• 제목/요약/키워드: 시스템 다이내믹스 모델

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시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 도시개발밀도의 적정성 평가 모델 구축 연구 (Establishment of the Measurement Model about the Adequate Urban Development Density using System Dynamics)

  • 전유신;문태훈
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국시스템다이내믹스학회 2003년도 하계학술대회발표논문집
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this paper was developing a development density control model for urban growth management, using system dynamics modeling. The density control model was developed to see how urban growth, transition, and decay occur depending on the interaction among population, houses, industry structure, land and urban infrastructure such as road, water supply, and sewage treatment facilities. Suggesting adequate level of development density control using the model was another purpose of this paper. The model was applied to An'yang city to estimate the maximum number of population, industry structures, houses, and cars that can be adequately sustained with the current An'yang city's infrastructur capacity. The computer simulation results shows that the city is overpopulated by some 90,000 people. To reduce the population to the adequate level that the current urban infrastructure can sustain, the current city regulation on floor area ratio are needed to be strengthened at least 20 to 35%.

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원자력발전산업 기술개발정책 지원모델 개발에 관한 연구 (Development of R&D Policy Model for Nuclear Power Industry)

  • 이용석;정창현;곽상만;김도형
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.125-147
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    • 2004
  • System dynamics model has been developed and computer simulation has been peformed for the evaluation of R&D policy. One of the main results of the basecase scenario is as follows. After simulation of nuclear R&D resource allocation strategies, we discovered that their net benefit value was maximum at 130% nuclear R&D budget case. And after simulation of human resource management strategies and policy research program strategies, we confirmed that it is beneficial to allocate budgets in the early phase for human resources management program and research program for the policy.

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방사성 폐기물 처분장 입지 후 지역 변화 모델 구축

  • 오영민;유재국
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국시스템다이내믹스학회 2006년도 춘계학술대회 발표논문집
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    • pp.123-149
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구는 방사성폐기물 처분시설(radioactive waste repository)의 입지를 가정하여, 처분시설이 경상북도 경주시에 발생시키는 경제적, 사회적 효과를 분석하는데 목적이 있다. 정부는 처분장 유치의 유인책(incentives)으로서 경주 지역주민들을 위하여 다양한 정책적 수단을 마련하였다. 처분시설 입지에 따른 특별지원금 3,000 억원 지원, 수거물 반입 수수료 지원(년당 50-100억원), 한국수력원자력(주) 본사이전, 양성자가속기 사업 추진 등이 그것이다. 이들 지원사업들이 가져오는 변화를 시스템 다이내믹스(System Dynamics) 기법을 적용하여 지역사회의 인구, 산업, 토지, SOC, 지방재정 등이 어떻게 변화하는지 추적해 봄으로써 도시체제의 동태성(urban system dynamics)을 이해하고 처분장 시설이 지역에 입지했을때, 미래에 발생 가능한 문제점이 없는지 밝혀내고자한다. 이를 위하여 시뮬레이션 모델링에 입지 지역의 특성과 현황을 반영하여 처분장입지에 따른 지역의 동태적인 변화과정과 경향을 추정해 보고, 현재 예정되어 있는 지원사업이 충분한지, 이외에 다른 정책적 지원이 필요한지를 알아본다. 본 연구의 의미는 이처럼 경주지역 주민들이 처분장의 지역입지를 만족스럽게 행각하고 소외감 없이 생활을 영위할 수 있도록 정책적 지원 프로그램을 작성하는데 기초가 되는 연구라는 점에 있다고 하겠다.

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고객만족, 상표전환 및 기업 성과의 동태성 분석(이동통신 사업자를 중심으로)

  • 박상현;김상욱
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국시스템다이내믹스학회 2002년도 추계학술대회발표논문집
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    • pp.33-56
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    • 2002
  • 오늘날 급격한 경영환경의 변화와 공급 주도에서 수요 중심으로의 시장환경 변화, 그리고 고객 욕구의 다양화, 복잡화로 인하여 치열해진 경쟁상황 속에서 많은 기업이 그들의 생존전략으로 고객만족경영에 주력하고 있다. 특히, 이동통신서비스 산업은 다른 산업에 비해 상표전환비율이 높고 이미 시장이 포화되어 경쟁이 치열하기 때문에 이동통신 사업자의 고객 만족도 제고를 통한 기존 고객유지 및 신규 고객 확보 노력은 기업 생존의 필수적인 전략이라 할 수 있다. 그러나 고객만족에 영향을 미치는 요소나 변수는 너무나 다양하고 복잡하여 어느 특정 변수 하나만을 독립적으로 분리할 수 없으며 더군다나 고객만족의 결과가 단기에 나타나는지 아니면 장기에 걸쳐 나타나는지 또는 직접적인지 아니면 간접적인지에 따라 고객만족이 지니는 의미와 기업 전략에 미치는 영향은 판이하게 달라질 것이지만 이에 대한 해답을 줄 수 있는 연구는 아직 미흡한 실정이다. 이에 따라 본 연구는 이동통신 시장에서의 고객만족과 상표전환 및 기업성과간의 동태적 특성을 복잡한 문제를 이해하는데 용이한 시스템 다이내믹스 방법론에 근거한 인과 모델을 이용하여 분석하여 보았으며 정부의 시장점유율 제한규제의 효과와 이에 따른 시장 변화를 현 이동통신 3사간의 경쟁 모형을 시뮬레이션하여 살펴보았다.

시스템 다이내믹스 기법을 활용한 동태적 비용편익분석 모델구축과 사업성 평가에 관한 연구 (A study on the Dynamic Cost-Benefit Analysis with System Dynamics: Modeling and Economic Feasibility)

  • 최남희;전재호
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.113-140
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    • 2002
  • The cost-benefit analysis is a technique for assisting with decision about the use of society's scare resources. There exists no detailed assessment like cost-benefit analysis. But recently, many policy analysts criticized the merit of cost-benefit analysis. As it is, it can be said that partial or approximate estimates of benefit and cost may be more dangerous than helpful. The purpose of this study is to overcome the limit of traditional cost-benefit analysis. For this purpose, we use the system dynamics approach for setting up new cost-benefit analysis, which we named that ‘Dynamics Cost-Benefit Analysis'. The usefulness of ‘Dynamics Cost-Benefit Analysis' is as follows; finding structural causal relationship between cost factors and benefit factors, understanding the long-term behavior of systems economic feasibility. In this study, we apply 'Dynamic Cost-Benefit Analysis' to case that is construction investment of funeral house by local government sector.

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System Dynamics 모델을 이용한 국내 3PL 시장의 효율적인 육성 방안에 관한 연구 (A Study on Efficient Supporting Policy of Domestic 3PL Market Using System Dynamics Model)

  • 이재원;김남균;박영재;박찬익;이재율
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.107-123
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    • 2008
  • Recently, due to the globalization of business, the efficient supply chain management(SCM) is considered as the key initiatives of business activities, and the leading logistics companies are trying to provide the differentiated 3PL services to meet their customers' needs. The domestic 3PL market scale, however, is still small and the logistics companies' competence is not good enough, so that 3PL companies need to concentrate on their logistics strategies and the government's supports and related policies are required. In this point of view, we developed the system dynamics model and forecasted middle or long-term domestic 3PL market. Through the result, we suggest the roles of government and the directions of policies to support the domestic 3PL market effectively.

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에이전트 협상기반의 온라인 티켓 재판매 모델 (Agent Negotiation-based Online Ticket Resale Model)

  • 조재형
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.143-154
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    • 2008
  • This study has tried to suggest a new model that can effectively redistribute the tickets in the online ticket resale market, while suggesting a new allocation mechanism based on an agent negotiation. To this end, this study has analyzed and simulated the secondary ticket market through System dynamics. As a result of these simulations, it has been proved that the price stability of ticket resale market leads to an increase in revenue. An agent negotiation helps to stabilize the ticket prices that are usually inclined to rise at auction, benefiting all the participants in the negotiations, consequently showing a Pareto solution.

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지식성장 잠재력 측정을 위한 동태적 지식경영시스템 시뮬레이션 모델 개발에 관한 연구 (Knowledge Management Systems Simulation Model for Measuring Knowledge Growth Potentials)

  • 김상욱;조현웅
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.103-131
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    • 2010
  • This paper aims to investigate a dynamic mechanism underlying the process of knowledge creation and growth with a focus on the 'knowledge-friendly culture' conceptually coined by Davenport and Prusak in 2000. To achieve this objective, key attributes of knowledge are first identified by exploring the generic characteristics and information and interpreting the definitions of knowledge, from which four modes of knowledge growth (Socialization, Externalization, Combination, Internalization) are delineated into a dynamic SECI model by identifying cultural attributes underlying each mode and modeling their casual relationships based on the systems thinking. Further, a series of sensitivity analysis through computer simulation were made to find how 'knowledge-friendly' cultural factors affect the knowledge growth. It is found that individual knowledge is most influenced by organization's cohesion whereas organizational knowledge is most affected by the openness of organization.

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지속가능 물류를 위한 TP-SD 방법론 기반의 복합운송체계 시뮬레이션 모델 개발 (Development of TP-SD Methodology-based Simulation Models to Improve Multimodal Transport Systems for Sustainable Logistics)

  • 정재운;김현수;최형림;홍순구
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.45-75
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    • 2010
  • Today, the logistics industry has played a critical role in national economy activities. The low cost and high efficiency of the logistics industry are meaningful in the improvement of national competitiveness and the logistics industry. However, efficiency of logistics is lower than that of the United States and Japan since most quantities are processed in road transportation in Korea. With regard to this, existing studies expected a saving of social and environmental costs due to a decrease of road transportation as well as improvement of logistics productivity due to bulk transportation through activation of rail and costal transport. For the expectation, the existing multimodal transport systems should be improved first. Therefore it aimed to develop scenario-based simulation models of multimodal transport systems for decision makers in charge of improvement in the logistics area. For model development, this study utilized Thinking Process and System Dynamics(TP-SD) methodology.

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