• Title/Summary/Keyword: 시간대

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Multiple Period Forecasting of Motorway Traffic Volumes by Using Big Historical Data (대용량 이력자료를 활용한 다중시간대 고속도로 교통량 예측)

  • Chang, Hyun-ho;Yoon, Byoung-jo
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2018
  • In motorway traffic flow control, the conventional way based on real-time response has been changed into advanced way based on proactive response. Future traffic conditions over multiple time intervals are crucial input data for advanced motorway traffic flow control. It is necessary to overcome the uncertainty of the future state in order for forecasting multiple-period traffic volumes, as the number of uncertainty concurrently increase when the forecasting horizon expands. In this vein, multi-interval forecasting of traffic volumes requires a viable approach to conquer future uncertainties successfully. In this paper, a forecasting model is proposed which effectively addresses the uncertainties of future state based on the behaviors of temporal evolution of traffic volume states that intrinsically exits in the big past data. The model selects the past states from the big past data based on the state evolution of current traffic volumes, and then the selected past states are employed for estimating future states. The model was also designed to be suitable for data management systems in practice. Test results demonstrated that the model can effectively overcome the uncertainties over multiple time periods and can generate very reliable predictions in term of prediction accuracy. Hence, it is indicated that the model can be mounted and utilized on advanced data management systems.

Mathematical Approaches Related to Daily Feeding Activities of Rock Trout, Agrammus agrammus (노래미, Agrammus agrammus의 일주섭식활동에 관한 수리적 접근)

  • KIM Chong-Kawn;KANG Yong-Joo
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.315-326
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    • 1991
  • This study was tried for a mathematical approaches related to daily fluctuations in the stomach fullness of Agrammus agrammus. The specimen was collected by angling and gill net from September 1984 to August 1985 off Shinsudo, Samchonpo. Fullness of the stomachs was increased in the early morning and the late afternoon, decreased in the late morning, at noon, and during the night. That is, feeding activity of the fish was more intense at sunrise and sunset. Daily feeding activity of the fish in a day was divided into the time period of gastric evacuation and both feeding and gastric evacuation. Stomach fullness with the lapse of time in the time period of gastric evacuation was geometrically decreased. Stomach fullness in the time period of both feeding and gastric evacuation was affected by gastric evacuation rates, feeding rates, and maximum fullness of the stomach. These parameters were able to estimate from the method estimating the regression coefficient in the relationship between the time(t) and the stomach fullness$(F_t)$, or between stomach fullness at the time t and $t+\Deltat$. The rates of feeding and gastric evacuation were the highest in spring and the lowest in winter. The relationships between time(t) and stomach fullness$(F_t)$ in the time period of gastric evacuation and both feeding and gastric evacuation induced from hypotheses were respectively as follows. $$F_t=F_{to}e^{-r(t-to)}$$, $$F_t=F\infty-(F\infty-F_{to})e^{-(p+r)(t-{to})}$$

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고해상도 입력자료를 이용한 인천국제공항 지역 대기환경 수치모의 및 고찰

  • Lee, Hwa-Un;Im, Heon-Ho;Kim, Dong-Hyeok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Environmental Sciences Society Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.236-237
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    • 2005
  • 인천국제공항 지역에 대해 건설이후의 공항의 특성상 안개발생과 관련하여 대기환경의 변화 및 특성을 살펴보고자 하였다. 새벽시간대와 일사가 강하게 주어지는 오후시간대를 살펴보았을때 일교차가 6$^{\circ}C$를 나타내었다.

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Assessment of CO2 Emissions of Vehicles in Highway Sections Using Principal Component Analysis (주성분분석을 이용한 간선도로 구간 별 차량 당 CO2 다량 배출구간 평가)

  • Lee, Yoon Seok;Kim, Da Ye;Oh, Heung Un
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.1981-1987
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    • 2013
  • $CO_2$ emissions of vehicles vary with vehicle's speeds. In addition, the speeds vary with road type, location, time and traffic volume. In this paper, the section in which a large quantity of $CO_2$ emissions per vehicle is exhausted is determined and analyzed with principal component analysis(PCA). In results of analysis, the principal components analysis were divided into two principal components. It had been identified that the main component was the time zone one which is able to explain each components' role. The first principal component could explain the role of a major component on $CO_2$ emissions per vehicle in the early morning and afternoon hour, respectively. The second principal component could explain the role of the component on $CO_2$ emissions per vehicle in the morning and afternoon peak hours, respectively. Therefore, the section in which a large quantity of $CO_2$ emissions per vehicle could be deterimined by PCA scores.

SATELLITE'S LAUNCH WINDOW CALCULATION BY ASTRODYNAMICAL METHODS (천체역학적 방법을 이용한 인공위성의 최적발시간대)

  • 우병삼;최규홍
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.308-319
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    • 1994
  • We can launch satellites only at a certain time which satisfies special conditions, since the current techniques cannot overcome these constraints. Launch window constraints are the eclipse duration, solar aspect angle, attitude control, launch site and the launch vehicle constraints, etc. In this paper, launch window is calculated that satisfies all these constraints. In calculating launch window, the basic concepts are relative locations of the sun-satellite-earth system and relative velocities of these, and these requires geometric consideration for each satellite. Launch window calculation was applied to Kitsat 2(low earth orbit) and Koreasat(geostationary orbit). The result is shown in the form of a graph that has dates on the X-axis and the corresponding times of the given day on the Y-axis.

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Development of an Efficient Vehicle Routing Heuristic using Closely Located Delivery Points and Penalties (패널티와 밀집형태의 배송지점을 활용한 효율적 차량경로 탐색 알고리즘의 개발)

  • Moon, Gee-Ju;Hur, Ji-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2007
  • Travel time between two points depends upon whether it is a rush hour or not in metropolitan area. It is true that there is big differences on the time required to get through the area whether going in busy morning or near noon. Another issue is that there exist many delivery points which closely located each other; so no need to consider traveling hours among these points. We designed an efficient procedure to reduce the complexity by considering closely located delivery points as one big delivery point. A computer simulation model is constructed for comparison purposes of the developed heuristic with the optimum solution.

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EARTH TO MARS BALLISTIC MISSION OPPORTUNITIES FROM NARO SPACE CENTER (나로 우주센터에서 화성 탐사선 발사를 위한 최적 시간대 결정)

  • 유성문;송영주;박은서;박상영;최규홍;윤재철;임조령;김방엽;김한돌
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.299-312
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    • 2003
  • Earth to Mars ballistic mission opportunities from Naro Space Center are studied. Determining ballistic mission opportunities can be divided into two major parts, i.e. the launch window and the daily launch window determination. At the launch window determination parts, Porkchop diagrams of Earth launch C3 magnitude, total mission duration, declination of $V_{\infty}$ vector at the Earth launch, and declination & right ascension of $V_{\infty}$ vector at the Mars arrival are examined. The location of launch site and rotation effects of the Earth are considered during the daily launch window determination parts. Using Lambert method, various Porkchop diagrams of launching in 2027 are examined for example. The daily launch window of Naro Space Center at that year was checked to verify the launch possibility by comparing with the Kennedy Space Center.

Overnight Information E ects on Intra-Day Stoc Market Volatility (비거래시간대 주식시장정보가 장중 주가변동성에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Sun-Woong;Choi, Heung-Sik
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.823-834
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    • 2010
  • Stock markets perpetually accumulate information. During trading hours the price instantaneously reacts to new information, but accumulated overnight information reacts simultaneously on the opening price. This can create opening price uctuations. This study explores the overnight information e ects on intra-da stock market volatility. GARCH models and the VKOSPI model are provided. Empirical data includes daily opening and closing prices of the KOSPI 200 index and the VKOSPI from March $3^{rd}$ 2008 to June $22^{th}$ 2010. Empirical results show that the VKOSPI signi cantly decrease during trading time when positiv overnight information moves the Korean stock upward. This study provides useful information to investors since the Korea Exchange plans to introduce a futures market for the VKOSPI soon.

A Performance Evaluation of the Variations of Ant Colony Optimization for Vehicle Routing Problems with Time Windows (시간대 제약이 있는 차량경로문제를 위한 Ant Colony Optimization의 변형들의 성능평가)

  • Hong, Sung-Chul;Park, Yang-Byung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.319-322
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    • 2004
  • 물류/택배업계의 공급사슬관리에서 차량에 의한 고객의 요구 서비스 시간대 만족은 고객의 재고수준을 낮추고 또한 서비스 수준의 향상에 매우 중요한 제약조건이다. 최근에 소개된 메타휴리스틱인 개미해법(Ant Colony Optimization: ACO)은 NP-hard 문제의 해공간 탐색에 있어서 상당한 장점을 가지고 있으나, 시간대 제약이 있는 차량경로문제(Vehicle Routing Problems with Time Windows: VRPTW)에 대한 적용은 아주 미비한 실정이다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 ACO 를 VRPTW에 적용하여 최선의 차량경로 해를 구하기 위한 여러 변형을 제시하고, 이들의 영향을 다양한 실험문제를 이용하여 분석하고자 한다. 계산실험 결과, 기본 ACO 에 여러 설계 요소들을 추가함에 따라 계산시간이 다소 증가하지만 보다 우수한 차량경로 해를 구할 수 있었다.

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Effect of the Trend fo Civil Complaint and Apartment Price at Management System of Floor Noise at Houses (층간소음 관리시스템이 민원저감과 아파트 가격에 미치는 영향)

  • Cha, SangGon;Kim, HyunJu
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2014.10a
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    • pp.704-709
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구는 현재 사회문제화 되고 있는 층간소음 피해 실태조사 분석을 통하여 적용 가능한 층간소음 분쟁의 예방을 위한 효율적인 관리시스템을 개발 적용하였다. 설문조사 분석결과, 층간소음의 주요 발생 원인으로 아이들 뛰는 소음과 어른 걷는 소음이 55% ~ 75%로 가장 심각한 소음원으로 나타났으며, 소음 피해시간대는 저녁(18시~22시) 시간대는 50% ~ 65%로 가장 높게 나타났으며, 야간(22시~ 06시) 시간대는 26% ~ 45%범위에 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 층간소음관리시스템 적용 전 후의 민원저감효과 분석결과, 전라도 광주는 100%, 대구시는 87.5%, 서울의 경우는 83%, 경기도는 71% 순으로 나타나, 평균 약 85% 이상의 민원 저감효과가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 층간소음관리시스템 적용 전 후의 아파트 가격 변화 분석결과, 적용된 아파트의 경우는 평균 17.23백만원 상승한 반면, 미적용된 아파트는 0.55백만원 하락한 것으로 평가되었다.

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