• Title/Summary/Keyword: 시뮬레이션모형

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Numerical Experiment of Driftwood Generation and Deposition Patterns by Tsunami (쓰나미에 의한 유목의 생성과 퇴적패턴의 수치모의실험)

  • Kang, Tae Un;Jang, Chang-Lae;Lee, Nam Joo;Lee, Won Ho
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.165-178
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    • 2021
  • We studied driftwood behaviors including generation and deposition in a tsunami using a numerical simulation. We used an integrated two-dimensional numerical model, which included a driftwood dynamics model. The study area was Sendai, Japan. Observation data collected by Inagaki et al. (2012) were used to verify the simulation results by comparing them with driftwood deposition patterns. A simplified model was developed to consider the threshold of driftwood generation by the drag force of water flows. To consider the volume of driftwood generated, we estimated the total wood number in the study area using Google Earth. Therefore, we simulated more than 13,000 pieces of driftwood that were generated and transported inland from approximately 300,000 trees that were growing in the forest. The final distribution of the driftwood was similar to the observation data. The reproducibility of the generation and deposition patterns of driftwood showed good agreement in terms of longitudinal deposition pattern. In the future, a sensitivity analysis on driftwood parameters, such as the size of the wood, boundary conditions, and grid size, will be implemented to predict the travel patterns of driftwood. Such modeling will be a useful methodology for disaster prediction based on water flow and driftwood.

A Study on Prediction of Land Use Demand in Seongnam-city Using System Dynamics (시스템 다이내믹스 기법을 활용한 성남시 토지이용수요 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yi, Mi Sook;Shin, Dong Bin;Kim, Chang Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.261-273
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    • 2022
  • This study aims to predict the land use demand of Seongnam-city using system dynamics and to simulate the effect of changes in family structure and land use density adjustment policy on land use demand. This study attempted to construct causal loop diagrams and an analysis model. The changes in land use demand over time were predicted through simulation results. As a result of the analysis, as of 2035, an additional supply of 2.08 km2 for residential land and 1.36 km2 for commercial land is required. Additionally, the current supply area of industrial land can meet the demand. Three policy experiments were conducted by changing the variable values in the basic model. In the first policy experiment, it was found that when the number of household members decreased sharply compared to the basic model, up to 7.99 km2 of additional residential land were required. In the second policy experiment, if the apartment floor area ratio was raised from 200% to 300%, it was possible to meet the demand for residential land with the current supply area of Seongnam-city. In the third policy experiment, it was found that even if the average number of floors in the commercial area was raised from four to five and the building-to-land ratio in the commercial area was raised from 80% to 85%, the demand for commercial land exceeded the supply area of the commercial area in Seongnam-city. This study is meaningful in that it proposes a new analytical model for land use demand prediction using system dynamics, and empirically analyzes the model by applying the actual urban planning status and statistics of Seongnam-city.

A Case Study on Venture and Small-Business Executives' Use of Strategic Intuition in the Decision Making Process (벤처.중소기업가의 전략적 직관에 의한 의사결정 모형에 대한 사례연구)

  • Park, Jong An;Kim, Young Su;Do, Man Seung
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2014
  • A Case Study on Venture and Small-Business Executives' Use of Strategic Intuition in the Decision Making Process This paper is a case study on how Venture and Small-Business Executives managers can take advantage of their intuitions in situations where the business environment is increasingly uncertain, a novel situation occurs without any data to reflect on, when rational decision-making is not possible, and when the business environment changes. The case study is based on a literature review, in-depth interviews with 16 business managers, and an analysis of Klein, G's (1998) "Generic Mental Simulation Model." The "intuition" discussed in this analysis is classified into two types of intuition: the Expert Intuition which is based on one's own experiences, and Strategic Intuition which is based on the experience of others. Case study strategic management intuition and intuition, the experts were utilized differently. Features of professional intuition to work quickly without any effort by, while the strategic intuition, is time-consuming. Another feature that has already occurred, one expert intuition in decision-making about the widely used strategic intuition was used a lot in future decision-making. The case study results revealed that managers were using expert intuition and strategic intuition differentially. More specifically, Expert Intuition was activated effortlessly, while strategic intuition required more time. Also, expert intuition was used mainly for making judgments about events that have already happened, while strategic intuition was used more often for judgments regarding events in the future. The process of strategic intuition involved (1) Strategic concerns, (2) the discovery of medium, (3) Primary mental simulation, (4) The offsetting of key parameters, (5) secondary mental simulation, and (6) the decision making process. These steps were used to develop the "Strategic Intuition Decision-making Model" for Venture and Small-Business Executives. The case study results further showed that firstly, the success of decision-making was determined in the "secondary mental simulation' stage, and secondly, that more difficulty in management was encountered when expert intuition was used more than strategic intuition and lastly strategic intuition is possible to be educated.

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Computer Simulations of Hoffman Brain Phantom:Sensitivity Measurements and Optimization of Data Analysis of 〔Tc-99m〕ECD SPECT Before and After Acftazolamide Administraton (Acetazolamide 사용전후 〔Tc-99m〕 EDC SPECT 데이타 분석 방법의 최적화 및 민감도 측정)

  • Kim, Hee-Joung;Lee, Hee-Kyung
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.71-81
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    • 1995
  • Consecutive brain 〔Tc-99m〕ECD SPECT studies before and after acetazolamide (Diamox) administration have been performed with patients for the evaluation of cerebrovascular hemodynamic reserve. However, the quantitaitve potential of SPECT Diamox imaging is limited as a result of degrading fractors such as finite detector resolution, attenuation, scatter, poor counting statistics, and methods of data analysis. Making physical measurements in phantoms filled with known amounts of radioactivity can help characterize and potentially quantify the sensitivities. However, it is often very difficult to make a realistic phantom simulating patients in clinical situations. By computer simulation, we studied the sensitivities of ECD SPECT before and after Diamox administration. The sensitivity is defined as ($\Delta$N/N)/($\Delta$S/S)$\times$100%, where $\Delta$N denotes the differences in mean counts between post-and pre-Diamox in the measured data, N denotes the mean counts before Diamox in the measure data, $\Delta$S denotes the differences in mean counts between post-and pre-Diamox in the model, and S denotes the mean counts before Diamox in the model. In clinical Diamox studies, the percentage changes of radioactivity could be determined to measure changes in radioactivity concentration by Diamox after subtracting pre-from post-Diamox data. However, the optimal amount of subtraction for 100% sensitivity is not known since this requires a thorough sensitivity analysis by computer simulation. For consecutive brain SPECT imaging model before and after Diamox, when 30% increased radioactivity concentrations were assingned for Diamox effect in model, the sensitivities were measured as 51.03, 73.4, 94.00, 130.74% for 0, 100, 150, 200% subtraction, respectively. Sensitivity analysis indicated that the partial voluming effects due to finite detector resolution and statistical noise result in a significant underestimation of radioactivity measurements and the amount of underestimation depends on the. % increase of radioactivity concentration and % subtraction of pre-from post-Diamox data. The 150% subtraction appears to be optimal in clinical situations where we expect approximately 30% changes in radioactivity concentration. The computer simulation may be a powerful technique to study sensitivities of ECD SPECT before and after Diamox administration.

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A Study on the Regenerative Braking Control by means of Extending Brake Power of the Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor(PMSM) (PMSM의 제동력 확보에 의한 회생제동 제어에 관한 연구)

  • Hwang, Lark-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.760-771
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, a blind spot of motor car, and the put case that is driven the miniature model motor system, when make practical application of the permanent magnet synchronous motors(PMSM) braking and having had the ability that can all absorb regenerative power by means of electric brake which is occurred. a tow system of a miniature model motor traction system is established by 1C1M methods to control individually permanent magnet synchronous motors (PMSM) of each motor. vector control method is applied in order to improve ride quality of motor car and the efficient use of energy. it was obtained excellent experiment results from the simulations as a function of momentum load and miniature model. Also, this study is investigated the regenerative braking power securities of permanent magnet synchronous motors, speed detection to stop electric brake at extremely very low speed and motor control method of algorithm.

동태적 고객만족 모형의 전략적 활용 - 통신서비스를 중심으로 -

  • 연승준;박상현;김상욱
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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    • 2003.02a
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    • pp.29-55
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    • 2003
  • 최근의 통신서비스 시장은 경쟁의 도입과 기술의 발전이라는 두 축에 힘입어 양질의 서비스를 보다 저렴한 요금으로 소비자들에게 제공하고자 노력하여 왔다. 그러나 이러한 통신서비스의 질적 향상 노력에도 불구하고 여전히 통신서비스의 품질은 소비자들의 기대수준에는 미치지 못하고 있다는 지적이 있다 더욱이 문제가 되는 것은 소비자가 인지하고 있는 통신 서비스 품질의 기대수준은 시간의 흐름에 따라 동태적으로 변화하는 것이어서 한 시점에서의 통신 서비스 품질 수준의 측정으로는 정책적으로 큰 의미를 설명하기 어려운 실정이다. 이와 관련하여 많은 선행 연구들이 다양한 측면에서 시행되어져 왔지만 이제까지의 많은 선행 연구들은 대부분이 통신서비스의 특성을 제대로 고려하지 않고, 고객만족의 향상과 불일치를 가져오고 있는 성능품질만을 측정한다거나, 시간의 흐름에 따라 변화해 가는 소비자가 서비스에 대해 인지하고 있는 중요도나 기대수준을 고려하지 않고 있으며, 각 구성요소간의 동태적 인과고리에 대한 고려 없이 연구가 이루어져 전반적인 통신 서비스의 고객만족을 전체적인 시각에서 평가한 연구는 극히 드물다. 따라서 본 연구는 통신서비스의 고객만족을 피드백 관점, 동태적 관점, 사실적 관점의 시스템 다이내믹스 방법론을 적용하여 전반적인 동태적 고객만족 모형을 구현하고 이를 정책적으로 활용할 수 있는가에 대한 접근을 시도하였다. 고객만족은 결코 한순간에 머물러 있는 것이 아니며 체감품질 및 기대수준의 영향을 받아 지속적으로 변화해간다 따라서 어떻게 기대수준을 관리하고 고객의 기대에 부응하는 체감품질을 관리하는 것이 지속적인 고객만족을 획득할 수 있는 가를 시뮬레이션 모형을 통해 가시적으로 시스템의 행태를 구현함으로써 그 이해의 폭을 넓히고자 시도하였다.으로써 웹에서의 혁신적이며 크로스 사이트, 크로스 장르적인 컨텐츠 플래닝의 가능성을 시사하는데 의의가 있다고 하겠다.y used to some of interactive storytelling through hyper text in CD-ROM and web sites. More complicated and different structured models were born through games that offered graphics, virtual spaces and interactivity. When drawn onto a structural graph, few attributes and similarities seem to occur. This paper will try to outline and discuss structural graphs of interactive storytelling methods and suggest some ways for better storytelling design.eal sales volume, but the case study could verified that this method is effective to the evaluation of marketability in case of completely new product got on the typical category and the product category could be set up the population clearly.의 무게와 부피는 24주간 다소 감소하는 경향을 보였으나 통계적인 유의차는 없었다. 냉동저장 감자의 무게와 부피 변화는 48주간 전혀 없었다. 상온 냉장저장 감자의 조직의 강도(hardness)는 24주

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Development of Time Lag Considered (TLC) Crowd Load Model Based on Probabilistic Approach (개인별 시간지연효과를 고려한 확률론적 군중 하중모형 개발)

  • Kim, Sung-Yong;Lee, Cheol-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2012
  • To overcome the limitations of current evaluation procedures for floor vibration under crowd loading, two kinds of uncertainties associated with individual time lag differences and the complex behavior of crowd should be taken into account. The complex behavior of crowds has yet to be fully described, even though individual differences can be dealt with statistically. This paper proposes time lag considered (TLC) crowd model based on a probabilistic approach. The load reduction factor, which reflects the effect of a general degree of synchronization among crowd, is proposed. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations were carried out to determine various crowd behaviors by using the TLC crowd model proposed. The TLC crowd model can rationally treat the energy loss of various crowd patterns. This indicates that it may be used as a theoretical basis in refining dynamic load factor of crowd loading.

Assessing the Safety Benefit of an Advanced Vehicular Technology for Protecting Pedestrian(Focused on Active Hood Lift System (AHLS)) (첨단안전차량 효과분석(보행자보호를 위한 Active Hood Lift System (AHLS)을 중심으로))

  • O, Cheol;Gang, Yeon-Su;Kim, Beom-Il;Kim, Won-Gyu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.24 no.3 s.89
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    • pp.95-102
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    • 2006
  • This study develops a methodology on how to assess the traffic safety benefit of advanced vehicular technology for Protecting pedestrian in pedestrian-vehicle collision. Safety benefit is defined here as the reduction of Pedestrian fatality by employing advanced vehicular technology. As an application of the proposed methodology the safety benefit of active hood lift system (AHLS) is assessed. Both actual accident data analysis and simulation experiment are conducted to establish statistical models that are used for estimating the reduction of pedestrian fatality It is believed that the developed methodology and outcomes would be greatly useful in developing various advanced vehicular technologies and establishing more effective traffic safety policies.

The economic effects of working hours reduction in Korea (법정근로시간 단축의 경제적 효과)

  • Shin, Kwanho;Shin, Donggyun;Yoo, Gyeongjoon
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.1-34
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    • 2002
  • This paper investigates the effects of hours reduction on growth, investment, and consumption as well as employment. We adopt the basic framework of the indivisibility of labor developed by Hansen (1985) and Rogerson (1988) and extend it by allowing heterogeneity of workers in productive efficiency. On the basis of monthly panel data constructed from Economically Active Population Surveys and Household Income and Expenditure Surveys, we estimate the value of productive efficiency parameter of newly hired workers relative to existing workers by considering differences between the two groups in unobservable as well as observable worker characteristics. Numerical simulation of steady states demonstrates that reduction of statutory weekly hours from 44 to 40 leads to a rise in employees by 4.9 percent. However, GNP, investment, and consumption are all reduced by 2.03 percent, which is attributed to reduction in the amount of effective labor input, which in turn comes from reduction of actual average hours and productivity differences between exiting and newly hired workers.

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A Design of Channel Models for the ISDN Subscriber Loops (ISDN 가입자 루프에 대한 전송로 모델의 설계)

  • 백제인;박원식;이유경
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.293-305
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    • 1994
  • In this paper the efficient channel models of the subscriber loops for the ISDN U-interface digital transmission are presented. Several configuration medels of the loop network are adopted from the CCITT recommendations, and various parameters specifying the physical dimensions are determined in accordance with the measurements of the loop characteristics of Korea. A typical loop interfacing circuit is applied at both ends of the loops and the overall transmissing circuit model is obtained. Based on this circuit model of transmission. 3 types of signal path models, related to transmission, echo, and near end crosstalk noise are defined and their transfer function are respectively derived as the channel models. As examples of the proposed channel models, numerical calculation has been performed for some loop configuration models and the channel responses are investigation in both domains of frequency and time. It is shown that various changes of the loop characteristics can well be explained in terms of the proposed models. And these models can efficiently be used for the simulation of the digital transmission over the subscriber loop.

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