• Title/Summary/Keyword: 시뮬레이션모형

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A Study on Economic Effects of NAMA Negotiations in the WTO on Automotive Industry of the World (WTO 비농산물협상이 전세계 자동차산업에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Ko, Jong-Hwan
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.95-126
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to quantify the potential economic effects of Non-Agricultural Market Access (NAMA) negotiations of the WTO on automotive industry of the world using a multi-region, multi-sector Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model with 21 countries/regions and 22 sectors. According to the December 2008 NAMA modalities text, issued by the chair of the negotiation on NAMA, three different scenarios of tariff liberalization of NAMA are conducted on the basis of the Swiss formula with a coefficient of 8 for developed members and 20 for developing (scenario 1), with a coefficient of 8 for developed members and 22 for developing (scenario 2) and with a coefficient of 8 for developed members and 25 for developing (scenario 3). Simulation results show potential economic effects at the macroeconomic and microeconomic level of 21 countries concerned. In particular, Korea is to be one of the winners of tariff liberalization of NAMA in the WTO and Korean automotive industry is to benefit from it to a large extent in terms of its output, domestic sales, exports and trade balance, which implies that Korea needs to actively engage in NAMA negotiations of the WTO.

Needs Analysis and Recognition of Classroom Operation of Nursing Teacher in Vocational High School (특성화고 간호과 교사들의 수업운영에 대한 인식 및 요구분석)

  • Jang, Myung-Hee;Kwak, Misun
    • Journal of vocational education research
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.1-29
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to examine how the nursing teacher in vocational high school operates the class and examine various perceptions about the operation education. Moreover, This is to comparing the difference between nursing experience and education major about the operation the class. Based on the above findings, First, the nursing teacher should be recognized as a professional subject teacher and should have a qualification system that is appropriate as a professional subject teacher. Second, a formal education program should be established so that those who worked in the nursing field can become teachers of nursing education. It is recommended that nursing education within the graduate school of education be newly established and operated only for nursing graduates who are majored in the same country as developed countries. Third, if the establishment of qualifications and qualifications system can not be realized in a short time, it is necessary to systematically prepare the training for specialization nursing teachers only.

Development of methodology for daily rainfall simulation considering distribution of rainfall events in each duration (강우사상의 지속기간별 분포 특성을 고려한 일강우 모의 기법 개발)

  • Jung, Jaewon;Kim, Soojun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.2
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    • pp.141-148
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    • 2019
  • When simulating the daily rainfall amount by existing Markov Chain model, it is general to simulate the rainfall occurrence and to estimate the rainfall amount randomly from the distribution which is similar to the daily rainfall distribution characteristic using Monte Carlo simulation. At this time, there is a limitation that the characteristics of rainfall intensity and distribution by time according to the rainfall duration are not reflected in the results. In this study, 1-day, 2-day, 3-day, 4-day rainfall event are classified, and the rainfall amount is estimated by rainfall duration. In other words, the distributions of the total amount of rainfall event by the duration are set using the Kernel Density Estimation (KDE), the daily rainfall in each day are estimated from the distribution of each duration. Total rainfall amount determined for each event are divided into each daily rainfall considering the type of daily distribution of the rainfall event which has most similar rainfall amount of the observed rainfall using the k-Nearest Neighbor algorithm (KNN). This study is to develop the limitation of the existing rainfall estimation method, and it is expected that this results can use for the future rainfall estimation and as the primary data in water resource design.

Development of Water Risk Management Platform for Indonesia Area (인도네시아 물 재해 관리 플랫폼 개발과 적용성 평가)

  • Park, Dae Hee;Park, Joo Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.381-381
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    • 2019
  • 동남아시아의 급격한 도시인구 증가는 도시화로 파생되는 제반문제를 유발하고 있으며 특히 집중호우와 홍수배제 시설의 부족 및 유관시설의 정보관리체계 부재는 홍수 피해규모를 가중시키고 있다. 인도네시아의 경우 물 재해 관리기관 간의 정보공유체계 부재로, 홍수로 인한 문제해결에 대하여 효과적인 대응이 어려운 실정이다. 주요 물 관리 기관인 유역관리청(BBWS)의 경우 조기홍수경보시스템을 보유하고 있으나 단순 수문현황 모니터링에 국한되어 운영되고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 홍수피해를 최소화 할 수 있는 동남아시아 맞춤형 물 재해 관리 클라우드 플랫폼을 개발하여 비구조적 홍수 문제해결의 매개체로 활용하고자 한다. 기본적인 유역 수문현황 모니터링과 함께 댐, 보, 배수문 및 펌프장 등 홍수방어시설물의 운영현황 정보, 홍수상황분석, 홍수위험지도 등 종합적인 물 재해 정보를 제공하고 사전에 홍수위험 지역을 분석하여 유관기관과 공유할 수 있는 물 재해 관리 의사결정지원시스템을 개발하고자 한다. 기본적인 정보관리 체계화를 위하여 인도네시아의 다양한 물 재해 관련기관에서 보유하고 있는 자료들의 통합 클라우드 DB관리 시스템을 구축하였다. 연구대상지역은 인도네시아 수도인 자카르타의 Pesanggrahan유역과 인근 Batam섬 Baloi유역을 선정하였으며 대상 유역의 수문, 기상자료 및 GIS 정보수집은 공동연구기관인 인도네시아 공공사업부 수자원청(MPWH)과 주요 물 관리기관인 유역관리청(BBWS)의 협조를 통하여 진행하였다. 수집된 자료들은 관계형 데이터베이스 관리시스템인 MySQL을 사용하여 통합 물 재해 정보 데이터베이스를 구축하였으며 완성된 데이터베이스의 정보제공 및 공유시스템은 웹기반 인터페이스를 통해 관리되도록 설계하였다. 홍수유출 해석을 위한 분석 엔진은 K-water의 홍수분석 시스템인 FAS를 이용하였다. FAS의 홍수분석모형인 COSFIM과 수리모형인 Fldwav를 연계하는 데이터 분석 플랫폼을 완성하였으며 인도네시아 현지 조건에 부합하는 홍수분석 시스템으로 Customizing과정을 수행하였다. 또한 FAS의 PC기반 시뮬레이션 형식을 DB 연계형 웹서비스 방식으로 연동되도록 개량하였으며 추후 SaaS형 물 재해 분석시스템으로 전환할 수 있는 개발환경을 확보하였다. 개발된 물 재해 분석 플랫폼(WRMP)을 활용하여 인도네시아 공동연구기관과의 협의를 통해 물 재해 관리 시나리오를 수립하고 그 대안을 제시하였으며, 적용 시나리오별 홍수피해 저감 효과를 분석하였다. 또한 향후 방재시설물까지 연계하여 운영효과를 분석할 수 있도록 구조화하였다. 개발된 물 재해 관리 시스템은 개선된 정보처리 및 분석시스템을 활용하여 종합적인 물 재해정보를 제공하고, 사전에 홍수위험 지역을 분석하여 유관기관과 공유할 수 있는 물 재해 관리 의사결정 지원시스템으로써 유용하게 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

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Median Modified Wiener Filter for Noise Reduction in Computed Tomographic Image using Simulated Male Adult Human Phantom (시뮬레이션된 성인 남성 인체모형 팬텀을 이용한 전산화단층촬영 에서의 노이즈 제거를 위한 Median Modified Wiener 필터)

  • Ju, Sunguk;An, Byungheon;Kang, Seong-Hyeon;Lee, Youngjin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.21-28
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    • 2021
  • Computed tomography (CT) has the problem of having more radiation exposure compared to other radiographic apparatus. There is a low-dose imaging technique for reducing exposure, but it has a disadvantage of increasing noise in the image. To compensate for this, various noise reduction algorithms have been developed that improve image quality while reducing the exposure dose of patients, of which the median modified Wiener filter (MMWF) algorithm that can be effectively applied to CT devices with excellent time resolution has been presented. The purpose of this study is to optimize the mask size of MMWF algorithm and to see the excellence of noise reduction of MMWF algorithm for existing algorithms. After applying the MMWF algorithm with each mask sizes set from the MASH phantom abdominal images acquired using the MATLAB program, which includes Gaussian noise added, and compared the values of root mean square error (RMSE), peak signal-to-noise ratio (PSNR), coefficient correlation (CC), and universal image quality index (UQI). The results showed that RMSE value was the lowest and PSNR, CC and UQI values were the highest in the 5 x 5 mask size. In addition, comparing Gaussian filter, median filter, Wiener filter, and MMWF with RMSE, PSNR, CC, and UQI by applying the optimized mask size. As a result, the most improved RMSE, PSNR, CC, and UQI values were showed in MMWF algorithms.

The Impact of US Monetary Policy upon Korea's Financial Markets and Capital Flows: Based on TVP-VAR Analysis (미국 통화정책이 국내 금융시장 및 자금유출입에 미치는 영향: TVP-VAR 모형 분석)

  • Suh, Hyunduk;Kang, Tae Soo
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.132-176
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    • 2019
  • We use a time-varying parameter vector auto regression (TVP-VAR) model to understand the impact of U.S. monetary policy normalization on Korean financial markets and capital accounts. The U.S. monetary policy is represented by the federal funds rate, term premium and credit spread. During the U.S. monetary contraction period of 2004 to 2006, changes in the federal funds rate presented negative pressure on Korean financial markets. The changes in federal funds rate also led to a simultaneous contraction in inward and outward capital flows. However, the effects of a federal funds rate shock has been reduced since 2015. On the other hand, the effects of U.S. term premiums is getting stronger after the period of quantitative easing (QE). The influence of the U.S. credit spread also significantly increased after the global financial crisis. Simulation results show that a rise in the U.S. credit spread, which can be triggered by a contractionary monetary policy, can pose a larger adverse impact on the Korean economy than a rise in the federal funds rate itself. As for capital flows, a U.S. monetary policy contraction causes an outflow of foreign investment, but the repatriation of overseas investment by Korean residents can offset this outflow.

Generative Adversarial Network Model for Generating Yard Stowage Situation in Container Terminal (컨테이너 터미널의 야드 장치 상태 생성을 위한 생성적 적대 신경망 모형)

  • Jae-Young Shin;Yeong-Il Kim;Hyun-Jun Cho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2022.06a
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    • pp.383-384
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    • 2022
  • Following the development of technologies such as digital twin, IoT, and AI after the 4th industrial revolution, decision-making problems are being solved based on high-dimensional data analysis. This has recently been applied to the port logistics sector, and a number of studies on big data analysis, deep learning predictions, and simulations have been conducted on container terminals to improve port productivity. These high-dimensional data analysis techniques generally require a large number of data. However, the global port environment has changed due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. It is not appropriate to apply data before the COVID-19 outbreak to the current port environment, and the data after the outbreak was not sufficiently collected to apply it to data analysis such as deep learning. Therefore, this study intends to present a port data augmentation method for data analysis as one of these problem-solving methods. To this end, we generate the container stowage situation of the yard through a generative adversarial neural network model in terms of container terminal operation, and verify similarity through statistical distribution verification between real and augmented data.

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Software Reliability Growth Modeling in the Testing Phase with an Outlier Stage (하나의 이상구간을 가지는 테스팅 단계에서의 소프트웨어 신뢰도 성장 모형화)

  • Park, Man-Gon;Jung, Eun-Yi
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.5 no.10
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    • pp.2575-2583
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    • 1998
  • The productionof the highly relible softwae systems and theirs performance evaluation hae become important interests in the software industry. The software evaluation has been mainly carried out in ternns of both reliability and performance of software system. Software reliability is the probability that no software error occurs for a fixed time interval during software testing phase. These theoretical software reliability models are sometimes unsuitable for the practical testing phase in which a software error at a certain testing stage occurs by causes of the imperfect debugging, abnornal software correction, and so on. Such a certatin software testing stage needs to be considered as an outlying stage. And we can assume that the software reliability does not improve by means of muisance factor in this outlying testing stage. In this paper, we discuss Bavesian software reliability growth modeling and estimation procedure in the presence of an imidentitied outlying software testing stage by the modification of Jehnski Moranda. Also we derive the Bayes estimaters of the software reliability panmeters by the assumption of prior information under the squared error los function. In addition, we evaluate the proposed software reliability growth model with an unidentified outlying stage in an exchangeable model according to the values of nuisance paramether using the accuracy, bias, trend, noise metries as the quantilative evaluation criteria through the compater simulation.

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Change in Potential Productivity of Rice around Lake Juam Due to Construction of Dam by SIMRIW (벼 생장모형 SIMRIW를 이용한 주암호 건설에 따른 주변지역의 벼 잠재생산성 변이 추정)

  • 임준택;윤진일;권병선
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.729-738
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    • 1997
  • To estimate the change in rice productivity around lake Juam due to construction of artificial lake, growth, yield components and yield of rice were measured at different locations around lake Juam for three years from 1994 to 1996. Automated weather stations(AWS) were installed nearby the experimental paddy fields, and daily maximum, average and minimum temperature, solar radiation, relative humidity, and precipitation were measured for the whole growing period of rice. Plant height, number of tillers, leaf area and shoot dry weight per hill were observed from 8 to 10 times in the interval of 7 days after transplanting. Yield and yield components of rice were observed at the harvest time. Simulation model of rice productivity used in the study was SIMRIW developed by Horie. The observed data of rice at 5 locations in 1994, 3 locations in 1995 and 4 locations in 1996 were inputted in the model to estimate the unknown parameters. Comparisons between observed and predicted values of shoot dry weights, leaf area indices, and rough rice yield were fairly well, so that SIMRIW appeared to predict relatively well the variations in productivity due to variations of climatic factors in the habitat. Climatic elements prior to as well as posterior to dam construction were generated at six locatons around lake Juam for thirty years by the method of Pickering et al. Climatic elements simulated in the study were daily maximum and minimum temperature, and amount of daily solar radiation. The change in rice productivity around lake Juam due to dam construction were estimated by inputting the generated climatic elements into SIMRIW. Average daily maximum temperature after dam construction appeared to be more or less lower than that before dam construction, while average daily minimum temperature became higher after dam construction. Average amount of daily solar radiation became lower with 0.9 MJ $d^{-1}$ after dam construction. As a result of simulation, the average productivity of habitats around lake Juam decreased about 5.6% by the construction of dam.

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Development of Analytic Hierarchy Process or Solving Dependence Relation between Multicriteria (다기준 평가항목간 중복도를 반영한 AHP 기법 개발)

  • 송기한;홍상연;정성봉;전경수
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.7
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    • pp.15-22
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    • 2002
  • Transportation project appraisal should be precise in order to increase the social welfare and efficiency, and it has been evaluated by only a single criterion analysis such as benefit/cost analysis. However, this method cannot assess some qualitative items, and cannot get a proper solution for the clash of interests among various groups. Therefore, the multi-criteria analysis, which can control these problems, is needed, and then Saaty has developed one of these methods, AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) method. In AHP, the project is evaluated through weighted score of the criteria and the alternatives, which is surveyed by a questionnaire of specialists. It is based on some strict suppositions such as reciprocal comparison, homogeneity, expectation, independence relationship between multi-criteria, but supposing that each criterion has independence relation with others is too difficult in two reasons. First, in real situation, there cannot be perfect independence relationship between standards. Second, individuals, even though they are specialists of that area, do not feel the degree of independence relation as same as others. This paper develops a modified AHP method for solving this dependence relationship between multi-criteria. First of all. in this method, the degree of dependence relationship between multi-criteria that the specialist feels is surveyed and included to the weighted score of multi-criteria This study supposes three methods to implement this idea. The first model products the degree of dependence relationship in the first step for calculating the weighted score, and the others adjust the result of weighted score from the basic AHP method to the dependence relationship. One of the second methods distributes the cross weighted score to each standard by constant ratio, and the other splits them using Fuzzy measure such as Bel and Pl. Finally, in order to validate these methods, this paper applies them to evaluate the alternatives which can control public resentments against Korean rail path in a city area.