific methodologies. This study proposes a direct demand model using the immigration and emigration data between countries in the region. This is because of the difficulty of estimating trip generation and trip distribution separately due to the data limitation in the region. As there does not exist the mode choice model for the region, this study estimates a mode choice model using the Stated Preference technique. The mode choice model is separated into three categories of models according to the range of distance between the origin and destination of travel; this is to reflect the different behavior in mode choice according to the travel distance. The result of model estimations suggests that the estimated models produce resonable results statistically. It is expected that the proposed models are useful for the future travel demand estimation in the ASEAN region.

An Activity-Based Analysis of Heavy-Vehicle Trip Chains (우리나라 대형 화물차의 통행사슬 분석:활동기반모형 적용)

  • Joh, Chang-Hyeon;Kim, Chan-Sung;Seong, Hong-Mo
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.192-202
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    • 2008
  • Typical activity-based travel analysis has been focused on passenger travel using household survey data. The current research focuses on freight transport using one-day travel survey data. Passenger travel can be seen as the outcome of traveller's subjective decision-making, whereas freight transport is the outcome of shipper or transport company's optimized scheduling. The research conducts an activity-based analysis of freight-vehicle trip chains. In particular, the research focuses on the difference in travel pattern between shipper-oriented private vehicle and transport company-oriented business vehicle. The research analyzed the travel diary of freight vehicles collected as part of the third national logistic survey in 2005. The diary is freight driver's one-day travel record including the information of loading capacity, item transported, destination, arrival time, etc. The analysis results show the difference between private and business vehicles in the travel pattern regarding the sequences of destination, destination type and item transported and the multi-dimensional information of the three sequences.

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An Analysis of Trip Chain of Freight Travel using Sequence Alignment Methods (Sequence Alignment 기법을 활용한 화물 통행의 Trip Chain 분석)

  • Joh, Chang-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.540-552
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    • 2011
  • Freight travel pattern has been less studied comparing with the field of passenger travel. Nonetheless, the importance of the freight travel has been increasing in urban travel sector, and the research needs on the freight travel demand hence is increasing. The current paper aims to identify, by tons of freight trucks and cargos, the characteristics of mean travel pattern, efficiency or performance, and the characteristics of freight trip chain regarding destination location, destination type and freight type. The study analyzed the nation-wide data of freight travel behavior survey. This study intended to set the starting framework of decision-making principle in freight travel, which has already been popular in passenger travel study. Findings suggest that those characteristics are clearly distinguished among trucks and cargos of different sizes of tons. The results are expected to provide important insight to the development of relevant transportation policy measures.

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최근 철도수송 추세와 향후 대응전략

  • 김해수
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2002
  • 자가용의 급증으로 대중교통 분담률 감소, 소득수준 향상으로 고급교통수단 선호, 비즈니스 교통수요 감소, 레저목적 통행량 증가, 여객은 점진적인 증가, 화물은 감소세 둔화, 고속철도 개통 및 전철화 등 선로망 확충으로 철도수송분담률 제고, 자가용 증가로 인해 수송량이 매년 감소추세(최근 연평균 감소률 ㅿ3.5%), 경제성장 등 소득상승과 무관하게 수요는 크게 증가하지 않을 것으로 예상(중략)

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Relationship Identification of Diffusion Effect on High-speed Rail Demand Increase (확산효과를 통한 고속철도의 여객수요 증가현상에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Junghwa;Ryu, Ingon;Choi, Keechoo;Lee, Myunghwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.539-546
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    • 2016
  • It is over 12 years since the launch of Korea Train eXpress (KTX) services. Demand for the KTX has been on the increase continuously but few studies have been produced related to this phenomenon. KTX passenger demand has been constantly increasing due to influencing factors such as the expansion of network, rise of oil prices, etc. In this study, our main focus is to verify that there are other types of elements that are causing an increase in KTX demand; our approach looks at changes in social and psychological aspect that have occurred due to the reduction of travel time and cost, as well as the imposition of a five-day workweek. In other words, we considered diffusion theory in the marketing area, which affects product selection and purchasing attitudes, as a key factor that is causing passenger demand to increase. That is to say that it is hypothesized that the demand for travel on the KTX has increased due to the train's utility, which is spread by the diffusion effect Therefore, the Bass diffusion model was applied to explain the dramatic increase in KTX passenger demand. Based on this foundation, it was also discussed how certain marketing strategies that incorporate the diffusion effect should be considered variously for sustainable management of rail transportation, while considering a steady passenger demand.

Comparison Between Travel Demand Forecasting Results by Using OD and PA Travel Patterns for Future Land Developments (장래 개발계획에 의한 추가 통행량 분석시 OD 패턴적용과 PA 패턴적용의 분석방법 비교)

  • Kim, Ikki;Park, Sang Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.113-124
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    • 2015
  • The KOTI(Korea Transport Institute) released the new version of KTDB(Korea Transport DataBase) in public. The new KTDB is different from the past KTDB in using the concept of trip generation and trip attraction instead of using the concept of Origin-Destination (OD), which was used in the past KTDB. Thus, the appropriate analysis method for future travel demand became necessary for the new type of KTDB. The method should be based on the concept of PA(Production-Attraction). This study focused on analysis of trip generation and trip distribution related to newly generated trips by future land developments. The study also described clearly the standardized forecasting process and methods with PA travel tables. The study showed that the analysis results with OD-based analysis can be different from the results with PA-based analysis in forecasting travel demand for a simple example case even though they used exactly same orignal travel data. Therefore, this study emphasized that a proper method should be applied with the new PA-based KTDB. It is necessary to prepare and disseminate guidelines of the proper forecasting method and application with PA-based travel data for practician.

Determining Fare Discount Level for MaaS Implementation - Based on Time and Cost Changes - (MasS(Mobility as a Service)의 적정요금할인 수준 분석 - 통행시간 및 비용변화를 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Ja Young;Im, I Jeong;song, Jae in;Hwang, Kee Yeon
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2019
  • With commercial apps popular in EU, MaaS has been emerging around the globe as a new approach to worsening urban traffic problems. In contrast, it is still mainstay in Korea simply discussing the concept and necessities of MaaS, rather than seeking for real-world solutions for the commercialization. The purpose of this research is to analyze the demand-side i1mpacts of travel time and cost changes according to MaaS adoption, and to see its commercial feasibility in Korea. The 2010 KTDB traveler's nationwide OD data is used to estimate the level of fare discount for balancing the mode shift and fare revenue changes followed by MaaS implementation. The analysis results show that MaaS leads to the increase of public transport ridership as a result of the diminishing travel cost and time, and that the time saving works more positively for ridership increase. Also, the optimum level of fare discount is estimated 2.56% without damaging the revenue. This finding reveals that MaaS impact is superior to the other single-sided public transport inventive measures since it can affect both travel cost and time reduction at the same time.

Principles for Government Involvement in Urban Logistics Planning (도시물류정비를 위한 공공부문의 역할에 관한 연구)

  • 최창호
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.49-63
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    • 2001
  • The pattern of urban transport activity has two major components: the movement of people and the movement of goods. Roads in urban areas carry large number of trucks laden with goods that support urban economy and lifestyle. Therefore urban goods movement plays a vital role, but at the same time, urban goods movement are an important source of congestion, and a major contributor to the adverse environmental and social impacts of urban transport. In addition, the demand for goods movement is growing at a faster rate than personal travel in many cities, due to changes in industry logistics and consumer purchasing patterns. As a result, the significance of urban freight activity is increasing in terms of both its role in urban economy and its adverse impacts on urban amenity. This study is focused on the role and involvement scope of metropolitan government in urban logistics aimed at increasing its efficiency and reducing its negative impacts. The major suggestions of this study are (a) development of a measure of urban goods movement activity, (b) evaluation of data requirements and availability, (c) dialogue between the public sector and private sector, and (d) the role of metropolitan government.

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Estimation of Air Travel Demand Models and Elasticities for Jeju-Mainland Domestic Routes (제주-내륙 간 국내선 항공여객수요모형 및 탄력성의 추정)

  • Baek, Seung-Han;Kim, Sung-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.51-63
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    • 2008
  • Jeju-Mainland demand for air passenger is variated by the season because most of the demands stem from the leisure travel. This research is to estimate the econometrics demand models(A simple time series model and the partial adjustment model) and elasticities of each models for the Jeju-Mainland domestic routes air travel market using the time series aggregate data between the year 1996 and 2005. As the result of estimating, income elasticity was evaluated to be elastic(1.55) and fare elasticity was inelastic(-0.49${\sim}$-0.59) for A simple time series models. In the partial adjustment model's case, income elasticity was evaluated to be inelastic(0.51) in short-run whereas it was evaluated to be elastic(1.88) in long-run. Fare elasticity was evaluated to be inelastic in short-run(high-demand season: -0.13, slack season: -0.20) and long-run(high-demand season: -0.48, slack season: -0.72).

Improving Methods for Estimating Transportation Mode Choice Model in Busan-Ulsan Metropolitan Area (부산·울산광역권 교통수단 선택모형 구축 방법론 개선)

  • Shin, Kangwon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.7
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    • pp.4580-4587
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    • 2014
  • This study provides an improved transportation mode choice models applicable to the Busan-Ulsan Metropolitan area by scrutinizing previous study results developed using the multinomial logit model. Although the previous model has an appropriate modeling structure in terms of the sign of coefficient estimates and goodness-of-fit, the model ignores the total number of trips and traffic congestion condition between the two zones and partially reflects zone-specific variables and choice set. Therefore, this study considered all of these modeling faults by re-constructing the representative utility functions. The modeling results show that travelers in Busan-Ulsan metropolitan area tend to choose their mode using mode-specific characteristics rather than the classical travel time and/or cost variables.