• Title/Summary/Keyword: 시스템 다이내믹스 모형

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A System Dynamics Model for Growth Prediction of Low Birth Weight Infants (시스템다이내믹스를 이용한 저출생체중아의 성장예측모형)

  • Yi, Young-Hee
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.5-31
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a system dynamics model for growth prediction of low birth weight infants(LBWIs) based on nutrition. This growth prediction model consists of 9 modules; body weight, height, carbohydrate, protein, lipid, micronutrient, water, activity and energy module. The results of the model simulation match well with the percentiles of weights and heights of the Korean infants, also with the growth records of 55 LBWIs, under 37 weeks of gestational age, whose weights are appropriate for their gestational age. This model can be used to understand the current growth mode of LBWIs, predict the future growth of LBWIs, and be utilized as a tool for controlling the nutrient intake for the optimal growth of LBWIs in actual practice.

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A Study on the Development of Performance Audit Model Using the System Dynamics (시스템다이내믹스 기법을 이용한 공공정책 성과감사 모형개발에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Nam-Hee
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.25-46
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    • 2011
  • Recently, performance auditing system of governmen is carried out as most promising framework of government audit. Performance audit by the Board of Audit and Inspection of Korea involves assessing the causes and effects of government policies, programs, and Institutions with the criteria of economy, efficiency, effectiveness. Performance auditing will contribute to strengthening the values of objective assessments of whether public resources are responsibly and effectively managed to achieve intended results. Nevertheless, there seems to be a problems appears in implementation of audit. That is the problems of tendency return to legitimacy audit which is result from the lack of strong approach and methodology. So, this study purpose to developing stronger audit concepts and methods that add to the process and framework of traditional performance auditing system. First, this study evaluates the limitation of current performance auditing system with the perspective of systems thinking. Second, this study analyzes the process and method of current system and develop the conceptual model of the Dynamics Audit System using the system dynamics methodology, which focused on the appropriate auditing process and framework.

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A Percolation-Based System Dynamics Model on the Process of Corporate Corruption (기업 부패과정에 대한 시스템다이내믹스 접근 - 퍼컬레이션 모형을 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Hun-Joon;Kim, Sang-Joon;Kim, Na-Jung
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.33-70
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    • 2005
  • This study explores the process of corporate corruption via a percolation-based system dynamics model. The preliminary model is an agent-based model constructed in the terms of the corruption networking between ego and other. In the model, the agents behave depending on percolation rules, which represent (1) passing on the corruption opportunities and (2) accepting it. To describe the percolation process in the networks, we develop a further complicated model by combining the basic model with the Bethe lattice. Through the complicated model, we suggest (1) the dynamics of the systemic corporate corruption, (2) 4 patterns of the corruption, and (3) the institutionalization of the corruption. These simulation results provide theoretical and practical implications.

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Development of a System Dynamics Model for Growth of School-Age Children (시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 학령기 아동의 성장모형)

  • Yi, Young-Hee;Hong, Kyung-Ja
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.177-192
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    • 2005
  • A system dynamics model is developed to investigate policies for the school-age child weights and heights. The model is based upon the system dynamic model of Soonhee lee(2003), the purpose of which was policy analysis for obese control of adult people. Although the purpose and target people are different, the main structure can be applied to in the same way. Besides the carbohydrate, protein, and fat material, the new model covers hormone and heights with new input mechanisms for foods and activities. The simulation results matches well with the average school-age children in Korea with the average inputs data (foods and activities). The model can be used for various purposes such as policy analyses, care plan for obese children, etc.

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Housing Policy Model ing and Verification for the City Government of Cheongju Based on Urban Dynamics (Urban Dynamics이론에 기초한 청주주택정책의 모형과 검증)

  • 김성환;이만형
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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    • 2002.11a
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    • pp.1-30
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    • 2002
  • 본 연구의 목적은 청주시의 주택문제에 대한 특별한 해결책을 논의한다기보다는 문제를 바라보는 새로운 프로세스를 형성하여 도시내부 문제해결을 위한 UD 모형을 적용하고 검증하는 것이다. 모든 도시는 성장과 쇠퇴의 주기가 있듯이 청주라는 공간도 현재의 물리적인 경계를 유지하면서 영원히 성장할 수 없으며, 성장의 한계에 이르게 되고, 시스템 내부의 피드백구조의 역동성에 의해 동태적인 균형상태를 지향하게 된다. UD 모형을 통해서 본다면 청주의 경우도 향후 50년간은 인구, 주택, 산업 모든 측면에서 성장을 이루게 될 것으로 보인다 2055년 이후에는 그 증가율이 정차 감소하여 균형상태를 유지하게 되다가 한 시점에 이르러서는 내부 stock 변수들의 인과관계에 의해 청주의 매력도는 주변지역으로 이전되게 될 것이다. 거시적으로 보았을 때 청주의 경우도 적정수준에서 이러한 추세를 따라가기 때문에 청주시의 UD 적용의 유용성은 입증되었다고 말할 수 있겠다. 더불어 민감도 분석에서 사용한 변수들의 조정에서 나왔듯이 주택과 관련된 정책을 펼칠 때, 시스템 내부적인 변수를 조정하는 정책을 펼쳐 나갈 때 청주라는 공간은 주택분야뿐 아니라 도시전체시스템의 동태적 균형상태를 유지해 나갈 수 있을 것으로 나타났다.

Motivation Dynamics : System Dynamics Approach for Analyzing Dynamic Motivation Model Using VENSIM (모티베이션 다이내믹스 : VENSIM을 이용한 성취동기모형의 시스템 다이내믹스 분석)

  • 손태원;정한규
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.57-79
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    • 2000
  • Most model constructs in organization studies are descriptive in nature, and the conclusions relating to the model behavior over time are speculative. The usefulness of System Dynamics as a methodology for modeling and testing dynamic behavioral hypotheses in organizational behavioral studies is presented, and how to construct a System Dynamics model using simulation software(VENSIM) is shown, The well-know March and Simon motivation model is used to demonstrate the step by step application of System Dynamics to model of this type. The dynamic behavior of the model, both transient and steady state, is obtained, Even though the paper has focused on one model in the area of individual behavior, the approach is general and can be applied to other areas of organizational behavior as will. The usefulness of System Dynamics as a methodology for theory building is identified as well.

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Agent-based simulation technique for complex adaptive system-Using Cellular Automata simulation for 3 agent Lotka-Voltera modeling (복잡적응시스템(complex adaptive system)을 위한 개체지향 시뮬레이션 기법의 검토: Cellular Automata를 이용한 3개채의 Lotka-Voltera 모델링을 중심으로)

  • 고길곤
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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    • 1999.08a
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    • pp.133-157
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    • 1999
  • 시스템 다이나믹스는 전통적인 단선론적 인과론을 극복하고 시스템의 동태적 특성을 파악하는데 상당한 공헌을 하였다. 그러나 이러한 시스템의 특성을 방정식에 의존하는 시뮬레이션 기법(Equation-Based Simulation:EBS)을 이용하여 분석하는 경우 방정식으로 묘사하기 어려운 복잡적응시스템(Complex Adaptive System)에서는 한계를 갖고 있다. 따라서 시스템의 동태적 특성을 좀더 정확히 파악을 하기 위해서는 시스템을 구성하는 개체(agent)들의 행동이 시스템 전체에 미치는 영향들을 모형화 함으로써 파악하는 것이 바람직하다고 할 수 있다. 본 연구는 이러한 개체지향 시뮬레이션(Agent-eased Simulation: ABS)의 기법을 복잡성과학의 패러다임을 소개함으로써 그 중요성을 설명하고자 한다. 특히 카오스 이론으로부터 복잡성과학으로의 발전 과정을 개념을 중심으로 논의함으로서 복잡적응시스템의 이해를 돕고자 한다. 또한 ABS가 실제로 전통적인 EBS가 묘사하는 생태계 시스템의 변화를 잘 묘사할 수 있다는 사실을 보여주기 위하여 3개체가 있는 Lotka-Voltera 모형을 Cellular Automata 라는 ABS에 기반 한 시뮬레이션 기법을 활용하여 그 사용가능성을 제시하고자 한다.

The eBusiness Environment and Competing Firms' Collaboration Models - A System Dynamics Simulation Approach - (e비즈니스 환경과 경정기업간 협력 모형 - 시스템 다이나믹스 시뮬레이션 접근방법 -)

  • 이승철;김보원
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2001
  • 인터넷 기반 기술에 의한 e비즈니스 환경 하에서 기업들은 기존과는 다른 경쟁양식을 보여주고 있다. Covisint나 Exostar와 같은 자동차 산업이나 항공기 제조 산업의 사례에서 볼 수 있듯이, 이전까지는 적대적이었던 경쟁자들과의 상호 협력(collaboration)이 일어나고, 산업 차원의 마켓플레이스도 구축되고 있다. 이에 따라 본 논문에서는 e비즈니스 환경 하에서의 경쟁기업 간 협력에 대해 설명하기 위해서 시스템 다이나믹스 시뮬레이션을 수행한다. 결국 이 논문에서는 경쟁자와의 협력의 필요성을 제시하고, 이를 위한 최적 투자 의사결정이 존재함을 제시하며, 또한 표준화 정도나 변동성 등의 산업 특성에 따라서 협력의 효과가 달라짐을 보여준다.

Development of a System Dynamics Model to Support the Decision Making Processes in the Operation and Management of Water Supply Systems (상수도 시스템의 운영 및 유지관리 의사결정 지원을 위한 시스템다이내믹스 모형의 개발)

  • Park, Su-Wan;Kim, Kyu-Lee;Kim, Bong-Jae;Lim, Ki-Young
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.7
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    • pp.609-623
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    • 2010
  • In this paper the feedback loop mechanisms that are inherent in the management of water supply systems were identified based on the system dynamics modeling methodology. As a result, a system dynamics (SD) computer simulation model that can be used to aid efficient management of water supply systems was developed. The developed SD model can be used to predict operating conditions of water supply systems including the effects of pipe maintenance on the entire system. The developed model is consisted of water supply, pipe maintenance and water supply business finance model. The operation and maintenance data from a study water supply system were used to verify the model and to predict the past and future operating conditions of the system. The policy leverage that greatly affects the operating condition was evaluated by the sensitivity analyses for the operational indices due to changes in the exogenous variables. It was found that while the pipe maintenance related exogenous variables had great effects on the leakage and conditions of pipes, they did not have great effects on the major operational indices such as revenue water ratio. It is considered that the social costs due to leaks and pipe breaks and the corresponding mechanism of propagation of the costs must be modeled to better evaluate the effects of pipe maintenance on the operational conditions of water supply systems.

A Study on Dynamic of Korea Defense Industry Using the System Dynamics Model (시스템다이내믹스 모형을 이용한 한국 방위산업의 동태성 연구)

  • Seo, Hyeok;Oh, Ki-Yeol
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.117-138
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    • 2005
  • The defence industry of the Republic of Korea(ROK) has grown up since 1970, however it is facing a growth hindrance due to its structural problem. Many professionals of defense industry has developed some measures to upgrade and energize the defence industry of ROK, and also the current government is implementing various transformations and new policies under the initiative of cooperative independence defence. But most of papers published so far have some limitations resulting from their qualitative contents. And also it is true for them not to show policy alternatives devised by the system thinking. This paper identifies essential factors of defense industry, then analyze the causal relation among those factors. It also shows the causal loop to identify the politic leverages, on which concrete measures to resolve the structural problems are based.

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