• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.24 no.6
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• pp.1439-1448
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• 2013

The analysis of variance for randomized block design or two way classification data is well known. In this paper, particularly, we considered two stage nested design in which the levels of one factor is not identical for different levels of another factor. We investigate the structural properties of two stage nested design and the properties of error sum of squares for random effect model. For the application of two way nested design, we consider two-period crossover design which is used commonly for the equivalence test to bio-similar product. The confidence interval estimation of the difference of two population means in the crossover design is discussed based on statistical package SPSS.

• 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2005.04a
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• pp.54-58
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• 2005

한우 17번 염색체 유전자 지도에서 QTL (quantitative trait loci) 분석을 실시하여 선별된 Loci 값들을 순열검정(Permutation Test)을 이용하여 유의성 검정을 실시하였다. 한편, 우수 경제형질 DNA marker들을 K-평균 군집법을 실시 파악하였다. 또한, 부스트랩 방법을 이용하여 선별된 Locus의 DNA Marker들의 신뢰구간을 구하였다. 이들 QTL과 K-평균법, 부스트랩 방법에 의해 한우의 염색체 17번 BMS941의 우수 DNA Marker 85, 105번을 선별하였다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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• 2003.10a
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• pp.325-329
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• 2003

한우 6번 염색체 유전자 지도에서 QTL (quantitative trait loci) 분석을 실시하여 선별된Locus 값을 순열검정(Permutation Test)을 이용하여 유의성 검정을 실시하였다. 한편, 우수경제형질 DNA marker들을 K-평균 군집법을 실시 파악하였다. 이들 QTL과 K-평균법에 의해 한우의 염색체 6번 ILSTS035의 우수 DNA marker 235번을 선별하였다. 선별된 DNA Marker 235번을 출품우에 적용하여 Bootstrap 방법을 이용하여 신뢰구간을 구하여 검정하였다.

• Applied Chemistry for Engineering
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• v.9 no.4
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• pp.529-535
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• 1998

This study was made to investigate the effect of variation in pulping process conditions such as wastepaper blending treatments, temperature, and chemical blending treatments on the deinked pulp. Design of experiments was used to select the major factors which significantly influenced on the deinked pulp. As one of the statistical analysis technique, analysis of variance and multiple comparison technique was used to find the best process condition and the predicted values and confidence intervals for brightness and strength were obtained. In the condition of $Na_2SiO_3$ 2.0%, $H_2O_2$ 0.5% and wastepaper blending treatments (KONP : AONP : OMG = 40 : 30 : 30 wt %) the highest brightness of 50.5% was predicted with 90% confidence interval (49.0, 52.0). On a concentration of $H_2O_2$ 0.5%, the highest tensile index of $35.7N{\cdot}m/g$ was predicted with 90% confidence interval (34.6, 36.6) at the pulping temperature of $50^{\circ}C$. On a concentration of surfactant 0.1%, the highest burst index of $0.129kPa{\cdot}m^2/g$ was predicted with 90% confidence interval (0.125, 0.133) at the pulping temperature of $50^{\circ}C$.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.33 no.3
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• pp.1123-1130
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• 2013

This paper aims to estimate work zone base capacity by the number of lanes for urban freeway. To do this, data were collected from the field survey and the database system maintained by traffic control center, and analyzed with four different methods such as the average maximum observation flow rate, headway, regression analysis, and parameter inspection. The work zone base capacity for urban freeway is estimated based on the average maximum observation flow rate and headway method, which are more reliable methods compared to others. The average capacity is 1,650pcphpl when the design speed is 80km/h. The capacity of four lanes one-way work zones was about 1,700pcphpl, while one of 2 lanes one-way work zones was about 1,600pcphpl. The capacity reduction rates for each are 0.15 and 0.2, respectively. The smaller the number of lane is, the more base capacity is reduced. For verification of results, we estimate the capacity by simulation analysis using PARAMICS, and compare with analytical results by a statistical method. This research can be used for efficient and systemic management of work zone in the urban freeway.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.30 no.5D
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• pp.497-504
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• 2010

In this paper, the author presents a reliability estimation technique to analyze the effects of traffic loads on pavement mean life based on the national highway database of Suwon and Uijeongbu region from 1999 to 2008. The estimation of the mean life, its standard deviation and reliability for pavement sections are calculated by using an appropriate distribution, Lognormal distribution, based on reliability theory. Furthermore, the probability paper method and Maximum likelihood estimation are both used to estimate parameters. The author found that mean life of newly constructed sections and over-layed sections is about 6.5 to 7.9 years and 7.3 to 9.1 years, respectively. The author also ascertained that the results of cumulative failure probability for pavement life between the proposed methods and observed data are similar. Such an assessment methodology and measures based on reliability theory can provide useful information for maintenance plans in pavement management systems as long as additional life data on pavement sections are accumulated.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.18 no.3
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• pp.431-455
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• 2009

This study estimates the WTP for the plan of solving deforestation due to limestone mining and calculates that damage cost using contingent valuation method. As the results of analysing a dichotomous choice CV data, the yearly mean WTP per household for the plan is 5,045 won(95% confidence interval : 3,729~6,360 won) in single bounded CV model and is 4,361 won(95% confidence interval : 3,710~5,012 won) in double bounded CV model. The damage cost of deforestation due to limestone mining can be estimated as 55.3% of WTP for the plan which is assigned to restoring the deforestation area to the original or similar alternative state. The average yearly deforestation cost of 1 ha due to limestone mining is reached 20.90 million won(95% confidence interval : 16.53~25.27 million won). And the asset value of that 1 ha damage is 160.02 million won(95% confidence interval : 126.56~193.49 million won). The fact is found that the damage cost of deforestation using replacement cost method is likely to be underestimated. The total damage cost of deforestation because of limestone mining in 3 cities (Donghae, Samcheok, Yeongwol) is 204.0 billion won(95% confidence interval : 161.4~246.7 billion won) which is composed of 26.5% for Donghae, 28.9% for Samcheok, and 44.6% for Yeongwol according to the damage size of deforestation due to limestone mining in 3 cities.

• The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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• v.5 no.10
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• pp.2575-2583
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• 1998

The productionof the highly relible softwae systems and theirs performance evaluation hae become important interests in the software industry. The software evaluation has been mainly carried out in ternns of both reliability and performance of software system. Software reliability is the probability that no software error occurs for a fixed time interval during software testing phase. These theoretical software reliability models are sometimes unsuitable for the practical testing phase in which a software error at a certain testing stage occurs by causes of the imperfect debugging, abnornal software correction, and so on. Such a certatin software testing stage needs to be considered as an outlying stage. And we can assume that the software reliability does not improve by means of muisance factor in this outlying testing stage. In this paper, we discuss Bavesian software reliability growth modeling and estimation procedure in the presence of an imidentitied outlying software testing stage by the modification of Jehnski Moranda. Also we derive the Bayes estimaters of the software reliability panmeters by the assumption of prior information under the squared error los function. In addition, we evaluate the proposed software reliability growth model with an unidentified outlying stage in an exchangeable model according to the values of nuisance paramether using the accuracy, bias, trend, noise metries as the quantilative evaluation criteria through the compater simulation.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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• v.9 no.6
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• pp.143-151
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• 2009

Extreme hydrologic events cause serious disaster, such as flood and drought. Many researchers have an effort to estimate design rainfalls or discharges. This study evaluated parameter estimation methods to estimate probability rainfalls with low uncertainty which will be used in design rainfalls. This study collected rainfall data from Incheon, Gangnueng, Gwangju, Busan, and Chupungryong gage station, and generated synthetic rainfall data using ARMA model. This study employed the maximum likelihood method and the Bayesian inference method for estimating parameters of the Gumbel and GEV distribution. Using a bootstrap resampling method, this study estimated the confidence intervals of estimated probability rainfalls. Based on the comparison of the confidence intervals, this study recommended a proper parameter estimation method for estimating probability rainfalls which have a low uncertainty.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2015.05a
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• pp.452-452
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• 2015

수문학 분야에서 하천유량은 중요한 요소이므로 신뢰성을 바탕으로 지속적이고 정확한 관측이 필요하다. 일반적으로 수위나 강우량의 경우 지속적이고, 자동적인 측정으로 비교적 정확한 관측이 가능하다. 하지만, 기술적인 한계와 경제적인 면에서 연속적인 유량측정이 어렵기 때문에 수위-유량 관계곡선을 이용하여 유량을 산정하고 있다. 수위-유량 관계를 통해 유량을 산정할 경우 계산방법과 분석과정에서 오차가 발생되고 산정된 유량의 오차로 이어지게 된다. 따라서, 신뢰성있는 유량 산정을 위해서는 수위-유량 관계곡선의 불확실성을 감소시키는 것이 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 Bayesian 회귀분석 및 Bootstrap 방법을 이용하여 수위-유량 관계 곡선식의 매개변수를 추정하였다. 또한 앞의 2가지 방법의 적용성을 평가하기 위해서 기존 방법인 최소자승법에 의한 매개변수 추정치 결과의 신뢰구간을 비교분석 하였다. 본 연구를 통해 다양한 통계학적 방법을 이용한 결과로부터 수위-유량 관계곡선의 불확실성을 감소시키는데 효과적인 방법을 찾고자 한다.