• Title/Summary/Keyword: 실물옵션게임

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Valuation of Online Game Developers Using Real Options Analysis: the Case of Korea (실물옵션을 이용한 온라인게임 개발사 가치평가 사례연구)

  • Yoo, Chang-Sok;Heo, Eunn-Yeong;Kim, Min-Kyu
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 2011
  • To sustain the competitive edges in the online game industry, many publishers invest online game developers at early stages. However, the fair value of online game developers at early stages cannot be calculated with traditional valuation methods due to the high level of uncertainties in technology and market. Based on the literature reviews, we recommended real options analysis for the proper valuation methods of online game developers at early stages, and compared it with other methods using "Bluehole Studio" investment case. The case study result showed that real options analysis is better in explaining the market value as expected.

A Case Study of Modified Real Options Valuation Model for Early Stage Start-Ups in the Game Industry (초기 게임개발사 가치평가 모형 사례 연구)

  • Yoo, Changsok;Jung, Jaeki;Poe, Baek
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 2014
  • Real options valuation models are now proved as a effective valuation method both in Theoretically and empirically. However, to use real options model for early stage start-ups, additional non-financial information is crucial in the valuation process. Previous studies theoretically suggested the modified real options valuation model and process to use non-financial information in the valuation of early stage startups, but there is no empirical evidence on the suggested model. Therefore, this study investigated the effectiveness of the modified real options valuation model using a case study. The case study result showed that the modified real options valuation effectively reflect the non-financial information in early stage startups, and decrease the forecasting error in the valuation process.

An Investment Model for OPEC Crude Oil Supply with Real Option Game (실물옵션 게임을 이용한 OPEC의 원유공급 투자모형)

  • Park, Hojeong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.753-773
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    • 2005
  • This paper is a study of the investment dynamics focusing on crude oil supply by OPEC and non-OPEC. Oil supply capacity is first determined by a leader, OPEC, and by an aggregate that represents non-OPEC producers. OPEC wants to increase a gain from oil price increase while keeping its market share relative to non-OPEC's share. An investment rule model is developed for OPEC crude oil supply capacity in response to non-OPEC's decision. In presence of oil price uncertainty, oil price threshold is derived above which it is optimal for OPEC to expand oil supply capacity since otherwise the increased supply of non-OPEC results in weakening of OPEC market share in the world oil market. In addition, a lower threshold price is derived below which OPEC triggers a capacity reduction to regain its otherwise forgone profits. A simulation is provided for calculating the capacity expansion and reduction thresholds.

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Market Entry Decision Model in Global Construction Market Using Real Options Game (실물옵션 게임을 활용한 해외건설시장 진출모형에 관한 기초연구)

  • Kim, Du-Yon;Kim, Byoung-Il;Han, Seung-Heon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.652-655
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    • 2007
  • Due to stagnation of domestic market, increasing number of domestic construction companies started to make inroads into foreign market recently. Yet compared to domestic market, there are much more risks in the foreign market which companies may confront. So deliberate and rational decision making skills are required. Accordingly, there has been many researches which analyzed the risk of individual markets and also studies covering decision support models. In this study, we suggest a model concerning financial issues when branching out into a new market, specially in the construction companies' point of view. For this we used a real options game which shows real competition status of a new market and deduced a feature of that market, Upon these results, we also suggest a model which helps firms to decide whether investing in the expansion is smart action or not. The model developed in this study is made in specific circumstances of limited conditions. The future study makes more realistic models considering subjects like disproportion in information and generalization of competing companies.

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A Modified Real Options Valuation Model for Early Stage Start-Ups in the Game Industry (초기 게임개발사 특성을 고려한 가치평가 모형 연구)

  • Yoo, Changsok;Poe, Baek
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2013
  • The financial value of early stage start-up has a tendency to depend more on the non-financial factors, but these are not efficiently reflected in the traditional valuation models. Therefore, most of valuation practices for early stage start-ups heavily relied on the guts of experts. To remedy this, this study suggests a model to directly reflect the non-financial factors especially for the real options approach. Actual process of valuation and the adjustment way were developed considering the characteristics of early stage start-ups in the game industry.

A Patent Valuation Method Using Game Theoretic Real Option Approach (실물옵션 게임이론을 이용한 특허가치 평가 방법)

  • Kim, Jinyong;Kim, Jaehee;Kim, Sheung-Kown
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.43-61
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    • 2015
  • The valuation of patents is very important, since technology competitiveness is crucial for firms to maintain global competitiveness. But, the patent valuation is difficult and challenging because of the uncertainty affecting their returns. Hence, we propose a patent valuation method by incorporating game theory into the real option model, which can not only potentially recognizes the effect of uncertainty on patent value, but also consider investment decision in a competitive market, as a game between firms. With the model, we can consider dynamic strategy involving an option of patent leveraging strategies enabling the firm to switch among compete, cooperate, or wait modes under different demand or competitive advantage condition.