• Title/Summary/Keyword: 시계열 및 군집 분석

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Clustering and classification to characterize daily electricity demand (시간단위 전력사용량 시계열 패턴의 군집 및 분류분석)

  • Park, Dain;Yoon, Sanghoo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.395-406
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to identify the pattern of daily electricity demand through clustering and classification. The hourly data was collected by KPS (Korea Power Exchange) between 2008 and 2012. The time trend was eliminated for conducting the pattern of daily electricity demand because electricity demand data is times series data. We have considered k-means clustering, Gaussian mixture model clustering, and functional clustering in order to find the optimal clustering method. The classification analysis was conducted to understand the relationship between external factors, day of the week, holiday, and weather. Data was divided into training data and test data. Training data consisted of external factors and clustered number between 2008 and 2011. Test data was daily data of external factors in 2012. Decision tree, random forest, Support vector machine, and Naive Bayes were used. As a result, Gaussian model based clustering and random forest showed the best prediction performance when the number of cluster was 8.

Evolutionary Computation-based Hybird Clustring Technique for Manufacuring Time Series Data (제조 시계열 데이터를 위한 진화 연산 기반의 하이브리드 클러스터링 기법)

  • Oh, Sanghoun;Ahn, Chang Wook
    • Smart Media Journal
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 2021
  • Although the manufacturing time series data clustering technique is an important grouping solution in the field of detecting and improving manufacturing large data-based equipment and process defects, it has a disadvantage of low accuracy when applying the existing static data target clustering technique to time series data. In this paper, an evolutionary computation-based time series cluster analysis approach is presented to improve the coherence of existing clustering techniques. To this end, first, the image shape resulting from the manufacturing process is converted into one-dimensional time series data using linear scanning, and the optimal sub-clusters for hierarchical cluster analysis and split cluster analysis are derived based on the Pearson distance metric as the target of the transformation data. Finally, by using a genetic algorithm, an optimal cluster combination with minimal similarity is derived for the two cluster analysis results. And the performance superiority of the proposed clustering is verified by comparing the performance with the existing clustering technique for the actual manufacturing process image.

Efficient Time-Series Similarity Measurement and Ranking Based on Anomaly Detection (이상탐지 기반의 효율적인 시계열 유사도 측정 및 순위화)

  • Ji-Hyun Choi;Hyun Ahn
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 2024
  • Time series analysis is widely employed by many organizations to solve business problems, as it extracts various information and insights from chronologically ordered data. Among its applications, measuring time series similarity is a step to identify time series with similar patterns, which is very important in time series analysis applications such as time series search and clustering. In this study, we propose an efficient method for measuring time series similarity that focuses on anomalies rather than the entire series. In this regard, we validate the proposed method by measuring and analyzing the rank correlation between the similarity measure for the set of subsets extracted by anomaly detection and the similarity measure for the whole time series. Experimental results, especially with stock time series data and an anomaly proportion of 10%, demonstrate a Spearman's rank correlation coefficient of up to 0.9. In conclusion, the proposed method can significantly reduce computation cost of measuring time series similarity, while providing reliable time series search and clustering results.

Efficient water resource management using cluster and trend analysis for each rainfall station (강우 관측소별 군집 및 경향성 분석을 활용한 효율적인 수자원 관리)

  • Won-joon Wang;Seong Cheol Shin;Yu Jin Kang;Seungmin Lee;Soojun Kim;Hung Soo Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.115-115
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    • 2023
  • 최근 기후변화의 영향으로 국내에서 강우량과 유출량의 변동성이 커짐에 따라 효율적으로 수자원을 관리하는 데 어려움을 겪고 있다. 따라서 수자원 관리 측면에서 강우관측소를 대상으로 군집 분석과 경향성 분석을 통해 사전에 강우 시계열 자료의 추세와 특징을 파악하면 용수 공급과 가뭄 및 홍수피해 저감 등에 효과적으로 대처할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 2000년부터 2019년까지낙동강 유역의 64개 강우관측소를 대상으로 동질성 검정과 수정 Mann-Kendall (MK) 검정을 적용하여 강우 시계열 자료의 월별, 계절별, 연도별 경향성 분석을 수행하였다. 또한, 경향성이 나타나는 관측소별 세부지표(연평균 강우량, 표고 등)를 기준으로 K-means 군집 분석을 수행하여 군집별 강우 특성을 파악하고자 하였다. 분석을 수행한 결과 경향성 분석에선 3월, 4월, 11월, 12월, 봄 및 가을에는 강우량이 증가 추세를 보였고 1월, 5~9월, 여름과 연도별로는 감소 추세가 나타났다. 또한 군집 분석에서는 Silhouette analysis를 기반으로 최적의 군집 개수를 3개로 설정했을 때 군집별 강우 세부지표의 통계값이 관측소별 표고에 비례하는 특징이 나타났다. 연구를 통해 도출된 군집별 강우 특성과 관측소별 경향성 분석결과를 연계하면 강우량의 변동성을 고려한 효율적인 수자원 관리 방안을 마련하는 데 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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A Fusion of the Period Characterized and Hierarchical Bayesian Techniques for Efficient Cluster Analysis of Time Series Data (시계열자료의 효율적 군집분석을 위한 구간특징화와 계층적 베이지안 기법의 융합)

  • Jung, Young-Ae;Jeon, Jin-Ho
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.7
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    • pp.169-175
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    • 2015
  • An effective way to understand the dynamic and time series that follows the passage of time, as valuation is to establish a model to analyze the phenomena of the system. Model of the decision process is efficient clustering information of the total mass of the time series data of the relevant population been collected in a particular number of sub-groups than to look at all a time to an understand of the overall data through each community-specific model determination. In this study, a sub-grouping of the group and the first of the two process model of each cluster by determining, in the following in sub-population characterized by a fusion with heuristic Bayesian clustering techniques proposed a process which can reduce calculation time and cost was confirmed by experiments using actual effectiveness valuation.

Design of an Arm Gesture Recognition System using Kinect Sensor (키넥트 센서를 이용한 팔 제스처 인식 시스템의 설계)

  • Heo, Se-Kyeong;Shin, Ye-Seul;Kim, Hye-Suk;Kim, In-Cheol
    • Annual Conference of KIPS
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    • 2013.05a
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    • pp.250-253
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    • 2013
  • 최근 카메라 영상을 이용한 제스처 인식 관련 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 카메라 영상을 이용한 제스처 인식에서 많이 사용되는 학습 알고리즘에는 확률 그래프 모델인 HMM과 CRF 등이 있다. 이 학습 알고리즘들은 다차원의 연속된 실수 데이터를 가지고 모델을 학습하면 계산량이 많아진다. 본 논문에서는 팔 관절 위치 데이터를 k-평균 군집화 과정을 거쳐 1차원의 시계열 데이터로 변환 후, 제스처별로 HMM 모델을 학습하는 방법을 제안한다. 키넥트 센서를 통해 얻은 팔 관절 위치 데이터에 k-평균 군집화를 적용하여 1차원 시계열 데이터를 생성하고, 이를 HMM의 학습 및 인식에 사용한다. 본 논문에서 제안하는 방법의 성능을 분석하기 위하여, 다른 시계열 학습 알고리즘인 AP+DTW를 이용한 방법과의 비교 실험을 포함해 다양한 실험들을 수행하였다.

A Direction of Politic Support for Infectious Disease in Busan Using Time-series Clustering: Focusing on COVID-19 Cases (시계열 군집을 활용한 부산시 감염병 지원 정책 방향: COVID-19 사례를 중심으로)

  • Kwun, Hyeon-Ho;Kim, Do-Hee;Park, Chan-Ho;Lee, Eun-Ju;Cho, KiHaing;Bae, Hye-Rim
    • The Journal of Bigdata
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.125-138
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    • 2020
  • After the spread of COVID-19 in 2020, the country's Crisis Alert Level went up to the highest level, Level 4. Respond of COVID-19 pandemic, Governments, and cities secured each province's duty for the citizens. The government provided health assistance first and stepped forward to support the necessary resources for the citizens. Busan City proposed policy response to prepare and implement the Corona support for each county as well. The high occupant rate of self-business owners lost basic incomes, and the effect varies on industries. In our paper, to avoid any crisis in such an epidemic, we propose a clustering analysis for the guidance of policy support for Busan City. By analyzing patterns and clustering on districts and Sectors, we would like to provide reference materials for determining the direction of support and guiding preemptive response in the event of a similar epidemic.

Big Data News Analysis in Healthcare Using Topic Modeling and Time Series Regression Analysis (토픽모델링과 시계열 회귀분석을 활용한 헬스케어 분야의 뉴스 빅데이터 분석 연구)

  • Eun-Jung Kim;Suk-Gwon Chang;Sang-Yong Tom Lee
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.163-177
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    • 2023
  • This research aims to identify key initiatives and a policy approach to support the industrialization of the sector. The research collected a total of 91,873 news data points relating to healthcare between 2013 to 2022. A total of 20 topics were derived through topic modeling analysis, and as a result of time series regression analysis, 4 hot topics (Healthcare, Biopharmaceuticals, Corporate outlook·Sales, Government·Policy), 3 cold topics (Smart devices, Stocks·Investment, Urban development·Construction) derived a significant topic. The research findings will serve as an important data source for government institutions that are engaged in the formulation and implementation of Korea's policies.

Comparison of Time Series of Alluvial Groundwater Levels before and after Barrage Construction on the Lower Nakdong River (낙동강 하류 하천구조물 건설 전후의 충적층 지하수위 시계열 특성 비교)

  • Kim, Gyoo-Bum;Cha, Eun-Jee;Jeong, Hae-Geun;Shin, Kyung-Hee
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.105-115
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    • 2013
  • Increasing the river cross-section by barrage construction causes rises in the average river water levels and discharge rates in the rainy season. The time series patterns for groundwater levels measured at 23 riverside monitoring wells along the lower Nakdong River are compared for two cases: before and after water-filling at the Changnyeong-Haman Barrage. Monthly average groundwater levels indicate a distinct increase in groundwater levels in the upstream riverside close to the barrage. River-water level management by barrage gate control in August, during the rainy season, resulted in a 0.1 m decrease in groundwater levels, while water-filling at the barrage in December caused a 1.3 m increase in groundwater levels. The results of hierarchical cluster analysis indicate that seven groundwater monitoring wells and river water levels were in the same group before barrage construction, but that this number increased to 14 after barrage construction. Principal component analysis revealed that the explanation power of two principal components corresponding to river fluctuation, PC1 and PC2, was approximately 82% before barrage construction but decreased to 45% after construction. This finding indicates that the effect of the river level component that contributes to change in groundwater level, decreases after barrage construction; consequently, other factors, including groundwater pumping, become more important. Continuous surveying and monitoring is essential for understanding change in the hydrological environment. Water policy that takes groundwater-surface water interaction into consideration should be established for riverside areas.

A Reexamination on the Influence of Fine-particle between Districts in Seoul from the Perspective of Information Theory (정보이론 관점에서 본 서울시 지역구간의 미세먼지 영향력 재조명)

  • Lee, Jaekoo;Lee, Taehoon;Yoon, Sungroh
    • KIISE Transactions on Computing Practices
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.109-114
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents a computational model on the transfer of airborne fine particles to analyze the similarities and influences among the 25 districts in Seoul by quantifying a time series data collected from each district. The properties of each district are driven with the model of a time series of the fine particle concentrations, and the calculation of edge-based weights are carried out with the transfer entropies between all pairs of the districts. We applied a modularity-based graph clustering technique to detect the communities among the 25 districts. The result indicates the discovered clusters correspond to a high transfer-entropy group among the communities with geographical adjacency or high in-between traffic volumes. We believe that this approach can be further extended to the discovery of significant flows of other indicators causing environmental pollution.