• Title/Summary/Keyword: 신경회로망 예측기

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Forecast of Stream Level Using ANFIS (ANFIS를 이용한 하천수위 예측)

  • Choi, Chang-Won;Yi, Jae-Eung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.132-136
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    • 2007
  • 최근 지구온난화로 인한 이상기후의 영향으로 강우일수는 줄고 있으나 강수량은 예년과 비슷한 수준을 보이고 있다. 이로 인해 갈수기의 용수부족 현상은 더욱 심해지고. 장마철의 홍수피해와 게릴라성 집중호우로 인한 피해가 커지는 등 해가 갈수록 홍수 예경보의 중요성은 더욱 높아지고 있다. 그럼에도 불구하고 현재 홍수 예경보 체계는 몇 가지 문제를 가지고 있다. 기존 예경보 체계의 경우 한 번의 예측을 수행하기 위해 수반되는 전처리과정과 주계산과정을 거치는 동안 각 과정에서 발생한 오차들이 반복, 누적되어 최종 결과물(예측된 유출량) 속에 모두 포함된다. 또한 기존 체계에서는 유출모형을 적용하기 위해서 토양형. 피복상태 등에 관련된 매개변수들이 필요한데. 이러한 매개변수의 결정에 어려움이 있고. 불확실성을 갖고 있다. 본 연구에서는 불확실성을 적극적으로 인정하고 수학적으로 해석하려는 fuzzy 이론을 신경망 이론에 도입하여 홍수 예경보 시스템의 운영과정에서 발생하는 불확실성의 문제를 해결하고자 하였다. 본 연구에서 사용한 ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System)은 data driven model(자료에 기반을 둔 모형)의 하나로 다음과 같은 장점을 가진다. 우선 data driven model은 유역의 물리적, 지형적 특성을 고려하지 않고(매개변수설정에서 발생하는 문제 해결 가능), 입력자료와 출력자료만을 고려하여 구축되는 모형이므로, 유역의 물리적 자료나 지형 자료와 같은 방대한 양의 자료 수집이 필요 없고, 일단 모형이 구축되면 자료의 입력만으로도 신뢰성 높은 결과를 단시간 내에 효율적으로 획득할 수 있다. 그리고 유역 내의 상황이 변화하더라도, 이들의 영향을 고려하여 쉽게 모형을 갱신할 수 있다. 마지막으로 모형의 구축 과정이 물리적 모형에 비해 비교적 간편하다는 장점이 있다. 본 연구에서는 ANFIS를 통해 탄천유역의 강수량 자료와 대곡교의 수위자료를 입력자료로 사용하여 대곡교의 수위를 예측하였다. 입력 자료는 시간차 계열의 강우량과 수위 자료를 사용하였으며 모형을 통하여 t+1, t+2, t+3 시간 후의 수위를 예측하였다.

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Design of ASM-based Face Recognition System Using (2D)2 Hybird Preprocessing Algorithm (ASM기반 (2D)2 하이브리드 전처리 알고리즘을 이용한 얼굴인식 시스템 설계)

  • Kim, Hyun-Ki;Jin, Yong-Tak;Oh, Sung-Kwun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.173-178
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    • 2014
  • In this study, we introduce ASM-based face recognition classifier and its design methodology with the aid of 2-dimensional 2-directional hybird preprocessing algorithm. Since the image of face recognition is easily affected by external environments, ASM(active shape model) as image preprocessing algorithm is used to resolve such problem. In particular, ASM is used widely for the purpose of feature extraction for human face. After extracting face image area by using ASM, the dimensionality of the extracted face image data is reduced by using $(2D)^2$hybrid preprocessing algorithm based on LDA and PCA. Face image data through preprocessing algorithm is used as input data for the design of the proposed polynomials based radial basis function neural network. Unlike as the case in existing neural networks, the proposed pattern classifier has the characteristics of a robust neural network and it is also superior from the view point of predictive ability as well as ability to resolve the problem of multi-dimensionality. The essential design parameters (the number of row eigenvectors, column eigenvectors, and clusters, and fuzzification coefficient) of the classifier are optimized by means of ABC(artificial bee colony) algorithm. The performance of the proposed classifier is quantified through yale and AT&T dataset widely used in the face recognition.

Control of Weld Pool Size in GMA Welding Process Using Neural Networks (신경회로를 이용한 GMA 용접 공정에서의 용융지의 크기 제어)

  • 임태균;조형석;부광석
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.59-72
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    • 1994
  • This paper presents an on-line quality monitoring and control method to obtain a uniform weld quality in gas metal arc welding (GMAW) processes. The geometrical parameters of the weld pool such as the top bead width and the penetration depth plus half back width are utilized to assess the integrity of the weld quality. Since a good quality weld is characterized by a relatively high depth-to-width ratio in its dimensions, the second geometrical parameter is regulated to a desired one. The monitoring variables are the surface temperatures measured at various points on the top surface of the weldment which are strongly related to the formation of the weld pool The relationship between the measured temperatures and the weld pool size is implemented on the multilayer perceptrons which are powerful for realization of complex mapping characteristics through training by samples. For on-line quality monitoring and control, it is prerequisite to estimate the weld pool sizes in the region of transient states. For this purpose, the time history of the surface temperatures is used as the input to the neural estimator. The control purpose is to obtain a uniform weld quality. In this research, the weld pool size is directly regulated to a desired one. The proposed controller is composed of a neural pool size estimator, a neural feedforward controller and a conventional feedback controller. The pool size estimator predicts the weld pool size under growing. The feedforward controller compensates for the nonlinear characteristics of the welding process. A series of simulation studies shows that the proposed control method improves the overall system response in the presence of changes in torch travel speed during GMA welding and guarantees the uniform weld quality.

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Fuzzy Neural System Modeling using Fuzzy Entropy (퍼지 엔트로피를 이용한 퍼지 뉴럴 시스템 모델링)

  • 박인규
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.201-208
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    • 2000
  • In this paper We describe an algorithm which is devised for 4he partition o# the input space and the generation of fuzzy rules by the fuzzy entropy and tested with the time series prediction problem using Mackey-Glass chaotic time series. This method divides the input space into several fuzzy regions and assigns a degree of each of the generated rules for the partitioned subspaces from the given data using the Shannon function and fuzzy entropy function generating the optimal knowledge base without the irrelevant rules. In this scheme the basic idea of the fuzzy neural network is to realize the fuzzy rules base and the process of reasoning by neural network and to make the corresponding parameters of the fuzzy control rules be adapted by the steepest descent algorithm. The Proposed algorithm has been naturally derived by means of the synergistic combination of the approximative approach and the descriptive approach. Each output of the rule's consequences has expressed with its connection weights in order to minimize the system parameters and reduce its complexities.

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Design of Heavy Rain Advisory Decision Model Based on Optimized RBFNNs Using KLAPS Reanalysis Data (KLAPS 재분석 자료를 이용한 진화최적화 RBFNNs 기반 호우특보 판별 모델 설계)

  • Kim, Hyun-Myung;Oh, Sung-Kwun;Lee, Yong-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.473-478
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, we develop the Heavy Rain Advisory Decision Model based on intelligent neuro-fuzzy algorithm RBFNNs by using KLAPS(Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System) Reanalysis data. the prediction ability of existing heavy rainfall forecasting systems is usually affected by the processing techniques of meteorological data. In this study, we introduce the heavy rain forecast method using the pre-processing techniques of meteorological data are in order to improve these drawbacks of conventional system. The pre-processing techniques of meteorological data are designed by using point conversion, cumulative precipitation generation, time series data processing and heavy rain warning extraction methods based on KLAPS data. Finally, the proposed system forecasts cumulative rainfall for six hours after future t(t=1,2,3) hours and offers information to determine heavy rain advisory. The essential parameters of the proposed model such as polynomial order, the number of rules, and fuzzification coefficient are optimized by means of Differential Evolution.

Prediction of Material Removal and Surface Roughness in Powder Blasting using Neural Network and Response Surface Analysis (신경회로망 및 반응표면분석법을 이용한 파우더 블라스팅시의 표면거칠기 및 재료제거량 예측)

  • Park, Dong-Sam;Yoo, Woo-Sik;Jin, Quan-Qia;Seong, Eun-Je;Han, Jin-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.34-42
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    • 2007
  • Powder blasting technique has been considered one of the most appropriate micro machining methods for hard and brittle materials, since the productivity is high and the heat layers caused by material removal are very thin. Recent development of special purposed parts, such as the parts for semiconductor processing, the parts for LCD, sensors for micro machine fabrication and so on, has been expanded. Thus, it is essential to develop powder blasting technologies for micromachining of hard and brittle materials such as glass, ceramics and so on. In this paper, the characteristics of powder blasted glass surface were tested under various blasting parameters. Finally, we proposed a predictive model for powder blasting process using the neural network and the response surface method. Detail analysis of the simulation results is carried out and the performance of two predictive models is compared.

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A Study on Design of Controller for ATC using Neural Network Predictive Control (신경회로망 예측제어를 이용한 ATC 제어기 설계에 관한 연구)

  • Sohn, Dong-Seop;Lee, Jin-Woo;Lee, Jin-Young;Lee, Jang-Myung;Lee, Kwon-Soon
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.07d
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    • pp.2456-2458
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    • 2003
  • Recently, an automatic crane control system is required with high speed and rapid transportation. Therefore, when container is transferred from the initial coordinate to the finial coordinate, the container paths should be built in terms of the least time and without sway. Therefore, we calculated the anti-collision path for avoiding collision in its movement to the finial coordinate in this paper. And we constructed the neural network predictive two degree of freedom PID (NNPPID) controller to control the precise navigation. The proposed Predictive control system is composed of the neural network predictor, two degree of freedom PID(TDOFPID) controller, neural network self-tuner which yields parameters of TDOFPID. We analyzed crane system through simulation, and proved excellency of control performance over the conventional controllers.

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The Optimal Partition of Initial Input Space for Fuzzy Neural System : Measure of Fuzziness (퍼지뉴럴 시스템을 위한 초기 입력공간분할의 최적화 : Measure of Fuzziness)

  • Baek, Deok-Soo;Park, In-Kue
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TE
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 2002
  • In this paper we describe the method which optimizes the partition of the input space by means of measure of fuzziness for fuzzy neural network. It covers its generation of fuzzy rules for input sub space. It verifies the performance of the system depended on the various time interval of the input. This method divides the input space into several fuzzy regions and assigns a degree of each of the generated rules for the partitioned subspaces from the given data using the Shannon function and fuzzy entropy function generating the optimal knowledge base without the irrelevant rules. In this scheme the basic idea of the fuzzy neural network is to realize the fuzzy rule base and the process of reasoning by neural network and to make the corresponding parameters of the fuzzy control rules be adapted by the steepest descent algorithm. According to the input interval the proposed inference procedure proves that the fast convergence of root mean square error (RMSE) owes to the optimal partition of the input space

Design of Very Short-term Precipitation Forecasting Classifier Based on Polynomial Radial Basis Function Neural Networks for the Effective Extraction of Predictive Factors (예보인자의 효과적 추출을 위한 다항식 방사형 기저 함수 신경회로망 기반 초단기 강수예측 분류기의 설계)

  • Kim, Hyun-Myung;Oh, Sung-Kwun;Kim, Hyun-Ki
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.64 no.1
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    • pp.128-135
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    • 2015
  • In this study, we develop the very short-term precipitation forecasting model as well as classifier based on polynomial radial basis function neural networks by using AWS(Automatic Weather Station) and KLAPS(Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System) meteorological data. The polynomial-based radial basis function neural networks is designed to realize precipitation forecasting model as well as classifier. The structure of the proposed RBFNNs consists of three modules such as condition, conclusion, and inference phase. The input space of the condition phase is divided by using Fuzzy C-means(FCM) and the local area of the conclusion phase is represented as four types of polynomial functions. The coefficients of connection weights are estimated by weighted least square estimation(WLSE) for modeling as well as least square estimation(LSE) method for classifier. The final output of the inference phase is obtained through fuzzy inference method. The essential parameters of the proposed model and classifier such ad input variable, polynomial order type, the number of rules, and fuzzification coefficient are optimized by means of Particle Swarm Optimization(PSO) and Differential Evolution(DE). The performance of the proposed precipitation forecasting system is evaluated by using KLAPS meteorological data.